2:35 Ripon – 5f British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (C4, 2yo, Good ground, 14 runners max, 8 declared)

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Pace & Draw Angles

Ripon 5f tends to reward early pace, especially drawn middle to stands’ side when the ground is sound. Expect Schrodinger’s Cat, Noble Vow, and perhaps Go Lockers Go to be ridden forward. The newcomers’ intent is unknown, but Lady Kodiac and Kind Touch may not want an early battle. Likely honest to strong pace with a couple pressing on. Draw looks fair today (stalls stands’ side), with low to middle not disadvantaged.


Strongest Contenders

Schrodinger’s Cat – Proven

  • Consistent 70–80 RPR level, clear best form.
  • Hasn’t quite managed to get his head in front and has been turned over short; first-time cheekpieces may help concentration.
  • Travelled well last twice but found little late—genuine ability but slight question on resolution.

Noble Vow – Promising

  • Good debut at Salisbury (6f), shaped as if sharper for run, form already above what most here have shown.
  • Pedigree and sales tag suggest more to come.
  • Trainer excellent with 2yos here (5-12 last 5yrs). Major threat.

Lady Kodiac – Interesting debutante

  • Kodiac filly from strong family.
  • Yard often readies one first time; being a filly against colts is a test, but quality pedigree.
  • Market vibes key.

Main Dangers

Tafah – Progressive profile

  • Fair debut at Bath, shaping like 5f/6f will suit.
  • More to come with experience; possible each-way play if price holds.

Rogue Rebellion – Bounce candidate

  • Well backed FTO but ran alone in poor conditions.
  • First-time tongue-tie; may step forward sharply.

Outsiders with Notes

  • Go Lockers Go: £200k breeze-up, hasn’t shown much but hood on, drop to 5f—minor upgrade possible.
  • Kind Touch: Fahey newcomer, family speed, trainer’s 2yos running well. Interesting but may need experience.
  • Soul Warrior: Pedigree suggests better in time; likely needs more.

Runner Suitability Scores

  • Schrodinger’s Cat – 8.5/10 (clear form pick, but short odds risk)
  • Noble Vow – 8/10 (unexposed, improving, best alternative)
  • Lady Kodiac – 7.5/10 (smart pedigree, market check crucial)
  • Tafah – 6.5/10 (solid debut, scope to improve)
  • Rogue Rebellion – 6/10 (conditions excuse on debut, could bounce)
  • Kind Touch – 6/10 (well-bred debutant, stable good with 2yos)
  • Go Lockers Go – 5/10 (expensive, some excuses, needs big step up)
  • Soul Warrior – 3/10 (more time needed, long-term project)

Private Tissue (Fair Odds)

  • Schrodinger’s Cat 15/8
  • Noble Vow 3/1
  • Lady Kodiac 5/1
  • Tafah 7/1
  • Rogue Rebellion 8/1
  • Kind Touch 9/1
  • Go Lockers Go 16/1
  • Soul Warrior 40/1

Summary & Smart Play

The race revolves around whether Schrodinger’s Cat finally converts or whether one of the less exposed types leaps forward. He’s the safest form choice but risky at short odds given past defeats. Noble Vow looks the improver and represents a trainer with a strong 2yo Ripon record. Lady Kodiac is the unknown with a good pedigree, while Tafah rates the each-way angle.

Smart Play:

  • Win bet – Noble Vow (upside, trainer record, improving profile)
  • Each-way saver – Tafah (should step forward, fair draw, price angle)

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