Pace & Draw Set-Up:
Musselburgh’s 7f start has a short run to the bend, so early track position is usually important. Low/middle draws can hold an advantage if able to get out and travel. Looking at the field:
- Supreme Clarets (7) showed speed on both starts, may go forward.
- Spirit Of The Wood (3) raced handier on debut and stayed well, could track.
- Suddenly I See (8) is an unknown, but Johnston often sends his forward.
- Born A Star (5) has been outpaced before, likely to be dropped in.
Expect an even to slightly strong pace, with the Johnston pair possibly ensuring it isn’t tactical.
Strongest Contenders
Spirit Of The Wood (Jardine) – Proven
- Musselburgh C&D winner on debut (RPR 79).
- Travelled strongly, knuckled down well; looks straightforward.
- Trainer often targets this track, and being already proven at C&D is a big plus.
Score: 8.5/10
Supreme Clarets (Fahey) – Progressive
- Improved markedly second time, beating Go Vince Go in a Ham 6f maiden.
- Pedigree suggests 7f will suit, shaped like more to come.
- Fahey often improves them run-to-run, and he has history with this race profile.
Score: 8/10
Madame Koko (Quinn) – Promising
- Debut at Catterick (soft, 7f) was fair, ran on late for 5th (RPR 67).
- Pedigree points to 7f being fine, and Quinn runners often sharpen up a lot second time.
Score: 6.5/10
Main Dangers
Born A Star (Johnston)
- Better run at Brighton last time (3rd), shaping as though nurseries are the aim.
- Pedigree suggests stamina (dam 7f+ G3 winner), but looks a bit one-paced.
- Likely to be outpaced again here.
Score: 5.5/10
Suddenly I See (Johnston)
- Well-bred colt (brother to Flaming Rib, RPR 115).
- Johnston’s debutants can be forward, and he has two in here.
- Market check vital—could be better than stablemate.
Score: 6/10 (potential improver)
Yorkshire Queen (Tuer)
- Nicely bred filly, but Nick Bradley runners often need their first couple.
- No evidence yet, may be green.
Score: 5/10
Outsiders
Lanarra (R Mike Smith)
- Beaten long way in both Ayr maidens, including when tailed off over 6f.
- Pedigree doesn’t scream improvement over 7f.
Score: 3.5/10
Secret Testimony (Declan Carroll)
- Green and outpaced at Catterick on debut (RPR 51).
- Yard’s juveniles rarely win on second start in Class 4.
Score: 4/10
Runner Scores
- Spirit Of The Wood – 8.5/10 (proven C&D, sets standard)
- Supreme Clarets – 8/10 (progressive, step up in trip helps)
- Madame Koko – 6.5/10 (promising debut, can improve)
- Suddenly I See – 6/10 (well-bred newcomer, market check needed)
- Born A Star – 5.5/10 (nursery type, lacks finish)
- Yorkshire Queen – 5/10 (untested, may need run)
- Secret Testimony – 4/10 (weak debut)
- Lanarra – 3.5/10 (shown little so far)
Private Tissue (guide odds)
- Spirit Of The Wood 2/1
- Supreme Clarets 5/2
- Madame Koko 7/1
- Suddenly I See 8/1
- Born A Star 12/1
- Yorkshire Queen 14/1
- Secret Testimony 25/1
- Lanarra 33/1
Summary
This restricted maiden looks between Spirit Of The Wood, already proven at Musselburgh over this C&D, and Supreme Clarets, who improved sharply last time and will relish 7f. Madame Koko is an each-way player with second-time-out improvement likely, while Johnston’s Suddenly I See is the dark horse on pedigree.
Smart Play
- Win bet: Spirit Of The Wood (solid C&D profile, professional on debut)
- Each-way saver: Madame Koko (staying on debut, improvement expected)
Leave a comment