Race Shape & Draw Angles

Catterick is a sharp 6f, often favouring pace and prominent racers. With several debutantes and inexperienced fillies, the early tempo could be even but not overly strong. Draw usually matters here – low to middle often best – so stalls 1–3 hold some advantage.

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Strongest Contenders

Blue Nguru (Archie Watson / Hollie Doyle) – Draw 3

• Two solid runs at Goodwood (3rd, RPR 85) and Hamilton (2nd, RPR 80).
• Travelled well but found one better both times; looks straightforward and professional.
• Pedigree suggests 6f ideal; speed on sire side but stamina on dam line ensures she’ll stay.
• Trainer flying (3-3-24, 55% RTF), Doyle booked – clear “go day” signs.
  Profile: Proven, progressive. Leading chance.

Rogue Attraction (Ed Bethell / Callum Rodriguez) – Draw 2

• Promising debut at Carlisle (2nd, RPR 84), just outbattled by a more experienced rival.
• Travelled strongly, Notebook upgrade suggests sharper 6f suits.
• Trainer’s 14-day form modest (1-4-23), but horse clearly above-average.
  Profile: Promising debutante, big danger.

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Main Dangers

Reeshah (Adrian Nicholls / Jack Garritty) – Draw 4

• Unraced filly by Mehmas (excellent source of sharp juveniles).
• Dam was 100-rated 7f/1m2f winner; family of Raven’s Lady and Ramatuelle – strong sprint/mile mix.
• Stable not red-hot but known to pop up with precocious types.
  Profile: Interesting on pedigree, market will guide.

Case Study (George Boughey / Pat Cosgrave) – Draw 5

• Expensive Showcasing filly (£110k yearling).
• Dam moderate, but plenty of speed in pedigree.
• Yard has 67% RTF last 14 days, usually sharp with 2yos.
  Profile: Dangerous newcomer, stable signal.

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Outsiders

Miss Boyd (Roger Fell / Mark Winn) – Draw 1

• Only run: 6th of 7 at Carlisle (RPR 66), outpaced and never involved.
• Cheap yearling (£5,500) and doesn’t look progressive yet.
  Profile: Exposed early, hard to fancy.

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Runner Scores

• Blue Nguru – 9/10 – Strong form, professional, drawn well, trainer-jockey combo ideal.
• Rogue Attraction – 8/10 – Excellent debut, drawn inside, sure to improve.
• Reeshah – 7/10 – Unraced but pedigree suggests ability; betting crucial.
• Case Study – 7/10 – Expensive Boughey newcomer, must be noted.
• Miss Boyd – 4/10 – Needs major step up, unlikely player.

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Private Tissue Odds (my view)

• Blue Nguru – 15/8
• Rogue Attraction – 9/4
• Case Study – 9/2
• Reeshah – 5/1
• Miss Boyd – 25/1

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Summary & Smart Play

This maiden revolves around the two fillies with form. Blue Nguru has set a clear standard with back-to-back placed efforts in better company and looks the most professional option. Rogue Attraction pushed a good filly close on debut and is the main threat with natural improvement. Of the newcomers, Case Study (Boughey/Showcasing) and Reeshah (Mehmas/damline packed with class) are both interesting but market checks are vital.

Smart Play:

• Win bet – Blue Nguru (proven level, setup looks right).
• Saver – Rogue Attraction (big danger, improving).
• Keep an eye on the market for Case Study/Reeshah – if backed, they could trouble the front pair.