Pace & Draw

• Possible contested lead: War Howl (likes to be handy), Sunny Corner (drawn 1, can go forward), and possibly Ruff Justice if connections revert to forcing tactics.
• Likely strong even pace – should suit those who can settle and finish.
• Draw: Mile on the straight track, low-to-middle draws generally a slight plus if pace is central. Sunny Corner (1) and North View (3) in ideal spots. Wide stalls (Drifts Away 10, War Howl 9) at a mild disadvantage unless pace collapses.

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Strongest Contenders

Drifts Away (OR 78, Draw 10) – Progressive this year, with consistent runs across turf/AW. Forgive York run (bad draw, never involved). Excellent RPR 84 at Yarmouth shows his level. Versatile and rarely runs a bad race. Draw not ideal but has tactical pace. Proven, still progressing.

North View (OR 78, Draw 3, Buick/Boughey) – Eyecatching closer last time at Kempton, proved stamina for 7f+. Newbury C&D winner (’24). Blinkers have sharpened him up, Buick booked. Needs race to fall right but ground/trip look perfect. Promising closer, dangerous if strong pace.

War Howl (OR 80, Draw 9) – Back-to-back wins at Doncaster & Ascot, improving since joining Appleby. Shaped like 1m could suit and arrives in form. Draw wide, but has tactical speed. Progressive 3yo, potential class riser.

Sunny Corner (OR 73, Draw 1) – Back to winning ways at Salisbury last time (RPR 86), career-best. Can be inconsistent but well drawn, handy style suits. Carries penalty but thriving. Resurgent, but needs to back it up.

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Main Dangers

Sea Founder (OR 80, Draw 8, Murphy/Hughes) – Lightly raced 3yo, Windsor maiden win franked. Found trouble here LTO but shaped well at Haydock. Breeding points to 1m+ improvement. Unexposed, still scope to step forward. Likely improver.

Herculeus (OR 77, Draw 2) – Won at Nottingham (1m), decent run at Windsor behind Sea Founder. Still learning, fair mark. Inside draw helps. Unexposed and open to progress.

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Interesting Outsiders

Beauty By My Side (OR 74, Draw 4, Ryan) – Big run here in July (close 2nd, RPR 81). Forgive Sandown where denied a run. Unlucky more than once, dangerous off current mark if things fall right. EW angle if 8+ runners.

Virtue Patience (OR 72, Draw 5) – Some messy runs but shaped well at Newbury earlier this summer. Has scope for better; trainer not in top form. Squeaks into consideration.

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Lesser Chances

• Tenbob Tommy – Needs further than 1m and still finding his level.
• Ruff Justice – Looks held off current mark, regressive since Windsor nursery win.
• Others exposed or inconsistent.

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Suitability Scores (out of 10)

• Drifts Away – 8/10 (consistent, forgiving York run, wide draw only negative)
• North View – 8/10 (well-handicapped, Buick, ideal draw, needs luck in running)
• War Howl – 8/10 (progressive, but wide draw a challenge)
• Sea Founder – 7.5/10 (scopey, but still learning)
• Sunny Corner – 7/10 (career best last time, but inconsistent)
• Herculeus – 7/10 (unexposed, may be better at 1m+ soon)
• Beauty By My Side – 7/10 (unlucky type, EW potential)
• Virtue Patience – 6/10 (capable, but inconsistent yard/form)
• Ruff Justice – 5/10 (regressive)
• Tenbob Tommy – 4/10 (likely wants further)

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Private Tissue (my book)

• North View 7/2
• Drifts Away 4/1
• War Howl 9/2
• Sea Founder 6/1
• Beauty By My Side 8/1
• Sunny Corner 8/1
• Herculeus 10/1
• Virtue Patience 14/1
• Ruff Justice 20/1
• Tenbob Tommy 25/1

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Summary & Smart Play

A competitive straight-mile handicap where pace should be strong. North View is the class angle with Buick booked, well drawn, and back to ideal C&D. Drifts Away and War Howl are solid progressive options, while Sea Founder brings unexposed 3yo upside. Beauty By My Side looks the each-way alternative if the field holds up (8+ runners).

Smart Play:

• Win bet – North View (well drawn closer, Buick factor, C&D form)
• Each-way saver – Beauty By My Side (unlucky in running, back at her track)