A runner-by-runner snapshot for the 5.23 Down Royal

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This is a competitive summer maiden, mostly unexposed hurdlers, a couple of solid placed horses, and plenty still learning.

Key Runners

Arctic Flame (IRE) – RPR peak 119

  • 6 starts, 2 places.
  • Best effort 2nd at Cork (RPR 119).
  • Reliable maiden but lacks finishing kick.
  • Profile: Consistent frame horse; hard to see him improving much, but sets a fair standard for consistency.

Astelia (IRE) – RPR peak 130

  • 3 starts, 3 seconds.
  • Has run to 130 at Roscommon (2nd in a hot maiden).
  • All over 2m, stays well, looks straightforward.
  • Profile: The clear form pick – rated 130, should be winning a race of this nature soon.

Crossbar Getaway (IRE) – RPR peak 116

  • 5 runs, 1 place.
  • Best effort Tramore bumper 2nd (RPR 112).
  • Not convincing over hurdles yet (best 113).
  • Profile: Capable of mid-110s, but doesn’t look natural over timber.

Eponine Etoile (IRE) – RPR peak 104

  • 2 runs, well beaten.
  • Best RPR 104, no signs of progression.
  • Profile: Exposed already, hard to fancy.

Fraher Field (IRE) – RPR peak 112

  • 5 runs, 1 win (NHF at Wexford, RPR 112).
  • Consistent placed efforts (Roscommon/Tramore).
  • Profile: Fair bumper horse, pedigree suggests he’ll improve over hurdles. Could run well.

Frontier Rose – RPR peak 96

  • 1 start (Galway bumper), 96 RPR.
  • Too green to judge.
  • Profile: Needs experience, long-term project.

Herja (IRE) – RPR peak 120

  • 5 runs, 3 places.
  • Runner-up twice, including Newcastle (RPR 120).
  • Stays 2m4f+, gallops strongly.
  • Profile: Second best form horse behind Astelia, brings stamina and consistency.

Keilah (IRE) – RPR peak 104

  • 2 runs, midfield.
  • Best RPR 104.
  • Profile: Ordinary, needs marked improvement.

Oh Janey (IRE) – RPR peak 117

  • 7 runs, 2 places.
  • Best effort 2nd at Perth (RPR 117).
  • Often in the mix but not finishing races strongly.
  • Profile: Can sneak a place, but vulnerable to stronger stayers.

Run For The Border (IRE) – RPR peak 113

  • 3 runs, best RPR 113 in bumper.
  • Ordinary hurdling debut.
  • Profile: Needs to improve his jumping – bumper mark shows ability, but still raw.

Wonderwalk (IRE) – RPR peak 109

  • 1 start, 6th at Wexford (RPR 109).
  • Showed ability, but just one run.
  • Profile: Early days, hard to weigh up but could progress.

Race Shape & Tactical Angles

  • Likely strong pace: Arctic Flame, Herja like to be handy.
  • Stamina could matter on Down Royal’s uphill finish.
  • Favour those already proven at 2m2f+ with staying ability.

Ratings Shortlist

  • Astelia (130) – clear form horse, should win if repeating Roscommon run.
  • Herja (120) – strong stayer, main danger.
  • Fraher Field (112) – bumper winner, solid EW chance.
  • Arctic Flame (119) – consistent, but vulnerable to improvers.

Verdict

  • Win Bet: Astelia – brings 130 form, this is a weaker maiden.
  • Danger: Herja – stays well, can grind out a finish.
  • Value EW/Tricast fillers: Fraher Field, Arctic Flame.

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