This is a competitive summer maiden, mostly unexposed hurdlers, a couple of solid placed horses, and plenty still learning.
Key Runners
Arctic Flame (IRE) – RPR peak 119
- 6 starts, 2 places.
- Best effort 2nd at Cork (RPR 119).
- Reliable maiden but lacks finishing kick.
- Profile: Consistent frame horse; hard to see him improving much, but sets a fair standard for consistency.
Astelia (IRE) – RPR peak 130
- 3 starts, 3 seconds.
- Has run to 130 at Roscommon (2nd in a hot maiden).
- All over 2m, stays well, looks straightforward.
- Profile: The clear form pick – rated 130, should be winning a race of this nature soon.
Crossbar Getaway (IRE) – RPR peak 116
- 5 runs, 1 place.
- Best effort Tramore bumper 2nd (RPR 112).
- Not convincing over hurdles yet (best 113).
- Profile: Capable of mid-110s, but doesn’t look natural over timber.
Eponine Etoile (IRE) – RPR peak 104
- 2 runs, well beaten.
- Best RPR 104, no signs of progression.
- Profile: Exposed already, hard to fancy.
Fraher Field (IRE) – RPR peak 112
- 5 runs, 1 win (NHF at Wexford, RPR 112).
- Consistent placed efforts (Roscommon/Tramore).
- Profile: Fair bumper horse, pedigree suggests he’ll improve over hurdles. Could run well.
Frontier Rose – RPR peak 96
- 1 start (Galway bumper), 96 RPR.
- Too green to judge.
- Profile: Needs experience, long-term project.
Herja (IRE) – RPR peak 120
- 5 runs, 3 places.
- Runner-up twice, including Newcastle (RPR 120).
- Stays 2m4f+, gallops strongly.
- Profile: Second best form horse behind Astelia, brings stamina and consistency.
Keilah (IRE) – RPR peak 104
- 2 runs, midfield.
- Best RPR 104.
- Profile: Ordinary, needs marked improvement.
Oh Janey (IRE) – RPR peak 117
- 7 runs, 2 places.
- Best effort 2nd at Perth (RPR 117).
- Often in the mix but not finishing races strongly.
- Profile: Can sneak a place, but vulnerable to stronger stayers.
Run For The Border (IRE) – RPR peak 113
- 3 runs, best RPR 113 in bumper.
- Ordinary hurdling debut.
- Profile: Needs to improve his jumping – bumper mark shows ability, but still raw.
Wonderwalk (IRE) – RPR peak 109
- 1 start, 6th at Wexford (RPR 109).
- Showed ability, but just one run.
- Profile: Early days, hard to weigh up but could progress.
Race Shape & Tactical Angles
- Likely strong pace: Arctic Flame, Herja like to be handy.
- Stamina could matter on Down Royal’s uphill finish.
- Favour those already proven at 2m2f+ with staying ability.
Ratings Shortlist
- Astelia (130) – clear form horse, should win if repeating Roscommon run.
- Herja (120) – strong stayer, main danger.
- Fraher Field (112) – bumper winner, solid EW chance.
- Arctic Flame (119) – consistent, but vulnerable to improvers.
Verdict
- Win Bet: Astelia – brings 130 form, this is a weaker maiden.
- Danger: Herja – stays well, can grind out a finish.
- Value EW/Tricast fillers: Fraher Field, Arctic Flame.
Leave a comment