15:52 Brighton — It Takes A Village Handicap (Class 5) 7f216y, Good (0–68), 3yo+, 12 runners
Pace: Very strong (multiple habitual pace/pressers: Kondratiev Wave, Kracking, H Key Lails, Havana Mojito, Louie The Legend).
Draw: Historical angle here points against low; high/middle draws marginally preferred around the camber and late switch.

Pace & Draw Angles (what matters today)

Race shape screams collapse: several want the lead and a couple pull hard. This tilts to strong travellers held up/mid-div with stamina for the stiff Brighton finish.

Low draws can be on the back foot turning in; Lunanova (stall 2) has the right run style but the wrong draw—needs threading a path.

Best positioned on paper: closers from 7–12, especially those who settle.



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Strongest Contenders

LUNANOVA (2) – Promising/Progressive
Filly thriving for the new yard; back-to-back C&D wins then shaped better than result at Ffos Las after blowing the start. Travels like a winner in waiting and today’s likely burn-up enhances her claims. Negative: low draw + can be slowly away; needs gaps.

DRAGONFLAME (5) – Promising
Big-ticket 3yo who took a step forward at Kempton off a break; form/physique suggest more to come back on turf at 1m-ish. Positive: settles, should pounce late. Question: turf mark/attitude under pressure—still a maiden. Yard hot.

BLENHEIM STAR (8) – Proven
Brighton winner; cheekpieces sparked a good C&D third latest (brief lead). Draw is fine, travels kindly, and can sit off a hot pace. Quirk: not always the finished article physically, but profile is solid.

TOWERLANDS (11) – Promising but quirky
Talent not fully harnessed; often slow to stride/free, but wide draw + pace collapse scenario could suit a patient ride. Eyecatcher when just denied here two starts back.

LOUIE THE LEGEND (7) – Progressive earlier
Nottingham win reads well; excuses last time (track position). Sits handy—needs to be ridden with patience today.

Main Dangers / Interesting Outsiders

KONDRATIEV WAVE (4) – has C&D nous and often forces it; pace map is a negative but if he gets a breather, he can cling on for a place.

HAVANA MOJITO (9) – two Brighton wins; on a going day he’s tough, but the forecast relentless pace is a negative for his on-speed style.

ROSCIOLI (6) – proper closer but this sharp 8.5f can find him out late; needs absolute meltdown.

KRACKING (10) – headstrong frontrunner; wide draw fine, but today’s war up front is against him.

H KEY LAILS (12) – admirable C&D winner; prominent style + pace scenario a worry despite the golden draw.



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Runner Scores (suitability today)

Lunanova (2): 8.5/10 – Right run style; wrong draw; still the one to beat if she breaks OK.

Dragonflame (5): 7.5/10 – Unexposed closer; turf to prove at this mark.

Blenheim Star (8): 7.5/10 – Track/tactics align; solid place player, win possible.

Towerlands (11): 7/10 – Ability there; start/keenness are the hurdles.

Louie The Legend (7): 7/10 – Needs to be smuggled into it; capable at this level.

Kondratiev Wave (4): 6.5/10 – Pace headwind; place squeak if restrained.

Havana Mojito (9): 6.5/10 – Course lover; pace against.

H Key Lails (12): 6/10 – Honest; prominent style a negative today.

Kracking (10): 6/10 – Likely overdo it; vulnerable late.

Desert Footsteps (3): 5.5/10 – Layoff; did too much too soon here in the past.

Roscioli (6): 5.5/10 – Needs extreme collapse; place at best.

Flag Carrier (1): 4.5/10 – Current form/rail draw not ideal; others stronger.


> Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters turning out quickly—they can be hot.




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Each-Way Angles (12 runners)

Blenheim Star (8) – dependable Brighton form, sits just off the pace, draw OK.

Towerlands (11) – risky, but if he drops in and relaxes, late rattle plausible at a price.



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Private Tissue (Raceform Data)

Lunanova 3/1 (25%)

Dragonflame 6/1 (14%)

Blenheim Star 8/1 (11%)

Towerlands 9/1 (10%)

Louie The Legend 10/1 (9%)

Kondratiev Wave 12/1 (7%)

Havana Mojito 12/1 (7%)

H Key Lails 14/1 (6%)

Kracking 16/1 (5%)

Desert Footsteps 20/1 (4%)

Roscioli 22/1 (3.5%)

Flag Carrier 28/1 (2.5%)
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start for a new yard or after headgear/ops.



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Summary & Smart Play

Set-up: Fierce early fractions at a track that punishes over-commitment. Closers/mid-div from middle-to-high best placed.

Smart Play

Win — LUNANOVA: class edge for this grade, thriving profile, and tailor-made pace. Accept low draw risk for the upside.

Each-way Saver — BLENHEIM STAR (8): reliable C&D operator with an ideal run style and fair tissue.

Cover/exotics — DRAGONFLAME (5): progressive 3yo to include in exactas/combos given the likely collapse.