Pace / Draw Angle:
Timeform project a weakly run race. With He’s Waliim the only proven front-runner, he looks likely to get a soft lead unless something changes tactics. That could put hold-up types at a disadvantage, particularly in testing ground. Draw should not be a major factor with only 6 runners, though inside handy sitters often control small-field Sandown races.

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Strongest Contenders

• Pacific Avenue (Charlie Appleby / W Buick) – Progressive
  Appleby has farmed this race (Native Trail, Masar, etc.) and this colt’s Newmarket win is already well franked. The step into Group company looks natural. Pedigree suggests cut in the ground will be no issue. Big chance if handling softer tempo.
• Humidity (Andrew Balding / O Murphy) – Proven
  Royal Ascot Chesham winner, solid form. Goodwood run wasn’t bad in context (Group 2, strong opposition). His stamina and ability to see it out in soft could be a plus if the race becomes a grind.
• He’s Waliim (James Tate / C Lee) – Promising
  Beverley win visually striking, and he’ll likely get the run of things in front here. Yet to prove himself in this class, and soft ground is a query, but tactical setup favours him.

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Main Dangers

• A Bit Of Spirit – Looked one-paced at Salisbury (1m), so dropping back is right. Ground may blunt speed, though he has Listed form already.
• Looka – Game AW winner, headgear helps, but rates below on form.
• Oceans Four – Weakest on bare figures; soft might not help.

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Runner Scores (Suitability /10)

• Pacific Avenue – 9/10: progressive, best formline, handles conditions on breeding.
• Humidity – 8/10: proven in strong company, ground no issue, just needs pace not to be too steady.
• He’s Waliim – 7.5/10: soft lead angle, raw but very promising.
• A Bit Of Spirit – 6.5/10: drop in trip helps, but needs to find more.
• Looka – 5.5/10: game type but this is much harder.
• Oceans Four – 5/10: placed at bottom on form.

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Private Tissue (100% book)

• Pacific Avenue 2/1 (33%)
• Humidity 3/1 (25%)
• He’s Waliim 7/2 (22%)
• A Bit Of Spirit 8/1 (11%)
• Looka 14/1 (5%)
• Oceans Four 20/1 (3%)

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Summary & Smart Play

This small-field Solario has a tactical feel with He’s Waliim dictating. If the ground turns attritional, Humidity is the one most likely to be finishing off strongly. However, the Appleby/Buick axis has a formidable record here and PACIFIC AVENUE brings the most reliable piece of form, with progression to come.

Smart Play:

• Win Bet – Pacific Avenue (class, form working out, yard record).
• Saver – Humidity if ground worsens further and pace collapses late.