7f110y, Good (good–to–yielding in places), 3yo+, 11 declared (Snellen NR → 10 run)
Pace: Even. Likely leaders/pressers: Princess Child, Sweet Chariot; stalkers: Copacabana Sands, Queen Of Thunder, Chantez. Track tends to reward a stalk-and-pounce at this trip if they don’t overcook it.
Pace & Tactical Angles
With an even—possibly steadyish early pace, a handy stalker who travels and quickens is ideally placed.
Specific hint aligns: Queen Of Thunder shapes to be better placed than Princess Child if the front end isn’t overcooked (PC can face a late-shots vulnerability).
Ground fine for all principals; turn of foot at 7f is the separator.
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Strongest Contenders
COPACABANA SANDS (7) – Proven/Progressive (3yo)
Dual 7f stakes winner this summer (Listed then G3 Ballycorus), travels strongly, finishes well, handles cut, and is fine at 7f on turning tracks. If they don’t go hard, her handy sit + gear change late is ideal. Slight niggle: can be a touch slow from stalls, but she’s looked straightforward lately.
PRINCESS CHILD (5) – Progressive (4yo)
Big Galway numbers (2nd then won the 7f handicap in a fast time). Brings peak fitness and tractable style but is likely on/near the lead; with only an even pace she’s in it a long way, yet the last 100 yds can find her if a class finisher ranges up.
CELESTIAL ORBIT (8) – Promising/Fresh angle (3yo)
Nell Gwyn 2nd earlier; excuses in the Pouliches. Fresh after 112 days, 7f is her sweet spot, and she likes a bit of ease. If ready, she has the class turn to pounce from midfield.
CHANTEZ (9) – Unexposed black-type 3yo
Leopardstown Listed winner at 2; best run this term latest (G3 third). Stalker with solid 7f credentials and still some upside. Live place player; not much between her and the principals on setup.
QUEEN OF THUNDER (6) – Dark horse at the trip
Killarney maiden win easy; two subsequent runs better than bare form. Profile suits a stalk-and-pounce here; specific pace hint favours her relative to PC if they don’t blast. Value-driven inclusion.
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Other Runners
Mataariki (4) – Honest/useful; Listed 4th at Galway. Consistent but a shade to find against the sharper 7f closers.
Mallavelly (3) – Thriving in handicaps but this class rise is stiff; place squeak only if the race turns tactical.
Germanese (2) – Maiden win then Listed 5th; raw ability there, but needs a sizeable jump.
Fingerpaint (10) – Weld 3yo maiden winner with “p” (improver). Big class hike on just her second start; long-term project, but could outrun odds.
Sweet Chariot (11) – Out of form; likely pace contributor rather than finisher.
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Runner Scores (suitability today)
Copacabana Sands: 8.5/10 – Classy 7f finisher, ideal run style.
Princess Child: 8/10 – Red-hot form; slight late fade risk if pressed.
Celestial Orbit: 7.5/10 – Fresh/7f sweet spot; readiness the question.
Chantez: 7.5/10 – Solid G3 filly; stalker with place claims.
Queen Of Thunder: 7/10 – Right tactical fit; needs to step forward.
Mataariki: 6.5/10 – Reliable; may lack the kick.
Mallavelly: 6/10 – Class rise a test.
Germanese: 5.5/10 – Needs a chunk of improvement.
Fingerpaint: 5.5/10 – Raw potential; baptism of fire.
Sweet Chariot: 4.5/10 – Pace angle only.
> Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days (notably Celestial Orbit).
Watch out for in-form turn-of-foot types at 7f; they can be hot when conditions align.
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Each-Way Angles (10 runners)
Chantez – consistent stalker with proven G3 level; trades like a solid place spine.
Queen Of Thunder – tactically suited if they dawdle; can nab a frame at a price.
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Private Tissue (Raceform Data)
Copacabana Sands 3/1 (25%)
Princess Child 4/1 (20%)
Celestial Orbit 6/1 (14%)
Chantez 7/1 (12%)
Queen Of Thunder 10/1 (9%)
Mataariki 12/1 (7%)
Mallavelly 20/1 (4%)
Germanese 25/1 (3%)
Fingerpaint 25/1 (3%)
Sweet Chariot 40/1 (2%)
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start (e.g., lightly raced improvers) and those off a break.
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Summary & Smart Play
Set-up: Even pace; handy stalkers with a late kick have the edge at 7f110y here. Classy 3yo form is strong this season.
Smart Play
Win — COPACABANA SANDS: dual stakes scorer at 7f with the best blend of class, tactically perfect run style, and recent potency.
Each-way saver — CHANTEZ: reliable G3 filly to run to her mark and hit the frame.
Cover (exotics) — CELESTIAL ORBIT: if tuned up, her 7f class edge makes her dangerous late.
16:00 Tipperary — Coolmore Stud No Nay Never Fairy Bridge Stakes (Group 3) 7f110y, Good
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