Pace: Extreme — a stack of trailblazers (Two Stars, Powerful Nation, Grande Marques, Harry’s Hill, Valiant Force) should force a savage gallop.
Draw: Against low historically; pace down the middle/high likely to tow closers in.

Pace & Tactical Angles

This track/trip often rewards speed-on-speed, but with this many going forward the late kick should be decisive.

Specific hint backs that view: strong pace against Two Stars, in favour of Songhai.

Ideal profile: mid-div/held-up with proven 5f punch and ability to handle a dip in the ground.



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Strongest Contenders

SONGHAI (14) – Progressive closer (Promising)
Rock-solid G3/LR form at 5f this summer; unlucky/lively late at Deauville and strong in the Sapphire. Handles all ground, relaxes, and today’s meltdown sets up perfectly.

VALIANT FORCE (7) – Classy danger (Proven)
Smart AW wins and still has back-class; can sit just off the speed if asked. If ridden with a slight lift off the gas early, major threat late despite usually being on or near it.

KING CUAN (6) – Class edge, drop to 5f
High-quality 6–7f colt dropping to a burn-up 5f. If he travels within striking range, his class turn can tell the last 100y.

FREGADA (12) – Unexposed 3yo (Promising)
Only two runs; quickened nicely on return and open to a chunk of improvement. Strong pace should help her settle and finish.

FANDOM (4) – Wildcard fresh
US-listed winner; off 385 days/new yard but possesses tactical speed and a sharp finish. If ready, he fits this set-up.

POWERFUL NATION (2) – Listed winner over 5f; last run a forgive. Pace scenario asks him to rate rather than blaze; place claims if ridden cute.


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Hold-Up / On-Speed Notes

Two Stars: terrific mare but free-going front-runner; today’s projected war is a tactical negative.

Grande Marques / Harry’s Hill: likely pace casualties if they lock horns too long.

Stella Alpina: made-all C&D maiden; this is much deeper and the heat up front is fierce.



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Runner Scores (suitability today)

Songhai: 8.5/10 – Peak set-up for her closing style; solid Listed/G3 base.

Valiant Force: 8/10 – Classy; wants a tow then pounce.

King Cuan: 7.5/10 – Class drop to 5f okay in a burnout.

Fregada: 7.5/10 – Big upside; strong pace ideal.

Fandom: 7/10 – If fit, right tools.

Powerful Nation: 7/10 – Needs to measure the pace; place player.

Erosandpsyche: 6/10 – On-speed style a worry, but ability there.

Bounty: 6/10 – Talented but long layoff; place at best first run back.

Navassa Island: 5.5/10 – Deep closer; needs lucky splits.

Two Stars: 6/10 on ability, downgraded by pace.

Others (Billie Be Quick, Harry’s Hill, Grande Marques, Realtin Fantasy, Stella Alpina): 4.5–5.5/10 – pace/draw/class queries.


> Keep an eye on the market for runners off 90+ days (notably Fandom, Bounty).
Watch out for quick returners in hot form; they can carry it into Listed sprints.




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Each-Way Angles (15 runners)

FREGADA (12) — unexposed with a turn; strong pace brings her right into the places.

KING CUAN (6) — class runner who can finish if they overcook it.



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Private Tissue (Raceform Data)

Songhai 4/1 (20%)

Valiant Force 6/1 (14%)

King Cuan 13/2 (13%)

Two Stars 13/2 (13%)

Fregada 8/1 (11%)

Fandom 10/1 (9%)

Powerful Nation 12/1 (7%)

Erosandpsyche 20/1 (4%)

Bounty 20/1 (4%)

Navassa Island 25/1 (3%)

Others 25–66/1 (≤3%)
Market watch advised for second-start types and those returning from layoffs.



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Summary & Smart Play

Set-up: Red-hot fractions point to a closer’s race.
Smart Play

Win — SONGHAI: profile, form, and pace map scream “go day”.

Each-way — FREGADA: lightly raced 3yo, big upside at the trip with pace to chase.

Saver — VALIANT FORCE: class danger if ridden to pounce rather than duel.