Pace: Even. Prominent racers are normally favoured here and, with no guaranteed burn-up, sitting handy should be a plus.
Draw: Against low historically — middle/high often obtain cleaner runs into the long home straight.

Pace & Draw Angles (what matters today)

Expect an even gallop with several who can go forward (Western Dreamer, Blackjack Hills, Cowzer Soze, Sottsands (res)).

Handy stalkers from middle/high are best placed; deep closers may need luck in a big field.

Specific hint aligns: Shuyak should be better served by today’s pace/track pattern than Miss Americana (who is more of a late kicker).



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Strongest Contenders

JASMINE AFFANALIS (2) – Proven/Progressive
Two solid handicap seconds this summer; travels and keeps finding. Apprentice claim helps; shape of the race (sit 3rd–6th, angle out) looks ideal.

SHUYAK (16) – Interesting Prominent Angle
Best run yet when 4th of 16 at Gowran, doing best of the closers. Can race a touch handier and today’s set-up (handy > hold-up) upgrades him.

PETITE MADAME (15) – Promising
Took a step forward when 2nd over 7.5f here; extra yardage should suit on breeding. Still a maiden but trending the right way.

MISS AMERICANA (13) – Late Threat (Hold-Up Risk)
Clear personal best when finishing off strongly at Naas (10.5f). Back a furlong and a big field: needs rhythm and luck, but ability is there.

MS OLIVIA (9) – Dark Horse
Comeback 6th here reads better than bare form; fitter now and bred to stay 9f. Can sit midfield and sneak into the frame.


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Runner Scores (suitability today)

Jasmine Affanalis: 7.5/10 — Rock-solid recent efforts; handy run likely.

Shuyak: 7/10 — Profile upgraded by set-up; needs clean break.

Petite Madame: 7/10 — Going the right way; trip could unlock more.

Miss Americana: 6.5/10 — Talent noted; hold-up risk in a big field.

Ms Olivia: 6.5/10 — Fitness angle; place player.

Monroe Dasher: 6/10 — Unexposed; may improve now handicapping.

Cowzer Soze: 6/10 — Can go forward; raw but draw/pace could help.

Blackjack Hills: 5.5/10 — Pace angle; slow starts a worry.

No More Kisses: 5/10 — Limited so far; extra trip might help a little.

Reponse Finale (res): 5/10 — Wide/late last time; needs everything to fall right if getting a run.

Sottsands (res): 5/10 — Prominent style in his favour; form tailing off.

Western Dreamer: 5/10 — On-speed; stamina/finish a question late.

Beat The Devil: 4.5/10 — Modest; late style not ideal.

Sea View Lady: 4.5/10 — Needs big step forward.

Mataariki/Le Fleur Princess/Copper Craft/Real Petite/Oreeda: 4–4.5/10 — More needed on balance of form.


> Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form types turning out quickly; they can be hot.




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Each-Way Angles (19 runners)

Shuyak — Profile upgrade on today’s set-up; appeals EW at double-figure odds.

Ms Olivia — Likely improver second-up; workable mark and trip.



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Private Tissue (Raceform Data)

Jasmine Affanalis 9/2 (18%)

Shuyak 11/2 (16%)

Miss Americana 13/2 (12%)

Petite Madame 6/1 (11%)

Ms Olivia 11/1 (8%)

Reponse Finale (res) 16/1 (6%)

Monroe Dasher 18/1 (5%)

Cowzer Soze 22/1 (4%)

Blackjack Hills 22/1 (4%)

No More Kisses 33/1 (3%)

Sottsands (res) 50/1 (2%)

Arizona Robbins (res) 66/1 (1.5%)

Sea View Lady 66/1 (1.5%)

Beat The Devil 40/1 (2%)

Oreeda 80/1 (1%)

Le Fleur Princess 80/1 (1%)

Real Petite 80/1 (1%)

Copper Craft 66/1 (1%)

Western Dreamer 66/1 (1.5%)
Reserves only count if they get in.



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Summary & Smart Play

Set-up: Even pace; prominent/mid-div from middle-to-high best placed. Late closers need luck.

Smart Play

Win — JASMINE AFFANALIS: consistent, tactically versatile, and well set to track the pace and strike.

Each-Way — SHUYAK: upgraded by the pace/track bias; form says he’s close to landing one.

Small saver — MISS AMERICANA: if they over-do it or the field parts late, she’ll be finishing.