Here is a chronological analysis and assessment of the TimeWise top two rated horses for each race at Carlisle:

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2.00 AJA Novice Flat Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Poetic Force (IRE) – Total 233
  2. Jewel Maker (IRE) – Total 203

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Poetic Force (IRE): This 11-year-old horse, ridden by Mr Charles Carroll and trained by A Carroll (61% winning-run rate in the last 14 days), has an Official Rating (OR) of 59, a Topspeed (TS) of 37, and a Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 47. Poetic Force’s most recent odds are 100-30 (3.50 according to TimeWise). He secured his 17th career win at Brighton over 1m on good to firm ground last month and followed up with a good second over 7f, 12 days later. His season’s form figures are an impressive 533414412, making him a respected contender as he steps back up in trip. The spotlight verdict highlights him as an “admirable veteran” and a main threat.
  • Jewel Maker (IRE): A 10-year-old, this horse is trained by T Easterby (54% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and will be ridden by Miss Rebecca Burley (claiming 3lb). His OR is 59, TS is 40, and RPR is 50. Jewel Maker’s odds are 4-1 (6.50 according to TimeWise). This ten-time winner is considered to be on a dangerous mark. In his most recent outing, he had little luck when finishing fifth in a similar race at Thirsk (1m, good) on Friday, where he was the 3-1 favourite. Despite this being his third run in ten days, he has demonstrated wins on both good to firm and heavy ground, indicating versatility. He remains a possibility if he gets a clear run. The spotlight verdict makes him the preferred choice in this open race.

2.30 PricedUp EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Hardy’s Hero – Total 292
  2. Bushwacker (IRE) – Total 245

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Hardy’s Hero: This 2-year-old colt, trained by W Haggas (76% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Cieren Fallon, has a TS of 49 and an RPR of 84. His odds are 6-4 (3.75 according to TimeWise). As a New Bay colt and a half-brother to two Group 1 winners, he is well-bred. After a green performance on his Newbury debut in June, he significantly improved to win convincingly at Haydock (6f, good to firm) last month. Despite carrying a penalty, he sets a high standard and is expected to show further progress. The spotlight verdict “strongly respected” Hardy’s Hero.
  • Bushwacker (IRE): Trained by K Burke (67% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Sam James, this 2-year-old has a TS of 60 and an RPR of 76. His odds are 9-2 (8.00 according to TimeWise). As a 155,000euros yearling, he showed initial promise with a fourth-place finish in a 15-runner race at Thirsk (6f, good to firm) last month, after a low-key debut in July. He was well-backed for that Thirsk race, suggesting he is expected to improve. He remains a contender, especially with the potential for further progress as he drops in trip.

3.00 pricedup.bet Handicap

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Territorial Knight – Total 298
  2. Pal Joey – Total 277

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Territorial Knight: A 3-year-old trained by K A Ryan (38% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Tom Eaves, he carries an OR of 85, a TS of 86, and an RPR of 94. His odds are 4-1 (5.50 according to TimeWise). He performed well in two large-field handicaps at York in June and achieved a personal best by winning at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) in July with a strong late surge. Despite a 3lb rise, his versatility on different ground conditions makes him a respected horse. The spotlight verdict singles him out as the “nap” (best bet).
  • Pal Joey: This 3-year-old, trained by B Haslam (0% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Callum Rodriguez, has an OR of 78, a TS of 77, and an RPR of 95. His odds are 4-1 (7.00 according to TimeWise). After inconsistent form in novice/maiden races, he made an immediate impact in handicaps with a 10-1 victory at Haydock (6f, good) in July. He is still unexposed and is expected to show further progress, despite a 3lb rise in grade. The spotlight verdict acknowledges him as a respected contender.

3.30 PricedUp Daily Sports Boosts Handicap

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Canaria Queen – Total 243
  2. Brian The Snail (IRE) – Total 228

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Canaria Queen: This 5-year-old, trained by T Easterby (54% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Duran Fentiman, has an OR of 54, a TS of 57, and an RPR of 65. Her odds are 4-1 (4.33 according to TimeWise). She ended a long losing streak with a win at Nottingham (5f, good) last month, following up with another handicap victory at Ripon. Although she finished third at Ripon subsequently behind a resurgent Class 5 rival, she remains well-treated on past form and is respected after being dropped in grade. The spotlight verdict identifies her as the most feared contender.
  • Brian The Snail (IRE): An 11-year-old, this horse is trained by P Morris (50% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Warren Fentiman (claiming 5lb). He has an OR of 55, a TS of 55, and an RPR of 66. His odds are 7-2 (4.50 according to TimeWise). Brian The Snail achieved his 14th career win at Wolverhampton in April and has been runner-up in his last two starts at Redcar (6f, good/good to firm). He remains well-treated, but a concern is his lack of recent runs on slow ground, which could be an issue if rain arrives. The spotlight verdict notes his claims if he continues his good form.

4.05 PricedUp Pushes Nursery Handicap

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Awraad (IRE) – Total 333
  2. Ice Sovereigns (IRE) – Total 297

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Awraad (IRE): This 2-year-old filly, trained by G Tutty (67% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Connor Beasley, has an OR of 75, a TS of 65, and an RPR of 88. Her odds are 2-1 (3.25 according to TimeWise). She won on her Pontefract debut in April. After a break, she rallied to finish fifth in a large York nursery (6f, good to firm) last month and then showed further progress by taking second in a Listed race at Ripon (6f, good). Being only 1lb higher than her York run, this unexposed filly is a strong contender on her return to nursery handicaps. The spotlight verdict rates her as the preferred choice.
  • Ice Sovereigns (IRE): A 2-year-old, trained by Charlie Johnston (55% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Jason Hart, she has an OR of 81, a TS of 59, and an RPR of 80. Her odds are 11-4 (4.00 according to TimeWise). She improved on her debut with a promising third at Goodwood (7f, heavy) in July and easily won a C&D novice race (good) last month. Although this is a tougher assignment off her opening handicap mark, she is well-bred and has potential for further improvement, making her a respected entry on her nursery debut. The spotlight verdict considers her the second most feared contender after Awraad.

4.37 pricedup.bet Boosts Handicap

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Orangesandlemons – Total 276
  2. In A Hurry – Total 272

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Orangesandlemons: This 3-year-old filly, trained by E Bethell (31% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Callum Rodriguez, has an OR of 75, a TS of 65, and an RPR of 86. Her odds are 13-2 (8.00 according to TimeWise). She finished runner-up at this track on her first two turf starts (1m, good to soft and 7f, soft) and had a respectable run at Doncaster in July. The blinkers she wore previously will be replaced by cheekpieces for this race, and rain would be beneficial for her chances. The spotlight verdict places her as the second choice.
  • In A Hurry: A 3-year-old, trained by D O’Meara (57% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Daniel Tudhope, she has an OR of 73, a TS of 72, and an RPR of 83. Her odds are 7-1 (7.00 according to TimeWise). Known as a prominent racer, she achieved her maiden win over 7f at Thirsk (good) in June and maintained similar form on her handicap debut at Catterick 54 days ago. She has potential for further improvement, but significant rain could be a factor as she is unraced on ground slower than good. The spotlight verdict mentions her as part of a “strong hand” for the 3-year-olds.

5.07 PricedUp Handicap (A Jockey Club Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (Div I)

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Milteye – Total 259
  2. Sonic Pioneer – Total 234

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Milteye: A 5-year-old trained by H Bethell (67% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Cam Hardie, he has an OR of 70, a TS of 62, and an RPR of 79. His odds are 5-2 (3.00 according to TimeWise). He has been consistently placed in all six starts for his current yard this season, including a win in a 15-runner C&D handicap in July off a 3lb lower mark, and a close third at Beverley (1m2f, soft) in his only subsequent start. He is considered a solid contender. The spotlight verdict names him as the “nap” (best bet) due to ideal conditions.
  • Sonic Pioneer: This 3-year-old, trained by J Morland (43% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Daniel Tudhope, has an OR of 69, a TS of 58, and an RPR of 74. His odds are 100-30 (4.50 according to TimeWise). His only win came off a 9lb lower mark at Wolverhampton (8.5f) in February. He has also achieved two runner-up finishes in his three turf starts, including at Epsom (8.5f, good) last month, making him an interesting prospect. The spotlight verdict places him as a strong contender to Milteye.

5.37 PricedUp Handicap (A Jockey Club Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (Div II)

TimeWise Top Two Rated:

  1. Jez Bomb – Total 286
  2. Shine On Brendan (IRE) – Total 245

Analysis and Assessment:

  • Jez Bomb: A 4-year-old trained by S England (80% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by Shane Gray, he has an OR of 69, a TS of 67, and an RPR of 77. His odds are 3-1 (4.33 according to TimeWise). Most of his turf performances have been on good or good to firm ground. He scored at Thirsk in April and has recently shown prime form with narrow wins over 1m at Doncaster and Thirsk. Despite an additional 3lb, he remains well-treated and is respected in his hat-trick bid. The spotlight verdict respects him.
  • Shine On Brendan (IRE): This 8-year-old, trained by J Goldie (58% winning-run rate in the last 14 days) and ridden by P J McDonald, has an OR of 66, a TS of 60, and an RPR of 74. His odds are 8-1 (6.50 according to TimeWise). He concluded last season with wins at Hamilton (8.3f, soft) and Ayr (1m, good). While his form this year has been mixed, he is back on his last winning mark and finished runner-up at Hamilton in his most recent outing. He handles soft ground, making him a possibility if rain arrives. The spotlight verdict considers him a likely danger to the selection.

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