Pace & Draw
- Likely pace: honest-to-strong. Natural trailblazers/pressers include V Twelve, Ebony Maw, and Bollin Neil; Trojan Sun can be handy. That should ensure a fair test up the hill.
- Draw: over 1m5f here the draw is minor; inside saves ground (Stalls 1–4 handy if they hold a position). With a long run before the first turn, high draws can slot in if they break cleanly.
Shortlist
Proven/Progressive/Promising tags included
Strongest contenders
- Billy No Mates (8/10) – Proven. Triple C&D winner, best figures with cut, ticking over well this summer; honest pace suits his late grind. OR 64 workable.
- V Twelve (8/10) – Proven. 131 at Hamilton; makes own running and stays well. Up in grade from am races but track craft a plus.
- Naturalia (7.5/10) – Progressive. Ayr 1m5f winner; reliable this summer, handles ground, still on a fair mark.
- Noss Mayo (7.5/10) – Promising (3yo). Sharpening since up in trip; getting weight; Bethell/CRod a positive; unexposed at staying trips.
Main dangers
- Perseus Way (7/10) – Interesting drop. Sea The Stars gelding, best recent Flat run staying on over 12f; class drop, low draw, Tudhope—could step forward at this trip.
- Ebony Maw (7/10) – Course style fit if dominating. Two 1m5f Ayr wins this term; better when bossing—here the lead is contested, so may need to settle for stalking.
Interesting outsiders
- Bollin Neil (7/10) – Proven stayer. In good nick; won 1m6f at Catterick and keeps running well. Up in class but ground/stamina ideal; can nick a place.
- Alnayef (6.5/10) – Class drop. Mixed 2025, reported to have bled latest; from stall 1 and down in grade, stays at least 1m4f—capable if back to early-season promise.
- Trojan Sun (6/10) – Track question. Musselburgh specialist; Hamilton not his A-track but strong pace/ground OK from a workable mark.
Runner Scores & Suitability
- Billy No Mates – 8.5/10: Triple C&D, relishes some ease, strong pace ideal. Hold-up risk: mild (needs a gap).
- V Twelve – 8/10: Hamilton record 131; front-runner; stays. Draw 14 means a bit of work to cross.
- Naturalia – 7.5/10: Reliable filly, 1m5f win, ground fine; should keep finding.
- Noss Mayo – 7.5/10: Unexposed 3yo stayer, improving since up in trip; WFA handy.
- Perseus Way – 7/10: Class relief, strong finisher type; trip should suit; needs to back it up.
- Ebony Maw – 7/10: In form, best when dominating; pace pressure a slight negative.
- Bollin Neil – 7/10: Rock-solid stayer in form; class rise but ticking plenty of boxes.
- Alnayef – 6.5/10: Down in class, stamina fine; health note a concern; inside draw a plus.
- Trojan Sun – 6/10: Best at Muss; still competitive at the trip if things fall right.
- Mr Withington – 6/10: Lightly raced improver; up in trip could unlock more; still learning.
- Crystal Guard – 5.5/10: In form in C6; up a notch and stamina OK; place squeak.
- Tracker Issue – 5.5/10: Irish maiden form OK; up in trip; unknown ceiling; watch market.
- Brunello Breeze – 4.5/10: Better AW horse; turf 0/17; others stronger.
- Fourofakind – 3.5/10: Recent Flat run poor; better over hurdles; stamina adequate but questions.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters/stayers returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (14 runners)
- Noss Mayo – unexposed 3yo with a place-friendly profile if she stays strongly.
- Bollin Neil – hardened stayer, handles ground, very solid recent efforts.
Private Tissue (fair odds)
- Billy No Mates 9/2 (15%)
- V Twelve 11/2 (13%)
- Naturalia 13/2 (12%)
- Noss Mayo 7/1 (11%)
- Perseus Way 9/1 (9%)
- Ebony Maw 10/1 (8%)
- Alnayef 12/1 (7%)
- Trojan Sun 14/1 (6%)
- Bollin Neil 14/1 (6%)
- Crystal Guard 22/1 (4%)
- Mr Withington 22/1 (4%)
- Tracker Issue 33/1 (3%)
- Brunello Breeze 66/1 (1.5%)
- Fourofakind 66/1 (1.5%)
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)
Strong pace looks likely, which brings stamina and course know-how to the fore. That leans the race towards the C&D grinder Billy No Mates, with V Twelve the main pace danger if he controls things, and Naturalia/Noss Mayo the progressive/weight-angled threats. Perseus Way is a sleeper on the class drop.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Billy No Mates – C&D credentials, ground/pace setup ideal off a workable mark.
- Each-way saver: Noss Mayo – unexposed 3yo stepping forward at staying trips; receives weight and shapes like she’ll see this out.
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