Pace & Draw Angles
- Likely pace: Strong. Try Storm Cat, Sunny Smile, Victor Cee and Better And Better all like being handy/leading. Could set it up for a strong finisher.
- Draw: On easing ground at Hamilton 6f, being middle-to-high can be a plus towards the stands’ side late. Victor Cee (8) and Soca Star (7) well berthed; Better And Better (1) has a potential draw negative if they gravitate stands’ side.
Strongest Contenders
Proven/Progressive
- Victor Cee (8) – Progressive. Off the mark over C&D (RPR 88) when unchallenged; earlier soft second over 5f and Newcastle 3rd frank the level. Looks to relish this stiff 6f, drawn high for a tow. Pace versatile.
- Better And Better (1) – Progressive. Ascot Listed midfield (Windsor Castle) reads well; slick Haydock 6f nursery win then solid York C2 run. Notebook says more to come, shapes like 7f in time. Topweight but earned it; only niggle is low draw in a likely stands’-side race.
- Awaafi (5) – Promising/strong finisher. Stiff-track winner here (5f) and stayed on strongly at Haydock 6f; 7f at Newmarket stretched her. Back to 6f, bit of cut suits. Filly against colts but mark looks workable.
Main Dangers
- Soca Star (7) – Proven at the level, consistent. String of 80s RPRs, shaped like 6f would suit when finishing well here over 5f; good draw and should be finishing if the leaders overcook it. Yard a touch cold.
- Try Storm Cat (3) – Front-runner with solid 6f form (RPR 87), but flopped at Goodwood on gs and faces multiple pace rivals here. Could be softened up late.
- Sunny Smile (6) – Made all in a Hamilton maiden (gelded prior) but couldn’t dominate on nursery debut. With pace pressure today, may not get his own way.
Interesting Outsiders
- Go Vince Go (2) – Big step forward when 2nd here over 6f (RPR 88), York C2 nursery run forgivable in a hotter heat. Low draw not ideal but has been finishing better; could outrun odds if tracking the right lane.
- Ice Cold Alex (4) – 5f profile; strong nursery second here over 5f. Stiff 6f might stretch him late, though rain takes some speed out of it.
Runner Scores /10 (suitability snapshot)
- Victor Cee – 8.5/10 (C&D winner, handles cut, great draw; pace versatile)
- Better And Better – 8/10 (Classy profile, strong finisher; draw 1 a negative)
- Awaafi – 7.5/10 (Stiff finish ideal, back to 6f; filly vs colts but ground helps)
- Soca Star – 7/10 (Consistent and drawn right; yard form a slight drag)
- Try Storm Cat – 6.5/10 (Speedy but pace clash/gs query)
- Sunny Smile – 6/10 (Needs soft lead; unlikely scenario)
- Ice Cold Alex – 6/10 (Honest; 6f stamina on climb is the worry)
- Go Vince Go – 5.5/10 (Capable; low draw and needs a clean tow)
“Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.”
“Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.”
Each-Way Angles (8 runners)
- Soca Star (7) – Each-way if 7/1+ given draw/pace setup and reliable 80s RPR base.
- Go Vince Go (2) – Value each-way at double-figures; course second two back suggests upside if they stay middle.
Private Tissue (my prices)
- Victor Cee 3/1 (25%)
- Better And Better 7/2 (22%)
- Awaafi 5/1 (16%)
- Soca Star 8/1 (11%)
- Try Storm Cat 10/1 (8%)
- Sunny Smile 12/1 (7%)
- Ice Cold Alex 14/1 (6%)
- Go Vince Go 16/1 (5%)
“Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.”
Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)
Plenty of pace on in a stiff 6f on easing ground. High draws favored if they edge stands’ side late. That tilts it toward a stalk-and-pounce from the high numbers.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Victor Cee – C&D, handles cut, ideal draw, progressive, and pace doesn’t trap him.
- Each-way saver: Soca Star – Rock-solid figures, drawn high, promises to see out 6f strongly in a pace burn.
Shortlist order: Victor Cee > Better And Better > Awaafi > Soca Star.
Leave a comment