Pace & Draw angles: Kempton 6f turns quickly; low-to-middle stalls are a plus, especially for pace/pressers who can hold the rail. Expect an even-to-solid pace with Glamour Show and Court Drive likely handy; Improve Your Move can be prominent; Powdering/Thursday’s Child typically ridden colder. Wide berths (7–9) risk covering extra ground if they don’t break.

(Non-runner: Lady Wingalong.)

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Strongest contenders & angles

• Court Drive (Proven/Progressive) – draw 2; thriving, Kempton 6f winner (Jan, strong time), just scored at 6f on turf; 5lb claim a big help. Up in class but setup screams “go day” (ideal C&D, low draw, pace handy).
• Maui Breeze (Promising/Unexposed 3yo) – Lightly raced; AW winner; returns to 6f after fair efforts; yard hot. Middle draw (5) perfect to track pace.
• Scarboroughwarning (Proven/Consistent) – Reliable at the trip; close seconds/thirds in C4 this summer; can finish off strongly. Draw 6 fine if she breaks.
• Thursday’s Child (Proven/Well-handicapped) – Eyecatcher over this C&D (3 Jul); mark unchanged/benign, Crowley up; draw 7 a touch sticky but finishing kick fits an even pace.

Main dangers / risks:

• Powdering (Proven) – Rock-solid AW profile and big C&D 3rd in May; but OR 79/outer stall 8 leaves her vulnerable to a handier/lower-drawn improver.
• Glamour Show (Proven) – C&D winner in March; form tailing off since and can over-race. Still, draw 4 + prominent ride = place chance if settling.
• Deadly Kiss (Promising?) – 3yo; good yard debut second then bombed latest; wide stall 9 and AW unknown: volatile.
• Improve Your Move (Interesting outsider) – Step forward here LTO (4th); draw 3 and Egan are positives; up in grade but a sneaky rail-stalker angle.
• Fabuleuse – Long absence/unknown UK AW level; needs the run.

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Runner scores (suitability today)

• Court Drive – 8.5/10: Low draw, pace-fit, in form; only question is class hike.
• Maui Breeze – 8/10: Unexposed 3yo with AW win; ideal berth; needs to confirm punch at 6f in stronger C4.
• Scarboroughwarning – 7.5/10: Consistent; workable draw; slight worry about late kick vs better-positioned rivals.
• Thursday’s Child – 7.5/10: Mark workable, big C&D eyecatcher; needs clean trip from 7.
• Glamour Show – 6.5/10: C&D winner + draw 4; form dip and keenness are concerns.
• Powdering – 6.5/10: Honest mare; outer stall + high mark blunt edge at 6f.
• Improve Your Move – 6/10: Rail, rider, recent uptick; class rise the ask.
• Deadly Kiss – 5.5/10: Profile messy; wide; second start for yard could rebound, but risk-heavy.
• Fabuleuse – 3/10: Fitness/level unknown after long break.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Each-way angles (9 runners)

• Thursday’s Child – EW credentials: fair mark, strong C&D run hidden in the figures, capable finisher if they overdo it.
• Scarboroughwarning – Super-consistent; solid place base if she breaks and latches onto the right tow.
• Value lurker: Improve Your Move from stall 3 at a price.

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Private tissue (my prices)

• Court Drive 3/1
• Maui Breeze 7/2
• Scarboroughwarning 5/1
• Thursday’s Child 11/2
• Glamour Show 8/1
• Powdering 8/1
• Improve Your Move 12/1
• Deadly Kiss 14/1
• Fabuleuse 25/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start (e.g., Deadly Kiss for this yard) – big moves can be informative.

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Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

This should be shaped by pace from the inside: Court Drive and Glamour Show well drawn to boss the turn, with Maui Breeze stalking. Powdering/Thursday’s Child need to slot from wider and time their runs. Given the course bias and current form, the most “aligned” profile is the in-form, well-drawn Court Drive with claim.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Court Drive – low draw, pace/track fit, arrives thriving; 5lb off softens the class rise.
• Each-way saver: Thursday’s Child – C&D eyecatcher, strong late fractions, capable of landing place money and nicking it if gaps appear.

(If prices shorten on Court Drive, Maui Breeze is the unexposed alternative from a sweet berth.)