3.40 attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (GBBPlus Race) (Class 4) (1m 4f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Sibling Rivelry
- TimeWise Total: 290
- Odds: 3.50
- Analysis: Sibling Rivelry is a 3-year-old filly carrying 8st 12lb. Trained by D Simcock, whose yard has a 57% rate of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She runs with a “Held up” style. She has an Official Rating (OR) of 67 and a master Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 83. Having raced just 13 days ago, she is progressing rapidly, securing wins at Southwell (1m, AW) and then overcoming adversity on her turf/handicap debut at Goodwood (1m4f). The “Spotlight Verdict” describes her Goodwood win as “quite impressive” despite a difficult hand and suggests she has a good chance of completing a hat-trick, coping with a 5lb rise.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Team Player
- TimeWise Total: 285
- Odds: 3.75
- Analysis: Team Player is a 3-year-old carrying 9st 5lb. Trained by G Tutty, with a very high 70% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. This horse presses leaders (“P” running style). He has an OR of 74 and a master RPR of 81. His last race was 16 days ago. He began his time with the current yard with a win at Chester (about 1m4f) in July and has since performed well at Ascot and Wolverhampton (1m4f, AW). The “Spotlight Verdict” indicates he is “likely to be involved”.
- Assessment: Sibling Rivelry holds the top TimeWise rating and is backed by a strong recent form and a positive “Spotlight Verdict” predicting a hat-trick. Team Player is also in excellent form with a high-performing trainer. Both are strong contenders, but Sibling Rivelry appears to have a slight edge due to her rapid progression and ability to handle challenging race conditions.
4.10 At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap (Class 6) (2m (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Double Meaning
- TimeWise Total: 251
- Odds: 2.38
- Analysis: Double Meaning is a 3-year-old carrying 9st 11lb. Trained by J Berry, who has an 80% strike rate for runners to form in the last 14 days. He runs in a “Midfield” style (“M”). His OR is 69, but he is due an 11lb rise. He last ran 10 days ago. He showed improved form on handicap debut at Doncaster (1m4f) in July and then “romped away” over 1m6f on Southwell AW. He is considered “5lb well in under a penalty” and is expected to cope with the increased distance. The “Spotlight Verdict” highlights that he “outclassed his rivals” and will be racing off a “much higher mark in the future”, giving him an “obvious chance”.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Beggarman
- TimeWise Total: 239
- Odds: 3.00
- Analysis: Beggarman is an 8-year-old carrying 10st 2lb. Trained by H Morrison, with 63% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He runs with a “Held up” style (“H”). His OR is 64. He last raced 50 days ago. He has four previous wins on Polytrack and has been in “fine form on turf of late”, winning at Ffos Las (1m6f, 2m). He has won off higher marks in the past and is “sure to go well in his current form”. The “Spotlight Verdict” notes he has “nothing to prove on the AW”.
- Assessment: Double Meaning is the top TimeWise rated and is a highly promising contender, benefiting significantly from being “well in” on current weights due to an impending re-evaluation. Beggarman has strong form on Polytrack and turf, but Double Meaning’s potential advantage makes him the more compelling winning chance.
4.43 Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap (Class 6) (1m 2f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Sansanetti
- TimeWise Total: 251
- Odds: 2.10
- Analysis: Sansanetti is a 3-year-old filly carrying 9st 3lb. Trained by S C Williams, with 62% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She presses leaders (“P” running style). Her OR is 55 and master RPR is 69. She last raced 21 days ago. She showed significant improvement upon her handicap debut over 1m2f on Chelmsford Polytrack, followed by a turf win, and was narrowly defeated back at Chelmsford three weeks ago. The “Spotlight Verdict” notes she was “only just denied” recently and “still has some scope for improvement”.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Harlington
- TimeWise Total: 230
- Odds: 6.00
- Analysis: Harlington is a 4-year-old carrying 9st 11lb. Trained by J Tickle, with 29% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He presses leaders (“P” running style). His OR is 57 and master RPR is 67. He last raced 20 days ago. He has previous wins at Wolverhampton (1m1f and 1m4f) and recently won his first turf race at Chepstow (1m2f) in July. He is “of interest back on AW”. The “Spotlight Verdict” suggests he “underperformed at Epsom recently but he’s of more interest back on the AW” and “could be the main danger to Sansanetti”.
- Assessment: Sansanetti is the top TimeWise rated horse and is strongly positioned given her recent progression and consistency on AW. Harlington is a credible rival on AW form, but Sansanetti’s current momentum makes her the more likely winner.
5.18 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 / EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Class 5) (7f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Akho Mezzna
- TimeWise Total: 277
- Odds: 3.50
- Analysis: Akho Mezzna is a 2-year-old colt carrying 9st 7lb. Trained by J Jones, with 40% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He runs with a “Held up” style (“H”). His master RPR is 82. He last raced 19 days ago. He has finished second in both starts this summer (6f and 7f, both good to firm), achieving RPRs in the mid-70s. The “Spotlight Verdict” notes he has “leading form claims but others could be open to greater progress”.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Toastmaster
- TimeWise Total: 242
- Odds: 5.50
- Analysis: Toastmaster is a 2-year-old colt carrying 9st 7lb. Trained by S & E Crisford, with a strong 67% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He runs with a “Led” style (“L”). His master RPR is 81. He last raced 25 days ago. He made a “pleasing start” on his Wolverhampton debut (6f) last month, running on well. The “Spotlight Verdict” identifies him as the “nap” for this race, stating that “stepping up in trip should be beneficial” and he is “more appealing than many”.
- Assessment: While Akho Mezzna has the highest TimeWise rating and consistent form, the “Spotlight Verdict” strongly favors Toastmaster as the “nap” due to his promising debut and the expectation that the increased distance will suit him. This suggests Toastmaster might offer better value for a win despite the slightly lower TimeWise rating.
5.50 Download The At The Races App Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) (Class 5) (1m (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Dreamasar
- TimeWise Total: 317
- Odds: 1.40
- Analysis: Dreamasar is a 3-year-old filly carrying 9st 2lb. Trained by E Walker, with 48% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She runs with a “Held up” style (“H”). Her master RPR is 95. She last raced 84 days ago. She is a half-sister to a Group 1 winner and showed “promising late headway” to finish third on her debut at Newbury (1m, good) behind a subsequent Listed winner. She “sets the standard and with improvement likely”. The “Spotlight Verdict” names her as the “nap”, stating that “none more so” than her are open to improvement.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Leeson Street
- TimeWise Total: 203
- Odds: 4.00
- Analysis: Leeson Street is a 3-year-old filly carrying 9st 2lb. Trained by A Haynes, with 50% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She presses leaders (“P” running style). Her master RPR is 82. She last raced 121 days ago. She performed creditably on her debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f), finishing fifth, beaten by under 2 lengths. Cheekpieces will be fitted for this race. The “Spotlight Verdict” considers her “next best on RPRs”.
- Assessment: Dreamasar is the highest TimeWise rated horse and is overwhelmingly the strongest candidate, possessing a superior pedigree, an impressive debut, and a clear endorsement from the “Spotlight Verdict” as the “nap”. Leeson Street, while having some promise, is significantly out-rated by Dreamasar.
6.20 Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap (Class 3) (5f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Moulin Booj
- TimeWise Total: 300
- Odds: 5.00
- Analysis: Moulin Booj is a 5-year-old gelding carrying 9st 6lb. Trained by G Scott, with 53% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He runs with a “Held up” style (“H”). His OR is 83 and master RPR is 96. He last raced 21 days ago. He won at Thirsk last month and followed with a “creditable effort” at Windsor. However, he has not been at his best in three previous runs at this course, and drawing the “widest stall tempers enthusiasm”.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Glamorous Breeze
- TimeWise Total: 278
- Odds: 7.00
- Analysis: Glamorous Breeze is a 7-year-old mare carrying 9st 8lb. Trained by C Mason, with an impressive 100% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She presses leaders (“P” running style). Her OR is 85 and master RPR is 97. She last raced 19 days ago. She has two wins this summer and performed well in a stronger Ascot handicap in July. Despite a recent dip in form, this race is “effectively a drop in grade”, and she is expected to be effective on AW.
- Assessment: While Moulin Booj is the top TimeWise rated horse, his poor draw is a notable concern. Glamorous Breeze, despite a slightly lower TimeWise rating, has a trainer with a perfect recent strike rate and is dropping in class, making her a strong contender. However, the “Spotlight Verdict” identifies Almaty Star (TimeWise rated 270, 4th highest) as the “nap” for this race, citing his excellent AW form, which should be considered as potentially overriding the top two TimeWise ratings.
6.50 Download The Raceday Ready App Fillies’ Handicap (Class 5) (7f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Little Keilee
- TimeWise Total: 260
- Odds: 3.00
- Analysis: Little Keilee is a 5-year-old mare carrying 9st 12lb. Trained by J Owen, with 55% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She leads (“L” running style). Her OR is 67 and master RPR is 78. She last raced 12 days ago. She is a three-time winner who has yet to win for her current trainer (0-8) but has shown “solid runs in defeat” in her last two 7f races. Two of her Irish wins were on Polytrack. The “Spotlight Verdict” names her as the “nap”, stating “This could be the day” she opens her account for James Owen.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Coma Cluster
- TimeWise Total: 226
- Odds: 9.00
- Analysis: Coma Cluster is a 3-year-old filly carrying 9st 9lb. Trained by G Boughey, with 39% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. She presses leaders (“P” running style). Her OR is 68 and master RPR is 74. She last raced 20 days ago. She is an eight-race maiden, but placed at Yarmouth (7f, good) with new headgear before finishing last at Epsom. She is “capable of a big run”.
- Assessment: Little Keilee is the top TimeWise rated horse and a strong favorite according to the “Spotlight Verdict”. Her consistency and suitability for Polytrack are significant advantages. Coma Cluster, an eight-race maiden with inconsistent form, appears to be a lesser threat.
7.20 Get Raceday Ready Handicap (Class 6) (6f (AW))
- Top TimeWise Rated (1st): Dancing With Drums
- TimeWise Total: 227
- Odds: 4.00
- Analysis: Dancing With Drums is a 3-year-old gelding carrying 9st 9lb. Trained by Martin Dunne, with a very strong 86% of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He runs with a “Midfield” style (“M”). His OR is 55 and master RPR is 65. He last raced 18 days ago and has been gelded since his last win. He won his handicap debut at Southwell (6f) with a strong late run, and his form has been “franked”. A 3lb rise is not considered excessive, and he is “thoroughly unexposed”. The “Spotlight Verdict” names him as the “nap”, suggesting he is “still learning his job” and could “keep ahead of the handicapper”.
- Second TimeWise Rated (2nd): Mister Sandman
- TimeWise Total: 216
- Odds: 8.00
- Analysis: Mister Sandman is a 3-year-old gelding carrying 9st 8lb. Trained by P Crate, who has a 0% rate of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. He presses leaders (“P” running style). His OR is 54 and master RPR is 64. He last raced 6 days ago. He showed “two encouraging efforts” on turf this summer (6f, good) but had a lesser run on soft ground in a Class 5 race recently. He should be better at this level, but the “widest draw isn’t ideal”.
- Assessment: Dancing With Drums is the top TimeWise rated horse and is the clear “nap” for this race, supported by recent winning form, an unexposed profile, and a trainer with excellent recent performance. Mister Sandman’s trainer’s poor recent record and a wide draw make him a less appealing option despite his TimeWise rating.
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