TimeWise ratings are sourced from “HorseRaceBase: UK & Irish Race Card Ratings, 4th Sep 2025”.

1.50 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 519 Fillies’ Handicap (Class 5)

Distance: 1m 3f (AW)

• 1. Bay Dream Believer (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 269
  • Details: This 6-year-old mare is trained by M Walford and ridden by Rhys Elliott (5). She carries 9st 3lb with an OR of 55. Her Topspeed is 17, RPR is 80, and master RPR is 71. She recently completed a 1m2f August hat-trick on fast turf, including shading a tight finish in an apprentice event at Ripon nine days ago. While her best finish in six AW starts is fourth, her current AW mark is adjusted to reflect this, suggesting she could be competitively weighted in this sphere.
  • Assessment: Bay Dream Believer arrives in excellent form following a hat-trick of turf wins. Although her AW record is less impressive, her current mark is accounted for, and her recent winning run suggests she could outperform her AW history. Her Topspeed and RPR figures indicate good ability.
• 2. Mystical Maria
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 250
  • Details: Mystical Maria is a 4-year-old filly, trained by R Fahey and ridden by Oisin Orr. She carries 9st 7lb with an OR of 59. Her Topspeed is 19, RPR is 72, and master RPR is 74. She recently justified market confidence by winning over 1m2f at Redcar 12 days ago, marking her second career win. She has also placed on Tapeta, indicating AW capability, and is expected to remain competitive despite a 2lb rise in weights. Her trainer, R Fahey, has a 56% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Mystical Maria is in good form after her recent win and has demonstrated ability on AW surfaces. Her trainer’s strong recent strike rate adds confidence, and she is expected to be a strong contender despite the minor weight penalty.

2.20 Join Southwell Golf Club Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5)

Distance: 6f (AW)

• 1. Inside Story (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 247
  • Details: This 2-year-old filly is trained by J Tate and ridden by Callum Shepherd. She carries 9st 2lb. Her Topspeed is 63, RPR is 86, and master RPR is 86. She has run twice over 6f, and her latest performance saw her push the subsequent Lowther fourth Dandana to a half-length on Kempton AW, which sets a clear form standard for this race. Her trainer has a 55% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Inside Story is a very strong contender with her impressive form on AW, particularly her close second to a high-class opponent. Her performance establishes her as the horse to beat, and with her trainer’s good recent record, she is highly likely to secure a win.
• 2. Moon Girl
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 210
  • Details: Moon Girl is a 2-year-old filly, trained by P D Evans and ridden by William Cox. She carries 9st 2lb. Her RPR is 61 and master RPR is 61. She was sent off at 100-1 at Ffos Las last week over 6f, where she was hampered at the start but kept on encouragingly. However, the spotlight suggests she might still find this race too tough. Her trainer has a 38% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Moon Girl showed some promise on debut by running on well despite a poor start. However, her long odds and the assessment that she might face a significant challenge indicate that she is unlikely to be a major factor against the stronger opposition in this maiden contest.

2.50 Free Bets On attheraces.com Nursery Handicap (Class 6)

Distance: 6f (AW)

• 1. Thehunnebelllegacy
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 229
  • Details: This 2-year-old is trained by R Fahey and ridden by Oisin Orr. She carries 9st 8lb with an OR of 59. Her Topspeed is 42, RPR is 59, and master RPR is 60. She showed modest form in 5f maidens and failed to improve when finishing third of eight on her handicap debut over C&D 18 days ago, where she hung left. Her trainer, R Fahey, has a 56% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Thehunnebelllegacy has exhibited modest form and needs to significantly improve, especially given her tendency to hang left on her last outing. While her trainer has a good strike rate, she faces a competitive field and needs a much-improved performance to contend for the win.
• 2. Davorge Nation (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 220
  • Details: Davorge Nation is a 2-year-old, trained by Declan Carroll and ridden by Zak Wheatley (3). She carries 9st 12lb with an OR of 63. Her RPR is 74 and master RPR is 74. She recently won decisively at Musselburgh (5f, good) eight days ago, pulling well clear of the rest, and is running under a penalty today. She is officially 2lb well in compared to her future mark, which is considered lenient. This will be her AW debut, and she needs to prove she can see out the extra furlong. Her trainer has a 46% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Davorge Nation is in excellent recent form with a strong win at Musselburgh, and despite the penalty, she remains favourably handicapped. The key questions are her ability to handle the AW surface and the step up in trip, but her recent performance suggests she has high potential.

3.20 Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap (Class 6)

Distance: 6f (AW)

• 1. Urban Dandy (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 228
  • Details: This 5-year-old gelding is trained by T Coyle & K Wood and ridden by David Nolan. He carries 9st 9lb with an OR of 52. His Topspeed is 37, RPR is 62, and master RPR is 62. He has a record of 3 wins from 40 starts (5f-1m), with his most recent win in a classified event at Newcastle (1m, AW) in March. He was runner-up in his next three starts but has been off since April. The spotlight suggests he may be best over a bit further nowadays and might find this 6f trip too sharp on his return. His trainers have a 0% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Urban Dandy has a decent AW record, but his return from a lengthy break since April is a concern. Furthermore, there are doubts about his suitability for this shorter 6f trip, as he may now prefer longer distances, and his trainers’ recent form is unconvincing.
• 2. Lady In Havana
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 209
  • Details: Lady In Havana is a 4-year-old mare, trained by Martin Dunne and ridden by Tom Eaves. She carries 9st 8lb with an OR of 51. Her Topspeed is 40, RPR is 47, and master RPR is 61. She has won twice at this course for David Loughnane (6f/7f). While she was beaten a neck at Brighton (6f, good to firm) in July, she ran below that level at Windsor (6f, good) 40 days ago. She now returns to AW with an each-way chance. Her trainer has an 86% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Lady In Havana holds strong claims due to her proven winning form at Southwell over similar distances. Despite mixed recent turf form, her return to AW and her trainer’s impressive recent strike rate make her a credible each-way contender.

3.55 At The Races App Expert Tips Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5)

Distance: 7f (AW)

• 1. Empire Power
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 254
  • Details: This 3-year-old filly is trained by T Easterby and ridden by David Allan. She carries 9st 2lb with an OR of 72. Her Topspeed is 32, RPR is 77, and master RPR is 83. Although her AW debut for Andrew Balding last November was well held, she has shown consistent form on turf for her current yard in 2025, finishing third in four of five starts in novices over 7f/1m. She is likely to be on the premises again. Her trainer has a 61% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Empire Power has demonstrated significant improvement under her current trainer, showing great consistency on turf. Despite a previous underwhelming AW performance, her current form suggests she is a strong contender in this field, especially with her trainer’s good recent strike rate.
• 2. Hello Goodbye (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 247
  • Details: Hello Goodbye is a 3-year-old filly, trained by E Dunlop and ridden by Jason Watson. She carries 9st 2lb. Her Topspeed is 67, RPR is 80, and master RPR is 80. She made a promising debut at Newcastle (7f, AW) in May, finishing beaten a neck. She performed to a similar level over 1m on turf at Yarmouth since and won’t need to raise her game much on her return to AW after an eight-week break. Her trainer has a 60% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Hello Goodbye has displayed considerable promise on both AW and turf, with her AW debut being particularly noteworthy. Returning to AW after a break, she appears well-suited to the conditions and is expected to be highly competitive without needing significant improvement.

4.25 Golf And Gallop Handicap (Class 5)

Distance: 7f (AW)

• 1. Saisons D’Or (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 267
  • Details: This 10-year-old gelding is trained by Jedd O’Keeffe and ridden by Jack Garritty. He carries 9st 9lb with an OR of 68. His Topspeed is 61, RPR is 75, and master RPR is 71. He often front-runs and recently achieved his 11th career success at Catterick (7f, good to firm) 17 days ago, having been close in his two previous starts. He won over this C&D in May and cannot be ruled out despite a 3lb rise for his latest win. His trainer has a 67% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Saisons D’Or is a consistent and proven winner, with recent victory and C&D success. Despite the 3lb weight rise, his current form and his trainer’s strong strike rate make him a serious contender.
• 2. Thorntonledale Max
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 251
  • Details: Thorntonledale Max is a 4-year-old gelding, trained by D Simcock and ridden by Callum Shepherd. He carries 9st 6lb with an OR of 65. His Topspeed is 68, RPR is 81, and master RPR is 84. He dead-heated at Kempton (7f, AW) last August. After a lesser effort, he bounced back to be runner-up at Lingfield (7f, AW) nine days ago. He is 2lb well in and is considered a contender. His trainer has a 57% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Thorntonledale Max is in good recent form, having finished runner-up on AW at Lingfield and previously dead-heated at Kempton. Being 2lb well-in enhances his appeal, and with a respectable trainer strike rate, he is a strong contender.

5.00 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (Class 5)

Distance: 1m (AW)

• 1. Popeye Doyle (FR)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 261
  • Details: This 3-year-old gelding is trained by H Palmer and ridden by Callum Shepherd. He carries 9st 9lb with an OR of 70. His Topspeed is 69, RPR is 81, and master RPR is 84. He showed modest form in his first five starts, but the application of cheekpieces appears to have been highly effective, leading to wins at Wolverhampton and Kempton (1m, AW) 24 days ago. He is up 6lb and is respected in his bid for a hat-trick. His trainer has a 54% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Popeye Doyle is a rapidly improving horse who has thrived since being fitted with cheekpieces, securing two consecutive wins. Despite the 6lb penalty, his recent form and clear progression make him a strong favourite to complete a hat-trick.
• 2. Tiempo Alegre (FR)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 238
  • Details: Tiempo Alegre is a 3-year-old filly, trained by J Jones and ridden by Jamie Spencer. She carries 9st 3lb with an OR of 64. Her Topspeed is 50, RPR is 82, and master RPR is 83. She doubled her tally at this track with a good win over C&D in July, followed by another good effort, finishing second of 13 here ten days ago. She steps up in grade for this race. Her trainer has a 40% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Tiempo Alegre has demonstrated a strong affinity for Southwell, with a C&D win and a recent second-place finish. Although stepping up in grade, her consistent good form and familiarity with the track make her a strong contender.

5.35 Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap (Class 6)

Distance: 1m (AW)

• 1. Ribston Pippin (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 237
  • Details: This 3-year-old gelding is trained by L De Souza and ridden by George Wood. He carries 9st 1lb with an OR of 51. His Topspeed is 33, RPR is 51, and master RPR is 68. He is lightly raced, finished runner-up on his handicap debut at Redcar (1m) last month, and then went one better in a 12-runner classified race at Yarmouth. He should be in with a shout. His trainer has a 57% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Ribston Pippin is a lightly raced gelding who has shown significant recent improvement, culminating in a win at Yarmouth. His progression and good current form make him a strong contender in this handicap, with potential for further improvement.
• 2. Beautiful Dawn (IRE)
  • TimeWise Total Rating: 221
  • Details: Beautiful Dawn is a 4-year-old mare, trained by J Owen and ridden by Callum Shepherd. She carries 9st 3lb with an OR of 48. Her Topspeed is 44, RPR is 60, and master RPR is 66. She was a disappointing favourite at Brighton last time, possibly stretched by the 1m2f trip. However, she was performing well over 1m in her first two runs for this yard, including a third-place finish to Ribston Pippin at Yarmouth in August. Her trainer has a 55% strike rate for runners running to form in the last 14 days.
  • Assessment: Beautiful Dawn has shown good form over 1m for her current trainer, including a competitive third-place finish against Ribston Pippin. While her last run at a longer distance was disappointing, returning to 1m should suit her better, making her a strong contender in this race.