Pace & Draw Angles

• Pace: Looks even-to-strong. Likely pace/pressers: Colugo, Yes Oui Si, Rock Basher, Powerful Hook Head. Stalkers: Ocean Manifest, Lohengrin. Closers: Captain Hanley, Baron Blake.
• Draw: Historically no hard bias at Laytown’s straight 7f; a neutral-to-mild middle draw often gets a clean run. No obvious draw negatives here.

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Strongest Contenders

Ocean Manifest (Draw 6) – Progressive/Promising

• Peak recent RPRs: 74 (7f), 71 (soft 1m). Big positives: Siyouni pedigree, Colin Keane, sharp 7f suits on this surface. Narrow defeat in a Killarney maiden last time (blinkers back on) and earlier strong 7f run at Fairyhouse. Profile screams “win a maiden soon,” and this setup is ideal.

Colugo (Draw 10) – Proven raw ability, tricky profile

• Best figure in field: RPR 75 (6f Dundalk). 7f winner in handicap, can race handy and has beach/AW-friendly style. Needs to settle and see it out to the line; wide stall ok on a straight track if she breaks.

Powerful Hook Head (Draw 2) – Promising

• Consistent maiden runs (RPR 67–70), tactically versatile, strong yard. The 7f drop puts pressure on speed, but a solid pace can bring him right into it late. Big jockey tick.

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Main Dangers / Solid Place Types

Lohengrin (Draw 1) – Exposed but reliable

• Repeated 60–63s in handicaps; third at Limerick reads ok. Lacks killer punch but the drop into a maiden on the sand could lift him. Inside draw fine.

Yes Oui Si (Draw 9) – Ability there, attitude/finish a query

• DQ last time (weighed in light), earlier handicap second. Can travel strongly; needs to find more late. If she relaxes, she’s a player.

Captain Hanley (Draw 7) – Strong finisher angle

• Eyecatchers in hcps; late gains when getting room. If they go hard, he can nab a place.

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Others

• Baron Blake (3): Flat pedigree, limited Flat RPRs (48–54) but 7f might sharpen him; place shocker at best.
• Raydamann (8): Useful hurdler (mid-100s), Flat peak 52 over 12f; trip sharp but ability isn’t in doubt—outsider place only if pace collapses.
• Rock Basher (5): Has made the running; figures low-50s lately—pace contributor.
• Peckham Springs (4): Jumps type; very hard to fancy at 7f on sand.

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Runner Scores (suitability /10)

• Ocean Manifest 8.5 – Ideal trip/surface, top jockey, solid maiden figures.
• Colugo 7.5 – Fastest historic RPR; needs to finish better.
• Powerful Hook Head 7 – Honest, class yard; slight speed test worry.
• Lohengrin 6.5 – Grinding place claims dropping into a maiden.
• Yes Oui Si 6.5 – Talent there; needs to knuckle down late.
• Captain Hanley 6 – Late-run place angle if pace is strong.
• Baron Blake 5.5 – Minor place squeak with 7f switch.
• Raydamann 5 – Ability from hurdles; trip question.
• Rock Basher 4.5 – Likely pace factor only.
• Peckham Springs 3 – Oppose.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Each-Way Angles (10 runners)

• Captain Hanley – EW if double figures: strong finisher, straight 7f could suit.
• Lohengrin – EW if 8–10/1+: exposed but very solid to hit the frame in this field.

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Private Tissue (my prices)

• Ocean Manifest 9/4
• Powerful Hook Head 7/2
• Colugo 4/1
• Yes Oui Si 11/2
• Lohengrin 8/1
• Captain Hanley 10/1
• Baron Blake 16/1
• Raydamann 20/1
• Rock Basher 25/1
• Peckham Springs 50/1

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Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

A fair Laytown maiden with a solid pace setting up a clean test. Ocean Manifest brings the right blend of speed and proven 7f ability, with a top rider and a handy middle draw. Colugo is the raw-figure danger if she settles and sustains. Powerful Hook Head is reliable but may find this a touch sharp unless fully on song. Place value lives with Captain Hanley/Lohengrin if it collapses late.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet:Ocean Manifest
  • Case: Peak 7f RPRs, Siyouni speed, Keane booked, strong pace to tow him in.
• Each-way saver:Captain Hanley (price-dependent)
  • Case: Repeated closers’ profile; straight 7f + likely pace give him a lane to nick a place.