Pace & Draw
- Pace: Likely solid/strong. Natural pressers/pace: Expound (3), Exquisite Acclaim (10), Shoot To Kill (7); Harry The Rogue (6) sits handy. Giuseppe Cassioli (8) and Jungle Cove (2) usually ridden colder.
- Draw: Historically low-to-middle a slight positive at 7f here; high/wide (10–13) a mild negative if they don’t break sharply.
Contenders & Angles
- Jungle Cove (2) – Proven
Won this race in 2024 under Miss J Townend; same combo, great draw. Mixed recent turf form but Laytown/QR set-up looks his A-game. Hold-up risk if pace collapses near rail, but track suitability is a standout. - Expound (3) – Progressive/Busy
In form across codes; front-runner with plum draw for bagging the rail. Has been kept honest by the handicapper but this set-up screams soft lead chance. - Exquisite Acclaim (10) – Proven at 7f
Rock-solid 7f handicapper; turf win in August. Wide draw is the only knock; strong amateur booking offsets some of that. Tactically versatile. - Giuseppe Cassioli (8) – Consistent
String of solid runs; generally finishes off well at 7f. Big weight in this scale, needs a pace collapse and clean lanes late. - Harry The Rogue (6) – Progressive type
Admirably consistent in 7f handicaps; should get the run of it just behind the pace. Often finds one too good, but place chance solid. - Finsceal Annie (1) – Promising earlier, blips since
Two wins in June; excuses subsequently. Ideal inside draw and some gate speed—live if bouncing back. - Interesting Outsiders:
Shoot To Kill (7) – claims form/7f handy; reliability a question.
Quar Shamar (9) – ability there, but recent profile patchy.
Chortal (12) – hurdles winner, Flat-bred, 7f may be too sharp.
Trainer/Jockey notes: Harrington/Townend have the exact blueprint from last year; Hogan yard often targets Laytown; Finian Maguire a smart QR rider for Exquisite Acclaim.
Runner Scores (suitability /10)
- Jungle Cove (2): 7/10 – track specialist; form query but setup ideal.
- Expound (3): 7/10 – pace/draw big positives; fitness assured.
- Exquisite Acclaim (10): 7/10 – classy 7f type; draw the only issue.
- Giuseppe Cassioli (8): 6.5/10 – reliable finisher; needs gaps/pace.
- Harry The Rogue (6): 6.5/10 – consistent placer; win angle thinner.
- Finsceal Annie (1): 6/10 – inside draw boosts; must rebound.
- Come On The Lads (5): 5.5/10 – hurdling fit; pure 7f speed a doubt.
- Shoot To Kill (7): 5.5/10 – can travel; finishing effort variable.
- Catch The Paddy (11): 5/10 – AW 7f a plus; wide stall here isn’t.
- Quar Shamar (9): 5/10 – talent but trust issues.
- Chortal (12): 4.5/10 – unexposed; trip looks sharp.
- Ina Mina (4): 3/10 – better 9–12f; 7f speed test against her.
- Fireworks (13): 1/10 – recent PU over hurdles; very hard to fancy.
“Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.”
“Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.”
Each-Way Angles (13 runners)
- Jungle Cove – course specialist, same QR rider, stall 2.
- Expound – could control it from low draw; front-running on this track is potent.
- Harry The Rogue – rock-steady placer if the pace holds up.
Private Tissue (guide odds)
Exquisite Acclaim 5/1; Jungle Cove 6/1; Expound 6/1; Giuseppe Cassioli 7/1; Harry The Rogue 8/1; Finsceal Annie 9/1; Come On The Lads 12/1; Shoot To Kill 12/1; Catch The Paddy 14/1; Quar Shamar 16/1; Chortal 16/1; Ina Mina 25/1; Fireworks 66/1.
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)
Strong, even pace likely; low/mid draws advantaged. Course proficiency and rider nous often trump recent turf figures here.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top Win Bet: Jungle Cove — last year’s winner, ideal draw, elite QR rider; expect a target job for this meeting.
- Each-Way Saver(s): Expound (could boss it from stall 3); Harry The Rogue (solid placer profile).
Risk notes: Exquisite Acclaim the obvious danger despite a wide gate—don’t let him beat you for pennies.
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