4.15 Down Royal: Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Baker Blue (Total: 287, Odds: 6.00)
  2. The Right One (IRE) (Total: 277, Odds: 3.00)
• Assessment:
  • Baker Blue, a 2-year-old, trained by Mrs J Harrington and ridden by Shane Foley, showed a promising debut when third of 12 at Tipperary and another solid effort at Cork when third behind Rogue Legend. However, he “hasn’t kicked on in three runs since” and “needs to find improvement for first-time cheekpieces”. A wide draw is also “not ideal”.
  • The Right One (IRE), a 2-year-old, trained by J Fahey and ridden by Chris Hayes, is “getting the hang of things, hitting the frame in his her last three starts in maiden company” and was “only beaten half a length at Bellewstown last week”. However, this horse was a “non-runner due to slow ground earlier in the season and may not want the rain to arrive”.

4.50 Down Royal: Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Shadow Of The Moon (IRE) (Total: 263, Odds: 2.38)
  2. Arklow Lad (IRE) (Total: 258, Odds: 6.50)
• Assessment:
  • Shadow Of The Moon (IRE), a 3-year-old, trained by J Feane and ridden by Luke McAteer, had an “encouraging debut over 7f at the Curragh” and “improved for the drop back to 5f when only beaten roughly 1l in a Tipperary maiden last month”. The “front two pulled clear and the winner ran respectably in a Listed race subsequently”, making him “the one to beat”.
  • Arklow Lad (IRE), a 3-year-old, trained by K Cotter and ridden by Declan McDonogh, showed “minor promise on debut” and “took a step forward to be only beaten roughly 2l in a 6f Curragh maiden” last month. He “showed speed and could improve again dropped back to 5f with first-time tongue-tie”.

5.22 Down Royal: Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Lucia Molly (IRE) (Total: 290, Odds: 5.00)
  2. Eleven A (IRE) (Total: 287, Odds: 4.33)
• Assessment:
  • The spotlight verdict prefers LUCIA MOLLY as she has “proven herself on soft ground at Galway” and “should relish the return to seven furlongs”.
  • Eleven A (IRE), a 2-year-old, trained by Miss N Lupini and ridden by Ben Coen, was “strong in the market before finishing fourth of 11 in a Leopardstown maiden”. He had a difficult trip with an “awkward start and too keen early”, suggesting he “may be capable of reversing that form having had excuses”.
  • For horses that met previously, Pliny did best to finish third in a Leopardstown race where Eleven A was not far behind.

5.54 Down Royal: Grant Thornton Nursery Handicap

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Clarity of Thought (Total: 248, Odds: 13.00)
  2. Believe In Glory (IRE) (Total: 247, Odds: 5.50)
• Assessment:
  • The spotlight verdict takes a chance on GAS WORKS WALL, suggesting she will improve. However, based on TimeWise ratings:
  • Clarity of Thought, a 2-year-old, trained by J P O’Brien and ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle, showed “some promise in maidens” but was “well held on handicap debut” and is “hard to fancy from this sort of mark on the back of last week’s run in a maiden claimer at Navan”.
  • Believe In Glory (IRE), a 2-year-old, trained by K Condon and ridden by Jamie Powell (3), “hit the crossbar in Hamilton maiden but hasn’t built on that back on home soil since”. However, she “shaped like 7f should suit and her mark looks okay”.
  • Cisterna and Quinn’s Charm are also mentioned as likely to improve for 7f or appreciate the recent rain.

6.24 Down Royal: Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Jerandme (Total: 227, Odds: 7.00)
  2. Grappa Nonino (IRE) (Total: 225, Odds: 9.00)
• Assessment:
  • Jerandme, an 11-year-old, trained by E & P Harty, “won this race for Noel Meade five years ago off 81” and had his “last win… on Dundalk AW in February 2022”. He showed “fair AW form last winter” and, despite reportedly losing a shoe over hurdles, “remains a contender”.
  • Grappa Nonino (IRE), a 6-year-old, trained by D Weld and ridden by Chris Hayes, has “three Flat wins including over 2m1f at Killarney and more recently 2m AW success in March”. She returned from a break with an “encouraging third” in a Leopardstown lady riders’ handicap last month, making her “one to consider”.
  • The spotlight verdict suggests BILLIE FRECHETTE is a strong contender, along with Sir Callisto and Empress Alma.

6.54 Down Royal: Children’s Heartbeat Trust Apprentice Handicap

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Doctor Grace (IRE) (Total: 241, Odds: 15.00)
  2. God Knows (IRE) (Total: 240, Odds: 6.00)
• Assessment:
  • Doctor Grace (IRE), a 5-year-old, trained by A McGuinness and ridden by Sam Coen, has been “admirably consistent this year” and “enjoyed stepping up to 1m5f to win here in July”. However, she “didn’t land a blow down in trip at Naas and over 1m4f at Tramore when staying on late after a slow start”. She is “back in trip and grade”.
  • God Knows (IRE), a 6-year-old, trained by P Sweeney and ridden by Patrick McGettigan, “won this in 2023 off 68” and had a “more recent success… in 1m Bellewstown claimer in July”.

7.24 Down Royal: Grant Thornton Handicap (0-60)

• Top Two TimeWise Rated Horses:
  1. Share The Treasure (IRE) (Total: 243, Odds: 3.50)
  2. Gallo Dell Cielo (IRE) (Total: 242, Odds: 4.50)
• Assessment:
  • Share The Treasure (IRE), a 4-year-old, trained by T Hogan and ridden by Wesley Joyce (3), “had shown very little this summer until breakthrough win at Navan last week”, appreciating a “step up to 1m6f when rallying well (yielding)”. She has a “5lb rise, no guarantee she can back that up”.
  • Gallo Dell Cielo (IRE), a 5-year-old, trained by P J Flynn and ridden by Robyn Donaghue-Leahy (7), was an “AW winner (1m4f) at the end of 2024 and March return was promising”. He returned to form in “first-time blinkers at Tipperary last month when second to a stablemate and 25-1 shot over this trip”, making him “one to consider”.
  • The spotlight verdict suggests MISCHIEF MAN could be the one to side with here, following an improved showing at Cork.