Detailed Briefing Document: Horse Racing Analysis – Saturday 6th September 2025

·

This briefing document provides a detailed review of the main themes, important ideas, and key facts derived from the provided horse racing sources for Saturday, 6th September 2025. It focuses on identifying potential contenders, analysing trainer and jockey performance, and highlighting crucial race conditions.

I. Key Themes Identified Across Sources

  1. Importance of Race-Specific Conditions (Going and Distance): The “going” (track condition, e.g., soft, good, good to firm, standard to slow, heavy, yielding) is a recurring and critical factor. Many horse spotlights explicitly state a horse’s preference for certain ground conditions, and trainers are noted to be “waiting for some rain” for horses suited to softer ground. Similarly, a horse’s suitability for a specific “distance” is frequently mentioned, especially when stepping up or down in trip.
  2. Trainer and Jockey Form/Expertise: The performance of trainers (Trainer W-R: wins-places-runs, percentage of runners to form in last 14 days) and jockeys is consistently highlighted. Specific trainers are noted for having “terrific records” in certain handicaps or for their ability to bring “improvers” to form. Jockeys, particularly apprentices with weight allowances, are also mentioned as influential.
  3. Progressive Horses and Untapped Potential: Several “improver” horses are identified, especially among younger age groups (2yo and 3yo), suggesting they are capable of better than their current form or ratings. This often comes with comments like “remains unexposed” or “could have more to offer.”
  4. Handicap Analysis and Weight Adjustments: Handicaps frequently involve discussions of official ratings (OR), Racing Post Ratings (RPR), and weight penalties for recent wins. Horses are described as “well-treated,” “attractively treated,” or conversely, “climbing the weights” or “too high in the weights.”
  5. Group and Listed Race Significance: For higher-grade races, previous Group or Listed race performances are paramount, indicating a horse’s class. Penalties for winning such races are a standard part of the conditions.
  6. Recent Form and Breaks: The number of days since a horse’s last race, as well as recent performance trends (e.g., “bounced back with a bang,” “mixed form,” “struggles to put her head in front”), are central to the analysis. Breaks from racing, wind surgeries, and geldings are noted as potential game-changers.

II. Most Important Ideas and Facts by Race Meeting

A. Ascot Races

1.40 tote UK British EBF ‘Confined’ Maiden Stakes (Class 2, 1m, Soft, 2yo)

  • Theme: Newcomers, untapped potential, and race-specific conditions.
  • Key Facts:River Card (2yo, 9-7): “Beaten 1l by a fellow British-trained newcomer (who was favourite) in a 7f conditions race on soft ground at Deauville three weeks ago; difficult to get a grip on that form but the RPR of 85 was smart.” (Spotlight)
  • Study Of Words (2yo, 9-7): “Frankel colt who is a brother to 1m winner Nano Nagle… obvious contender for top connections.” (Spotlight) “Godolphin’s Study Of Words perhaps the most dangerous unless market vibes suggest otherwise.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Maltese Cross (2yo, 9-7): “Value rose from 200,000euros as a foal to 350,000gns as a yearling… has to be of interest.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Experience on soft ground is highly valued for River Card.

2.10 Silent Pool Gin ‘Confined’ Handicap (Class 3, 1m2f, Soft, 3yo)

  • Theme: Improvers, trainer form, and suitability to soft ground.
  • Key Facts:Crown Of Oaks (3yo, 9-3): “gelded prior to getting off the mark on handicap debut at Ayr (1m2f, good; 6lb lower) and won that with a nice bit in hand; in the Cambridgeshire and retains significant potential; unraced on soft ground.” (Spotlight) “The grey area is soft ground but CROWN OF OAKS once held Group-race entries and it should be onwards and upwards for this Cambridgeshire entry…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Stem (3yo, 9-4): “Wide-margin winner on heavy at Newbury last season (7f novice); …not yet exposed, not by a long chalk.” (Spotlight)
  • Wave Rider (3yo, 9-6): “proven on soft ground.” (Spotlight)
  • Trainer William Haggas (W-R: 71%): Noted for having “some fancy entries” with Crown Of Oaks.
  • Verdict: Crown Of Oaks is the “nap” despite unraced on soft, due to potential and trainer form.

2.40 Schweppes Handicap (Class 2, 7f, Soft, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Prior course/distance form, ground preference, and handicap marks.
  • Key Facts:Akkadian Thunder (5yo, 9-9): “Runner-up on soft ground in this last year and could easily have won; 6lb higher this time but confirmed his liking for this track…” (Spotlight) “Second choice Akkadian Thunder will approve of getting back on slower ground and his Ascot record is a big selling point…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Mirabeau (3yo, 9-3): “Two soft-ground wins last season… if back to his best on ground he’ll enjoy then there’s value in his odds.” (Spotlight) “MIRABEAU… had some notable form in the mud at two…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Telemark (4yo, 9-7): “triple winner on ground softer than good so connections have no doubt been waiting for some rain; worth considering.” (Spotlight)
  • King’s Lynn (8yo, 9-1): “Evergreen 8yo… has form here, acts on slow ground and Alfie Redman takes off a handy 7lb.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Mirabeau is the “nap” for his soft-ground form and potential value at long odds, with Akkadian Thunder as the “second choice.”

3.15 Silent Pool Gin Handicap (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2, 1m4f, Soft, 3yo)

  • Theme: Trainer record in the race, progression, and stamina.
  • Key Facts:Tenability (3yo, 8-12): “Trainer has won three of the last four runnings of this handicap and is represented by a progressive gelding whose two handicap wins have come over C&D (good; good to firm); …probably still well handicapped off 4lb higher and Cieren Fallon knows him well; unraced on slow ground.” (Spotlight) “TENABILITY (nap)… being by Frankel and out of a Pivotal mare, the chances are he’ll be okay.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Push The Limit (3yo, 9-4): “confirmed himself progressive when justifying favouritism in a 1m3f handicap at Glorious Goodwood (good to soft); hit with a 7lb rise but that form has been franked and this colt might well have appreciably more to offer; the one to beat.” (Spotlight) “Push The Limit (second choice) is hard to knock after fairly readily justifying favouritism on his handicap debut…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Rogue Millions (3yo, 9-2): “laughed at his opening mark when scooting home by 4l at Carlisle in June (1m3f, soft; 9lb lower).” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Tenability is the “nap” due to trainer William Haggas’s excellent record in this race and the horse’s progressive profile, with Push The Limit as the “second choice.”

3.50 tote UK British EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2, 1m, Soft, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Handicap debutantes, trainer/jockey combinations, and preferred ground.
  • Key Facts:Abloom (3yo, 8-8): “All runs on good or quicker ground but she enters handicaps on the back of a clearcut novice win at Ripon (1m) and improvers from this yard are a dangerous species; interesting.” (Spotlight) “ABLOOM has been progressing steadily… She’s bred to be better than this mark.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Noche Clasica (3yo, 8-9): “Bought for 150,000gns… comfortably taking a 1m Goodwood handicap (good) two weeks ago…” (Spotlight)
  • Protest (3yo, 9-8): “doesn’t look handicapped out of this and she copes with soft ground.” (Spotlight)
  • Trainer William Haggas (W-R: 71%): Noted for “improvers from this yard.”
  • Verdict: Abloom is the “nap” for her progressive form and potential off her handicap mark.

4.25 Racing To School Reaches 250,000 Handicap (Class 2, 6f, Soft, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Return to preferred ground, recent form, and C&D performance.
  • Key Facts:Sergeant Wilko (4yo, 9-9): “the key to his chance today looks to be the return to slow ground, something he hasn’t encountered so far this year, and he’s an interesting contender.” (Spotlight) “Narrow preference is for SERGEANT WILKO though. He has run some solid races in defeat this year and now encounters slow ground for the first time in 2025.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Double Rush (3yo, 9-6): “surely still ahead of his mark and he’s of obvious interest on ground that won’t faze him…” (Spotlight) “Double Rush (second choice) still has the potential to be a good deal better than his mark and is high on the list…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Orazio (6yo, 9-11): “Looked the proverbial Group horse in a handicap when sauntering to success over C&D in May 2023 on soft ground… he has too much ability to discount under these conditions.” (Spotlight)
  • Fast Track Harry (3yo, 9-9): “won a Newbury maiden (6f, soft) and a Doncaster novice (6f, good to firm) before a fine second at York on his handicap debut; still has time to do better.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Sergeant Wilko is the “nap” for his return to slow ground, with Double Rush as the “second choice.”

4.55 tote UK Handicap (Class 2, 5f, Soft, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Course and distance form, ground versatility, and recent performance.
  • Key Facts:Woolhampton (5yo, 9-4): “produced an impressive finish when winning at Sandown (5f, soft; has won on good to firm) last week; …three C&D wins include this race last year; sound chance.” (Spotlight) “The ground isn’t that important to last year’s winner WOOLHAMPTON, though, and she made a welcome return to form when bringing down the hammer at Sandown last week.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Solar Aclaim (4yo, 9-8): “Has won on good to soft but best when conditions are slower; in peak form and travelled strongly before edging clear in a Racing League race at Yarmouth (soft) in July…” (Spotlight) “If there’s still plenty of juice in the surface Solar Aclaim would come right into it…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Vespasian (6yo, 9-9): “Handles soft but best form on quicker surfaces and an excellent second of 11 in the Shergar Cup over C&D… drying ground will suit…” (Spotlight)
  • Manaccan (6yo, 9-13): “Won Listed (including C&D on good to soft) and Group 3 races… fourth of ten in the Shergar Cup over C&D (good to firm) last month…” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Woolhampton is the “nap” due to her strong C&D record and recent win, with Solar Aclaim as a strong contender if the ground remains soft.

B. Haydock Races

1.15 Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes (Group 3, 1m, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Group race performance, trainer form, and ground preference.
  • Key Facts:Ice Max (4yo, 9-5): “Won the 2024 Celebration Mile at Goodwood (soft); …much better than the result when fifth (Make Me King 2l ahead in fourth) in this year’s Celebration Mile; any rain in his favour; big player.” (Spotlight) “ICE MAX… can turn the tables and provide Karl Burke with a second successive win in this race.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Make Me King (5yo, 9-5): “Regained the winning thread in Pontefract Listed event (1m, good)… respectable 1l fourth to Jonquil in Group 2 Celebration Mile… should go well but Ice Max met trouble in running…” (Spotlight)
  • Suite Francaise (3yo, 8-11): “Highly progressive filly who took her record to 3-4 when making all by 2l in C&D filllies’ Listed race (good) four weeks ago; more on her plate against the boys but still dangerous if getting her own way in front.” (Spotlight)
  • Zeus Olympios (3yo, 9-0): “evidently well regarded by his top stable; …potentially significant that connections (who are also responsible for Ice Max) are prepared to fast track him to Group level.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Ice Max is the “nap” based on Group 3 form and a luckless last run, with Make Me King as a close second.

1.50 Betting.Betfair Ascendant Stakes (Listed Race, 1m, Good, 2yo)

  • Theme: Untapped potential, pedigree, and strong debut wins.
  • Key Facts:Publish (2yo, 9-4): “Well-bred son of Kingman who was unlucky at Sandown on debut before going one better there later in July (7f, good; pulled clear with runner-up); …should stay at least 1m; exciting type with lots of untapped potential.” (Spotlight) “PUBLISH is a promising colt in his own right and may have the edge at this stage of their careers.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Bow Echo (2yo, 9-4): “Bred to be smart and made a striking impression when winning seven-runner maiden at Newbury (1m, good; 2-1 joint-favourite; runner-up successful since) three weeks ago, easily pulling clear from over 1f out; has some Group-race entries and looks an excellent prospect.” (Spotlight) “It was hard not to be very impressed by Bow Echo’s runaway debut win…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Glacius (2yo, 9-4): “Saw off two Godolphin runners when making winning debut in novice at Newmarket (1m, good to firm; 12-1)… improvement seems likely.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Publish is the “nap” for his pedigree and untapped potential, just ahead of Bow Echo’s impressive debut.

2.25 Betfair Plays In A Different League Handicap (Class 2, 1m6f, Good, 3yo)

  • Theme: Progressive stayers, trainer record, and step up in trip.
  • Key Facts:Valiancy (3yo, 8-5): “Made debut in May and all five runs have been on good ground; close third on handicap debut over C&D in July (Pole Star won) and clear second at Sandown (1m6f) last time… trainer has won two of the last five runnings; could have a major part to play in first-time cheekpieces.” (Spotlight) “This could go to VALIANCY, who has shown promise in his first two handicaps and could have more left in the tank for William Haggas…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Fantasy World (3yo, 8-10): “Won Ffos Las maiden (1m2f, good to soft) in June… beaten 5l when fifth of 12 in the Melrose at York (1m6f, good to firm)… today’s return to easier ground may well be a positive; in calculations.” (Spotlight) “Melrose fifth Fantasy World is a tempting option now back on easier ground…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Ride The Thunder (3yo, 8-6): “Won Nottingham maiden (1m2f, good)… and has run well in fourth in both handicaps subsequently… interesting contender now tackling 1m6f.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Valiancy is the “nap” due to trainer William Haggas’s record and the horse’s potential, with Fantasy World and Ride The Thunder as strong “third choice” contenders.

3.00 Betfair Exchange Old Borough Cup Handicap (Class 2, 1m6f, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Trainer record, course form, and recent strong performances.
  • Key Facts:Dramatic Star (4yo, 8-10): “returned to form for last-gasp win at Newcastle (12.4f, AW) last October, and first run since when a close sixth of ten at Ascot (1m4f, good to firm) last month, when he stayed on well from off a slow pace; has shown promise on good to soft; this 4yo remains lightly raced for his top yard and the step back up to 1m6f could be just what he needs.” (Spotlight) “William Haggas won this in 2023 and has a strong hand with the lightly raced 4yos The Reverend and DRAMATIC STAR (nap).” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Paddy The Squire (5yo, 9-8): “thrived this season and made it two 1m4f wins in a row… also effective here (and on soft ground) and has hinted he could be even better now tackling 1m6f for the first time; trainer won this in 2015 and 2017; player.” (Spotlight) “…the main danger to the selection could come from Paddy The Squire, who has gone from strength to strength this year.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • The Reverend (4yo, 9-5): “Looked one to follow when impressive on handicap debut at Ascot (1m4f, soft) last September; …convincing win in small field at Ripon (1m4f, soft) in July; could have more to offer for top yard now things have clicked again, especially now back up in trip…” (Spotlight)
  • Stressfree (5yo, 9-9): “Progressive 5yo who won here (1m4f, good) in May and looked better than ever when fourth in the Ebor at York (1m6f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; has won on soft/heavy ground; respected for trainer who won this last year.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Dramatic Star is the “nap” for his progressive profile and trainer’s strong record, with Paddy The Squire as the “main danger.”

3.35 Betfair Sprint Cup Stakes (Group 1, 6f, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Group 1 form, recent progression, and ground versatility.
  • Key Facts:Sky Majesty (3yo, 9-0): “Better form since, winning 6f Listed/Group 3 races at Naas; versatile ground-wise; has won five of her seven races and this 3yo filly is in the right hands to continue to improve (trainer won this last year); supplemented for this race at a cost of £20,000 following her impressive win last time; on the shortlist.” (Spotlight) “The highly progressive 3yo filly SKY MAJESTY has been supplemented following her commanding Group 3 win at Naas recently and is taken to provide William Haggas with back-to-back wins in this race.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Lazzat (4yo, 9-5): “Made it eight wins from 11 starts when making all in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot (6f, good to firm), clear with the Japanese favourite, and he’s versatile ground-wise; …he’s the one to beat if at his best.” (Spotlight) “French superstar Lazzat will be very tough to beat if reproducing the form shown when making all in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes at Royal Ascot…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Kind Of Blue (4yo, 9-5): “Highly progressive 3yo last season, going very close in this race (good) before winning the Group 1 British Champions Sprint at Ascot (6f, soft); …last month’s third in a Group 3 at the Curragh (6f, good) was a major step back in the right direction…” (Spotlight)
  • No Half Measures (4yo, 9-2): “suited by the return to 6f when winning the Group 1 July Cup at 66-1… needs to prove that latest performance was no one-off but her 6f form-figures now read 21111 and she’s entitled to respect.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Sky Majesty is the “nap” as a supplemented, progressive filly for a top trainer, with Kind Of Blue as “second choice” and Lazzat considered the “one to beat” if at his best.

4.07 Betfair Be Friendly Handicap (Class 2, 5f, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Course and distance form, trainer history in race, and improving sprinters.
  • Key Facts:Jer Batt (5yo, 8-13): “Strong C&D form last year, including a defeat of American Affair and a close second in this race when rated 3lb higher; the form of his Musselburgh third in April could hardly have worked out better… obvious claims.” (Spotlight) “The two to appeal most are Luna A Inbhir Nis and JER BATT. …Jer Batt has some rock-solid C&D form and he’s well handicapped on even this season’s best efforts.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Luna A Inbhir Nis (3yo, 8-12): “One of the success stories of the season, winning six times (including C&D); …another step forward from her; 3lb rise shouldn’t prevent her making another bold bid.” (Spotlight)
  • Blue Storm (4yo, 9-12): “smart form when winning a soft-ground C&D handicap last September; absent for 315 days but entirely possible he has more to offer and interesting to see how strong he is in the market after his absence.” (Spotlight)
  • Democracy Dilemma (5yo, 9-9): “slipped in the weights and should give it a good go from the front; withdrawn at Glorious Goodwood having given trouble in the stalls.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Jer Batt is favoured for his strong C&D form and handicap mark, with Luna A Inbhir Nis as a strong contender.

4.40 Betfair Podcasts Handicap (Div I) (Class 4, 1m, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Improving younger horses, trainer form with specific types, and recent performance.
  • Key Facts:A War Eagle (3yo, 9-6): “Improved RPR on each of his seven starts, winning a handicap over the extended 7f at Beverley in July and going down only to fellow progressive 3yos around 1m on turf/AW since; a further 2lb nudge from the handicapper may not stop him.” (Spotlight) “…the one with the most solid claims is A WAR EAGLE, an improving 3yo who probably has more to offer.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Mysteryofthesands (4yo, 9-7): “Three wins on turf (good/soft) since May and he may well have had a fourth here last month but for meeting trouble; last week’s fourth of 13 in a Racing League event at Southwell (1m) shows he’s still in form; considered.” (Spotlight)
  • Mezcala (3yo, 9-8): “Progressive form at around 1m; had subsequent winners behind when second at Nottingham (good to soft) in July and duly landed short odds on AW at Lingfield last month; hard to argue this opening mark is generous but he’s almost certainly capable of better.” (Spotlight)
  • Empirestateofmind (7yo, 10-2): “Back to winning ways over 1m at Ayr (good) four weeks ago; raised 3lb but he defied this mark on soft at York last autumn.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: A War Eagle is the “nap” for his consistent improvement as a 3yo.

5.15 Betfair Podcasts Handicap (Div II) (Class 4, 1m, Good, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Handicap class, returning to form, and unexposed potential.
  • Key Facts:Dukes Command (4yo, 10-0): “Lightly raced 4yo, bred in the purple and ex-Godolphin; had a win and a second place (over C&D) in June before going off the boil; clear signs of return to form when never-nearer sixth in a big field at York (80-1) last month; this is less competitive and he may still have untapped potential.” (Spotlight) “…the most compelling claims belong to DUKE’S COMMAND who shaped really well at the Ebor meeting and now drops in grade.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Two B Tanned (4yo, 9-9): “Free-going front-runner who has won five of her last seven races… may not have reached her ceiling, and dangerous if getting an easy lead.” (Spotlight)
  • Comanche Warrior (3yo, 9-0): “Has run just three times and he rallied to win at Carlisle (1m, good to soft) when last seen in July; hardly looks thrown in for today’s handicap debut but he’s unexposed and could find the necessary improvement to follow up.” (Spotlight)
  • Dixieland Blues (3yo, 9-7): “well bred and lightly raced so there may be better to come from him yet.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Dukes Command is the “nap” for his untapped potential and recent hint of returning form.

C. Kempton Races

1.35 Unibet September Stakes (Group 3, 1m4f, Standard To Slow, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Group 1 form, AW suitability, and previous wins in the race.
  • Key Facts:Kalpana (4yo, 9-4): “High-class filly who bagged Group 1 honours at Ascot last autumn and ran well (finished 1l second) in the King George there latest start; 2-3 on AW and has a good chance of winning this race for the second year running.” (Spotlight) “King George runner-up KALPANA can go one better and land this prize for a second time, en route to a crack at the Arc…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Giavellotto (6yo, 9-7): “Absent since finishing third in the Coronation Cup three months ago; successful several times when fresh… big player dropped back in grade and he is 2-2 on AW.” (Spotlight) “Giavellotto is easily the biggest threat on the figures…” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Tasmania (5yo, 9-4): “Third in the 2023 French Oaks… placed in 1m2f Group 3 events at Newcastle (AW) and the Curragh (amid traffic issues) this term, shaping as if this step back up in trip is worth exploring; could go well.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Kalpana is the “nap” for her Group 1 class and proven AW ability, aiming for a second win in this race.

2.05 Unibet London Mile Series Final Handicap (Class 2, 1m, Standard To Slow, 3yo+)

  • Theme: AW specialist, unbeaten records on surface, and attractively handicapped.
  • Key Facts:Sky Safari (4yo, 9-1): “Generally progressive filly whose record this term includes wins in two qualifiers for this final, last time taking AW record to 3-3 and overall strike-rate to 4-7; brings strong credentials and commands respect.” (Spotlight) “Being a dual qualifier scorer who remains unbeaten on AW and open to further improvement, SKY SAFARI (nap) holds particularly strong claims.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Local Hero (4yo, 8-12): “best at Kempton and has a record of 11142 here, most recently going very close off 5lb higher in March; attractively treated and enters calculations returned to his ideal location.” (Spotlight)
  • Dragon Icon (5yo, 8-10): “close third in qualifier last time sets him up nicely for a crack at this final and first-time cheekpieces may have a boosting effect; in the mix.” (Spotlight)
  • Whitcombe Rockstar (6yo, 9-6): “has an impressive record (5-7) in Kempton handicaps and his prolific 2024 campaign featured a success in this contest; interesting back here.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Sky Safari is the “nap” due to her unbeaten AW record and progression.

2.35 Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies’ Nursery (Class 4, 7f, Standard To Slow, 2yo)

  • Theme: Progressive form, potential lenient mark, and York Ebor meeting form.
  • Key Facts:Mayaada (2yo, 9-8): “Runner-up over 7f/1m prior to producing a much-improved RPR to upset an Andrew Balding odds-on shot in 7f Epsom maiden 12 days ago; comfortably on top at the finish and her mark could be lenient.” (Spotlight) “The handicapper might have taken a low view of MAYAADA’s Epsom maiden success and she’s preferred to Ebor meeting nursery winner Ruby’s Angel.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Ruby’s Angel (2yo, 9-8): “bounced back with a bang to land a big-field nursery at the York Ebor meeting (6f, good to firm) 17 days ago, edging ahead late in a style which suggests 7f should be within range; that form has already been boosted and she should remain very competitive off 4lb higher.” (Spotlight)
  • Magic Box (2yo, 9-3): “Progressive form when winning nurseries over C&D and at Catterick (7f) in July; a further 7lb rise means more improvement will be needed but her top stable continues in excellent form.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Mayaada is preferred due to a potentially lenient opening mark.

3.10 Unibet Sirenia Stakes (Group 3, 6f, Standard To Slow, 2yo)

  • Theme: Group race form, AW suitability, and unexposed potential.
  • Key Facts:Five Ways (2yo, 9-3): “Twice-raced colt who seemed to need the experience… and took a big step forward at Salisbury (again over 6f) where he scored easily from the front; half-brother to an AW winner; interesting with further improvement very plausible.” (Spotlight) “The suggestion is FIVE WAYS, who won easily last time and seems a useful prospect.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Super Soldier (2yo, 9-3): “good second in the Prix Robert Papin (6f Group 2) at Chantilly earlier in July; that French effort gives him leading claims on AW debut.” (Spotlight) “Top-rated Super Soldier warrants respect, assuming his Robert Papin form is transferred to Polytrack.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Sayidah Hard Spun (2yo, 9-0): “particularly unexposed on AW, with sole attempt in this sphere resulting in C&D novice success in May; interesting back here.” (Spotlight)
  • Beckford’s Folly (2yo, 9-3): “Thrice-raced colt who was far from impressive in completing a Newmarket novice double (6f) last time; however, that race has been won by a few subsequent Group scorers from this stable in recent years and he remains open to further progress; closely related to a C&D winner.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Five Ways is the “nap” for his easy win and potential, with Super Soldier as a strong contender if adapting to AW.

3.45 Unibet London Sprint Series Final Handicap (Class 2, 6f, Standard To Slow, 3yo+)

  • Theme: AW specialists, prior race winners, and strong recent form.
  • Key Facts:Aramram (4yo, 9-12): “Four runs on AW have yielded a win, two seconds (one over C&D) and a close fourth at Newcastle in June (peak RPR); races off the same mark, well drawn and no reason why he wouldn’t be bang there once again.” (Spotlight) “…Aramram continues to improve, is well drawn and went close off this mark in a strong race at Newcastle on his latest AW start.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Drama (4yo, 9-6): “Better on AW than turf and his C&D record reads 31511 (including this race 12 months ago); endured a troubled passage at Newcastle on his most recent AW run and still looked in form; no show in the Stewards’ Cup but this is altogether more suitable; Oisin Murphy rides for the first time.” (Spotlight)
  • Aramis Grey (8yo, 9-2): “A long time has passed since she last won but she’s a grand campaigner and has run several fine races in defeat this year, including at Wolverhampton last month when poorly drawn; each-way shout.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Aramram is favoured for his consistent AW form and good draw, with Drama as a strong contender due to her prior win in this race.

4.20 Try Unibet’s New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (Class 4, 2m, Standard To Slow, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Stamina, retained headgear, and unexposed at distance.
  • Key Facts:Caprelo (4yo, 10-0): “In good form since wearing blinkers, winning over C&D then running creditably at Newcastle (Northumberland Vase) and Yarmouth; still unexposed at 2m; respected in the retained headgear.” (Spotlight) “In retained blinkers back at the scene of his May success, CAPRELO holds particularly solid claims.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Molten Sea (4yo, 9-12): “Bit disappointing last time but steadily progressive otherwise and may rebound; close second over C&D earlier in July and ties in with Caprelo on a line through the winner; shortlisted.” (Spotlight)
  • Letmebetheboss (4yo, 9-4): “Won well over C&D in June, completing an AW double, and posted a solid effort back here last time (odds-on winner has boosted the form since); likely player off unaltered mark.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Caprelo is the “nap” for his form in blinkers and unexposed potential over 2m.

4.50 Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap (Class 3, 1m4f, Standard To Slow, 4yo+)

  • Theme: Prior race winners, AW strike rate, and unexposed at distance.
  • Key Facts:Kind Of Kiss (4yo, 9-4): “Ex-French 4yo who has several pieces of encouraging form in Britain, close second over C&D when last seen two months ago; unexposed at this trip and his turn looks near.” (Spotlight) “Being unexposed at 1m4f, KIND OF KISS could well build on his latest effort and record a first British success.” (Spotlight Verdict)
  • Assail (5yo, 9-1): “record of 2-6 on AW features a success (off just 1lb lower) in this contest 12 months ago; respected.” (Spotlight)
  • Federated (5yo, 8-10): “Campaigned only on AW; strike-rate of 5-9 since handicapping and latest performance (in June) took his record in middle-distance events at Kempton to 3-3; good claims.” (Spotlight)
  • Haku (6yo, 9-7): “Completed an AW double in May when last seen and gained the latest success over C&D, taking record in this sphere to 9-30; likely player provided he returns in similar form.” (Spotlight)
  • Verdict: Kind Of Kiss is favoured to break his British duck, being unexposed at the distance.

D. Navan Races

1.45 Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden (Class 2, 6f, Good To Yielding, 2yo)

  • Theme: Maiden races, RPR performance, and market indicators.
  • Key Facts:Treasured Royal (2yo, 8-12): “Took her record to 3-4 when making all by 2l in C&D fillies’ Listed race (good) four weeks ago; more on her plate against the boys but still dangerous if getting her own way in front.” (Spotlight, from Haydock 1.15 context, likely a copy-paste error as this is a maiden, but highlights good form from a filly with “80” RPR in the first source).
  • Castelluccia (2yo, 8-8): “02” in previous best, RPR 98. (Card)
  • Tharaka (2yo, 9-0): “034” in previous best, RPR 91. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Treasured Royal, Castelluccia, and Tharaka show the best recent RPRs and could be the most competitive in this maiden.

2.15 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Rated Race (Class 3, 6f, Good To Yielding, 2yo)

  • Theme: Rated race penalties, recent wins, and improving form.
  • Key Facts:Fresh Fade (2yo, 9-10): “324351” in previous best, RPR 90. (Card) This horse is noted as having won a race in the last 13 days, incurring a 7lb penalty.
  • First Approach (2yo, 9-11): “214029” in previous best, RPR 94. (Card)
  • Methodtomy Madness (2yo, 9-1): “881” in previous best, RPR 89. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Fresh Fade, despite the penalty, has strong recent winning form. First Approach has the highest RPR.

2.45 Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap (Class 2, 5f, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Handicap marks, trainer form, and C&D performance.
  • Key Facts:Amicitia (3yo, 9-7): “5-642” in previous best, OR 64, RPR 78. (Card)
  • Pinmoney (3yo, 8-10): “907021” in previous best, OR 53, RPR 78. (Card) This horse has won a race in the last 13 days, incurring a 7lb penalty.
  • Verhoyen (10yo, 10-0): “000263” in previous best, OR 70, RPR 78. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Amicitia and Pinmoney appear to be strong contenders based on recent form and RPRs.

3.20 Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 14th December Handicap (Class 2, 5f, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Handicap marks, C&D wins, and recent form.
  • Key Facts:Gazelle Dor (3yo, 8-13): “2-13314” in previous best, OR 82, RPR 100. (Card)
  • Little Queenie (6yo, 9-7): “027551” in previous best, OR 89, RPR 102. (Card) This horse has won a race in the last 9 days, incurring a 7lb penalty.
  • Sir Yoshi (3yo, 10-0): “3-35442” in previous best, OR 97, RPR 99. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Gazelle Dor and Little Queenie stand out with high RPRs. Little Queenie’s recent win and penalty are a key factor.

3.55 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Div I) (Class 2, 1m, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Maiden races, RPRs, and unexposed horses.
  • Key Facts:Therewillbeglory (3yo, 9-3): “22” in previous best, RPR 94. (Card)
  • Snapretend (3yo, 9-3): “842” in previous best, RPR 82. (Card)
  • Tea Rose (3yo, 9-3): “6-” in previous best, RPR 78. (Card) Noted for a long absence.
  • Verdict (implied from data): Therewillbeglory and Snapretend are the most promising in this maiden based on RPRs.

4.30 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (Div II) (Class 2, 1m, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Maiden races, RPRs, and unexposed horses.
  • Key Facts:Grecian Power (4yo, 9-8): “3” in previous best, RPR 89. (Card)
  • Guarded (3yo, 9-3): “832920” in previous best, RPR 86. (Card)
  • Treasure Rose (3yo, 9-3): “5282” in previous best, RPR 84. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Grecian Power, Guarded, and Treasure Rose appear to be the strongest contenders.

5.00 Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 20th Handicap (Class 2, 1m2f, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Handicap, consistent form, and trainer/jockey combinations.
  • Key Facts:Thegooseiscooked (8yo, 10-0): “032213” in previous best, OR 57, RPR 58. (Card) This horse has a recent win.
  • Sottsands (3yo, 9-9): “550603” in previous best, OR 58, RPR 64. (Card)
  • Roderick (9yo, 9-11): “022515” in previous best, OR 54, RPR 61. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Thegooseiscooked has recent winning form, while Sottsands has the highest RPR.

5.30 Lynn Lodge Stud Maiden (Class 3, 1m2f, Good To Yielding, 3yo+)

  • Theme: Maiden races, RPRs, and trainer’s good season with 2yos (though this is 3yo+).
  • Key Facts:Game Point (3yo, 9-8): “22226” in previous best, RPR 91. (Card)
  • Moon Reign (3yo, 9-8): “4” in previous best, RPR 81. (Card)
  • Saratoga (3yo, 9-8): “3-2” in previous best, RPR 84. (Card)
  • Verdict (implied from data): Game Point has the highest RPR and the best recent form in this maiden.

III. General Insights & Considerations

  • Going: “Good” and “Good To Yielding” are prevalent track conditions across the meetings, with “Soft” appearing at Ascot and “Standard To Slow” at Kempton and Wolverhampton. Horses with proven form on the specific going should be favoured.
  • Age Groups: A mix of age groups is present, from 2yo maidens and nurseries to older horses in handicaps and Group races. Younger horses often carry notes of “unexposed” or “improving,” indicating potential for upsets or continued progression.
  • Trainer Performance (14-day W-R%): This metric provides a quick indicator of a trainer’s current form. Trainers like W. Haggas (71%), A. Balding (74%), R. Varian (86%), and C. Appleby (75%) show high percentages, suggesting their runners are generally in good shape.
  • RPR (Racing Post Rating): This figure is a crucial indicator of a horse’s past performance quality, adjusted for age and weight. Higher RPRs generally indicate a stronger contender, especially in Group and Listed races.
  • Handicap Penalties: Be mindful of penalties incurred for recent wins, as these can significantly impact a horse’s chances by raising its effective weight.

This briefing document provides a comprehensive overview of the key information for the races on Saturday, 6th September 2025, drawing directly from the provided sources.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe