Here is an analysis of the TimeWise top two rated horses for each race at Newton Abbot on 9 September 2025, presented in chronological order, along with an assessment drawing on all available source information:
1.58 NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Awareness Juvenile Hurdle
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Lord (GER) (Tdy Total: 305)
- Manyana Blue (Tdy Total: 260)
- Assessment for Lord (GER):
- Lord (3yo, 11-7) showed ability in his initial two Flat runs when trained in Germany. He performed as the “best of the rest” behind the standout juvenile hurdler Dignam at this course in July and then secured a comfortable win at Fontwell (good to soft). The spotlight verdict identifies him as “the one to beat” and expects him to confirm past placings with Manyana Blue and Genbu. He has a Topspeed (TS) of 55 and Racing Post Rating (RPR) of 111.
- Assessment for Manyana Blue:
- Manyana Blue (3yo, 11-0) is 0-5 on the Flat. She was the favourite when winning easily here ten days ago. However, she was behind Lord here in July and is not weighted to reverse those placings. She has an Official Rating (OR) of 104, TS of 75, and RPR of 100.
2.28 Darnells Dash Novices’ Hurdle
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Jack Hyde (IRE) (Tdy Total: 310)
- Jaminska (FR) (Tdy Total: 261)
- Assessment for Jack Hyde (IRE):
- Jack Hyde (7yo, 11-12) brings the best form to this race, having won twice over hurdles. His last outing saw him finish an encouraging fourth out of 17 in a competitive handicap at the Grand National meeting. His trainer, F O’Brien, has a 78% strike rate in the last 14 days and has won this race twice in three years. He is considered “hard to beat if on his game after a break”. He has an OR of 123, TS of 113, and RPR of 128.
- Assessment for Jaminska (FR):
- Jaminska (6yo, 11-5) returned to novice company after handicapping and managed to beat a subsequent winner, with the pair finishing clear (2m, good; previous win on soft). She is considered a “solid contender getting weight off Jack Hyde” and “could make a race of it”. She has an OR of 110, TS of 97, and RPR of 121.
2.58 Happy Birthday Geoff Hobbs Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Chase
- TimeWise Top Two:
- La Quarite (FR) (Tdy Total: 231)
- Just A Memory (FR) (Tdy Total: 196)
- Assessment for La Quarite (FR):
- La Quarite (5yo, 11-12t) achieved a 36-length win over this course and distance (C&D) in July, but that race “fell apart”. She has not threatened since, being beaten approximately 14 lengths in her last two fence starts, and may be on a tough mark (having won off 12lb lower previously). The race itself is described as “weak”. The spotlight suggests she “looks on a tough mark”. She has an OR of 92, TS of 85, and RPR of 100.
- Assessment for Just A Memory (FR):
- Just A Memory (6yo, 12-0) has been well beaten in 2m5f/2m4f handicap chases. She finished an 8-length second over 3m2f here 19 days ago, but the achievement in that race is “questionable”. She “has a bit to prove back in trip” and the spotlight notes she “may need further”. She has an OR of 94, TS of 66, and RPR of 100.
3.28 ~Axetheracingtax Handicap Hurdle
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Hostile Hotelier (IRE) (Tdy Total: 280)
- Faded Fantasy (IRE) (Tdy Total: 278)
- Assessment for Hostile Hotelier (IRE):
- Hostile Hotelier (7yo, 12-1t) “nearly won off this mark last week at Sedgefield”. His trainer, J Candlish, has a 75% strike rate of runners performing to form in the last 14 days. The softer ground at Newton Abbot “will be fine for him”. He has an OR of 111, TS of 93, and RPR of 111.
- Assessment for Faded Fantasy (IRE):
- Faded Fantasy (6yo, 11-12t) has shown inconsistency but has won his last two races “fairly comfortably” on good ground, including over this C&D. He carries a 10lb hike in weight for that win and “could do with the ground drying out”. The spotlight explicitly states that softer ground “might not be for” him. He has an OR of 108, TS of 91, and RPR of 110.
3.58 Jim Swales Memorial Handicap Hurdle
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Hope Rising (IRE) (Tdy Total: 340)
- Its All About You (IRE) (Tdy Total: 288)
- Assessment for Hope Rising (IRE):
- Hope Rising (4yo, 11-0) is 2-5 in novices. She readily beat a horse seeking a four-timer on her handicap debut here, suggesting she “could be progressive enough to cope with the 6lb rise”. However, all her improvement has been on good ground, and the spotlight indicates she “may prefer drier conditions”. She has an OR of 116, TS of 120, and RPR of 128.
- Assessment for Its All About You (IRE):
- Its All About You (5yo, 11-4p) has had four hurdle runs, winning in maiden/novice company (good to soft; soft) and placing closely in one of his two handicaps. He recently won a Class 4 Flat handicap over 2m at Chester ten days ago. His trainer, J Candlish, has a 75% strike rate. He is considered a “major player” and the “nap” (top selection), with the expectation that he will continue his good form. He has an OR of 118, TS of 105, and RPR of 129.
4.30 Murray Group Handicap Chase
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Juggernaut (FR) (Tdy Total: 264)
- Papa Barns (IRE) (Tdy Total: 232)
- Assessment for Juggernaut (FR):
- Juggernaut (6yo, 12-0t) has improved significantly over hurdles in his last three appearances, most recently finishing second here over 2m1f (good to soft). He “has the scope for fences,” and Sam Twiston-Davies takes over the ride. The spotlight verdict names him as the preference, noting he “brings momentum into his chasing debut”. He has an OR of 105.
- Assessment for Papa Barns (IRE):
- Papa Barns (8yo, 10-11t1) has tried chasing twice in Ireland, including an 11-length second in a 2m handicap. His best of three hurdle starts for Olly Murphy was a second-place finish off 3lb lower at Worcester. He “has to be feared in a first-time tongue-tie”. The spotlight states he “has to get back on track but he showed plenty of promise in one of his two chase starts when based in Ireland”. He has an OR of 88 and RPR of 97.
5.00 newtonabbotracing.com Open National Hunt Flat Race
- TimeWise Top Two:
- Axel Bleue (Tdy Total: 273)
- Victors Spirit (SAF) (Tdy Total: 210)
- Assessment for Axel Bleue:
- Axel Bleue (5yo, 11-9t) won a point and a soft-ground bumper at Market Rasen. He ran well under a penalty at Worcester but was outpaced on good ground. He is an “obvious contender” and “getting back on slower ground should help him”. His RPR is 106.
- Assessment for Victors Spirit (SAF):
- Victors Spirit (4yo, 10-6) is a half-brother to two South African Flat winners. He was only collared late on by a stablemate of Axel Bleue at Stratford (good to firm). However, given his pedigree, this softer surface “could be an issue”. He is receiving a significant amount of weight from the previous winner. His RPR is 105.
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