Ballinrobe; Here is an analysis of the chances of the TimeWise top two rated horses for all the races at Ballinrobe:

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3.55 Burke’s Clonbur 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle

  1. Bridezilla (IRE): Rated 256 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.50.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old filly, rated 64 on the Flat, made a “good start hurdling” last month, finishing second in a Ballinrobe maiden on similar ground despite an early blunder. The spotlight verdict indicates she is a “major player if handling this softer ground”. Her latest Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 116, with a master RPR of 119. Her trainer, A Slattery, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Wackestone (IRE): Rated 216 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.00.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding won a barrier trial last summer and showed his best form on the Flat when finishing third in a decent 1m2f Navan maiden (soft ground), for which he gained an 80 rating. Despite an absence, he is “entitled to major respect on hurdles debut with ground to suit” and is rated 17lb superior to Bridezilla on Flat ratings. His trainer, G Elliott, has an impressive 89% win-rate in the last 14 days.

4.25 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle

  1. Korinthia (IRE): Rated 319 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.10.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old mare won two bumpers at Wexford and Limerick but was a disappointing favourite at Cheltenham in a Listed bumper, finishing fifth. She is considered the “type to progress now going over obstacles”, and a 300-day absence is not a concern for her yard. She will be wearing a hood on her return. The spotlight verdict tips her to win, identifying her as a “nice prospect”. Her trainer, W Mullins, has a 43% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Oh Janey (IRE): Rated 251 by TimeWise, with odds of 7.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old mare is “getting her act together”, having finished fourth at Roscommon and runner-up at Perth recently. She has a Topspeed of 105 and a latest RPR of 117. While she needs to “prove herself on slower ground”, “further progress is not out of the question”. The spotlight does not include her in its top two main contenders but mentions her “further progress not out of the question”. Her trainer, S Crawford, does not have a specific win-rate listed for this race in the provided sources.

5.00 Michael Cawe Suspended Ceilings Handicap Hurdle

  1. Mica Malpic (FR): Rated 302 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.75.
    • Assessment: This eight-year-old gelding is a better chaser, rated 131 after a narrow defeat in the Midlands National. This will be his first run over hurdles in over two years, and he “warrants respect off this 15lb lower mark” over hurdles, though “bigger chase targets” are likely his main aim. The spotlight considers him a “potentially well-handicapped top-weight”. His latest RPR is 116, with a master RPR of 130. His trainer, D E Bolger, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Mephisto (IRE): Rated 285 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.50.
    • Assessment: This eight-year-old gelding is in “terrific form” and is seeking a four-timer, having won three times last month at Wexford, Ballinrobe, and Tramore on decent ground. Despite being “up an aggregate of 23lb”, he “won so well at Tramore that he could still be ahead of the handicapper”. The spotlight verdict suggests he “can complete a four-timer” as he is “in the form of his life”. His latest RPR is 114, with a master RPR of 116. His trainer, G Keane, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.

5.30 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Hurdle

  1. Carried With Love (IRE): Rated 298 by TimeWise, with odds of 7.50.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old mare won a maiden hurdle last season and showed a “career best second at Killarney last month” when stepping up to this trip. She “handles slower conditions and probably more to come at this distance”. The spotlight identifies her as an “obvious threat given she handles this ground” and is a “live contender”. Her trainer, J P O’Brien, has a 67% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Ad Caelum (IRE): Rated 297 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.00.
    • Assessment: This six-year-old mare achieved her fourth win over timber with a 3m2f course success last month. Despite a “7lb hike” and her “very best form” being on a quicker surface, she has won with soft going, so “can’t be ruled out”. She will be dropping back in trip. Her trainer, C J Ryan, has a 17% win-rate in the last 14 days.

6.00 P&D Lydon Mares Beginners Chase

  1. Mozzies Sister (IRE): Rated 266 by TimeWise, with odds of 1.80.
    • Assessment: This six-year-old mare has won a point-to-point, two bumpers, and a maiden hurdle, and has been placed several times in Graded company over hurdles. Her chase debut comes after being outpaced in a Cork conditions event last month, which should have prepared her. The spotlight notes she is a “much better hurdler” and represents a trainer/rider combination that recently had an impressive chase debut winner. Her trainer, D Queally, has a 100% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Littlebiggie (IRE): Rated 235 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.50.
    • Assessment: This eight-year-old mare won a Killarney maiden hurdle and has shown good form in her two recent chase attempts, finishing second at Wexford and Tramore. She is considered a “big player with that experience under her belt”. However, the spotlight notes she “may find one too good here” and is “good bit inferior to Mozzies Sister over hurdles”. Her trainer, D R Hackett, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.

6.30 Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Chase (0-100)

  1. My Friend The Wind (IRE): Rated 252 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
    • Assessment: This ten-year-old gelding is a hurdle winner at this track and recently secured his first chase win at Kilbeggan. He “may have won by further without an error in the closing stages and 5lb rise looks workable”. The spotlight tips him to “follow up” on his recent success, suggesting the 5lb rise “could be on the lenient side”. His latest RPR is 90, with a master RPR of 101. His trainer, E McNamara, is listed as 0-1-2 in this race’s trainer statistics.
  2. Thehairyfella (IRE): Rated 235 by TimeWise, with odds of 11.00.
    • Assessment: This ten-year-old gelding finally got off the mark over fences at Downpatrick in July. However, he “hasn’t built on that since” and was pulled up a long way out at Kilbeggan in his latest outing. His trainer, G Elliott, has an 89% win-rate in the last 14 days.

7.00 Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase

  1. Itsalonglongroad: Rated 251 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.00.
    • Assessment: This eleven-year-old gelding has a “respectable strike-rate over fences”, with his latest win coming at Tramore last month. Despite a 3lb rise and facing competition for the lead, he is “hard to put a line through”. The spotlight includes him on the shortlist, noting his “gutsy all-the-way win”. His latest RPR is 102, with a master RPR of 115. His trainer, C Coakley, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Parkgarve (IRE): Rated 245 by TimeWise, with odds of 7.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old maiden arrives coming off a “career best second” in a Downpatrick handicap hurdle last month. However, he “would need to be even better over fences to defy this mark on chase debut”. His trainer, I Donoghue, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.

7.30 OCL Laundry (Pro-Am) INH Flat Race

  1. Blue Waters (IRE): Rated 270 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.25.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old mare showed an encouraging debut and then was “much improved” to win over the course and distance last month. The runner-up from that race has since won well at Galway, making her a “major player”. The spotlight’s NAP (best bet) is Blue Waters, stating her victory “was well franked by the impressive win of the runner-up at Galway on Monday”. Her trainer, G Elliott, has an 89% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Governors Rock (IRE): Rated 226 by TimeWise, with odds of 8.00.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old gelding built on his bumper debut to win at Wexford, being “always close up”. He is debuting for a new yard. The spotlight suggests he “hold place claims”. His trainer, D M Fahey, has a 67% win-rate in the last 14 days.

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