Chester; Here is an analysis of the chances of the TimeWise top two rated horses for all races at Chester:

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1.05 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back EBF Restricted Novice Stakes

  1. Going Commando: Rated 277 by TimeWise, with no odds provided in the TimeWise list, but 7-1 according to spotlight.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 7lb and racing with cheekpieces, showed a “creditable second” over the course and distance on good ground in May. However, his form has not been as good since, including when beaten in plating company, indicating he “needs to up his game”. His latest Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 73, with a master RPR of 77. His trainer, A Keatley, has an 80% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Nutbean: Rated 157 by TimeWise, with odds of 51.00.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 5lb, finished “down-the-field” as a 66-1 shot on his first two starts, both over 6f last month. The spotlight suggests that a “favourable draw not enough to make him of interest here”. His latest Topspeed is 14, and his RPR is 39. His trainer, J & S Quinn, has a 38% win-rate in the last 14 days.

1.40 ESL Export Restricted Novice Stakes

  1. Inns Of Fear (IRE): Rated 243 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.50.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 5lb and wearing first-time cheekpieces, “looked promising when placed on both Irish starts” in the autumn. However, he has yet to match that form for his new stable this year, finishing only fifth of seven on his recent handicap debut at Lingfield (1m, AW). He “needs first-time cheekpieces to prompt a better effort”. His latest RPR is 83. His trainer, O Greenall & J Guerriero, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Magic Boy (GER): Rated 223 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.88.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 3lb, has been “in the frame all four starts”, most recently finishing a clear second of four behind a warm favourite at Musselburgh (1m, good) last month. He has the inside draw and “ought to be suited by the drop back in trip”, making him a “big player”. The spotlight prefers him over Zarathos, who is 0-14. His latest RPR is 90. His trainer, N Tinkler, has no specific win-rate listed in the provided sources for this race.

2.10 Xenon Workplace Handicap

  1. Gentle Warrior (IRE): Rated 286 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.88.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding, carrying 8st 13lb, has a “solid record in handicaps” and recently “drew clear to win” an apprentice jockeys’ race by over 3l at Haydock (1m6f, good). He “escapes a penalty and is 7lb well in here”, making him “hard to beat if in similar form”. The spotlight verdict tips him to strike again, having taken his form to a “whole new level”. His latest RPR is 95. His trainer, K Burke, has a 52% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Scarlet Moon: Rated 276 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.50.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old filly, carrying 9st 11lb and racing with cheekpieces, has won 4 of her 6 starts since switching to handicaps this season, including a front-running win in July at Sandown (1m6f, good). She “may yet have more to offer”. Her latest RPR is 89. Her trainer, D A Watson, has a 64% win-rate in the last 14 days.

2.45 Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap

  1. Mayday Malone: Rated 302 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.50.
    • Assessment: This progressive three-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 10lb, has been successful over this course and distance (C&D) in June and at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) last month. He “makes obvious appeal from the inside stall” (stall 1). The spotlight considers him the NAP (best bet), suggesting he is “still on the upgrade” and has a “good chance of making it three wins from his last four starts”. His latest RPR is 94. His trainer, Michael Bell, has a 70% win-rate in this specific race.
  2. Benacre (IRE): Rated 298 by TimeWise, with odds of 9.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 8lb, is a front-runner who “held on well to win” a Racing League event at Southwell (7f, AW) a fortnight ago. He is expected to perform well on turf and “is probably still on a workable mark after 4lb rise”. His latest RPR is 92. His trainer, Charlie Johnston, has a 72% win-rate in the last 14 days.

3.17 Deepbridge Capital Fillies’ Handicap

  1. Vixey: Rated 276 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.75.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old mare, carrying 9st 9lb, has been “resurgent” this season with three wins and arguably posted her “career-best performance” when finishing a strong second over 7.6f here in July, despite being denied a clear run. She “commands respect” and the spotlight suggests she can gain compensation for being unlucky. Her latest RPR is 82. Her trainer, S West, has a 100% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Little Keilee (IRE): Rated 260 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.50.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old mare, carrying 9st 4lb, is 0-9 for her current stable but has posted “some good efforts in defeat”, including a recent third at Lingfield (7f, AW). However, her “tendency to race too freely and/or start slowly is a nagging concern”. Her latest RPR is 82. Her trainer, J Owen, has a 52% win-rate in the last 14 days.

3.50 Matthew Clark Handicap

  1. Chillhi (IRE): Rated 278 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.50.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 8lb, has won three times for his new stable since the spring, including a 17l victory in a selling handicap hurdle last Saturday. He faces a tougher task on his Flat return, but his jockey (Ashley Lewis) claims a “useful 7lb”, making him “one to consider”. His latest RPR is 73. His trainer, J Owen, has a 52% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Simiyann (IRE): Rated 270 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding, carrying 10st 2lb, has two wins this season, most recently when too strong for an odds-on favourite at Ffos Las (2m, good) last month. He is not ideally drawn but a recent 2lb nudge “ought to be manageable”. His latest RPR is 73. His trainer, I Williams, has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days.

4.20 Livescorebet Handicap (Div I)

  1. Dapper Valley (IRE): Rated 269 by TimeWise, with odds of 1.91.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old gelding, carrying 10st 5lb and reapplied cheekpieces, “took advantage of a drop in grade when winning easily” at Kempton (6f AW) last week. His 5lb penalty is “effectively negated by claiming rider” and he is “well poised to attack from an inside berth; the one to beat”. The spotlight verdict also tips Dapper Valley, stating he seems “rejuvenated”. His latest RPR is 82. His trainer, J Owen, has a 52% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Wichahpi: Rated 228 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.50.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old filly, carrying 9st 10lb, is close to her last winning mark and has “knocked at the door” in her last two starts, finishing third at Beverley (5f, soft) and runner-up at Hamilton (6f, good to soft). Her latest effort was boosted by the third-placed horse winning subsequently, making her “one of the likeliest candidates”. Her latest RPR is 75. Her trainer, B Smart, has a 57% win-rate in the last 14 days.

4.55 Livescorebet Handicap (Div II)

  1. Giant: Rated 272 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.50.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding, carrying 10st 0lb, won at Chelmsford (1m) four weeks ago on his first start for his current trainer. He has limited experience on turf (0-4) and is handicapped 6lb lower than his AW mark. He is “handily drawn with Hollie Doyle booked”. The spotlight’s verdict is for Giant, highlighting that he is “unexposed on turf” and has a “handy low draw”. His latest RPR is 80. His trainer, I Williams, has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. B Associates (IRE): Rated 270 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding, carrying 9st 5lb, was fourth in this race last year and has been in “productive spell” recently, with recent second-place finishes (visored) complementing earlier wins. However, he “can often miss the break though, which isn’t ideal at Chester”. The spotlight notes he arrives in form but his tendency to miss the start is a drawback at Chester. His latest RPR is 74. His trainer, J Owen, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days for this specific race.

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