1:15 Doncaster – 6½f ‘Carrie Red’ EBF Fillies’ Nursery (C2, 2yo) – Going: Good | Stalls: Centre
Pace & Draw Angles:
Donny’s straight is fair with stalls centre; any bias is usually pace-led. Likely pace from March Ahead (3) (made all latest). Half Sovereign (8), Rogue Temptation (1) and Gwen John (12) can be prominent/track. Siouxpersonic (10), If I Could Dream (6) look mid/held-up. Setup hints at an even-to-solid gallop, suiting strong travellers who can quicken from midfield. Draw neutral, but early position will matter.
Strongest Contenders
- Rogue Temptation (1) – OR 82 – Progressive P
Close 2nd at Ripon under a penalty (form boosted by the winner running well in the Lowther). Strong 6f form, shapes like 6½f will suit, opening mark looks workable. Bethell often improves them on nursery debut. Major player. - Half Sovereign (8) – OR 84 – Proven p
Form 4111; impressed winning a warm Newmarket nursery over 7f. Drops slightly in trip, still fine on good. Carries the classier weight but profile screams reliable/progressive. - Gwen John (12) – OR 78 – Progressive p
Solid novice runs (1-2-2), split by a win; narrowly denied by March Ahead when ridden handy. Haggas/Murq’ strike rates strong; scope to improve again switched to nurseries. - Brisk Symphony (9) – OR 82 – Progressive p
Back-to-back wins at 6f (good to firm). Topspeed modest but efficient/likeable, travels strongly; has more to come now handicapping.
Main Dangers
- Siouxpersonic (10) – OR 73 – Promising P
Eyecatcher over 5f at Thirsk, strong late work; this step back up in trip looks ideal and mark leaves upside. Interesting at prices if they ride for a tow. - Miss Piggle (4) – OR 72 – Reset angle
AW debut winner; turf efforts dipped, but wind op + Oisin Murphy is a notable combo. Could bounce back if the tweak worked.
Interesting Outsiders
- Bearin Up (13) – OR 67 – Promising P
Consistent in modest races; bottom weight in a deeper heat but profiles like one who can travel and nick a place if they go hard. - March Ahead (3) – OR 75 – Pace angle
Made all to beat Gwen John at Carlisle; this is tougher and won’t get an uncontested lead so easily, but still a factor for the frame if controlling fractions.
Runner Scores /10 & Suitability Notes
- Rogue Temptation (1) – 8.5/10 – Trip/ground ideal, nursery debut looks well-timed; strong novice line through the Lowther form. P
- Half Sovereign (8) – 8/10 – Proven, thriving, slight nudge up in class/weight but rock-solid. p
- Gwen John (12) – 7.5/10 – Consistent, still learning; tactically versatile, drawn wide but fine. p
- Brisk Symphony (9) – 7.5/10 – Improving; needs to translate novice efficiency to a hotter pace. p
- Siouxpersonic (10) – 7.5/10 – Mark gives upside; up in trip should unlock more; hold-up risk. P
- Miss Piggle (4) – 6.5/10 – Reset angle (wind op + jockey); needs turf lift but plausible bounce.
- March Ahead (3) – 6.5/10 – Likely pace; faces more pressure; place squeak if dictating.
- Bearin Up (13) – 6.5/10 – Bottom weight, unexposed; place chance if they go too hard. P
- If I Could Dream (6) – 6/10 – Genuine, a shade one-paced; 6½f asks for a gear she hasn’t shown yet.
- Love Olivia (7) – 5.5/10 – Class relief helps, but stamina for 6½f not obvious.
- Concert (2) – 5.5/10 – Opening mark looks stiff on what she’s achieved.
- Goldie Bear (11) – 5/10 – Honest but limited; opposed at this level.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (3 places likely)
- Siouxpersonic – mark/shape screams late closer at a price.
- Bearin Up – bottom-weight, consistent, can outrun odds if pace burns.
Private Tissue (Raceform Data)
- Rogue Temptation 7/2
- Half Sovereign 4/1
- Gwen John 11/2
- Brisk Symphony 6/1
- Siouxpersonic 8/1
- Miss Piggle 12/1
- March Ahead 12/1
- Bearin Up 14/1
- Love Olivia 16/1
- If I Could Dream 16/1
- Concert 16/1
- Goldie Bear 25/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary
Even-to-strong pace with March Ahead the obvious hare. The class/progressive pair Half Sovereign and Rogue Temptation look the right end of this, with Gwen John and Brisk Symphony solid. Siouxpersonic is the sneaky improver stepping back up in trip.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Rogue Temptation – nursery mark looks lenient on boosted novice form; ideal setup at 6½f.
- Each-way saver: Siouxpersonic – promising closer with the right trip and a workable mark.
1:50 Doncaster – 6½f Weatherbys Scientific £300,000 2-Y-O Stakes (C2, 2yo) | Going: Good | Stalls: Centre
Pace & Draw Angles:
Sales races over the straight 6½f at Donny are usually truly run with multiple pace angles. Likely forward group from Song Of The Clyde (20), Kamakameleon (15), Slay Queen (14), Tadej (1), Inca Heights (15) and possibly Bushwacker (4) (first-time pieces). Even-to-strong pace expected, suiting strong travellers who can sit mid-division and launch late. Draw generally neutral-to-fair when pace is spread, as it looks today.
Strongest Contenders
Jel Pepper (20) – RPR peak 117 – Proven (p)
Best at the weights on the Naas run, earlier G2 July Stakes 3rd and won on debut soft; gelded prior to Naas. Shaped best of the low stand at Naas; this more even setup helps. Sets the standard.
Brussels (2) – RPR 106 – Promising (P)
Lightly raced Ballydoyle colt with G2 depth; ran well in the July Stakes and a solid Listed second at Tipperary. Scope to step forward again and these sales race terms are favourable.
Song Of The Clyde (10) – RPR 103 – Progressive (p)
Impressive York sales race winner (stuck on strongly), unexposed and still improving. Extra ½f fine; big-pot double very plausible if he repeats.
Tadej (1) – RPR 111 – Proven (p)
G3 winner at Deauville; below-par at York but the overall profile is upward. If he rebounds, he’s right there. Classy.
Calendar Girl (22) – RPR 105 – Promising (P)
Smooth Newbury winner; Epsom defeat still reads strong (winner franked). Receives filly allowance; unexposed against colts, well-in profile.
Rising Empire (16) – RPR 99 – Promising (P)
Woodcote 5th reads well; Balding yard with previous winners of this race. Freshness angle and unexposed.
Inca Heights (15) – RPR 95 – Progressive (p)
Cox’s second string on paper but tidy Salisbury run under a penalty; more to come, trainer confident about trip.
Main Dangers / Interesting at Prices
Poatan (9) – RPR 98 – Promising (P)
Wind-op then took a big step forward winning at Windsor, doing it the right way (strong late). Can improve again.
Mr Seagull (5) – RPR 96 – Promising (P)
Only two runs; KEMP second carrying a penalty after a tight debut win. Lots of upside; this is deeper but he could rate higher.
Battle Apple (6) – RPR 95 – Promising (P)
Ascot 7f novice 2nd of 14 (fast figure). This slight drop looks ideal; strong each-way credentials.
Golden Brown (19) – RPR 100 – Progressive (p)
Ran a quietly good 6th in the York sales race; could pick up pieces again at a price.
Slay Queen (13) – RPR 98 – Progressive (p)
Coming here off a Goodwood nursery double (small fields); needs more but trending up.
Runner Scores /10 & Suitability Notes
(p = progressive; P = promising/upside)
- Jel Pepper (20) – 9/10 – Best at weights, G2-solid, handles soft/good; strong standard. p
- Brussels (2) – 8.5/10 – Lightly raced with G2 form; scope for more in a big field. P
- Song Of The Clyde (10) – 8.5/10 – York winner; pace/shape should suit again; must back it up. p
- Tadej (1) – 8/10 – G3 class; forgive York and he’s a danger to all. p
- Calendar Girl (22) – 8/10 – Filly weight pull + progressive; good fit for pace. P
- Rising Empire (16) – 7.5/10 – Woodcote form solid; trainer knows this race; fresh angle. P
- Poatan (9) – 7.5/10 – Post-op leap; extra yardage okay; improver profile. P
- Mr Seagull (5) – 7.5/10 – Twice-raced talent; big-field unknown, upside large. P
- Battle Apple (6) – 7.5/10 – Strong Ascot novice; 6½f ideal; lively EW. P
- Inca Heights (15) – 7/10 – Penalty run good; stable confident; place player. p
- Golden Brown (19) – 7/10 – York run respectable; can sneak late money. p
- Slay Queen (13) – 6.5/10 – Progressing; needs another jump in this company. p
- Kamakameleon (8) – 6.5/10 – Best of near-side at York; pace angle; place squeak. p
- Bushwacker (14) – 6/10 – Cheekpieces 1st time; up in class; needs a surge.
- Goldwork (4) – 6/10 – Goodwood maiden win reads well; gelded since flop; wildcard bounce.
- Gaga Mate (3) – 5.5/10 – 5f profile; didn’t back up Super Sprint; stamina/level to prove.
- Lady Britain (11) – 5.5/10 – Beverley C6 wins; huge rise in grade/trip drop.
- Ambishio (17) – 5/10 – 5f profile and struggled in Super Sprint; hard to fancy.
- Cashbox (18) – 5/10 – Shows ability but wrong side of weights/class.
- Lion Of Mali (21) – 4.5/10 – Modest AW figure; lots to find.
- Blakefell (7) – 4/10 – Lowest baseline RPR; needs giant leap.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.
Each-Way Angles (6+ places usually paid in these)
- Battle Apple – strongly run 6½f looks spot on; unexposed, solid figures.
- Poatan – post-op improver with a finishing kick.
- Rising Empire – Balding’s record in this race + unexposed profile.
- Golden Brown – York-sales form suggests he can run into the frame at a price.
Private Tissue (Raceform Data)
- Jel Pepper 4/1
- Song Of The Clyde 11/2
- Brussels 11/2
- Tadej 7/1
- Calendar Girl 8/1
- Rising Empire 12/1
- Poatan 12/1
- Mr Seagull 12/1
- Battle Apple 14/1
- Inca Heights 16/1
- Golden Brown 18/1
- Slay Queen 20/1
- Kamakameleon 25/1
- Bushwacker 25/1
- Goldwork 25/1
- Gaga Mate 33/1
- Lady Britain 40/1
- Ambishio 50/1
- Cashbox 50/1
- Lion Of Mali 66/1
- Blakefell 150/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary & Race Shape
Expect a strong, honest gallop with several pace angles. Classy benchmarks Jel Pepper / Brussels / Tadej set the top bar; Song Of The Clyde brings the hot sales-race form; Calendar Girl is the best-weighted improver among the fillies. Several unexposed types (Rising Empire, Poatan, Mr Seagull, Battle Apple) add depth and EW juice.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Jel Pepper — best at the weights with Group form; versatile ground/trip and powerful figure base.
- Each-way savers: Battle Apple and Poatan — both unexposed closers with profiles to improve into a strongly run 6½f.
2:25 Doncaster – 1m May Hill Stakes (G2, 2yo fillies) | Going: Good | Stalls: Centre
Pace & Draw Angles:
Likely pace from Moon Target (6) (won twice by making plenty of running) with Samra Green (2) and Timeforshowcasing (4) handy. Aylin (1) typically stalks; Venetian Lace (7) can sit just off them. Donny straight mile with stalls centre is usually draw neutral; a solid, even pace expected which should suit strong stayers at 1m.
Strongest Contenders
Moon Target (6) – RPR 109 – Proven p
Steamrolled two novices (13l aggregate) then a good 2nd in the Prestige (G3), shaping like 1m is a positive. By Cracksman, out of a half-sister to the 2021 May Hill winner – this is her race on paper. Track, trip, ground: all ticked.
Venetian Lace (7) – RPR 108 – Progressive p
Sweet Solera 3rd (kept straight; good figure) after solid Royal Ascot/Sweet Solera campaigns. Pedigree screams mile (Masar × Dubawi mare). Big player if seeing it out strongly.
Aylin (1) – RPR 102 – Progressive p
Prestige 3rd (one place behind Moon Target) after a Goodwood maiden win. Drawn 1 to track the pace line; looks ready for the step up to 1m. Burke won this in 2017/2023.
Sugar Island (9) – RPR 93 – Promising P
Dubawi filly who won her maiden then disappointed in G3 over 1m. Ballydoyle can rebound sharply second time up in pattern company; pedigree and set-up suggest better is in the locker.
Pacific Mission (5) – RPR 97 – Promising P
Juddmonte Lope De Vega from a Dansili family. Much sharper 2nd time when winning at Kempton; this step to a mile looks what she’s bred for. Untapped upside.
Rose Ghaiyyath (8) – RPR 94 – Promising P
Narrow Deauville debut winner (7f, soft). Form hard to peg but she’s all raw potential and could improve plenty for a mile.
Runner Scores /10 & Suitability
(p = progressive; P = promising/upside)
- Moon Target (6) – 9/10 – Classiest form; will relish 1m; likely pace control. p
- Venetian Lace (7) – 8.5/10 – Solid G2/G3 figures; pedigree screams 1m; strong each-way. p
- Aylin (1) – 8/10 – Tracks nicely from 1; Prestige tie-in solid; more to come at 1m. p
- Pacific Mission (5) – 7.5/10 – Kempton winner with mile pedigree; improver angle. P
- Sugar Island (9) – 7.5/10 – Forgive last run; Ballydoyle rebound possible; hood off, new track. P
- Rose Ghaiyyath (8) – 7/10 – Bunched debut form but scopey; could step up markedly. P
- Samra Green (2) – 6.5/10 – Game Haydock win; big class rise but will stay and travel.
- Timeforshowcasing (4) – 5.5/10 – Lowther exposed limits; 1m a try but faces deeper filly types.
- Swift Winds (9) – 5/10 – Honest but below Group standard on bare numbers.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from maiden/novice wins stepping into Group class.
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Each-Way Angles (9 runners)
- Venetian Lace – rock-solid figures, looks to improve for 1m.
- Pacific Mission – pedigree screams mile and open to a chunk of improvement at a price.
Private Tissue (Raceform Data)
- Moon Target 13/8
- Venetian Lace 4/1
- Aylin 9/2
- Sugar Island 8/1
- Pacific Mission 9/1
- Rose Ghaiyyath 10/1
- Samra Green 16/1
- Timeforshowcasing 28/1
- Swift Winds 50/1
Summary & Race Shape
A truly run mile with Moon Target likely to assert near the front. Her Prestige second and stout pedigree point to a peak today. Venetian Lace is the main danger on the figures with the mile a plus; Aylin ties in closely and is drawn to stalk. Sugar Island/Pacific Mission are the dark horses to make a leap.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Moon Target – strongest form, perfect set-up for 1m, pedigree aligns with past winners.
- Each-way saver: Venetian Lace – Group-level figures and likely to improve for the step up in trip.
3:00 Doncaster – 1m6½f Betfred Park Hill Fillies’ Stakes (G2, 3yo+) | Going: Good to Soft | Stalls: Inside
Pace & Draw Angles:
No obvious out-and-out front-runner. Chorus and Secret Of Love can be handy; most of the principals (Danielle, Consent, Crepe Suzette, Elana Osario, Floresta) are ridden to settle and finish. Expect a steady-to-even tempo that could turn tactical before building from 5f out. On good to soft, stamina will still bite late. Draw not a major factor over the Town Moor staying trip; positioning is.
Strongest Contenders
- Danielle (2) – 4yo – Proven stayer – p
G2 Lillie Langtry (1m6f, Goodwood) 2nd on seasonal return is top staying form in here; softish ground and trip ideal; scope to improve fitness-wise for that run. Big chance. - Consent (8) – 3yo – Promising stayer – P
Lightly raced, unlucky G3 Deauville (1m4f) second after traffic; shapes like this trip will suit well (Prescott filly; will stay if settling). WFA (8-12) is a notable pull versus the older mares. Major improver. - Crepe Suzette (9) – 3yo – Progressive – p
Listed Galtres (1m4f) 2nd, finishing best; trainer says this extra yardage will help. Another with WFA, form trending the right way. - Elana Osario (3) – 4yo – Tough/progressive – p
G3 Cork (1m4f) winner latest; prior 1m5f run style screams she’ll stay further; handles cut; grinder who keeps finding. - Floresta (10) – 3yo – Promising – P
Won Leopardstown 1m6f Listed nicely, strong through the line. Takes a step up but profile says there’s more to come over staying trips. - Santorini Star (5) – 4yo – Stayer – p
Bolting home at 2m on fast in York handicap; drop back in trip a slight niggle, but easier ground brings stamina into play. Can figure if it turns into a test.
Live Outsiders
- Strassia (6) – French G2 3rd at 1m7f (soft) last autumn; if ready first run for new yard, she’s a stamina/soft-ground sleeper at a price.
- Zilfee (7) – Sea The Stars half to Enable; raw but bred to relish this. Big leap needed, yet lightly raced and yard excels in this race.
Runner Scores /10 & Suitability
(p = progressive; P = promising/upside)
- Danielle – 8.8/10 – Peak staying form; ground/trip ideal; fitter 2nd run. p
- Consent – 8.5/10 – Unlucky last time; WFA & pedigree scream 1m6f; just needs to settle. P
- Crepe Suzette – 8.0/10 – York finish-upgrade; extra yardage a plus; WFA helps. p
- Elana Osario – 7.8/10 – Tough, improving; should stay; handles ease. p
- Floresta – 7.6/10 – L’stown 1m6 Listed winner; upward curve; depth test today. P
- Santorini Star – 7.3/10 – Out-and-out stayer; softer ground can offset drop in trip. p
- Strassia – 6.8/10 – Back class at 1m7f on soft; fitness/trainer switch the questions.
- Chorus – 6.2/10 – Trip may help; overall level a bit shy for G2.
- Secret Of Love – 6.0/10 – Honest; needs a chunk more at this level.
- Zilfee – 5.8/10 – Big pedigree; huge class rise; embryonic.
- Queens Fort – 5.6/10 – Absence to overcome; has to step forward plenty.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form stayers turning out after a recent peak; they can carry the form forward.
Each-Way Angles (11 runners)
- Crepe Suzette – strong York finish suggests 1m6½f is perfect; WFA handy.
- Elana Osario – tough & thriving; stays/handles ease; trades around each-way territory.
- Strassia – if primed, has soft-ground stamina to outrun big odds.
Private Tissue (Raceform Data)
- Danielle 11/4
- Consent 7/2
- Crepe Suzette 9/2
- Elana Osario 13/2
- Floresta 8/1
- Santorini Star 9/1
- Strassia 16/1
- Chorus 25/1
- Secret Of Love 25/1
- Zilfee 25/1
- Queens Fort 33/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.
Summary & Race Shape
Likely steady-to-even early, then building from halfway. That plays to classy, uncomplicated stayers with a turn of foot. Danielle sets the standard on form at the trip and should be sharper now. Consent is the WFA improver with stamina to find more; Crepe Suzette and Elana Osario are rock-solid dangers; Floresta is the progressive Irish filly stepping into deeper waters.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Danielle — best proven 1m6f form, ground/tempo ideal, fitter second run.
- Each-way saver: Consent — lightly raced, unlucky last time, WFA and pedigree scream she’ll stay and improve.
3:35 Doncaster – 1m2f Oddschecker Handicap (C2, 3yo; 0–105) | Going: Good to Soft | Stalls: Inside
Pace/Draw snapshot: Inside stalls can be handy on the round 10f at Donny. No obvious tearaway; Immediate Effect/Devil’s Advocate can be handy, Hopewell Rock/First Principle track, closers like Castle Stuart/Respond. Likely even–muddling early, then building from 4f out. Handy/mid with a turn of foot looks optimal.
Strongest contenders
Respond (10) – OR 86 – Promising P
Took a Haydock 10f maiden well (third since won), travels and quickens, and gets bottom weight. Unexposed, scopey son of Ghaiyyath; soft isn’t a negative on pedigree. Big chance to progress again.
Hopewell Rock (3) – OR 94 – Promising P
2-2 at 2 (incl heavy). Shaped like he’d need it on reappearance when 3rd in a hot Newbury 10f; fitter now and this ground is a plus. Solid improver angle.
First Principle (8) – OR 88 – Progressive p
2/3 and barely off the bridle at Windsor; up to 10f, Haggas flying, first-time tongue-tie. Mark doesn’t scream gift, but he’s very likely better than 88.
Castle Stuart (4) – OR 94 – Progressive p
Strong finish to dead-heat 3rd at York Ebor meeting despite racing keen and wide. Has soft-ground form and should step forward for the new yard. Needs a smoother run but profile is solid.
Molveno (1) – OR 105 – Classy/unknown p
Italian Derby (11f) winner; returns from a break. Classy but burdened by top weight; ground okay; fitter in the market = danger, but he must be proper Group class to defy 105 here.
Devil’s Advocate (2) – OR 104 – Reset needed
Dante 4th reads well but two poor runs since (including post-gelding). Dropping in class helps, still questions to answer.
Runner scores /10 (suitability & today’s set-up)
- Respond – 8.5/10 – Bottom weight, unexposed, shape screams handicap lift. P
- Hopewell Rock – 8/10 – Bounce factor + ground; likely to step forward fitness-wise. P
- First Principle – 8/10 – Trainer/jockey/trend horse; needs to prove mark but has upside. p
- Castle Stuart – 7.8/10 – Big York upgrade; soft okay; if he settles, bang there. p
- Molveno – 7/10 – Classy but lumping 9-9 off a break in a deep 3yo handicap. p
- Immediate Effect – 6.8/10 – Rock-solid but keeps finding one; place more likely.
- Palazzo Blu – 6.5/10 – Could step up with ease in ground; minor place squeak.
- Hot Cash – 6.3/10 – Soft helps; needs a figure jump at 10f.
- Devil’s Advocate – 6/10 – Class drop noted; must rebound.
- Wolf Of Badenoch – 4.5/10 – Trip a big unknown; recent form cold.
Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form improvers turning up quickly; they can carry form forward.
Each-way angles (10 runners; 3 places)
- Castle Stuart – strong finisher; soft okay; fair mark.
- Hopewell Rock – fitness to come; heavy-ground win at 2 suggests conditions suit.
Private tissue (my prices)
- Respond 7/2
- Hopewell Rock 4/1
- First Principle 5/1
- Castle Stuart 6/1
- Molveno 8/1
- Devil’s Advocate 12/1
- Immediate Effect 12/1
- Palazzo Blu 16/1
- Hot Cash 16/1
- Wolf Of Badenoch 40/1
Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start back or first start in handicaps.
Summary & Smart Play (Pro punter view)
Likely even tempo turning into a dash, making unexposed, well-positioned finishers the ones to side with. Respond gets weight, has a progressive profile, and his Haydock form already works out. Hopewell Rock is very likely to strip much fitter and relishes some ease; Castle Stuart is the strong-finishing each-way type, especially if they go any stronger mid-race. First Principle has “could be better than a handicapper” vibes but isn’t obviously thrown in.
Smart Play generated by Chatgpt
- Top win bet: Respond
- Each-way saver: Castle Stuart (with Hopewell Rock also solid EW if prices allow)
TimeWise Chronicles 
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