Salisbury; Here is an analysis of the chances of the TimeWise top two rated horses for all the races at Salisbury:

·

3.25 Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Dick Poole Fillies’ Stakes

  1. Dandana: Rated 362 by TimeWise, with odds of 15.00.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old filly, a 600,000gns yearling, was a narrow winner of two 6f novices before finishing a weakening fourth in the Group 2 Lowther at York (good to firm). The sources indicate she has “a bit to find with some in here”, but “retains potential and could approve of a the slower surface” expected. Her latest and master Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 97. Her trainer, S & E Crisford, has a 58% win-rate in the last 14 days overall.
  2. Anthelia (IRE): Rated 359 by TimeWise, with odds of 8.00.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old filly is a four-time winner at 5f, with both her defeats coming at 6f. Her defeat in a valuable sales race at York was not due to the trip but because she was outpaced before keeping on. She holds Listed/Super Sprint honours and “some course form also ticks a box”. The spotlight includes her as one of the horses that “bring further depth to a good renewal”. Her latest RPR is 101, with a TimeWise master RPR of 90. Her trainer, B Millman, has a 56% win-rate in the last 14 days.

4.03 Skytree Restricted Novice Stakes

  1. Evanesco: Rated 313 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.75.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old gelding is entered in the Royal Lodge and the Dewhurst. He “had run really well to push a promising Ballydoyle prospect close in a 7f maiden at Glorious Goodwood (good to soft)”, despite a disappointing run in a French Group 3. The spotlight notes he is “hard to beat if returning to that level”. His latest RPR is 96. His trainer, Charlie Johnston, has a 72% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Hell Yeah He Did (FR): Rated 227 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.50.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old gelding, a 110,000euros yearling, started as the 6-4 favourite on his Kempton debut (7f) but was “never involved after starting slowly”. The expectation was for a better performance, and he “may well show more here”. The spotlight describes his debut as “below expectations”. His latest and master RPR is 61, with a TimeWise master of 55. His trainer, R Beckett, has a 57% win-rate in the last 14 days.

4.35 Andy Hardwick & Clive Leonard Memorial Nursery Handicap

  1. Box Clever: Rated 311 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old filly has “improved in each of her runs”, most recently “making most in a 7f maiden here and narrowly repelling Eleanor Shelby”. She is considered “closely matched” with her last rival on these terms. Her latest and master RPR is 80. Her trainer, J Portman, has an 80% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Dublin Bay (IRE): Rated 289 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.75.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old gelding has won two Class 6 nurseries and “coped well with the rise in grade when a close sixth of 19 at York’s Ebor meeting”. He “kept on well that day so 7f looks worth exploring”. The spotlight tips DUBLIN BAY as he “did well to hold his own when raised in grade for a big-field nursery at York and he looks ready for this extra furlong”. His latest RPR is 76, with a master RPR of 78. His trainer, O Sangster, has a 25% win-rate in the last 14 days.

5.10 Madar Corporation Selling Stakes

  1. Blooming Legend (IRE): Rated 270 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.75.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old filly “did well to reel in the favourite at Lingfield (1m nursery, AW), that her second straight success” after a Musselburgh maiden win. Her dam won on soft ground, indicating “no reason why an easier surface will hinder”. The spotlight’s “tentative pick” is BLOOMING LEGEND, highlighting her ability to “knuckle down to her task at Lingfield” and her dam’s proficiency on soft ground. Her latest RPR is 71, with a master RPR of 72. Her trainer, C Clover, has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Castrillo (IRE): Rated 243 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.00.
    • Assessment: This two-year-old colt showed “definite progress from Doncaster debut fourth when off the mark at the second attempt at Chepstow (7f, good; 7-2)”. Although the form is “not overly strong”, he is “value for a bit more than the winning margin” and is “fully entitled to make his presence felt against this calibre of opposition; player”. His latest and master RPR is 79. His trainer, A Watson, has a 64% win-rate in the last 14 days.

5.45 Pritchetts Butchers Handicap

  1. Under The Twilight: Rated 293 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.25.
    • Assessment: This seven-year-old mare was “never better than when just missing out at Goodwood two runs back (6f, good) and had a wider trip than Thunder Blue when finishing a head behind that rival at Windsor”. She is “thriving right now and goes on this ground”. The spotlight favours UNDER THE TWILIGHT, noting she “was never in an ideal position” in her last race and “remains in top form”. Her latest and master RPR is 96. Her trainer, M Blake, has a 0% win-rate in the last 14 days in this specific race.
  2. Monsieur Kodi (IRE): Rated 264 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.50.
    • Assessment: This six-year-old gelding is an eight-time winner and is in “fair form, having got going too late in last two handicaps (over 6f)”. The sources suggest that “returning to positive tactics (slowly away last time so never got the chance) would aid his chance”. His latest RPR is 79, with a master RPR of 96. His trainer, R Fahey, has a 44% win-rate in the last 14 days.

6.15 World Horse Welfare Handicap

  1. Francis Drake (IRE): Rated 265 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.75.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding’s “most runs and best form have been on the AW, notably his recent first and second finishes in 6f handicaps”. He is on a “competitive mark” and “could yet show his worth on turf”. The spotlight’s verdict is for FRANCIS DRAKE, stating he “has so far saved his best form for the AW but it’s not as though he’s had many chances on turf”. His latest and master RPR is 70. His trainer, G Boughey, has an 83% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Silver Wraith: Rated 256 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.75.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old filly is 0-7 over 5f and 6f. She “hasn’t been running at all badly in handicaps without appearing to have anything in hand of her mark”. Despite this, she “should have some say in this”. Her latest RPR is 72, with a master RPR of 83. Her trainer, E Lavelle, has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days.

6.45 Weatherbys Stallion Book Persian Punch Conditions Stakes

  1. Palladium (GER): Rated 329 by TimeWise, with odds of 1.73.
    • Assessment: This four-year-old gelding was last season’s German Derby winner (good to soft) and won his only hurdle race in January. He demonstrated smart Flat form, “as he showed when fourth in the Group 2 Hardwicke at Royal Ascot (good to firm)”, and has since been gelded. The spotlight strongly favours PALLADIUM, noting “these weights strongly favour the newly gelded Palladium who disappointed last time but had previously finished an excellent fourth in the Group 2 Hardwicke at Royal Ascot. Getting away from fast ground has to be a good thing”. His latest RPR is 110, with a master RPR of 122. His trainers, J & T Gosden, have a 76% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Artistic Star (IRE): Rated 297 by TimeWise, with odds of 11.00.
    • Assessment: This five-year-old gelding has been “without a win since May 2023”. He was second in a 2m Newbury handicap in July (only four ran). New cheekpieces were ineffective at York, and he “now goes in blinkers”. His latest RPR is 90, with a master RPR of 114. His trainer, R Beckett, has a 57% win-rate in the last 14 days.

7.15 Drew Parker 30th Birthday Handicap

  1. Berkshire Smudge (IRE): Rated 253 by TimeWise, with odds of 9.00.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding, an eight-race maiden for Andrew Balding, “came good with a narrow success at Ffos Las (1m2f, soft)” after no improvement on his stable debut. He is now in a Class 5, with jockey Tyrese Cameron riding again “off just a 2lb higher mark”. His latest and master RPR is 80. His trainer, Miss R Curtis, has a 100% win-rate in the last 14 days.
  2. Typeface: Rated 245 by TimeWise, with odds of 7.00.
    • Assessment: This three-year-old gelding won a classified race and then “followed up in a Ffos Las handicap with something up his sleeve”. A subsequent defeat in another classified contest “wouldn’t have been a backward step”. Although his improvement has been at 1m, he “should stay this far”. The spotlight’s verdict is for TYPEFACE, stating he “has raised his game over 1m but this longer trip might not faze him”. His latest RPR is 74, with a master RPR of 84. His trainer, I Williams, has a 50% win-rate in the last 14 days.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe