2.00 Madri Excepcional EBF Maiden Stakes
- Schrodinger’s Cat: Rated 277 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.00.
- Assessment: This two-year-old gelding was “green when unplaced on debut” but has since run to a “similar level in five subsequent outings, finishing second on three occasions”. However, he is “proving expensive to follow” and “has yet to race on slower than good” ground. His latest Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 83. The spotlight notes that the “waters are further muddied” because he has raced on ground “no slower than good”. His trainer, H Charlton, has an 89% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Akirra (IRE): Rated 271 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.25.
- Assessment: This two-year-old colt has had “two 5f runs on good to firm ground this summer”, showing “promise when fourth at Windsor on debut and better form when second last month”. He has “obvious claims if reproducing that level of ability”. However, the “ground will be very different here” and he has the “widest stall to contend with too”. His latest RPR is 86. The spotlight “tentatively preferred” Akirra, noting he “ran well at Windsor last time” and that the “waters are further muddied” by his lack of experience on slower ground. His trainer, Clive Cox, has a 26% win-rate in the last 14 days.
2.35 Carling Handicap
- Lipsink (IRE): Rated 275 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
- Assessment: This eight-year-old gelding got “off the mark for the year with a hard-fought success over C&D two weeks ago (soft)”. A “4lb rise isn’t punitive” but he “will have to work harder to get to the front given the make up of today’s field”. The spotlight suggests he is “likely to face more competition up front”. His latest RPR is 82. His trainer, M Appleby, has a 48% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Four Adaay: Rated 265 by TimeWise, with odds of 8.00.
- Assessment: This seven-year-old mare “won the corresponding race 12 months ago off a 4lb higher mark”. Her “first success since” then was when “beating four rivals at Ffos Las two weeks ago (5f, soft)”. This race is “deeper but a 2lb rise is manageable”. The spotlight describes her as “more appealing than most” and one of the “two to appeal most” alongside Good Earth. Her latest RPR is 84. Her trainer, B Millman, has an 81% win-rate in the last 14 days.
3.10 Pravha EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes
- Enchanted Queen: Rated 281 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.63.
- Assessment: This two-year-old filly was “green under pressure and couldn’t deal with the winner, who looks a fine prospect, when second of ten on her Newmarket debut three weeks ago (7f, good to firm)”. She “pulled clear of the third there though and she sets the standard with the prospect of plenty of improvement to come”. The “1m should suit and slower ground shouldn’t be a major issue (dam handled testing ground well); obvious claims”. The spotlight states she can “take a step forward over the longer trip and with the experience behind her”. Her latest RPR is 92. Her trainer, C Appleby, has a 75% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- On Message: Rated 251 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.00.
- Assessment: This two-year-old filly “finished fourth of ten, 3.25l behind Enchanted Queen, on her Newmarket debut three weeks ago (7f, good to firm)”. She “had to wait for room around 2f out and then took time to pick up but it was still a promising start and she can benefit from the extra furlong today; on the shortlist”. The spotlight lists her as “second choice” to Enchanted Queen. Her latest RPR is 84. Her trainer, R Beckett, has a 57% win-rate in the last 14 days.
3.45 Anytime Fitness Nursery Handicap
- Suspended Sentence (FR): Rated 333 by TimeWise, with odds of 2.75.
- Assessment: This two-year-old colt showed “promise amidst inexperience on his first two starts and he still didn’t look the finished article when leading on the line at Ripon four weeks ago on his first attempt at a mile”. The “runner-up has boosted that form since and he’s a leading contender now handicapping”. The spotlight highlights him as “interesting on his nursery debut” and suggests he “could have been let in lightly” given the runner-up’s subsequent win. His latest RPR is 84. His trainer, Michael Bell, has a 70% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Champion Island (IRE): Rated 268 by TimeWise, with odds of 5.00.
- Assessment: This two-year-old gelding “readily saw off his two rivals in a 7f novice at Chelmsford in June and his first two nursery runs were both solid efforts”. However, he was “well beaten at York three weeks ago and now moves up in distance with cheekpieces added”. The spotlight notes “Cheekpieces and a new trip could see Champion Island bounce back to form and he’s a key player”. His latest RPR is 83. His trainer, Charlie Johnston, has a 72% win-rate in the last 14 days.
4.15 Molson Coors Handicap
- Billyjoh: Rated 333 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.33.
- Assessment: This five-year-old gelding’s “losing run is building up a head of steam but he’s usually seen contesting ultra-competitive handicaps and he regularly performs with credit”. He was a “solid third in a Goodwood Class 2 three weeks ago (7f, good to firm)”. His “best form has come on good or faster turf so significant rain wouldn’t be ideal”. The spotlight respects him, noting “This isn’t as demanding as the races Billyjoh usually contests”. His latest RPR is 107. His trainer, M Appleby, has a 48% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Blue For You: Rated 304 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
- Assessment: This seven-year-old gelding’s “three wins in Britain have all come over 1m at York but he is fully effective at other tracks and he wasn’t beaten far in his one Sandown run back in June 2022 (1m, good to firm)”. “Rain won’t bother him and he’s slipped to a dangerous mark but he will need a good pace to aim at back at 7f”. The spotlight mentions he “bids to provide David O’Meara with a hat-trick in this race and he’s slipped to a dangerous mark”. His latest RPR is 109. His trainer, D O’Meara, has a 56% win-rate in the last 14 days.
4.50 Rekorderlig Fillies’ Handicap
- Purple Rainbow: Rated 313 by TimeWise, with odds of 13.00.
- Assessment: This three-year-old filly’s “novice form was progressive, winning at Kempton (1m) in January before finishing fourth in a strong race at Ascot”. She has “yet to shine in handicaps, albeit latest York run (cheekpieces worn, absent today) was better”. The “prospect of rain dims enthusiasm for a revival”. Her latest RPR is 92. Her trainer, W Haggas, has a 59% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Tropical Heat: Rated 290 by TimeWise, with odds of 3.50.
- Assessment: This three-year-old filly “improved for the step up to 7f, finishing second at Haydock in July before winning over C&D one week later”. She “followed up at Haydock five weeks ago (overcame some adversity) and every chance there is more in the tank”. A “6lb rise demands it but slow ground might be more of a concern (unraced on slower than good)”. The spotlight lists her as a NAP (best bet), noting she “has done it at this track and comes here in peak form”. Her latest RPR is 89. Her trainer, Clive Cox, has a 26% win-rate in the last 14 days.
5.25 Aspall Handicap
- Beach Point (IRE): Rated 301 by TimeWise, with odds of 4.50.
- Assessment: This four-year-old gelding is “chasing a C&D hat-trick after wins in July (good) and two weeks ago (soft)”. She “tried to throw it away last time, hanging left and then right in the closing stages, before just hanging on in a head-bobbing finish”. A “4lb rise in a deeper race could scupper him”. The spotlight suggests this rise “may leave him vulnerable”. His latest RPR is 83. His trainer, W Knight, has an 82% win-rate in the last 14 days.
- Whatsgoingonmarvin (IRE): Rated 284 by TimeWise, with odds of 6.00.
- Assessment: This three-year-old gelding “made most in handicaps at Ayr (1m5f, good to soft) and Chester (14.4f, good) in July”. He has been “expensive to follow since (1m4f-1m6f) but doubt this mark is out of range”. He “drops back in trip which asks a new question of him”. The spotlight notes he “has to prove his effectiveness at this shorter trip but he still looks on a feasible mark”. His latest RPR is 85. His trainer, Sir M Prescott, has a 67% win-rate in the last 14 days.
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