Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.28 Bath – Abbie Moon Is 18 Today Handicap
(Class 6, 2m1f, Heavy, 3yo+, Win: £3454)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 7 Rupert The Prince (IRE) (Total: 237)
- 5 Star Of Jupiter (IRE) (Total: 232)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 7 Rupert The Prince (IRE):
- This is an improving 3yo who secured a clearcut course win over 1m6f on soft ground ten days prior, making him 2-3 since being fitted with a visor.
- Despite carrying 7lb more today, he “could easily have more to offer over this longer trip”.
- However, the spotlight verdict suggests he “seemed to enjoy the run of the race on that latest outing and, now 7lb higher, he might be worth opposing”.
- 5 Star Of Jupiter (IRE):
- This 4yo has shown “Four good runs in today’s headgear combination since upped to 2m in July”.
- Most recently, he was “first past the post (demoted to second)” at Ffos Las (2m, good to soft) last month.
- His main question mark is being “untested on ground slower than good to soft,” but he “can make his presence felt if he handles today’s conditions”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.05 Bath – Andersons Drainage Solutions Supporting Bath Racecourse Nursery
(Class 5, 5f, Heavy, 2yo, Win: £4187)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 2 Calafiori (Total: 279)
- 1 Cloudbuster (Total: 273)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 2 Calafiori:
- After being an “expensive to follow” horse, “first-time cheekpieces did the trick when a clearcut winner at Brighton” (extended 5f, good).
- Although now 5lb higher than his previous two handicaps, this rise is “erased by Jack Callan’s claim”.
- Similar to Star Of Jupiter in the previous race, “soft ground will be a first” for Calafiori.
- The spotlight verdict highlights him as the selection, noting he “was in first-time blinkers when winning easily at Brighton and he could kick on from there”.
- 1 Cloudbuster:
- “Soft ground will be a first” for this filly.
- However, she “was well on top in a 6f maiden at Chepstow a month ago (good) and that was her best form yet”.
- She “doesn’t look handicapped out of contention off this mark, especially with Elizabeth Gale taking off 5lb”.
- The spotlight verdict places her as the “second choice” in this “trappy nursery”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.40 Bath – Andersons Drainage Serving The South West Handicap
(Class 6, 5½f, Heavy, 4yo+, Win: £3454)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 4 Under Curfew (Total: 252)
- 2 Mintana (Total: 227)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 4 Under Curfew:
- A “Multiple winner, including three at this track,” who has performed “not badly at Brighton on his last two starts”.
- He “has form on soft but is probably better on a sounder surface”.
- The spotlight verdict notes that “the ground is likely to be slower than Under Curfew would ideally care for”.
- 2 Mintana:
- She “Ended 2024 in good form, winning over 5f here in October before finishing second to an improver over C&D ten days later (both soft ground)”.
- She “has gone well after a break in the past and she’s one to consider”.
- The spotlight verdict suggests “MINTANA is worth chancing after a break,” though it acknowledges her previous good fresh runs were “not after such a long layoff”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.10 Bath – Andersons Commercial And Domestic Drainage Specialists Novice Stakes
(Class 4, 1m2f, Heavy, 3yo+, Win: £5508)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 2 Prince Quattro (IRE) (Total: 252)
- 7 Goodwood Mogul (Total: 245)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 2 Prince Quattro (IRE):
- He is a “Four-time hurdle winner”.
- However, his Flat performances have been underwhelming, with “neither Flat run suggests he is the answer today”.
- 7 Goodwood Mogul:
- He is “Improving with experience and his Pontefract second (1m, good) in July is comfortably the best piece of form on offer”.
- While “not quite so good upped to 1m2f (heavy) at Goodwood 11 days ago,” “even that form reads well in the context of this race”.
- He is considered “the one to beat” in this race. The spotlight verdict calls it “a golden opportunity for GOODWOOD MOGUL to open his account,” noting his latest third on heavy ground “still reads well enough in this company”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.40 Bath – Rupert Hunt-Grubbe Cup EBF Confined Restricted Maiden Stakes
(Class 4, 1m, Heavy, 2yo, Win: £5184)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 9 Tamzan (Total: 253)
- 6 Beryls Girl (Total: 213)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 9 Tamzan:
- “Bred for middle distances,” she showed a “very respectable fourth in Class 2 Salisbury maiden (7f, good to firm) on last month’s debut”.
- She is a “leading contender if she copes with the slower ground here”.
- The spotlight verdict gives her the “nod,” though her “ability to handle slow ground must be taken on trust”.
- 6 Beryls Girl:
- She was “Not disgraced on her debut in July and looked unlucky not to finish closer than fourth at Chepstow (6f, good) a fortnight later, having been denied a clear run”.
- She “can feature if suited by the new trip here”.
- The spotlight verdict suggests she “may also feature”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.13 Bath – Euram Air Leases Ireland Handicap (Div 1)
(Class 6, 1m, Heavy, 3yo+, Win: £3454)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 5 Too Much Trevor (Total: 230)
- 7 Eye Of The Water (IRE) (Total: 217)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 5 Too Much Trevor:
- Still a maiden after 25 starts, but he “earns good marks for his consistency this summer” and “looked unlucky not to finish closer than fourth over C&D (heavy) ten days ago”.
- With cheekpieces refitted, he is a “likely contender”.
- The spotlight verdict lists him as having claims and is preferred over Eye Of The Water, but ultimately suggests another horse (Unknown Journey) as the main selection.
- 7 Eye Of The Water (IRE):
- He has not won since summer 2023 and is “patently not the force of old”.
- However, he “posted a sound effort when third over C&D (heavy) ten days ago and has obvious each-way claims off the same mark”.
- He is considered to have claims, but the spotlight verdict states he is preferred less than Too Much Trevor.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.45 Bath – Euram Air Leases Ireland Handicap (Div 2)
(Class 6, 1m, Heavy, 3yo+, Win: £3454)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 6 Fact Or Fable (IRE) (Total: 230)
- 7 Blue Point Express (IRE) (Total: 219)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 6 Fact Or Fable (IRE):
- He has secured “three of his 11 wins over this C&D,” with the latest in a fast-ground classified race in June.
- He “has some form on slow ground too but would appeal more on a quicker surface”.
- The spotlight verdict mentions him as having won over C&D but would appeal more on a quicker surface.
- 7 Blue Point Express (IRE):
- She was “Seemingly boosted by first-time cheekpieces when keeping on well to score at Chepstow (7f, soft) 11 days ago, opening her account at the ninth attempt”.
- She is “not yet proven over 1m but recent 3lb rise ought to be manageable; high on the list”.
- The spotlight verdict selects her as the preference, noting she “now has her favoured conditions for the first time this year”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 7.15 Bath – Signs Express Confined Amateur Jockeys Handicap
(Class 6, 1m3½f, Heavy, 4yo+, Win: £3278)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 12 Bobby Dassler (IRE) (Total: 202)
- 5 Apodictique (Total: 198)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 12 Bobby Dassler (IRE):
- He has “No strong going preferences and he’s been in good form over shorter trips (1m2f and 1m) on last two starts”.
- However, he “has a major stamina query going beyond 1m2f for the first time”.
- The spotlight verdict explicitly notes his “trip query”.
- 5 Apodictique:
- She “had limited opportunities but running well when second of 11 at Nottingham (1m2f, good) in May 2024”.
- However, it’s “hard to be sure she’s in much form, though”.
- The spotlight verdict ultimately considers Bloodhound (with a lower total score of 195) to be “more interesting” than Apodictique.
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