TimeWise Chronicles

Chester; Here is an analysis of the Master Top Two rated horses in each race at Chester, based on the TimeWise ratings

·

Sat 13th Sep 2025 1.35 Chester – British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

(Class 2, 7f, Good, 2yo, Win: £15462)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:
The provided numerical tables (e.g.,) only list one horse, 9 Rock Of Destiny (Total: 28), for this race. This is not sufficient to identify the Master Top Two rated horses based on TimeWise ‘Total’ scores. Therefore, it is not possible to definitively identify the Master Top Two from the given sources for this race.

Analysis of Prominent Horses (based on Spotlight Verdict):

  • Ghost Mode:
    • Form and Comments: This colt has worn a hood in all three runs. He finished third at Kempton (6f, AW) and Glorious Goodwood (7f, good) in his first two starts, with his Goodwood performance being his best, where he front-ran. In his latest outing at Epsom (7f, good), he raced too freely in front, hung left, and was turned over at 1-3, but even that form indicates strong potential.
    • Strengths: Possesses the best form in the race.
    • Weaknesses: Has a “worrying tendency to race freely”.
    • Suitability: Has shown strong form on good ground.
  • Wild Dahlia:
    • Form and Comments: An expensive £65,000 breeze-up 2yo. On her debut last month at Salisbury (7f, good to firm), she was 18-1 but stayed in touch and kept on stoutly for a “very respectable fourth” in a Class 2 maiden.
    • Strengths: She is expected to improve from her debut and is considered a “leading contender” with a “major say” in this race. The spotlight verdict gives her the “nod”.
    • Weaknesses: Her “ability to handle slow ground must be taken on trust” (though the race is listed as ‘Good’).
    • Suitability: Has demonstrated good to firm form, and the race is on ‘Good’ ground.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.05 Chester – Virgin Bet Stand Cup Stakes (Listed)

(Class 1, 1m4½f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £34026)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 1 Hamish (Total: 397)
  2. 4 Military Academy (Total: 341)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 1 Hamish:
    • Form and Comments: A “redoubtable veteran” 9yo who has won numerous Group 3 races over 1m4f-1m6f, including two Ormonde Stakes over the extended 1m5f at Chester. He has a “long and distinguished career”.
    • Strengths: Possesses proven class and reliability, and has demonstrated success at this specific track.
    • Weaknesses: There is a “question mark over him if the ground is not softer than good”.
    • Suitability: Well-suited to distances between 1m4f-1m6f and has a strong course record. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.
  • 4 Military Academy:
    • Form and Comments: Was successful in three out of four starts last term, notably winning a 1m4f Listed race on AW. He has worn cheekpieces this season, achieving two solid second-place finishes. His “best turf form” was a narrow second to Hamish at level weights in a Listed race at Goodwood (1m4f, soft).
    • Strengths: Shows consistent form this season, including a strong performance against Hamish, and is considered to have a “big shout”. He is also “weighted to turn the tables on Hamish” based on their previous clash at Goodwood.
    • Weaknesses: Has had “less exposure at his far younger age” compared to Hamish. The spotlight verdict suggests he, like Hamish, might prefer softer ground.
    • Suitability: Proven at 1m4f. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.40 Chester – Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Watergate Cup (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

(Class 2, 2m, Good, 3yo+, Win: £51540)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 6 Ndaawi (Total: 379)
  2. 8 Tribal Star (IRE) (Total: 334)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 6 Ndaawi:
    • Form and Comments: Finished second past the post (later awarded the race due to interference) in the Galway Hurdle (2m, good) six weeks ago, having previously been second in the County Hurdle at Cheltenham (2m1f, good to soft) in March. He has “never been better” in his hurdling career. Although 2m4f might have stretched him at Royal Ascot 2024, he shaped “a bit better than seventh might suggest” there. This race marks his return to Flat racing.
    • Strengths: His high achievements in prestigious hurdle handicaps make him a “deservedly high-profile candidate”. He is “not passed over lightly”.
    • Weaknesses: Not explicitly stated for Flat racing, but a longer trip (2m4f) was suggested to have stretched him in a hurdle race.
    • Suitability: Has a proven record over 2m in hurdles. He is respected on his return to Flat racing.
  • 8 Tribal Star (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Recorded two second-place finishes in the spring and was fourth in the Northumberland Plate at Newcastle (2m, AW). His latest outing was a 1m2f AW win at Dundalk.
    • Strengths: Shows good form on AW, including a recent win.
    • Weaknesses: His “only two appearances on turf this season were poor”.
    • Suitability: The race is on ‘Good’ turf, which contrasts with his recent poor turf performances.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.23 Chester – Lotus Manchester At H.R. Owen Nursery

(Class 3, 5f, Good, 2yo, Win: £15462)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 9 Nifty (IRE) (Total: 313)
  2. 1 Front Line Fury (IRE) (Total: 309)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 9 Nifty (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Her RPRs have advanced with each run; she won comfortably on AW and then narrowly on fast ground at Salisbury, both over 6f.
    • Strengths: She is considered “quick enough for 5f” and potentially “not on too bad a mark”. She is also drawn next to Angel Numbers, which is seen as a favourable position.
    • Weaknesses: Not explicitly stated, but her 6f form needs to translate effectively to 5f.
    • Suitability: Believed to be quick enough for 5f. The race is on ‘Good’ ground.
  • 1 Front Line Fury (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Won easily as odds-on favourite in a Haydock nursery (6f, good) and almost won another on fast ground at Ascot. He was not disgraced in two subsequent sales races. He tries cheekpieces for the first time.
    • Strengths: Has shown strong performances in nurseries.
    • Weaknesses: Faces a “wide draw to contend with here on his first run at 5f”.
    • Suitability: This is his first run at 5f, and a wide draw could be a disadvantage. The race is on ‘Good’ ground.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.00 Chester – LiveScoreBet Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

(Class 3, 1m2½f, Good, 4yo+, Win: £15462)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 3 Rhythm Master (IRE) (Total: 322)
  2. 12 Spioradalta (Total: 300)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 3 Rhythm Master (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Has a modest strike-rate of 3-37, but he won at Thirsk (7f) last month and delivered “another good race” with a close third at Newmarket (1m) recently.
    • Strengths: His performance over 1m1f in July suggests he could be suited by this new trip. He “acts on good to firm and good to soft” ground.
    • Weaknesses: Ventures “into unknown territory at this trip” (1m2½f).
    • Suitability: His previous form on various good-rated ground makes him suitable for today’s ‘Good’ conditions.
  • 12 Spioradalta:
    • Form and Comments: A “resurgent 5yo” who has won three of his last six starts. He was hampered and subsequently awarded the race at Beverley (1m2f) two weeks ago.
    • Strengths: Appears “feasibly treated off this revised mark” and is noted as “versatile ground-wise”. He is considered to have “solid claims” and is a “respected” hat-trick seeker.
    • Weaknesses: Being awarded a race due to interference might suggest his outright winning merit was not fully demonstrated.
    • Suitability: His recent strong form at 1m2f and adaptability to different ground conditions make him suitable for today’s ‘Good’ race.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.35 Chester – Oktoberfest Season Finale Saturday 20th September Handicap

(Class 4, 7½f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £11339)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 4 Capital Guarantee (IRE) (Total: 300)
  2. 1 Probe (Total: 289) and 6 Itsneverjustone (Total: 289)
    (Acknowledging the tie for second, the analysis focuses on Probe and Itsneverjustone as prominent contenders from the spotlight verdict).

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 4 Capital Guarantee (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Has achieved three wins this season, with his most recent success at Ripon (1m, good to firm) on his penultimate run. His third-place finish in a Class 2 race at Ripon last time was creditable, especially after being trapped wide.
    • Strengths: Remains on a “workable mark” and is respected following a “big drop back in grade”.
    • Weaknesses: His previous run was affected by being trapped wide.
    • Suitability: Has shown good form on good to firm ground, which bodes well for today’s ‘Good’ track conditions.
  • 6 Itsneverjustone:
    • Form and Comments: A 3yo who achieved his breakthrough win at Ffos Las (7.3f, soft) in June and followed up with a double at Galway (7f, yielding) in July.
    • Strengths: “Something has really clicked in his last two runs and he’s open to more progress; key player”. He is listed as “Top of the list” in the spotlight verdict.
    • Weaknesses: Carries an additional 6lb for his recent double.
    • Suitability: Proven on soft and yielding ground. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.05 Chester – John Smiths Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) (Div 1)

(Class 4, 1m4½f, Good, 4yo+, Win: £11339)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 5 Saligo Bay (IRE) (Total: 281)
  2. 9 Spartan Times (Total: 277)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 5 Saligo Bay (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Was purchased for 20,000gns and won three times for his previous yard, most recently over 1m2f at Ripon in June. He was well held at York since then.
    • Strengths: Previous wins indicate his capability.
    • Weaknesses: Is “unraced over this far which is a worry” for today’s 1m4½f trip.
    • Suitability: His stamina for the longer 1m4½f trip is questionable. The race is on ‘Good’ ground.
  • 9 Spartan Times:
    • Form and Comments: Has won over hurdles and is currently in “a good run of form on the Flat”, following an easy win at Ripon with a rallying fourth over Haydock’s extended 1m3f (good).
    • Strengths: He is “operating close to the peak of his powers” and is “just 1lb higher here”. He is the “second choice” in the spotlight verdict.
    • Weaknesses: Not explicitly stated.
    • Suitability: Has shown good form on good ground at similar distances. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.35 Chester – John Smiths Jump Jockeys Challenge Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) (Div 2)

(Class 4, 1m4½f, Good, 4yo+, Win: £11339)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 3 Sir Edward Lear (Total: 268)
  2. 2 Secret Beach (IRE) (Total: 257)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 3 Sir Edward Lear:
    • Form and Comments: In five handicap runs, he has achieved two second-place finishes and a win, with his victory “coming narrowly at Newmarket last time (1m2f; second run in cheekpieces)”. He will now wear a visor.
    • Strengths: He is “only 1lb higher, stays this far and now goes in a visor; hard to rule out”. The spotlight considers him the “most likely danger”.
    • Weaknesses: Not explicitly stated.
    • Suitability: Proven to stay this distance and has won on good ground. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.
  • 2 Secret Beach (IRE):
    • Form and Comments: Was “running well prior to breakthrough win at York (1m4f) this summer”. He “didn’t enjoy a clear run when fourth of nine at Windsor (11.4f), though wasn’t unlucky”.
    • Strengths: Has a breakthrough win at the 1m4f distance.
    • Weaknesses: He is “back into a Class 4 here but might be high in the weights”.
    • Suitability: Proven over 1m4f and on ‘Good’ ground. The race is on ‘Good’ ground today.

Leave a comment

Get updates

From art exploration to the latest archeological findings, all here in our weekly newsletter.

Subscribe