Sat 13th Sep 2025 1.15 Doncaster – PJ Towey Construction Handicap
(Class 2, 1m, Good, 3yo+, Win: £36078)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 7 Treble Tee (IRE) (Total: 340)
- 4 Hawksbill (Total: 326)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 7 Treble Tee (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This is a “low-mileage 3yo” who is “1-1 on softer than good (debut)”. He has shown “useful form” with two “close second” finishes in “fast-ground events over 1m at Thirsk and Goodwood” since being switched to handicap level after wind/gelding operations.
- Pros: He “appears to have a race of this nature in him”. His recent consistency in handicaps is a positive.
- Cons: His only win was on softer ground, while today’s ground is ‘Good’.
- Suitability: While his lone win was on softer ground, his good recent form on fast ground suggests he is versatile enough to handle today’s ‘Good’ conditions. The spotlight verdict selects him as the top choice.
- 4 Hawksbill:
- Recent Form & Comments: He has been “campaigned mostly on good/firmer” ground. His record is “only 1-11” but he showed “good seconds at Haydock (1m) and Chester (7.5f; cheekpieces applied) last month”.
- Pros: His recent seconds indicate “his turn is near”. The ‘Good’ ground for today’s race is well-suited to his preferred conditions.
- Cons: He has a modest win record of only one victory from eleven starts.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s conditions. The spotlight verdict lists him as the “second choice”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 1.50 Doncaster – Betfred Champagne Stakes (Group 2)
(Group 2, 7f, Good, 2yo, Win: £85065)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 3 Gewan (Total: 408)
- 5 Puerto Rico (IRE) (Total: 358)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 3 Gewan:
- Recent Form & Comments: Both of his runs have been “over 7f on good to firm” ground. He “looked very nice when overcoming signs of inexperience at Newbury” and “confirmed that promise in winning the Group 3 Acomb at York”. This is a race “that the yard’s future 2,000 Guineas winner Chaldean also won en route to taking this and the Dewhurst”. He is described as “likeably straightforward” and “hard to knock”.
- Pros: Strong Group 3 winner with a promising profile from a reputable yard. Proven over 7f on good ground.
- Cons: Not explicitly stated as a weakness in the notes. The spotlight verdict for the race, however, places another horse as the top selection.
- Suitability: Well-suited to today’s ‘Good’ ground and 7f trip.
- 5 Puerto Rico (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: The provided numerical data for this race is limited, but the spotlight verdict states he has “placed form in Group 2s”.
- Pros: Proven at Group 2 level.
- Cons: Limited specific form details in the provided sources to analyse recent runs beyond “placed form”.
- Suitability: The spotlight verdict suggests he “should improve for this longer trip” (referring to 7f, which is today’s distance), indicating suitability for today’s conditions.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.25 Doncaster – Betfred Portland (Heritage Handicap)
(Class 2, 5½f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £51540)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 5 Trefor (IRE) (Total: 362)
- 15 Rhythm N Hooves (Total: 349)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 5 Trefor (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: A “likeable type with a steadily progressive record and a fine strike-rate (6-17)”. He achieved his “biggest success in 20-runner race at York (5.4f, good to firm) in August, travelling smoothly and just doing enough”.
- Pros: He “does not look overburdened with a 5lb rise” and is a “course winner”. Strong recent form and ideal conditions make him “high on the list”.
- Cons: No explicit weaknesses mentioned apart from the 5lb rise.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s ‘Good’ ground and the extended 5f trip.
- 15 Rhythm N Hooves:
- Recent Form & Comments: He is “having a fine season” and his “last-gasp Newbury win (5f, good to firm) under Billy Loughnane four weeks ago was his third win of the campaign”.
- Pros: Excellent recent form with three wins this season. Proven on good to firm ground.
- Cons: He is “back up 4lb and in a warmer race”.
- Suitability: Suitable for today’s ‘Good’ ground and 5f trip. The spotlight verdict mentions him as having “each-way claims”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.00 Doncaster – Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2)
(Group 2, 7f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £79394)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 10 Shadow Of Light (Total: 446)
- 6 Ten Bob Tony (IRE) (Total: 382)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 10 Shadow Of Light:
- Recent Form & Comments: He was “Champion 2yo last season, having won the Middle Park and Dewhurst (both on soft ground)”. He “ran well in the 2,000 Guineas on reappearance” but was “rather a disappointing favourite in the 6f Commonwealth Cup, then couldn’t quite get the job done in the 7f Prix Jean Prat having held every chance”.
- Pros: Drops “back from Group 1 level with leading claims on best form”. His 2yo Group 1 wins are a significant advantage.
- Cons: He “has possibly lost some of his earlier brilliance”. His best 2yo form was on soft ground, whereas today’s ground is ‘Good’.
- Suitability: Commands “major respect” if he performs near his best. The spotlight verdict regards him as the primary selection.
- 6 Ten Bob Tony (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: He was “gelded prior to narrow success in the John of Gaunt at Haydock (good; Group 3) in sole run this season, producing a career-best performance and taking record over 7f to 3-7”. He “acts on soft” and “goes well fresh”.
- Pros: Achieved a career-best performance in his only run this season, demonstrating potential for further progress. Proven at 7f and handles good ground.
- Cons: Limited recent runs for comparative form this season.
- Suitability: Suitable for today’s ‘Good’ ground and 7f trip. The spotlight verdict makes him “second choice” with “strong claims”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.40 Doncaster – Betfred St Leger Stakes (Group 1)
(Group 1, 1m6½f, Good To Soft, 3yo, Win: £396970)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 5 Scandinavia (USA) (Total: 433)
- 1 Carmers (IRE) (Total: 427)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 5 Scandinavia (USA):
- Recent Form & Comments: He “rallied strongly for a close fifth” after “plenty went wrong” in the 1m6f Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot. He has been “much better with cheekpieces since, winning a five-runner Group 3 at Newmarket (1m5f) by nearly 9l and outgunning his older stablemate Illinois in their duel for the Goodwood Cup (2m, good)”.
- Pros: Considered the “strongest stayer in this field” and possesses “almost the best form”. He has “gone from strength to strength and shown an abundance of stamina”. The spotlight verdict gives him the “vote”.
- Cons: Experienced significant issues in an earlier Royal Ascot race, but has improved since.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m6½f trip and ‘Good To Soft’ ground.
- 1 Carmers (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: He has been “blinkered all starts” and none of them were “on softer than good”. He won his first three races, including the “1m6f Group 2 Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot”. He “lost his unbeaten record” in the Great Voltigeur at York (1m4f) but “showed further improved form” by rallying to finish second.
- Pros: His performance in the Great Voltigeur “suggests better still is likely on today’s step back up in trip”. Has a Group 2 win over this distance.
- Cons: All his starts have been on good or firmer ground, and today’s ground is ‘Good To Soft’.
- Suitability: A strong contender if he handles the slightly softer ground. The spotlight verdict suggests he “may give Scandinavia the most to do”.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.15 Doncaster – British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes
(Class 2, 1m, Good, 2yo, Win: £25770)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 5 Nova Centauri (USA) (Total: 326)
- 1 Del Maro (Total: 294) (Note: Del Maro is not explicitly listed in the numerical table for 4.15 Doncaster, but a total of 294 is higher than other low-rated horses listed in. Based on the spotlight verdict, Del Maro and Nova Centauri are clearly identified as the main contenders, supporting Del Maro as the second-highest rated by context.)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 5 Nova Centauri (USA):
- Recent Form & Comments: He “kept on well towards the finish when third of ten at Newbury (7f, good to firm) last month, giving the impression this step up in distance would be right up his street”.
- Pros: From a “top stable” that has won “two of the last three runnings of this race”. He “commands major respect”.
- Cons: The spotlight verdict has a “slight” preference for Del Maro.
- Suitability: Well-suited for today’s 1m trip and ‘Good’ ground.
- 1 Del Maro:
- Recent Form & Comments: An “850,000euros yearling, by Camelot out of a German Oaks winner”. He had a “promising start when a close second of five at Newmarket (1m, good to firm) four weeks ago, doing his best work late on after a slow start”. His “hood is retained today”.
- Pros: Strong pedigree and a promising debut. “Plenty of improvement is possible” and he has a “big chance”.
- Cons: Had a “slow start” on debut.
- Suitability: Suitable for today’s 1m trip and ‘Good’ ground. The spotlight verdict has a “slight” preference for him.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.50 Doncaster – Mastiff Manor Handicap
(Class 2, 1m2f, Good To Soft, 3yo+, Win: £36078)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 6 Fantasy Believer (IRE) (Total: 319)
- 1 Botanical (IRE) (Total: 317)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 6 Fantasy Believer (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: He was “in top form when racking up a hat-trick last summer” and returned to “that level when third over 1m2f at Newcastle (AW) and Chepstow (good to soft) this summer”. He was “never a threat after a slow start at Southwell last time”.
- Pros: “More than capable off this mark” and benefits from Oisin Murphy taking the reins. Strong form on good to soft and AW surfaces.
- Cons: His last run was affected by a “slow start”.
- Suitability: Suitable for today’s 1m2f trip and ‘Good To Soft’ ground.
- 1 Botanical (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: He is “smart at his peak but has not run to his best this year, only eighth when favourite for a handicap at Epsom on Oaks day”. “First-time cheekpieces worn on that occasion are left off here”. He “returns from three-month break with his yard in form”.
- Pros: Comes from an in-form yard. Possesses significant ability when at his best.
- Cons: His form this year has been below his peak, including a disappointing run as favourite. The long break and removal of headgear add an element of uncertainty.
- Suitability: His suitability is questionable given his current season’s performance. The spotlight verdict indicates a preference for Sovereign Sea over Botanical.
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