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Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.15 Leopardstown – Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes (Fillies Listed)

(Listed Race, 7f, Soft, 2yo, Win: £53097)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 3 Diamond Necklace (IRE) (Total: 395)
2. 6 Killashee Warrior (Total: 264)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 3 Diamond Necklace (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: She made a “pleasing debut when beating stablemate and favourite Minerva at the Curragh”. The spotlight verdict indicates that she “was more forward than anticipated when winning at the Curragh, and there should be better to come”.
  • Strengths: Showed significant promise and ability on debut, with expectations of further improvement.
  • Weaknesses: Not explicitly mentioned, but the spotlight implies her debut win might have been partly due to being more forward than expected.
  • Suitability: The race is for 2yo fillies over 7f on soft ground, and her promising debut suggests suitability, especially with expected improvement.
• 6 Killashee Warrior:
  • Recent Form & Comments: On her debut over the same course and distance last month, she was “slowly away before running on to some effect into fourth”. However, her “form took a knock with the defeat of runner-up Josh’s Joy at Cork on Wednesday”.
  • Strengths: Demonstrated a finishing effort on debut despite a slow start.
  • Weaknesses: Slow start on debut and her form has been somewhat undermined by subsequent results of horses she raced against. She is significantly lower-rated than Diamond Necklace.
  • Suitability: Has experience over the course and distance.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.50 Leopardstown – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path Handicap (Premier Handicap)

(Class 2, 7f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £79646)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 5 Gleneagle Bay (IRE) (Total: 336)
2. 3 Dunum (IRE) (Total: 325)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 5 Gleneagle Bay (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: This is a “lightly raced 5yo with just an AW maiden win but knocking on the door in valuable handicaps”. He was “beaten a head in this race last year (by Dance Night Andday)” and “last month only worn down late in Ahonoora Handicap at Galway (Dunum third) on soft”.
  • Strengths: Consistent in valuable handicaps, performs well on soft ground, and has a “good draw”. He is considered a “major player”.
  • Weaknesses: Not a prolific winner on turf, with only an AW maiden win.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s soft ground and 7f trip, having performed well under similar conditions previously.
• 3 Dunum (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: A “great money-spinner for connections and especially effective at Galway, winning for the third time there when landing Colm Quinn Mile in July”. He also put in a “fine effort under 7lb penalty five days later at same venue when third in Ahonoora Handicap back at 7f”. He finished “second in this race two years ago off 101”.
  • Strengths: Proven ability in competitive handicaps, particularly at Galway, and has a strong record at this distance.
  • Weaknesses: His draw “hasn’t been kind”.
  • Suitability: Well-suited to the 7f trip, and has shown good form on soft ground.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.20 Leopardstown – KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes (Group 2)

(Group 2, 1m, Soft, 2yo, Win: £79646)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 2 Benvenuto Cellini (IRE) (Total: 329)
2. 4 Montreal (IRE) (Total: 318)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 2 Benvenuto Cellini (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: This “Frankel brother to this year’s Lingfield Oaks Trial winner Giselle” showed “loads of debut promise at the Curragh in June and confirmed that when landing long odds over today’s trip at Killarney following month, making all in readily beating a stablemate and subsequent maiden winner on yielding-to-soft, still green”. The spotlight identifies him as a “very smart prospect, major player here with conditions to suit” and “a raw type with likely plenty of improvement in him and already proven on this sort of ground”.
  • Strengths: Strong pedigree, clear debut promise, a comfortable maiden win, and appears to relish today’s conditions. He represents a powerful stable with a good record in this race.
  • Weaknesses: Still described as “green” after his maiden win, suggesting he might be unpolished.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the 1m distance and soft ground, given his proven form on yielding-to-soft ground.
• 4 Montreal (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: This “Sea The Stars colt… missed the break on debut when a staying on third (beaten 6.25l) to Hardy Warrior over C&D in July and fortnight later made all to run away with similar contest on better ground”. He is considered the “pick of Soumillon”.
  • Strengths: Possesses a strong pedigree, showed improvement with experience, and has demonstrated the ability to make all in a race. The jockey choice indicates confidence.
  • Weaknesses: Missed the break on debut. His maiden win was on “better ground” than today’s soft conditions.
  • Suitability: Expected to keep improving and appears suited by the 1m trip. His ability on today’s soft ground needs to be fully proven.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.50 Leopardstown – CMG Group Stakes (Group 3)

(Group 3, 1m4f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £53097)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 1 Al Aasy (IRE) (Total: 420)
2. 3 Trustyourinstinct (IRE) (Total: 406)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 1 Al Aasy (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: This “redoubtable 8yo… finished second in this race two years ago and better form in recent years, now a winner of eight races at Group 3 level, including this term at Sandown (1m2f) and most recently last month’s Glorious Goodwood Stakes, producing a tidy turn of foot in softish ground to win it for second consecutive year”. He “sets a high standard”.
  • Strengths: Proven Group 3 performer with a strong track record, including multiple wins on softish ground. He has a history of performing well in this specific race. The spotlight considers him the “nap” and “hard to beat”.
  • Weaknesses: Not explicitly stated, but as an 8yo, he is a veteran, which might be a long-term consideration.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m4f trip and soft ground.
• 3 Trustyourinstinct (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: “Last year’s winner (good) has proven better again this term, winning latest two starts at the Curragh”. He “won Listed event over this trip, going away, and 1m2f Group 3 International Stakes again never stronger than at finish”. He is “thriving with his racing”.
  • Strengths: A previous winner of this race, showing improved form this season with two recent wins at the Curragh. He is described as thriving.
  • Weaknesses: He “faces a different class of opponent here in Al Aaasy and softer ground may not be ideal”. His previous win in this race was on ‘good’ ground, not ‘soft’.
  • Suitability: His suitability for today’s soft ground is questionable, as his best recent form is on good ground.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.25 Leopardstown – Coolmore America Justify Matron Stakes (Fillies & Mares Group 1)

(Group 1, 1m, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £212389)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 11 January (IRE) (Total: 398)
2. 5 Veras Secret (IRE) (Total: 394)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 11 January (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: She “ended last season with second to Desert Flower in the Fillies’ Mile”. After being “well beaten in the Irish 1,000 Guineas on reappearance,” she “showed that to be all wrong when third to Cercene in the Coronation and runner-up in the Falmouth; best effort yet when making Fallen Angel pull out all the stops in the Prix Rothschild”.
  • Strengths: Consistently placed at Group 1 level in her recent runs, demonstrating strong form against top-class fillies. She is proven at this level and has shown improvement. The spotlight indicates she “can prove stronger over this trip than Cercene”.
  • Weaknesses: Was “well beaten” on her reappearance.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the 1m trip, having performed strongly in Group 1s over this distance. While some form is on good/firm, her strong performance in the Prix Rothschild (Deauville usually has some give in the ground) suggests adaptability. Today’s ground is ‘Soft’.
• 5 Veras Secret (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: She was a “late-starter but rapid improver in handicaps last year and has stepped up again this year, making all for 4l win in a 7f fillies’ Group 3 at this venue in May”. She “found life tougher a fortnight later in Group 2 Lanwades Stud Stakes at the Curragh over a mile, solid run when 3l behind the high-class Porta Fortuna; made all to win 7f Group 3 here two months ago”.
  • Strengths: Has shown rapid improvement, including Group 3 wins at this track, and has strong front-running tactics.
  • Weaknesses: Found Group 2 company tougher over a mile, suggesting she might be better at 7f or slightly lower grades.
  • Suitability: Proven at 7f at this track, but stepping up to 1m in Group 1 company on soft ground will test her stamina and class.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.55 Leopardstown – TonyBet Solonaway Stakes (Group 2)

(Group 2, 1m, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £106196)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 2 Johan (Total: 377)
2. 9 Scorthy Champ (IRE) (Total: 359)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 2 Johan:
  • Recent Form & Comments: He has an “interrupted career but has a good strike rate, including high-profile handicap wins at Goodwood and twice at Doncaster including a year ago”. His “first Group win came under canny front-running ride over C&D last month in Desmond Stakes (accounted for four of these rivals) on belated seasonal return”.
  • Strengths: Proven Group winner, handles soft ground, and won impressively over this course and distance recently.
  • Weaknesses: “unlikely to get such a soft lead here” as he did in his recent win, which could make it tougher.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the 1m trip and soft ground, given his recent course and distance Group win.
• 9 Scorthy Champ (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: He “enjoyed fine 2yo campaign, notably Group 1 National Stakes win on this weekend on good ground”. However, his “three runs in first half of this season [were] well below that level,” including being “beaten 6.25l in Irish 2,000 Guineas”. He “returns from a break with plenty to prove, including on soft ground”.
  • Strengths: Proven Group 1 winner as a 2yo.
  • Weaknesses: Significant drop in form this season, and his ability on soft ground is unproven. He is returning from a break with “plenty to prove”.
  • Suitability: His best form was on good ground, making his suitability for today’s soft conditions questionable.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.30 Leopardstown – Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1)

(Group 1, 1m2f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £641594)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 5 Delacroix (IRE) (Total: 427)
2. 8 Zahrann (IRE) (Total: 417)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 5 Delacroix (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: He “won two Derby trials over C&D and bounced back from Epsom failure to win the Eclipse at Sandown (1m2f, good to firm)”. He “deserved much credit for overhauling Ombudsman late on” in that win. The spotlight mentions “a weight in evidence in favour of Delacroix, a dual C&D trials winner who has redeemed himself since an Epsom lapse and represents the team that has won this event 12 times since 2000”.
  • Strengths: Multiple course and distance winner, proven at Group 1 level, and represents a highly successful stable in this race.
  • Weaknesses: Had an “Epsom failure”. His Eclipse win was on “good to firm” ground, which differs from today’s ‘Soft’ conditions.
  • Suitability: Proven over the distance. His ability on soft ground needs to be verified, although the spotlight suggests the ground “may help” bring about improvement for another horse.
• 8 Zahrann (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: He “went close on his debut at Navan; backed up Cork maiden win with 1m4f course Listed success, despite still looking raw”. He “underlined his improvement when chasing home the unbeaten Amiloc in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot” and then “dropped to this trip to win the Royal Whip at the Curragh”. He is described as a “rapidly maturing sort”.
  • Strengths: Rapidly improving form, including a Listed win over 1m4f and a Group 3 win over 1m2f. He has shown ability at Royal Ascot and is believed to benefit from soft ground. The spotlight suggests he “can eclipse the more established performers on soft ground”.
  • Weaknesses: Still looked “raw” during his Listed win, and this is his “first Group 1 attempt”.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m2f trip and soft ground.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.05 Leopardstown – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Petingo Handicap (Premier Handicap)

(Class 6, 1m5f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £79646)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 3 Helvic Dream (IRE) (Total: 345)
2. 11 Happy Pharoah (IRE) (Total: 343)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 3 Helvic Dream (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: This “five-time Flat winner (including Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup)” had a “career-best hurdles run on latest when first past the post in Galway Hurdle but demoted for interference”. He had “previously finished good third over 1m6f at the Curragh”.
  • Strengths: Proven Group 1 Flat winner, has shown career-best form over hurdles, and is “well suited by soft/heavy” ground. The spotlight indicates he “holds every chance on his favoured ground”.
  • Weaknesses: Was demoted after his most recent hurdles run due to interference.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m5f trip and soft ground.
• 11 Happy Pharoah (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: He “improved form stepped up in trip and tongue-tie fitted to win over C&D in maiden and committed early in straight for decisive win over Floresta in rated event”. He was then “outstayed by same rival over 1m6f in Listed contest here since”.
  • Strengths: Has shown improved form over the course and distance, winning a maiden and a rated event.
  • Weaknesses: Was “outstayed” over a slightly longer trip (1m6f). His ability on “softer ground here [is] an unknown”.
  • Suitability: Proven over the 1m5f distance in easier company, but his performance on soft ground is untested.

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.40 Leopardstown – Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Autumn Fillies Handicap (Premier Handicap)

(Class 4, 1m, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £53097)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

1. 9 Tachos (IRE) (Total: 328)
2. 6 Onemoredance (IRE) (Total: 320)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

• 9 Tachos (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: She is a “course winner over 1m1f in June”. She finished behind Mallavelly over the “C&D in July” but “may turn the tables on that rival and could go well”.
  • Strengths: Proven course winner and has shown form over similar distances on soft ground.
  • Weaknesses: Was beaten by a rival over this C&D previously.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m trip and soft ground.
• 6 Onemoredance (IRE):
  • Recent Form & Comments: She is the “winner of three of her last four races, two of them at this venue”. She is “up 6lb for last month’s C&D success achieved at the main expense of Aviatrice (first reserve); same apprentice aboard now”.
  • Strengths: In excellent recent form with multiple wins, including a recent C&D success. The apprentice jockey’s claim could be an advantage.
  • Weaknesses: Carries an additional 6lb for her recent win.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m trip and soft ground, given her recent C&D success. The spotlight, however, picks Continuite as the main danger, who is not among the top two rated.