Sat 13th Sep 2025 1.25 Lingfield – Alan Rae Smith Errant Handicap
(Class 5, 1m4f, Standard, 3yo+, Win: £4711)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 3 Destinado (Total: 259)
- 2 One Million Dreams (FR) (Total: 232)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 3 Destinado:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 7yo ran a “respectable third on AW at Southwell (1m6f) in July”.
- Pros: He is considered “well handicapped again”, suggesting he is on a favourable mark.
- Cons: No explicit weaknesses are highlighted in the provided text.
- Suitability: Has shown ability on AW surfaces over similar distances (1m6f), making the 1m4f trip on Standard AW ground suitable. The spotlight verdict places him as one of the “major players”.
- 2 One Million Dreams (FR):
- Recent Form & Comments: No specific recent form or comments are provided for this 5yo in the text, other than his TimeWise rating.
- Pros: Not explicitly stated due to lack of detailed commentary.
- Cons: Not explicitly stated due to lack of detailed commentary.
- Suitability: Not explicitly stated due to lack of detailed commentary, other than the race conditions (1m4f, Standard).
Sat 13th Sep 2025 1.58 Lingfield – Diomed Racing At Stuart Williams Stables Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
(Class 5, 6f, Standard, 2yo, Win: £3672)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 1 Augustus Gloop (Total: 240)
- 6 Romeo Montague (Total: 231)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 1 Augustus Gloop:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2yo showed “promise when fifth of ten on 7f Kempton debut 24 days ago”.
- Pros: He is “likely to improve” from his debut. The spotlight suggests he “should build on mildly promising debut efforts”.
- Cons: Not explicitly stated.
- Suitability: With expected improvement, this 6f Standard AW maiden should be suitable.
- 6 Romeo Montague:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2yo “showed promise when seventh of 11 on his York Dante meeting debut in May” and “confirmed he has a fair level of ability when third at Newmarket the following month (both 6f, good to firm)”. He was “gelded ahead of this first start for 11 weeks”.
- Pros: He “has the best form of those with experience” and the gelding operation might bring further improvement.
- Cons: Failed to justify favouritism on his second start.
- Suitability: Proven at 6f on good to firm, making today’s 6f Standard AW conditions seem suitable. He is the “second choice” in the spotlight verdict.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 2.33 Lingfield – Lady Kim Groves 60th Birthday Fillies Handicap
(Class 5, 1m, Standard, 3yo+, Win: £4711)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 3 Tronido (Total: 266)
- 7 The New Bay Pearl (Total: 246)
- 8 Princess Mia (IRE) (Total: 246)
(Note: The New Bay Pearl and Princess Mia are tied for the second-highest TimeWise rating. Both will be analysed.)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 3 Tronido:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 4yo is “right back to form since fitted with a hood” and is “seeking a hat-trick following back-to-back all-the-way wins at Sandown (1m, soft) and Epsom (8.5f, soft)”. She “carries 5lb extra for Thursday’s Epsom win” and “should have no issue with returning to AW (two wins)”.
- Pros: In excellent form, proven on AW, and sets the “benchmark” for the race. She is “likely to prove tough to peg back”.
- Cons: Carries a 5lb penalty for her recent win. The spotlight states “This isn’t a gimme for the hat-trick seeking TRONIDO”.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m Standard AW conditions, given her previous AW wins and recent form at similar distances.
- 7 The New Bay Pearl:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo has been “placed in three of her six AW starts (7f-1m) but yet to make the breakthrough”. She is “easing in the weights, a further 2lb lower than when fifth of 11 (beaten approximately 5l) to Tuesday’s Child at Kempton 25 days ago”. She runs in a “newly applied tongue-tie”.
- Pros: Has placed form on AW, is on an easing mark, and new headgear could spark improvement.
- Cons: Still a maiden and “more needed”.
- Suitability: Her AW experience over 7f-1m makes her suitable for today’s 1m Standard AW conditions.
- 8 Princess Mia (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo won her “handicap debut at Yarmouth (1m, good; from 3lb lower) last month,” but then “found herself on the wrong side of the track when a beaten favourite at Newmarket (1m, fourth; first home on near side) subsequently”. She “has shown that she handles this C&D previously”.
- Pros: Has a recent handicap win, previous course and distance experience, and a “valid excuse” for her last defeat. She is expected to play a “positive role”.
- Cons: Her last defeat was as a beaten favourite, though with an excuse.
- Suitability: Good for today’s 1m Standard AW, with proven ability over C&D and on similar ground. The spotlight considers her the “main threat” to Tronido.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.13 Lingfield – Arc Celebrates Shared Ownership Handicap
(Class 6, 1m, Standard, 3yo, Win: £3716)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 8 Elvetham (IRE) (Total: 231)
- 3 Seconds Count (Total: 223)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 8 Elvetham (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo “ran freely when runner-up at Musselburgh (1m1f; 11-8 favourite)” and “again occupied that same position on debut for this trainer at Southwell (1m; winner beaten at Newcastle since) last week”. He was bought from Dermot Weld for 21,000gns.
- Pros: Has been consistent with two recent runner-up finishes and has “been on the premises the last twice”.
- Cons: Tends to “run freely”.
- Suitability: His recent form over 1m and 1m1f on AW suggests suitability for today’s 1m Standard AW conditions.
- 3 Seconds Count:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo “caught the eye when runner-up in a C&D maiden (debut) in January but she’s failed to better that since”. She “weakened when third of four in a modest Bath novice (1m, good to firm) six weeks ago”.
- Pros: “Still low mileage” and from a top stable (William Haggas).
- Cons: Has not improved on her debut run and “more is needed on handicap debut”.
- Suitability: Has C&D experience on AW, making today’s conditions suitable for her handicap debut.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 3.55 Lingfield – Arc All-Weather 1MILLION Bonus Is Back Handicap
(Class 6, 7f, Standard, 3yo, Win: £4711)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 5 Summertime Blues (Total: 242)
(Note: Only one horse, Summertime Blues, is explicitly provided with a ‘Total’ TimeWise rating in the numerical table for this race. The second-highest rated horse cannot be definitively identified from the provided TimeWise numerical data. Therefore, the analysis for the second horse will be based on prominent mentions in the spotlight verdict as a strong contender.) - Apple Of My Eye (Not rated in numerical table, but highlighted as a strong contender in spotlight verdict)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 5 Summertime Blues:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo is “on the up since handicapping, second at Windsor and Brighton before a comfortable front-running success at Chepstow (all 6f on good ground)”. She “should have more to come” and is “bred to stay 7f”. She was “withdrawn at Windsor last month after getting upset in the stalls”.
- Pros: Progressive form with a recent win, and bred for today’s 7f trip.
- Cons: She’ll need a lot to “defy today’s 7lb higher mark” and has had issues at the stalls. The spotlight suggests she could be “vulnerable” due to the 7lb rise and extra furlong.
- Suitability: Her good ground form and stamina pedigree suggest suitability for the 7f Standard AW trip.
- Apple Of My Eye:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo was “unplaced in her four starts, including her handicap debut at Epsom in July,” but she “shaped with promise in her novice starts and remains open to progress”. She “returns from a two-month break”.
- Pros: Considered an “interesting and unexposed 3yo” with “the potential to leave her previous efforts well behind”. The spotlight verdict selects her as the top choice.
- Cons: Her previous handicap debut was unconvincing.
- Suitability: As an unexposed horse with potential, a fresh start on today’s 7f Standard AW could suit.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.30 Lingfield – Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap
(Class 6, 1m, Standard, 4yo+, Win: £3716)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 1 My Ambition (IRE) (Total: 237)
- 4 Francesi (IRE) (Total: 228)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 1 My Ambition (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This 6yo “appreciated the return to the AW when doing well to get through a gap over C&D on Monday, winning going away”. He was also a “close second of five at Bath (1m) during May in a higher grade than this”.
- Pros: In good form, a recent C&D winner, and “should go very well despite 5lb penalty”. The spotlight suggests he “won’t be a pushover”.
- Cons: Carries a 5lb penalty.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m Standard AW conditions, with proven course and distance form.
- 4 Francesi (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This 6yo’s “sole win in C&D novice in 2022”. He has “been running well on Southwell Tapeta (1m) of late, a recent third of 13 being fair form in a slightly higher grade”.
- Pros: Showing good recent form on Tapeta and “should go well again with Hollie Doyle up for the first time”. He is considered to be “best of the remainder” by the spotlight.
- Cons: His only win was in a novice race in 2022.
- Suitability: His recent form on Tapeta over 1m makes him suitable for today’s 1m Standard AW.
Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.00 Lingfield – Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap
(Class 4, 5f, Standard, 3yo+, Win: £6281)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- 1 Glamorous Breeze (Total: 331)
- 2 Grandlad (IRE) (Total: 291)
Analysis of Winning Chances:
- 1 Glamorous Breeze:
- Recent Form & Comments: This 7yo “was having just her third run on AW when running out the stylish winner of a C&D handicap nine days ago”.
- Pros: A recent C&D winner with a “stylish” performance. “A 4lb rise shouldn’t be beyond her” and she should get another “strong pace to aim at”.
- Cons: “Stall nine tempers enthusiasm”.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 5f Standard AW conditions, given her recent C&D win.
- 2 Grandlad (IRE):
- Recent Form & Comments: This 4yo “won two small-field events on turf last month (5f, good and good to firm)”. He was “only fifth (met some late trouble) at Goodwood three weeks ago”.
- Pros: Showed good winning form on turf recently over 5f.
- Cons: “Career best required to take this”. His turf form needs to translate effectively to AW.
- Suitability: His recent 5f turf wins suggest he’s capable over today’s distance, but his AW form is not specified.
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