Musselburgh; Here is an analysis of the Master Top Two rated horses in each race at Musselburgh, based on the TimeWise ratings

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Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.10 Musselburgh – Dovend Electrical Ltd Apprentice Handicap

(Class 6, 1m, Good, 4yo+, Win: £3664)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 5 Martins Brig (IRE) (Total: 212)
  2. 4 Zebra Star (IRE) (Total: 202)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 5 Martins Brig (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 8yo has a “better strike-rate on AW” and his “last month’s second in 7f classified at Catterick (good) isn’t anything to go wild about”. He was also behind a couple of today’s rivals when finishing sixth here 18 days ago.
    • Strengths: Will be “fine back at 1m”.
    • Weaknesses: Might be “a shade vulnerable after recent 3lb rise” and his form is not particularly strong.
    • Suitability: The race is over 1m on ‘Good’ ground, which is acceptable, but his overall recent form and weight rise are concerns.
  • 4 Zebra Star (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 5yo has been “largely consistent this season” and “hit the target at Ayr (1m2f, good to soft) in July”. He was “short of room at crucial stage when third over C&D (good; just behind On The Bubble) 18 days ago”.
    • Strengths: Is considered “high on the list” and was “a shade unlucky not to go close over C&D 18 days ago”. He runs from the same mark today.
    • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned apart from the unlucky run.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s ‘Good’ ground and C&D, especially given his recent good run. The spotlight verdict selects him as the answer.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 4.45 Musselburgh – British EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes

(Class 4, 7f, Good, 2yo, Win: £4320)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 3 Suddenly I See (IRE) (Total: 268)
  2. 6 Welbury (Total: 240)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 3 Suddenly I See (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: Made an “encouraging debut in similar event over C&D (good) last month, finishing third of eight”. He also “Ties in with Supreme Clarets on C&D running last month”.
    • Strengths: “Open to progress and warrants respect”.
    • Weaknesses: The spotlight verdict notes “assuming his wide draw doesn’t prove a hindrance”.
    • Suitability: Suitable for today’s 7f trip and ‘Good’ ground, having performed well under similar conditions on debut. He is the “second choice” in the spotlight.
  • 6 Welbury:
    • Recent Form & Comments: Has been “absent and gelded since showing ability with third of six at Hamilton (6f, good) three months ago”.
    • Strengths: Showed ability on debut, and gelding operation could lead to improvement. “Check the market signals” for further clues. The spotlight verdict includes him as one of the “once-raced contenders who may be capable of improvement”.
    • Weaknesses: Has been off for three months, so fitness is a potential concern.
    • Suitability: His debut on good ground at 6f suggests suitability for today’s 7f trip and ‘Good’ ground, especially with expected improvement.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.18 Musselburgh – Royal Regiment Of Scotland Trophy Nursery

(Class 5, 5f, Good, 2yo, Win: £4187)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 2 Arduis Invicta (IRE) (Total: 274)
  2. 1 U Turn (Total: 269)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 2 Arduis Invicta (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: “Returns to a more realistic level after running in sales race” but is “quite exposed, notwithstanding a maiden win two starts ago”.
    • Strengths: Won a maiden two starts ago.
    • Weaknesses: Is “quite exposed” and has run in a sales race, which might indicate higher aspirations previously not met.
    • Suitability: Runs on ‘Good’ ground over 5f, which should be within his scope.
  • 1 U Turn:
    • Recent Form & Comments: His “record is only 1-10, the success in a maiden”. However, he achieved a “creditable second in Thirsk nursery (5f) last Saturday”.
    • Strengths: “May remain competitive” based on his recent second.
    • Weaknesses: Has a modest win record of 1 win from 10 starts.
    • Suitability: His recent performance over 5f in a nursery suggests he is competitive on today’s ‘Good’ ground over the same distance. He is the “second choice” in the spotlight verdict, though ultimately another horse (Blazing) is preferred.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 5.50 Musselburgh – Peterhead Fish Market Handicap

(Class 6, 1m4½f, Good, 3yo, Win: £3664)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 2 Penn Avenue (Total: 235)
  2. 4 Falaise Blanc (FR) (Total: 194)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 2 Penn Avenue:
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo filly is “Holding her form well in handicaps, following clear second at Catterick (1m4f, soft) with very close third at Ffos Las (1m2f, soft)”. She “handles quick ground too”.
    • Strengths: She is described as a “solid candidate” and the “most solid contender” in the field, taken to win for the second time.
    • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 1m4½f trip and ‘Good’ ground, given her proven form on both soft and quick ground over similar distances.
  • 4 Falaise Blanc (FR):
    • Recent Form & Comments: “Saw off several challengers when gamely making all at Newcastle (1m2f, AW) two weeks ago for his first success”.
    • Strengths: “Should be just as effective over 1m4f; up just 2lb and should go well again”. He looks like the “main danger” to Penn Avenue.
    • Weaknesses: His sole win was on AW, and while expected to be effective on turf, it is not fully proven.
    • Suitability: His recent win over 1m2f on AW suggests suitability for today’s 1m4½f trip on ‘Good’ ground.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.22 Musselburgh – Scots Association Musselburgh Gold Cup Handicap

(Class 4, 2m2f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £10308)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 5 Novelista (IRE) (Total: 333)
  2. 3 Paper Doll (IRE) (Total: 319)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 5 Novelista (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo “Opened his account in Goodwood contest last week when attempting 2m for the first time”.
    • Strengths: “May build on that success and show additional progress upped further in distance; respected”. He is the “sole 3yo in the field” and “unexposed over 2m+”.
    • Weaknesses: Only recently opened his account and is still relatively unexposed, meaning his full potential over this longer trip is still being assessed.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 2m2f trip and ‘Good’ ground, especially with expected progress over longer distances. He is the preferred selection in the spotlight.
  • 3 Paper Doll (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 5yo mare has been “Steadily progressive for current yard and successful in last three turf attempts (1m4f-2m2f, good), beating Simple Star over C&D latest”.
    • Strengths: “May not have reached her ceiling yet; major player”. The spotlight considers her the “second choice” and capable of confirming recent placings.
    • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 2m2f trip and ‘Good’ ground, with proven C&D form.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 6.52 Musselburgh – Lothian Supply Company Handicap

(Class 5, 7f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £5234)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 1 Jannas Journey (IRE) (Total: 267)
  2. 7 In A Hurry (Total: 267)
    (Note: Jannas Journey and In A Hurry are tied for the highest TimeWise rating. Both will be analysed.)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 1 Jannas Journey (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 4yo “Shot up the weights for winning five on the spin but went off too fast in a higher grade last week at Thirsk (having been raised 7lb)”.
    • Strengths: “Doesn’t have to lead and could bounce back”. The spotlight suggests she “could bounce back in a lower grade than last time”.
    • Weaknesses: Went off too fast in a recent race, which affected her performance.
    • Suitability: Suitable for today’s 7f trip and ‘Good’ ground, given her previous winning streak and potential to adapt tactics.
  • 7 In A Hurry:
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo is a “Front-runner” who has had “last three runs over 7f, winning a Thirsk maiden and since placed in handicaps at Catterick and Carlisle”.
    • Strengths: “Looks handicapped about right but can have some say”.
    • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned, but described as “handicapped about right,” implying limited room for significant improvement from her current mark.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 7f trip and ‘Good’ ground, with consistent recent form over similar conditions.

Sat 13th Sep 2025 7.22 Musselburgh – Jewson Edinburgh Craigentinny Handicap

(Class 6, 5f, Good, 3yo+, Win: £3664)

Master Top Two Rated Horses:

  1. 1 Sanbona (IRE) (Total: 236)
  2. 5 Sixcor (Total: 213)

Analysis of Winning Chances:

  • 1 Sanbona (IRE):
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 3yo “Off the mark at the 16th attempt when readily seeing off nine rivals in classified event at Wolverhampton (5f) and ran just as well when second in similar contest at Thirsk (6f, good)”.
    • Strengths: “Should be in the thick of things again” and is “the in-form SANBONA”. The spotlight considers him “marginally preferred”.
    • Weaknesses: Took 16 attempts to break his maiden.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 5f trip and ‘Good’ ground, given his recent consistent form over similar distances and conditions.
  • 5 Sixcor:
    • Recent Form & Comments: This 7yo is a “Dual C&D winner and ran well when second of eight here 18 days ago with three of today’s rivals behind”.
    • Strengths: “Arguably the pick of four for Linda Perratt” and is proven over the course and distance.
    • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned, but the spotlight implies another horse might finish ahead of him this time.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s 5f trip and ‘Good’ ground, with proven C&D form.

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