2.00 Betwright Bet The Wright Way Apprentice Handicap (Class 6) £6,600 SKY 1m 2f 37y
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 6 Bobby Dassler (IRE) (Tdy Total: 214)
- 2 Zambezi Magic (Tdy Total: 205)
6 Bobby Dassler (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 6-year-old has a recent form of 763422. He returned to turf with four “pretty good efforts” at Ffos Las over 1m to 1m2f this summer, with the last three for his current stable. He appears versatile regarding ground conditions. He was due to run in a 7.15 race the previous night, and if he contests this race, he will “warrant consideration”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Bobby Dassler has shown consistent good form on turf this summer and is versatile regarding ground, which is a significant advantage given potential soft conditions. His TimeWise Master rating is the highest in this race.
- Weaknesses: A potential concern is if he indeed ran the previous night, which could impact his freshness and performance.
- Suitability: His recent performances indicate suitability for the 1m2f distance, and his versatility on ground should allow him to cope with today’s conditions.
- Overall: Bobby Dassler is a strong contender if he runs, given his recent form, ground versatility, and top TimeWise rating.
2 Zambezi Magic
- Recent Form & Comments: This 8-year-old has a recent form of 553271. He notably coped “far better than the others” with heavy ground at Ffos Las on Tuesday, cantering clear to win easily by over 9 lengths. While “no longer the force of old,” he “commands respect” under a 4lb penalty here. The spotlight verdict highlights his dominant win on heavy ground and states he “must be considered” despite the penalty.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Zambezi Magic possesses proven ability on heavy ground and delivered a dominant recent win, showcasing excellent form and suitability for very soft conditions.
- Weaknesses: He is acknowledged as “no longer the force of old” and carries a 4lb penalty from his recent win. There’s also a suggestion that “this track may not suit him quite as well”.
- Suitability: His performance on heavy ground makes him highly suitable for soft conditions. The 1m2f distance is also proven for him.
- Overall: Despite the penalty and some age-related concerns, Zambezi Magic is a serious threat due to his recent and impressive win on testing ground.
2.35 Betwright Bangers N’Cash Nursery Handicap (Class 6) £6,600 SKY 1m
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 5 Rejjien (IRE) (Tdy Total: 186)
- 6 Lady Lauren (IRE) (Tdy Total: 180)
5 Rejjien (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2-year-old filly has a recent form of 96022. She has been a “close second in both her nurseries,” most recently when racing over 1m at Chepstow on soft ground 12 days ago. She is only 1lb higher for this race and “will be a tough nut to crack if aided by new cheekpieces”. The spotlight verdict emphasizes her “solid start to her handicap career” and her “proven ability on soft ground” as a significant selling point.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Rejjien has displayed consistent form in nurseries with two second-place finishes. Her proven ability on soft ground makes her highly suitable for today’s conditions. The addition of new cheekpieces could provide an extra edge. She holds the top TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: She is only 1lb higher after her last second-place finish, suggesting the handicapper hasn’t been overly generous.
- Suitability: The 1m trip and soft ground are well within her proven capabilities.
- Overall: Rejjien is a very strong contender, with her consistent form, proven ground suitability, and potential for improvement from the new headgear.
6 Lady Lauren (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2-year-old filly has a recent form of 702432. Despite being a maiden (0-7), she “set a very honest pace” when finishing a clear second at Salisbury over 1m on good to soft ground last month. It will be “interesting to see whether Gina Mangan is very positive again on the slower ground here”. The spotlight verdict places her “next on the list”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Lady Lauren showed a strong second-place finish last time out, demonstrating her capability to perform well from the front.
- Weaknesses: Her maiden status (0-7) is a disadvantage. Her performance on genuinely slower ground than good to soft is untested.
- Suitability: The 1m trip is suitable. How she handles softer ground will be key, but a positive, front-running ride could play to her strengths.
- Overall: Lady Lauren has a good chance to be in the frame, especially if her rider employs positive tactics and she adapts to the potentially slower ground.
3.08 Betwright All Bun & Games Bath Summer Stayers’ Series Final Handicap (Class 2) £35,000 SKY 1m 6f
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 7 Man Of The Sea (IRE) (Tdy Total: 260)
- 2 Francesco Baracca (Tdy Total: 258)
7 Man Of The Sea (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 9-year-old has a recent Flat form of 141-11. He has had a “consistent spell over hurdles” between two fast-ground Flat wins at Bath in April (1m6f) and August (1m5f). However, he “does not have much margin for error off current mark,” and “conditions have probably turned against him”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Man Of The Sea is in excellent winning form on the Flat, having secured two recent victories. He is proven at the distance and holds the highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: His primary concern is the soft ground, as his Flat wins have been on fast surfaces, and comments suggest conditions are “probably turned against him”. He is also running off a high mark.
- Suitability: The 1m6f distance is suitable, but his ground preference is a major weakness for today’s soft conditions.
- Overall: While in winning form, his chances are significantly hampered by the expected soft ground, which goes against his proven preferences.
2 Francesco Baracca
- Recent Form & Comments: This 4-year-old has a recent form of 414343. He previously “scored over C&D (good) in June” and achieved a “creditable third” in a Racing League event at Southwell (2m, AW) last month. He has “avoided previous engagements on soft/heavy ground,” although he has won on good to soft.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Francesco Baracca is a course and distance winner (on good ground) and has shown creditable recent form. He has the second highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: His notable weakness is his apparent avoidance of soft/heavy ground, which could be a significant issue in today’s race if the ground is particularly soft.
- Suitability: The distance and track are suitable. However, his ground preference is a key concern, as he may struggle on very soft conditions.
- Overall: Francesco Baracca is a contender if he can handle the soft ground, but his past tendencies raise doubts about his ability to perform at his best in such conditions.
3.43 Betwright Safer Gambling Bath Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap (Class 2) £35,000 SKY 5f 160y
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 1 Cindy Lou Who (Tdy Total: 296)
- 3 Asinara (Tdy Total: 259)
1 Cindy Lou Who
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3-year-old filly has a strong recent form of 11d3131. She is described as a “progressive filly” with a 3-7 strike-rate for her new stable this year. Her wins include firm ground at Bath (5f/5.7f) and soft ground over 6f at Windsor. Although “not yet proven on heavy,” she is still considered a “major player”. The spotlight verdict states she “kept on strongly to score on soft at Windsor” and her Bath wins also count, giving her the nod.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Cindy Lou Who is a progressive and in-form filly with a good strike-rate, including a win on soft ground. Her strong TimeWise Master rating is the highest in the race.
- Weaknesses: Her main untested area is heavy ground.
- Suitability: The trip (5f 160y) is suitable given her wins at 5f and 6f. Her proven ability on soft ground makes her well-suited for today’s conditions, with only true heavy ground being an unknown.
- Overall: Cindy Lou Who is a very strong contender, with excellent recent form and proven ability on soft conditions.
3 Asinara
- Recent Form & Comments: This 4-year-old has a recent form of 35-321. She produced a “career-best performance” at Bath over 5f on good ground in June, traveling well before asserting. She is “untested on ground slower than good to soft” but “could plausibly be seen to even better effect” over today’s slightly longer trip. The spotlight verdict notes she “looked in very good nick” on her last appearance.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Asinara delivered a career-best performance at this course recently. The slightly longer trip (5f 160y) could potentially suit her even better. She holds the second highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: Her suitability for ground slower than good to soft is unknown.
- Suitability: Her prior performance at 5f here suggests good track suitability, and the slightly extended trip could be an advantage. Her ability on soft or heavy ground is the key question mark.
- Overall: Asinara has a good chance if she can handle the softer ground, with potential for further improvement over the new trip.
4.18 Blackmore Building Contractors Restricted Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5) £6,800 SKY 5f 10y
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 3 Supreme Diamond (IRE) (Tdy Total: 234)
- 4 Southern Spirit (Tdy Total: 218)
3 Supreme Diamond (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2-year-old filly has a recent form of 953. She delivered a “sound effort” when finishing third of 12 at Salisbury over 6f on good to firm ground in June. She has “not seen again since” but carries “strong claims” if the “different trip-and-ground combination suits”. The spotlight verdict identifies her as “the one to beat” in this maiden but notes she is “untested on ground slower than good”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Supreme Diamond is a well-bred filly with a strong third-place finish on her third career start. She is considered the leading contender in this maiden race and has the top TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: She has been absent since June, raising questions about her current fitness. Her suitability for today’s shorter 5f trip and soft ground is unknown.
- Suitability: The trip and ground are unproven.
- Overall: Supreme Diamond has a strong chance to win if she handles the new conditions (shorter trip, softer ground) after her layoff, based on her underlying quality.
4 Southern Spirit
- Recent Form & Comments: This 2-year-old filly has a recent form of 0. She was “always behind” on her debut at Ascot over 5f on good to firm ground in May at odds of 50-1. She has “not seen again since”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She holds the second highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: Her debut performance was poor. She has been absent for a long period since May. There are no positive comments or recent form to suggest significant improvement or suitability for today’s conditions.
- Suitability: The 5f trip matches her debut, but the soft ground is new and unproven.
- Overall: Southern Spirit is a speculative entry. Her high TimeWise rating is a statistical positive, but it is contradicted by her poor debut and lack of recent form or encouraging comments.
4.50 Wight Event Toilets Handicap (Class 6) £6,600 SKY 5f 10y
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 1 Call Time (IRE) (Tdy Total: 232)
- 2 Son Of Astar (Tdy Total: 206)
1 Call Time (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 4-year-old has a recent form of 056221. He “doubled his win tally” at Chepstow over 5f on soft ground 12 days ago, “always doing enough to repel” Marcus. He is 5lb higher for this race but “also has form on heavy ground and over C&D”. He “must be considered”. The spotlight verdict designates him as the “nap” and states he “kept on far too strongly” and is “taken to follow up”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Call Time is in excellent winning form, having recently won on soft ground. He has proven ability on heavy ground and over this C&D, making him highly suitable for today’s conditions. He has the top TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: He carries a 5lb penalty for his last win.
- Suitability: He is ideally suited to the distance and expected soft/heavy ground conditions.
- Overall: Call Time is a very strong favorite and a leading candidate to win, backed by his recent form and excellent track/ground suitability.
2 Son Of Astar
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3-year-old has a recent form of -70133. He opened his account in a three-way photo-finish at Ffos Las over 5f on good ground in July, and his “subsequent runs over that C&D (good/soft) were perfectly respectable”. He is a “contender if first-time cheekpieces have any positive effect”. The spotlight suggests he “might stick his oar in” if the cheekpieces work.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Son Of Astar has shown respectable recent form on good and soft ground, indicating he can handle varied conditions. The application of first-time cheekpieces could lead to improvement. He holds the second highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: While respectable, he hasn’t shown the same dominance as Call Time.
- Suitability: The 5f trip and soft ground are suitable for him.
- Overall: Son Of Astar holds a good each-way chance, particularly if the new headgear helps him find extra improvement.
5.28 Bath Rugby Handicap (Class 5) £8,000 SKY 1m
Top Two Master Rated Horses:
- 5 Ajrad (Tdy Total: 291)
- 3 Mum’s Angel (IRE) (Tdy Total: 257)
5 Ajrad
- Recent Form & Comments: This 7-year-old has a recent form of 021121. He has been in excellent form, making it “three wins in his last four starts in C&D handicap” 11 days ago. Although he “figures on a career-high mark now,” he “remains one to be interested in”. The spotlight verdict includes him as an “in-form duo” that needs factoring in.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Ajrad is in exceptional winning form, having secured three victories recently, including a C&D success. This makes him highly suitable for the track and distance. He has the top TimeWise Master rating in this race.
- Weaknesses: His main weakness is running on a career-high mark, meaning he will need to maintain or improve his form to win.
- Suitability: As a C&D winner, he is perfectly suited to the conditions, assuming the ground is within his capabilities (no specific soft/heavy ground preference mentioned but high trainer W-R of 63% on GF-Hd suggests versatility).
- Overall: Ajrad is a very strong contender and likely to feature prominently, given his current form and track suitability.
3 Mum’s Angel (IRE)
- Recent Form & Comments: This 3-year-old filly has a recent form of 65761. She took a “big step forward” on only her second handicap run when finishing runner-up at Salisbury over 1m 16 days ago, and was subsequently awarded the race. She is “up 2lb but remains unexposed at this trip; player”. The spotlight verdict tips her to defy the 2lb rise and states she “looks to have more to offer over this trip”.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Mum’s Angel showed significant improvement on her last outing, resulting in an awarded win. She is considered unexposed at this trip with potential for further progression. She has the second highest TimeWise Master rating.
- Weaknesses: She is still relatively new to handicaps, with only her second run resulting in the win. No specific ground preference is mentioned, but her awarded win was on good ground.
- Suitability: The 1m trip is suitable for her.
- Overall: Mum’s Angel is a serious contender with promising recent form and the potential to improve further in handicaps.
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