2:50 Leopardstown – 7f Irish Stallion Farms EBF Sovereign Path (Premier H’cap), Soft (16 runners)
Pace: Solid-to-strong. Likely leaders/pressers: Chicago Fireball, Daamberdiplomat, Dunum, Gleneagle Bay.
Draw: At 7f here a low/middle stall is a plus, especially on soft turning into the back bend. High draws (12–16) face headwinds and traffic.

Strongest Contenders

• Gleneagle Bay (Draw 5) – Proven (p)
  Ultra-solid in top handicaps; head 2nd in this last year and just mugged late in the Galway Ahonoora on soft. Perfect draw to track the pace, soft no issue, profile screams “deserves one.”
• Dance Night Andday (8) – Proven (p)
  Last year’s winner; Group 3 2nd over C&D in July. Forgive latest drop to 6f. Soft/track/7f ticked; well housed to stalk and pounce.
• Rahmi (16) – Proven
  Big Cork Listed run after 306 days; 7lb off helps the top weight, but worst of the draw and a hold-up style make the task harder. Still a threat late if they go hard.
• Dunum (12) – Proven
  Galway star, 3rd in the Ahonoora (soft) and 2nd in this race two years back. High gate hurts his on-the-speed style today; still good enough to feature.
• Chicago Fireball (11) – Progressive (p)
  Back on song LTO (7f) and 7lb off again; proven in the mud at 1m. Draw 11 isn’t ideal but he’s quick from the gates and could boss the rail early.

Main Dangers / Interesting Outsiders

• Hurricane Ivor (6) – Interesting
  Well treated now, soft helps, and a handy draw. Needs a revival but the set-up is kinder than of late.
• Tribal Nation (13) – Promising (P)
  Unexposed 3yo, heavy-ground winner; strong Britannia run. Gelded since a messy mile effort. High draw is the negative, talent is the positive.
• One Smack Mac (7) – Promising (P)
  Listed 2nd at 7f in May; gelded since Jersey flop. Feasible mark on handicap debut; draw good.
• I Am Superman (14) – Classy veteran
  Well handicapped now and ran well at the Curragh in June; high draw and age temper enthusiasm.
• Slieve Binnian (9)
  Improver this summer but drop back to 7f and softer ground a little against him.

Runner Scores /10 (suitability today)

• Gleneagle Bay 8.5/10 – Ideal draw/trip/soft; rock-solid in big fields. (p)
• Dance Night Andday 8/10 – C&D heroine, strong mid-season G3 form; back to 7f helps. (p)
• Rahmi 7.5/10 – Big ability + 7lb off; draw 16 brings luck into it.
• Dunum 7.5/10 – High class handicapper; wide and wants handy slot.
• Chicago Fireball 7.5/10 – In form with claim; pace angle; draw 11 a niggle. (p)
• Hurricane Ivor 7/10 – Well treated, soft suits, draw good; needs to step forward.
• Tribal Nation 7/10 – Unexposed, soft OK; bad draw the issue. (P)
• One Smack Mac 6.5/10 – Freshened/gelded; workable mark; needs to prove mettle in big field. (P)
• Slieve Binnian 6.5/10 – Thriving, but trip/ground combo not ideal.
• I Am Superman 6/10 – Capable but drawn high and vulnerable to improvers.
• Pier Pressure 5.5/10 – In form at 1m; soft + stall 15 against him (may carry 2lb o/w).
• Blues Emperor 5.5/10 – Low draw helps but recent Premier runs say “place at best.”
• Daamberdiplomat 5/10 – Speedy and low-drawn, but 7f on soft stretches him.
• Glenfinnan 5/10 – Rail draw but wants quicker; 1lb wrong.
• Nakasero 5/10 – Won 9f; out of the handicap and softer test/tempo a worry despite low draw.
• Noble Truth 3.5/10 – Big talent once; current profile hard to trust.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-Way Angles (16 runners)

• Chicago Fireball – Draw not perfect but pace/claim/ground make him very live for places.
• Hurricane Ivor – Well treated, soft ground, good berth; can outrun odds.
• Dance Night Andday – Defending champ, smooth map from stall 8.

Private Tissue (my odds)

• Gleneagle Bay 9/2
• Dance Night Andday 6/1
• Rahmi 8/1
• Dunum 8/1
• Chicago Fireball 9/1
• Tribal Nation 11/1
• Hurricane Ivor 14/1
• One Smack Mac 16/1
• Slieve Binnian 16/1
• I Am Superman 18/1
• Pier Pressure 20/1
• Blues Emperor 25/1
• Daamberdiplomat 33/1
• Glenfinnan 33/1
• Nakasero 33/1
• Noble Truth 66/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

Soft ground and the 7f turn put a premium on position + low/mid draw. Gleneagle Bay has the perfect map and repeated high-end efforts in exactly these races. Dance Night Andday is the proven C&D weapon. Claims-aplenty for Rahmi/Dunum but high draws complicate. Chicago Fireball is the pace value; Hurricane Ivor is the handicapping sleeper.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Gleneagle Bay (around 9/2 tissue) – perfect draw, peak figures in big fields, soft okay, likely gets the run of the race.
• Each-way saver(s): Dance Night Andday and Chicago Fireball – proven C&D class and a pace/claim angle respectively at working prices.

3:20 Leopardstown – KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes (G2), 1m, Soft (5 runners)
Pace/Shape: Three potential leaders (Benvenuto Cellini, Hardy Warrior, Montreal) – likely an honest to strong gallop. On soft, that tilts the race toward those already proven at 1m with a bit of stamina.
Draw/Track: Small field so draw less critical, but inside posts help into the first bend: Hardy Warrior (1) and A Boy Named Susie (2) best placed.

Strongest Contenders

• Benvenuto Cellini (3) – Promising (P)
  Frankel colt; made all over 1m on yielding-to-soft, still green but classy. Proven at trip/ground, scope to improve again. Major player if controlling/attacking the pace.
• Hardy Warrior (1) – Progressive (p)
  Beat Montreal over C&D on yielding-to-soft, making all; inside draw to dictate again and stamina looks a plus on soft. Genuine value threat to the ‘hype’ pair.
• Montreal (4) – Promising (P)
  Blew them away on good ground; previously 3rd to Hardy here on Y/Sft when missing the break. Improving type, but softer ground slightly tempers raw speed vs the other two.

Others

• A Boy Named Susie (2) – Progressive (p)
  Smart 1m soft debut win; outpaced in the 7f G2 (good). Back up to 1m on soft is a big positive; can finish off well if they duel up front.
• Nil Bua Gan Dua (5)
  Speedy profile; more a 7f type for now and this soft 1m looks a stretch at this level.

Runner Scores /10 (today’s suitability)

• Benvenuto Cellini 8/10 – Trip/ground ideal, could control or sit handy. (P)
• Hardy Warrior 8/10 – C&D soft winner; inside draw to dictate. (p)
• Montreal 7.5/10 – Big ability; ground not as optimal as last time. (P)
• A Boy Named Susie 7/10 – Back to best setup; can pick up pieces late. (p)
• Nil Bua Gan Dua 4.5/10 – Stamina/class ask.

Race-read tweaks: If the leaders steady it mid-race, Benvenuto Cellini’s class edge grows. If they keep it true on soft, Hardy Warrior’s proven C&D stamina and rail draw become even more valuable.

Private Tissue (my odds)

• Benvenuto Cellini 7/4
• Montreal 9/4
• Hardy Warrior 10/3
• A Boy Named Susie 6/1
• Nil Bua Gan Dua 25/1

Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

Form says it’s between the two Ballydoyle colts and Hardy Warrior. Given the soft ground, inside draw, and prior C&D win over Montreal on similar going, the value play is the Joseph O’Brien colt.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Hardy Warrior – maps to lead or sit box-seat from stall 1; proven under conditions.
• Saver (win): Benvenuto Cellini – classiest profile, already effective at a softish mile, and could boss if getting an easy first half.

No each-way angles (5 runners).

3:50 Leopardstown – CMG Group Stakes (G3), 1m4f, Soft (11 runners)
Pace/shape: Likely honest. Obvious pace from Sons And Lovers (made all C&D G3), with Convergent and Omni Man handy. Al Aasy and Trustyourinstinct best held up for one run.
Draw: 1m4f here is more about position and rhythm than stall number; getting the rail early helps the pace horses if they don’t overdo it.

Strongest contenders & dangers

• Al Aasy – Proven (p)
  8-time G3 winner; classy turn of foot and soft is fine (won Goodwood G3 last month on softish). Carries a G3 penalty but still sets the standard on RPR/TS. The one to beat if they go a proper gallop.
• Convergent – Promising (P)
  Rapidly progressive 3yo; close 2nd in the G1 Deutsches Derby and previously 3rd in the Chester Vase. Handles soft, gets 8lb WFA and no penalty. Major player against older horses.
• Trustyourinstinct – Proven (p)
  Last year’s winner; better again this season (L and G3 wins at the Curragh). Slight ground query (best form on good) and faces deeper opposition than 12 months ago, but he’s thriving.
• Sons And Lovers – Progressive (p)
  Made all in the Ballyroan (G3) over C&D on first try at 1m4f. Up in depth now and carries the pen, but if he gets his own way, he’ll be stubborn to pass on soft.

Others

• Reyenzi – Promising (P)
  Soft-ground maiden winner; solid 10f G3 third and a good 10f handicap second LTO. First try at 12f with a hood; pedigree says it’s feasible. Place squeak at a price.
• It’s A Heartbeat – Promising (P)
  Filly on the up at 12f; gets weight and should cope with cut, but a big jump in class.
• Omni Man – Likeable improver who landed a valuable Goodwood 12f handicap; needs another step to mix it with these.
• Acapulco Bay / Fleetfoot / Sunchart / Mo Ghille Mar – Solid types, but form/ratings leave them a notch or two short for the win.

Runner scores /10 (today’s suitability)

• Al Aasy 9/10 – Class edge, soft okay, turn of foot deadly. (p)
• Convergent 8.5/10 – G1 calibre 3yo getting weight, handles soft. (P)
• Trustyourinstinct 7.5/10 – Red-hot form; slight ground knock. (p)
• Sons And Lovers 7.5/10 – Front-runner with C&D G3 win; deeper field now. (p)
• Reyenzi 6.5/10 – Unexposed at trip; could improve. (P)
• It’s A Heartbeat 6.5/10 – Up in grade; likes trip/ground. (P)
• Omni Man 6/10 – Good handicapper; needs more.
• Sunchart 5.5/10 – Loves soft, but class likely bites.
• Acapulco Bay 5.5/10 – Reliable; short on peak figures for a G3.
• Fleetfoot 5/10 – Progressive handicapper; this is harder.
• Mo Ghille Mar 3/10 – Useful, outclassed.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form stayers returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-way angles (11 runners)

• Convergent – 3yo WFA, G1 form, soft okay; proper EW shape.
• Sons And Lovers – Likely leader; if the ground helps him conserve, he can stick on for a podium.
• Reyenzi – First crack at 12f gives upside at a price.

Private tissue (my odds)

• Al Aasy 6/4
• Convergent 7/2
• Trustyourinstinct 11/2
• Sons And Lovers 13/2
• It’s A Heartbeat 14/1
• Reyenzi 16/1
• Omni Man 18/1
• Sunchart 25/1
• Acapulco Bay 25/1
• Fleetfoot 33/1
• Mo Ghille Mar 66/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

A properly-run 12f on soft should highlight Al Aasy’s class despite the penalty. The 3yo Convergent gets a pull at the weights and has G1 substance to give him a real crack at the upset. Trustyourinstinct and Sons And Lovers are rock-solid Group 3 yardsticks; the former has the stronger finishing profile if the ground doesn’t blunt him.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Al Aasy – class act, soft fine, peak RPRs superior.
• Each-way saver: Convergent – weight-for-age + G1 form = value against the older brigade.
• Small EW/Place nibble: Sons And Lovers – front-running C&D winner who can hang tough if allowed to dictate.

4:25 Leopardstown – Coolmore America ‘Justify’ Matron Stakes (G1), 1m, Soft (11 runners)
Pace/shape: Likely solid. Vera’s Secret the most natural leader; Exactly/ Atsila can sit handy. Class closers (Fallen Angel, January, Cercene, Sparks Fly) set to stalk and pounce.
Draw: Mile here – track position > stall; on soft, cover and a smooth run are at a premium.

Strongest contenders

• Fallen Angel (Proven, p) – Dual G1 winner; beat January narrowly in the Prix Rothschild and was Irish 1,000 Guineas heroine last year. Soft ground no issue; profile says she’s the one to beat with a stalking ride.
• January (Proven, p) – Placed in four G1s this term (Rothschild 2nd, Falmouth 2nd, Coronation 3rd). Occasionally doesn’t pull away off the bridle but keeps running huge numbers; the obvious danger again.
• Cercene (Proven, p) – Shock Coronation winner (quick ground) then excellent Nassau 2nd on heavy/trappy scenario. Connections prefer it faster, but she’s classy enough to handle this if things set up for her turn of foot.

Next layer / Dangers & live outsiders

• Vera’s Secret (Progressive, p) – Red-hot over 7f here (made-all G3 twice). Up to a stiff mile on soft against elite milers: the test is deeper, but if she bosses a steady one she’s dangerous.
• Sparks Fly (Promising, P) – Soft-ground specialist, stacks of Listed wins at 1m, ran well in G3 at Epsom. Big class leap but today’s going is a leveller; late place claims if the leaders overdo it.
• Cathedral (Promising, P) – Strong 4th in the Coronation; 2nd in a French G3 (soft) since. Still improving; each-way player if she steps forward again.
• Exactly – Talented, best at 7f; mile on soft against hardened G1 mares could stretch.
• Atsila – Beat Cercene in a G3 early; three G1 runs since; wide, ground a minor query, but could run on for a slice.

Runner scores /10 (today’s suitability)

• Fallen Angel 9/10 – Class, figures, setup all align. (p)
• January 8.5/10 – Relentlessly high-level; just finds one too good often. (p)
• Cercene 8/10 – Top-class 3yo; ground preference a small knock. (p)
• Cathedral 7/10 – On the up; soft okay; podium chance. (P)
• Vera’s Secret 6.5/10 – Loves this track but stronger mile on soft is a new ask. (p)
• Sparks Fly 6.5/10 – Ground-positive; can nick a place late. (P)
• Exactly 6/10 – Talented but trip/ground combo a query.
• Atsila 6/10 – Honest; place squeak.
• California Dreamer 5/10 – Out of nick since Guineas 2nd.
• Queen Of Thunder 5/10 – Admirable but needs a chunk more.
• Duckadilly 3/10 – Outclassed.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters/milers returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-way angles (11 runners)

• Cathedral – Progressive 3yo, genuine G1 undercard form; adaptable to cut.
• Sparks Fly – Ground brings her right into the place mix at a price.

Private tissue (my odds)

• Fallen Angel 2/1
• January 11/4
• Cercene 9/2
• Cathedral 10/1
• Vera’s Secret 12/1
• Sparks Fly 16/1
• Exactly 16/1
• Atsila 20/1
• California Dreamer 28/1
• Queen Of Thunder 33/1
• Duckadilly 80/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

Soft ground, a likely honest pace, and proven G1 substance point squarely to Fallen Angel. January keeps running to a near-identical level and is again the primary danger. Cercene is pure class but a touch better on quicker; Cathedral is the improver with place upside; Sparks Fly is the soft-ground joker for a late slice.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Fallen Angel – established G1 star; setup ideal to confirm Rothschild form.
• Saver (win): January – rock-solid G1 yardstick, very likely in the 1–2.
• Each-way saver (prices permitting): Cathedral (main), Sparks Fly (big-price ground angle).

4:55 Leopardstown – Tonybet Solonaway Stakes (G2), 1m, Soft (10 runners)
Pace/shape: Johan the most natural leader again; Alakazi and Copacabana Sands can sit handy; Skukuza parks close; Chicago Critic a strong closer. With soft ground, a proper/true pace is likely to reward those travelling sweetly in the first half.

Draw: Over a mile here, position > stall. On soft, saving ground and getting cover into the straight is gold.

Strongest contenders & dangers

• Johan – Proven (p)
  Made-all in the Desmond (C&D) and handles ease (French G3 3rd on heavy). Won’t get a total freebie today, but he’s fit, tactically versatile and soft is fine. Very solid yardstick to aim at.
• Skukuza – Progressive (p)
  Rapid mover this summer (premier Hcap + Listed win at the Curragh). Luckless G3 third at York latest; the one with the most upside if he copes with the ground (below par on soft at Goodwood is the small worry).
• Expanded – Promising (P)
  Dewhurst runner-up on soft last autumn. Two Guineas runs were poor on quick; conditions swing back to him today. Fresh angle, class back-form—live danger if anywhere near that 2yo peak.
• Alakazi – Progressive (p)
  Upwardly mobile 3yo; strong seconds to Skukuza (Listed) and Johan (G3) suggest he’s absolutely good enough. Unproven on soft is the only knock; otherwise the map is ideal (stalkers’ race).
• Chicago Critic – Proven (p)
  C&D Listed winner; rattled home into 3rd behind Johan when the race got away. Stronger pace + soft should help him land on them late. Solid each-way at working prices.

Others:
Scorthy Champ – G1 2yo; has plenty to prove this year and soft is a question.
Mutasarref – admirable, but softer ground blunted him earlier; place at best.
Lord Massusus – better on good; needs a chunk.
Comanche Brave – has been withdrawn on soft before; stamina/ground both niggles.
Copacabana Sands – high-class at 7f on soft; a truly-run mile on this ground may stretch her.

Runner scores /10 (today’s suitability)

• Johan 8/10 – Pace control, soft okay, C&D win. (p)
• Skukuza 7.5/10 – Best recent form; soft query the only brake. (p)
• Expanded 7.5/10 – Big ground angle; if back to Dewhurst level, he’s bang there. (P)
• Alakazi 7/10 – Progressive; needs to prove soft. (p)
• Chicago Critic 7/10 – Setup-friendly closer; soft a plus; needs pace collapse. (p)
• Scorthy Champ 6/10 – Classy 2yo, but returns with questions.
• Mutasarref 5.5/10 – Honest; softer ground knocks him.
• Lord Massusus 5.5/10 – Course lover; ground/trend against.
• Comanche Brave 5/10 – Soft a negative.
• Copacabana Sands 5/10 – Stamina concern on this surface.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form milers returning quickly; they can be hot.

Each-way angles (10 runners)

• Chicago Critic – stronger pace + soft = late rattler into the frame.
• Expanded – soft-ground class back-form; big bounce-back potential.

Private tissue (my odds)

• Johan 4/1
• Skukuza 9/2
• Expanded 6/1
• Alakazi 5/1
• Chicago Critic 7/1
• Scorthy Champ 10/1
• Mutasarref 14/1
• Lord Massusus 16/1
• Comanche Brave 16/1
• Copacabana Sands 20/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

Soft ground + honest fractions suits tactically neat types who can travel and kick. Johan ticks the boxes—C&D, handles cut, and can control/stack them. Skukuza is the form horse but must pass the soft test. Expanded is the ground switch play with latent Group 1 ability. Chicago Critic is the late threat if they overcook it.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Johan – C&D, soft OK, tactical edge in a race lacking multiple pure trailblazers.
• Each-way saver: Chicago Critic – shape/ground suit a late surge.
• Value cover (win/place): Expanded – back on soft; big ceiling if he revives.

5:30 Leopardstown – Royal Bahrain Irish Champion Stakes (G1), 1m2f, Soft (8 runners)
Pace/shape: No pure trailblazer. Likely even/muddling early before cranking from the 3f. Royal Champion most likely to roll forward; Zahrann/Shin Emperor can sit close. Anmaat, Delacroix, White Birch ride the stalk/late-kick. On soft, stamina and position into the bend matter.

Draw/track: Around here at 10f on soft, saving ground + striking late is gold. Leaders who steady mid-race can pinch it.

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Strongest contenders

• Anmaat – Proven (p)
  Top older miler/middle-distance horse, Champion Stakes (soft) winner and two superb G1 seconds this term (Tattersalls Gold Cup, Prince of Wales’s). Travels, quickens, ground ideal. Rock-solid standard.
• Delacroix – Promising 3yo star (P)
  Dual C&D trial winner; Eclipse (G1) winner then 2nd in Juddmonte. Peak figures best in here, but most of 2025 work on fast—soft not a plus, though he was a nose 2nd on soft as a 2yo. Still the 3yo with the highest ceiling.
• White Birch – Proven (p)
  Loves ease (won on heavy/soft), G1 Curragh winner over 10f last year; two good runs behind Los Angeles this spring. Conditions suit; if they go even and he gets rhythm, big finisher.
• Shin Emperor – Proven (p)
  3rd in this last year; Japan Cup (dead-heat 2nd), Neom Cup winner; Sheema too keen. Versatile, sits handy, strong 10–12f engine. Soft inconclusive (Arc flop), but ability is not in doubt.
• Zahrann – Progressive (p)
  Rapid improver: 12f Listed winner here, Ascot G2 2nd, then Royal Whip (G3) at 10f. Soft likely to help, gets the 3yo WFA. This is a big class climb but the profile screams “still going forward.”

Others:
Royal Champion (prominent G2 York winner; top grade question, soft a query), Hotazhell (behind Delacroix this year; needs best ever), Mount Kilimanjaro (trial winner; looks a supporting role).

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Runner scores /10 (today’s suitability)

• Anmaat 9/10 – Class + soft tick + recent G1 seconds. (p)
• Delacroix 8.5/10 – Peak on fast; classiest 3yo; soft slight query. (P)
• White Birch 8/10 – Loves ease, strong 10f finisher. (p)
• Shin Emperor 7.5/10 – Global G1 form; soft uncertain but big engine. (p)
• Zahrann 7.5/10 – Rapidly progressive; WFA + soft help. (p)
• Royal Champion 6.5/10 – In form; G1 depth test.
• Hotazhell 5.5/10 – Needs a leap.
• Mount Kilimanjaro 3.5/10 – Place hope at best.

Keep an eye on the market for support or big drifts for runners returning from layoffs of 90+ days.
Watch out for in-form sprinters returning quickly; they can be hot.

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Private tissue (my odds)

• Anmaat 3/1
• Delacroix 7/4
• White Birch 5/1
• Shin Emperor 6/1
• Zahrann 13/2
• Royal Champion 16/1 · Hotazhell 33/1 · Mount Kilimanjaro 80/1

Market watch advised for runners making their 2nd start.

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Summary & Smart Play (Pro Punter View)

Soft ground and a likely even early pace tilt this towards strong travellers with a turn of foot and soft credentials. Delacroix is the rawest talent but has more to prove on this ground. Anmaat brings bombproof soft-ground G1 form and current peak numbers. White Birch is the soft-ground closer who can surge into the frame if they lift from 3f out. Zahrann is the progressive WFA wild card.

Smart Play generated by Chatgpt

• Top win bet: Anmaat – proven G1, proven soft, peak form this summer.
• Saver (win): Delacroix – classiest 3yo; if he handles it, he may just be too good.
• Each-way saver (prices permitting): White Birch or Zahrann – both well suited by conditions/race shape.