All Kempton races are displayed in chronological order.
4.25 Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Novice Stakes (Class 4)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Criminal (266)
- Port Of London (253)
- Criminal (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: Criminal is a four-race maiden but has been proving consistent on AW and turf. Most recently, he ran well when upped to 1m4f in an Ascot handicap, finishing behind only a progressive rival who was on the second leg of a four-timer. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He has very solid claims given his consistent performance and recent strong showing at this trip.
- Weaknesses: Despite his consistency, he is still a maiden.
- Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s race, demonstrating good form on AW and performing well over this longer distance. The “Spotlight Verdict” narrowly prefers him.
- Port Of London (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: He was beaten a long way on his debut in a soft-ground event. However, he fared markedly better when switched to AW at Southwell (1m3f), finishing second behind a stablemate. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Showed significant improvement on AW, and further progress is plausible. His trainer, J & T Gosden, has an 89% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days.
- Weaknesses: His debut on turf was very poor.
- Suitability: He is considered a strong second choice with good potential for improvement on AW.
4.55 Racing TV Fillies’ Novice Stakes (Class 5)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Flash Of Fire (332)
- Dancing Flower (294)
- Flash Of Fire (2yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: Flash Of Fire justified favouritism in a 7f contest at Doncaster, getting on top towards the line. She holds two Group entries, indicating she is evidently well regarded. She is a half-sister to two AW winners and presses leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Her Group entries suggest she is capable of further progress. She has already demonstrated a winning attitude. Her trainer, J Ferguson, has a 62% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: She carries a penalty for her previous win.
- Suitability: She is expected to find the progress required to defy her penalty and is the preferred choice according to the “Spotlight Verdict”.
- Dancing Flower (2yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: This Godolphin filly showed some promise by finishing third, beaten 6l, in a 7f maiden at the Newmarket July festival. This form has since received a few boosts. Her running style is to be held up.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: Her promising debut form has been confirmed by subsequent runners, and improvement is on the cards. Her trainer, C Appleby, has a 75% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: She is still a maiden.
- Suitability: An interesting contender with strong potential for improvement.
5.30 Unibet Zero% Mission Nursery Handicap (Class 6)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Midnight Rodeo (218)
- Flying Macs (215)
- Midnight Rodeo (2yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: She showed an improved effort by finishing a close second when upped to 1m at Musselburgh on her nursery debut last time. Her running style is usually mid-field.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She appears to be capable of winning a race of this nature. Her trainer, G Scott, has a 71% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: She is still a maiden.
- Suitability: Considered a particularly solid player on form, with this longer trip likely to suit her.
- Flying Macs (2yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: This four-race maiden ran well in a 7f AW nursery at Lingfield on her debut for her new yard recently. Her running style is usually mid-field.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She has possibilities if she can build on her last effort.
- Weaknesses: Still a maiden after four runs.
- Suitability: She is tied in with Barry The Worm on their Lingfield running and may be capable of better.
6.00 Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Div I) (Class 5)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Falmouth Lad (276)
- Waistcoat (271)
- Falmouth Lad (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: A low-mileage 3yo, he has put in a couple of sound performances on turf since being dropped to 1m, making all for a narrow win at Newmarket most recently. His running style is to lead.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He may have more to offer at this trip and is respected. His trainer, A Balding, has a 67% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses are mentioned.
- Suitability: He may improve further over 1m, making him a strong contender.
- Waistcoat (4yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: All of his wins have come in Class 6 contests over 6f on turf, including his last win at Chepstow. He is currently in good form. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He is in good recent form.
- Weaknesses: He has enough to prove as he steps back up in trip and returns to AW conditions.
- Suitability: Faces a challenge with the change in trip, grade, and surface.
6.30 Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap (Div II) (Class 5)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Toralou (278)
- Dragonflame (258)
- Toralou (4yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: She has shown consistent form for her new yard, all over 1m on turf. Her record includes two good seconds at handicap level and a maiden success, and she has low mileage. Her running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She may do better still and has solid claims. Her trainer, D M Loughnane, has a 44% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: Her recent form is all on turf, so her performance on AW needs to be confirmed.
- Suitability: Has solid claims, but her adaptation to AW after consistent turf form is a key factor.
- Dragonflame (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: This six-race maiden has a record of 232 since handicapping, including a creditable effort over C&D (Kempton). He also ran well at Brighton recently. His running style is to be held up.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He is showing clear signs that his turn is near. His trainer, B Meehan, has a 67% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: He is still a maiden.
- Suitability: He is the “Spotlight Verdict” selection and is tipped for a win.
7.00 Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (Class 5)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Media Darling (299)
- Rock Iguana (287)
- Media Darling (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: Both of her outings were over 6f on turf, where she finished third at Newbury and then made all in a small field at Ayr. Her running style is to lead.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She is open to further progress and has similar claims to Rock Iguana. Her trainer, S C Williams, has a 41% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: Her previous runs were all on turf, so her performance on AW is untested.
- Suitability: A strong contender, with similar claims to Rock Iguana, but needs to adapt to the AW surface.
- Rock Iguana (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: Both of his starts have been on AW, where he finished a close third at Wolverhampton in May and was then successful with a hood applied at Southwell (upped to 6f) last month. His running style is to lead.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He is a strong contender in the retained headgear. His trainer, K P De Foy, has a 69% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses are mentioned.
- Suitability: He is expected to build on his Southwell win and follow up, with the hood retained. The “Spotlight Verdict” identifies him as the top choice.
7.30 Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap (Class 5)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Havana Sky (270)
- Silca Bay (261)
- Havana Sky (4yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: He has seven wins in the past year, mostly on Tapeta, all over 6f. He has never raced off a mark this high, but cheekpieces have helped him lately. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He shapes as though this trip (7f) should be fine now. His trainer, E Dunlop, has a 71% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: He is racing off his highest mark to date.
- Suitability: He may be the answer, returning to Kempton off a workable mark and capable over this trip.
- Silca Bay (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: He is chasing a C&D hat-trick, having won an apprentice handicap off 3lb lower for Oliver Carmichael 12 days ago, which was a comfortable success. Cheekpieces have clearly helped him. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He may not have reached his ceiling yet. His trainer, E Houghton, has a 67% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: This is a deeper race than his last win.
- Suitability: A strong contender, expected to be in the mix and capable of a good shot.
8.00 Try Unibet’s New Improved Acca Boosts Handicap (London Stayers’ Series Qualifier) (Class 4)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Sax Appeal (312)
- Campaign Trail (265)
- Sax Appeal (5yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: He landed his sixth win on Tapeta, making it 2-4 over this trip (2m) off 4lb lower last time. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He is reliable and should go well again under Oisin Murphy. His trainer, Charlie Johnston, has a 63% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: He has little room for manoeuvre off his revised mark and is currently 0-9 on Polytrack, which is a significant concern for a Kempton race (AW).
- Suitability: Needs to prove he can perform off this mark on Polytrack, making him a risky choice.
- Campaign Trail (5yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: His last two wins have come in the autumn, including back from a layoff on his hurdling debut last November. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: The four-month break is not a negative factor. Rossa Ryan, his jockey, knows him well.
- Weaknesses: He needs a career-best effort off this mark on just his second AW start. His trainer, K Bailey & M Nicholls, has a 0% run-to-form rate in the last 14 days (from 0 runners to form from 0 runners).
- Suitability: He has a lot to prove given the higher mark and limited AW experience.
8.30 Free Bet With Unibet’s Betbuilder Rebound Handicap (Class 6)
- Top Two Master Rated Horses (TimeWise):
- Carderock (237)
- Little Miss India (235)
- Carderock (3yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: He is a consistent maiden who again gave his running over C&D (Kempton) last time, with Uzincso just behind him, without necessarily improving for the step up from 1m2f. His running style is to press leaders.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: He is one to consider, especially with the first-time headgear and dropping in class. His trainer, R Hannon, has a 54% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: He is still a maiden.
- Suitability: A consistent maiden who should be considered for a place, especially with the new headgear.
- Little Miss India (4yo)
- Recent Form & Comments: An ex-Ian Williams maiden, she was slowly away and well beaten on her stable debut in July while wearing a first-time visor. However, she was much better on her AW (Tapeta) debut last time. Her running style is to be held up.
- Chances in Today’s Race:
- Strengths: She holds claims if settling from a wide stall. Her trainer, J Owen, has a 55% run-to-form rate.
- Weaknesses: She has a tendency to be slowly away and has difficulty settling, especially from a wide stall.
- Suitability: She has claims if she can settle better than she often has, particularly from a wide draw.
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