This briefing document provides an overview of the key themes, ideas, and facts from the race cards and associated data for the meetings at Bath, Curragh, Doncaster, and Musselburgh on 14th September 2025.

1. Non-Runners and Market Movers/Drifters

Key Idea: Changes in the horse population and betting market can significantly impact race outcomes and highlight public and informed opinion on a horse’s chances.

Analysis:

• Significant Non-Runners: Several races across all four venues have seen non-runners. Notably, Doncaster’s 2.30 Betfred City Of Doncaster Handicap has lost three entries: Indian Springs, Intrusively, and Sarab Star. The 3.00 Doncaster “The Classic Bookmaker” Handicap has also seen four horses withdraw: Aalto, Indian Run, Royal Velvet, and Ten Pounds. These withdrawals will reduce field sizes and alter the dynamics of these races.
• “4.50 Bath Kings Gem (IRE) … 9 runners / 10 entries”
• “1.55 Doncaster Obito (IRE) … 9 runners / 11 entries”
• “2.30 Doncaster Indian Springs (IRE) … 16 runners / 19 entries”
• “3.00 Doncaster Royal Velvet … 13 runners / 17 entries”
• Strong Market Support (Movers):Misemerald (Musselburgh 5.43): Showed the most significant positive odds movement, with odds dropping from 13.00 to 5.00, a 67% move. The trainer is P Kirby and the jockey is Oisin Orr. The horse’s trainer has a 25% (8-35) recent win-rate. The spotlight notes she “won back-to-back races as a juvenile… but she has been steadily regressive this year” and “did too much too soon when fourth at Carlisle”. The market seems to be anticipating a return to form.
• Bobby Dassler (Bath 2.00): Saw its odds drop from 5.50 to 2.88 (58% move). The spotlight mentions he “Returned to turf with four pretty good efforts at Ffos Las… and seems quite versatile regarding ground”. Trainer Mrs A Thorpe has a 0% recent win-rate, but the market is clearly confident.
• Alparslan (Curragh 2.05): Odds moved from 3.75 to 2.63 (41% move). This 2yo colt made a winning debut last month and “showed plenty of speed then so drop back in trip shouldn’t be a problem.” Trainer K Burke has a 54% (3-20) recent win-rate.
• Pocklington (Doncaster 3.00): Experienced a 50% move, from 5.50 to 3.25. This 4yo is “lightly raced” and has been “beaten less than 1l in competitive 6f handicaps on his last three starts”. Trainer G Oldroyd has a 100% (1-15) recent win-rate.
• Jer Batt (Doncaster 4.40): Odds moved from 4.50 to 3.25 (36% move). Trainer D & N Barron has a 17% (1-31) recent win-rate.
• Significant Market Drifters:Spinning Dancer (Bath 2.00): The biggest drifter, with odds increasing from 8.50 to 23.00 (193% move). “Placed for first time in 12-race career when 50-1 second at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) last week but it’s hard to predict whether this new trip-and-ground combination will be her cup of tea.” This suggests significant doubts about her ability to handle the conditions.
• Acrisius (Doncaster 5.18): Drifted from 6.50 to 15.00 (155% move).
• High Opinion (Musselburgh 4.33): Drifted from 8.50 to 21.00 (167% move).
• Offiahs Boy (Bath 3.08): Drifted from 13.00 to 34.00 (175% move). The spotlight notes he “didn’t fire on good to soft ground last time, though, and today’s conditions are a serious worry.”
• Snellen (Curragh 5.00): Drifted from 9.00 to 17.00 (100% move). The spotlight states that “The case for Snellen would be weakened by further rain.”
• Ignac Lamar (Musselburgh 5.43): Drifted from 9.50 to 19.00 (112% move).

2. Going Conditions and Impact

Key Idea: The prevailing ground conditions (e.g., Soft, Good to Yielding) are a critical factor influencing horse performance and race strategy.

Analysis:

• Bath and Doncaster: All races at Bath and most at Doncaster are explicitly listed as “SOFT” going. This will favour horses with proven ability on softer surfaces.
• Bath 2.00: “GD-SFT” in race card, spotlight states “should handle the ground” (Positivia), “coped far better than the others with the heavy ground” (Zambezi Magic), “2-2 record on heavy ground” (Alioski), “much more on a quicker surface” (Blue Hero), “soft-ground C&D win” (My Brother Mike), “seems quite versatile regarding ground” (Bobby Dassler), “heavy-ground C&D winner” (Bramble Jelly), “once on heavy ground” (Daany), “first run on turf slower than good to soft” (Tilsworth Silver), “suited by the forecast heavy ground” (Stormy Lady), “new trip-and-ground combination will be her cup of tea” (Spinning Dancer). The spotlight verdict for the 2.00 race notes “heavy ground at Ffos Las” and “won over C&D on heavy ground last autumn”.
• Doncaster 1.20 and 1.55: “SOFT” going. The spotlight for 1.20 notes Stormy Monday “Ended his 2yo campaign with a 1m2f nursery win on soft”.
• Doncaster 2.30: “SOFT” going. God Of War “could do with the forecast showers arriving in time”. Intrusively is “not without hope off a reduced mark, provided conditions don’t soften up.”
• Doncaster 3.00: “SOFT” going. Purosangue “Placed in Group 3/Listed races on slow ground last term… rain would aid cause.” Russet Gold “significant rain would be a major boost to his claims.” Aleezdancer “soft-ground win”.
• Doncaster 3.35: “SOFT” going. Golden Pharaoh “His French win was on very soft ground and conditions were heavy when strolling home at Ffos Las”. Double Time “returned to winning ways in a 1m handicap at Windsor (soft)”.
• Doncaster 4.10: “SOFT” going. Spiritual “Soft-ground Listed winner”.
• Curragh: The going is consistently “GOOD TO YIELDING” or “YIELD”. This indicates a softer but not heavy surface.
• Curragh 1.30: “YIELD”. Sir Les Patterson “unproven on soft ground”.
• Curragh 2.05: “YIELD”. Alparslan “drop back in trip shouldn’t be a problem” implies speed but not necessarily soft ground preference. Blingy’s Sister: “contender if handling softer conditions.” By The Lake: “withdrawn… due to easier ground so obvious ground concerns here.” Joyful Tidings: “has his ground here”. Noodles: “promising debut here back in March on soft ground but not so effective both starts since on better ground”. Pints In Peace: “debut run here in March on soft was promising”. Uncertainty: “well below best in between on heavy”.
• Curragh 2.40: “YIELD”. Composing’s “dam handled soft ground well.” Venetian Sun “should not be inconvenienced by an ease.”
• Curragh 3.15: “YIELD”. Erosandpsyche “second in this race on soft”. Night Raider “might not want it too soft”. Two Stars “suited by soft ground”. Asfoora “two wins on soft in 2023”. Art Power “soft-ground Group 1 winner at Ascot in 2023”.
• Curragh 3.50: “YIELD”. Zavateri “likely slower ground and stiffer track will place more of an emphasis on stamina”. Gstaad “the manner in which he finished out the Prix Morny suggests he could get this longer trip”. Italy: “easier ground here and has to improve”.
• Curragh 4.25: “GD-YLD”. Al Riffa “acts on easy ground”. Amiloc “unknown territory here in terms of trip and ground”.
• Curragh 5.00: “GD-YLD”. Red Letter “handled soft when landing 1m Listed race at Killarney”. Snellen “The case for Snellen would be weakened by further rain.”
• Curragh 5.35: “GD-YLD”. Viking Invasion “will appreciate the ground”. Jagged Edge “soft-ground Cork maiden in April” and “ground remaining in his favour”. Sujet “not as effective in between on softer ground at Galway so probably won’t want much more rain now upped in trip”. Money Dancer “Debut winner of heavy-ground maiden here last year”. Mr Rango “All three wins have been at 1m2f on soft or heavy”. Rhythm King “Both wins last year came on soft”.
• Musselburgh: All races are listed as “GD-SFT” or “Good”.
• Musselburgh 2.15: “GD-SFT”. Komorkis “needs to show improvement on this drop down in trip” and is “unraced on turf slower than good”.
• Musselburgh 2.50: “GD-SFT”. Amalfi Bluebell “further progress is possible if she handles the slower ground”.
• Musselburgh 3.25: “GD-SFT”. Sea Master “Consistent sort who got off the mark at the 19th attempt at Hamilton (1m5f, good) in July”. Rory The Cat “Won over 1m6f here last August off 3lb higher but below form since; showed a bit more when third of five over C&D (good) 19 days ago”. Lincoln Rockstar “Won five times last year, one of those over C&D, but below form since finishing second of five at Leicester (1m4f, good to firm) this June”.
• Musselburgh 4.00: “GD-SFT”. Shielas Well “needs good ground or firmer to be seen at her best”.
• Musselburgh 4.33: “GD-SFT”. I’m Next “Won a nursery on heavy at Nottingham (5f) last October”. J Street “winning a soft-ground C&D maiden”.
• Musselburgh 5.08: “GD-SFT”. Lovely Spirit “Course scorer who hinted at a revival”.
• Musselburgh 5.43: “GD-SFT”. Ahamoment “wouldn’t want the ground conditions to ease any further”. Monhammer “Two C&D wins (from higher marks)”. Superior Council “winning at Hamilton (6f, good)”. Unthinkable “Always doing enough to fend off six rivals… over C&D (good) last month”.

3. Notable Horses and Form

Key Idea: Horses with strong recent form, particularly at the course or on similar ground, or those with significant class advantages, are often prime contenders.

Analysis:

• Bath:2.00 Apprentice Handicap:Bramble Jelly: “heavy-ground C&D winner off today’s mark last autumn; high on the list.”
• Zambezi Magic: “cantering clear to win easily by over 9l” on heavy ground recently.
• 2.35 Nursery Handicap:Rejjien: “Close second in both her nurseries, more recently when upped to 1m at Chepstow (soft)”. Spotlight verdict: “her proven ability on soft ground is a big selling point.”
• 3.08 Summer Stayers’ Series Final Handicap:Skimming Along: “won in good style here (11.6f, heavy) 11 days ago”.
• Corsican Caper: “Slow-ground specialist” and “continues to lurk on a dangerous mark.”
• 3.43 Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap:Cindy Lou Who: “kept on strongly to score on soft at Windsor in July”. Spotlight: “She gets the nod”.
• Savannah Smiles: “looked as good as ever when fending off Secret Handsheikh to win five-runner race here (5f, heavy) 11 days ago”.
• 4.50 Wight Event Toilets Handicap:Call Time: “Doubled his win tally at Chepstow (5f, soft) 12 days ago”. Spotlight: “taken to follow up here.”
• 5.28 Bath Rugby Handicap:Mum’s Angel: “Took a big step forward… when runner-up at Salisbury (1m) 16 days ago, hampered last 1f and awarded race”. Spotlight: “looks to have more to offer over this trip”.
• Curragh:1.30 Bold Lad Sprint Handicap:Carla Ridge: “solid stakes race form” and “gives her a big chance.”
• Keke: “Won premier handicap over 5f last September after finishing fourth in this race”.
• 2.05 Super Auction Sales Stakes:Joyful Tidings: “made good impression when justifying market support on debut… beating a subsequent Listed winner”. Spotlight: “preference is for JOYFUL TIDINGS”.
• Alparslan: “making winning debut last month… showed plenty of speed”.
• 2.40 Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1):Composing: “unbeaten in three races since… taking the measure of the front-running Suzie Songs”. Spotlight: “liking for this trip is already established with an emphatic C&D Group 2 win.”
• Venetian Sun: “unbeaten Prix Morny winner” but “hard to be sure she will stay 7f”.
• 3.15 Flying Five Stakes (Group 1):Asfoora: “Top-class Australian mare… returned to form with a vengeance when taking the Nunthorpe in emphatic; sets the standard”.
• Art Power: “Winner of four of his seven starts at this venue, and a soft-ground Group 1 winner at Ascot in 2023”.
• Mgheera: “Beat today’s rival She’s Quality to win 5f Group 2 Temple Stakes”.
• 3.50 National Stakes (Group 1):Gstaad: “impressive 3l winner of Group 2 Coventry Stakes” and “the manner in which he finished out the Prix Morny suggests he could get this longer trip.”
• Zavateri: “unbeaten in three starts” and “already a dual Group 2 winner”.
• Saba Desert: “following the same path as yard’s 2021 winner Native Trail.”
• 4.25 Irish St. Leger (Group 1):Al Riffa: “Three-time winner here including 5L success in Group 2 Curragh Cup… looks a deserved favourite”.
• Illinois: “Very consistent high-class stayer; narrowly beaten in last year’s St Leger”.
• Amiloc: “unbeaten in five career starts… bidding to become the first of his generation to win this since 2019.”
• 5.00 Blandford Stakes (Group 2):Red Letter: “has come good on her last two starts and should be suited by the trip and ground”. Spotlight: “taken to defy a 2lb weights rise”.
• One Look: “established her stamina with C&D Group 3 win”.
• 5.35 Northfields Handicap:Crown Of Oaks: “impressively taking Ascot contest on soft ground eight days ago; carries mandatory 7lb penalty here but has been re-assessed by the British handicapper on 100 so theoretically has 7lb in hand”. Spotlight: “a worthy hot favourite”.
• Jagged Edge: “returned from summer break for 22-1 win in 15-runner Irish Cambridgeshire”.
• Doncaster:1.20 I Love Julie Parkes Handicap (Div I):Telepathic: “raised his game… with the move up to 1m2f for last three starts, coming from off the pace, including for a clearcut win here”. Spotlight: “vote… goes to TELEPATHIC”.
• Stormy Monday: “winning by nearly 3l at Epsom (1m2f, good) three weeks ago was a career best”.
• 1.55 I Love Julie Parkes Handicap (Div II):Something Splendid: “beaten a nose at Sandown (1m2f, soft) 16 days ago; checked at a crucial point”. Spotlight: “looked so unlucky at Sandown”.
• Nightsinwhitesatin: “winning 1m2f handicaps on good at Nottingham and Newbury on last two”.
• 2.30 Betfred City Of Doncaster Handicap:Brighton Boy: “responded well to cheekpieces when tried once last season and he could be a big price.”
• Defence Minister: “competitive shows in strong handicaps at Sandown and Goodwood”.
• 3.00 Betfred “The Classic Bookmaker” Handicap:Baldomero: “won on both previous visits to Doncaster, in this race last year (soft) and over 5f this June (good)”. Spotlight: “taken to maintain his unbeaten record at Doncaster.”
• Pocklington: “beaten less than 1l in competitive 6f handicaps on his last three starts”.
• 3.35 IPM Group Leger Legends Classified Stakes:Moonjid: “ran his best race yet on stable debut when beaten a head at Carlisle (1m1f, good)”. Spotlight: “onwards and upwards for the lightly raced 3yo MOONJID”.
• Beaming Light: “Completed a 1m hat-trick in June, on the AW, good to firm and soft”.
• 4.10 Japan Racing Association Sceptre Fillies’ Stakes (Group 3):Bright Thunder: “winning at Newmarket and Haydock (early July), the latest a weak affair at long odds-on (gelded beforehand); posted a smart RPR last time and he’s dangerously unexposed now into a handicap.”
• 4.40 IPM Group Handicap:Jer Batt: “running with credit, including one run on good to soft; place claims.”
• 5.18 Land Of Lights Festival At Gulliver’s Handicap:Bona Fortuna: “Still a maiden after 26 starts but has knocked on the door this season; ran on well for clear second behind Call Time at Chepstow (5f, soft) 12 days ago”.
• Musselburgh:2.15 Dropkicks Split The G Novice Stakes:Farandaway: “unlucky to still be a maiden having been runner-up five times; he faces a straightforward task here”. Spotlight: “it will be disappointing if FARANDAWAY isn’t good enough to get off the mark here”.
• 2.50 Listen To Heart Scotland Nursery Handicap:Parisian Scholar: “Progressive Study Of Man colt… showing much improved form; a player now stepping up in trip for his nursery debut.”
• 3.25 Premium Annual Membership Handicap:Sea Master: “Consistent sort who got off the mark at the 19th attempt at Hamilton (1m5f, good) in July”. Spotlight: “looks a good opportunity for the consistent SEA MASTER (nap) to get back to winning ways”.
• 4.00 Dropkicks Donkey Handicap:Balmerino: “Improved form on handicap debut when second of eight at Ayr (7f, good) in July”. Spotlight: “the eye is drawn to BALMERINO”.
• 4.33 Dropkicks Honky Tonk Handicap:Montezuma: “has shown steady improvement in handicaps this summer and caught the eye when third of 12 at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last month”. Spotlight: “main hope looks to be MONTEZUMA”.
• 5.08 Racing TV Handicap:Lovely Spirit: “Course scorer who hinted at a revival when seventh of ten in 9f Carlisle handicap 13 days ago”. Spotlight: “could go to Richard Fahey’s course scorer LOVELY SPIRIT”.
• 5.43 100% Racing TV Profits Back To Racing Handicap:Sanditon: “running a rock-solid race from the front at Catterick (7f, good; runner-up to Lima Sierra) this week”. Spotlight: “looks a suitable winning opportunity for Charlie Johnston’s SANDITON”.

4. Trainer and Jockey Statistics

Key Idea: Trainers and jockeys in good recent form, or with a strong record at a particular track or in specific race types, can indicate a higher probability of success.

Analysis:

• Trainer Hot Streaks (W-R in last 14 days):Musselburgh: G Oldroyd (100%), Noel Wilson (100%), D McLoughlin (100%), Mrs R Carr (26%)
• Doncaster: G Oldroyd (100%), D Cunha (47%), K Burke (54%), H Al Jehani (75%), J Fanshawe (75%), C Appleby (75%), W Muir & C Grassick (77%), H Charlton (80%), J & T Gosden (89%), G Boughey (90%), B Aprahamian (0%)
• Curragh: A P O’Brien (65%), E Lynam (50%), G Lyons (50%), J S O’Donoghue (100%), D McLoughlin (100%), H Palmer (52%), J Ferguson (62%), W McCreery (62%), P Twomey (89%), G Keane (100%), J Scott (0%), N Mulholland (0%), A Murray (0%), M Young (0%)
• Bath: J Moore (75%), D Ffrench Davis (57%), J Tickle (33%), Mrs A Thorpe (0%), D Horsford (100%), Kathy Turner (50%), S Hollinshead (50%), B Llewellyn (60%), G Brown (25%), A Wintle (17%), D Loughnane (50%), J Portman (57%), F J Brennan (0%), J Ferguson (62%), E De Giles (57%), J Morland (25%), E Houghton (67%), G & J Moore (55%), D Steele (33%), E Dunlop (69%), N Mulholland (0%), J Owen (52%), K Frost (40%), D M Loughnane (38%), S Pearce (50%), Clive Cox (21%), E Walker (55%), A Carroll (32%), J Fox (0%), A G Newcombe (0%), C Wallis (50%), P Niven (0%)
• Jockey-Trainer Combinations:P J McDonald (G Oldroyd): Doncaster 1.55 (Project Geofin, 5-1) and Doncaster 3.00 (Pocklington, 9-2). G Oldroyd has a 100% recent win-rate.
• Rob Hornby (J Portman): Bath 2.35 (Takeitorleaveit, 10-1) and Bath 4.18 (Southern Spirit, 20-1). J Portman has a 57% recent win-rate.
• Silvestre De Sousa (M Appleby): Doncaster 3.00 (Baldomero, 16-1) and Doncaster 5.18 (Roach Power, 14-1). M Appleby has a 35% recent win-rate.
• Joe Leavy (A Wintle): Bath 2.00 (Blue Hero, 10-1) and Bath 4.50 (Coco Hill, 6-1). A Wintle has a 17% recent win-rate.
• Taylor Fisher (J Moore): Bath 2.00 (Spinning Dancer, 12-1) and Bath 4.50 (Call Time, 2-1). J Moore has a 75% recent win-rate.
• Shane Foley (Mrs J Harrington): Curragh 2.40 (Suzie Songs, 10-1) and Curragh 5.00 (Barnavara, 7-1). Mrs J Harrington has a 52% recent win-rate.
• Colin Keane (G Lyons): Curragh 1.30 (Kendall Roy, 12-1) and Curragh 2.05 (By The Lake, 13-2). G Lyons has a 50% recent win-rate.
• Dylan Browne McMonagle (A P O’Brien): Curragh 2.40 (Beautify, 6-1) and Curragh 3.15 (Arizona Blaze, 6-1). A P O’Brien has a 65% recent win-rate.
• William Buick (C Appleby): Curragh 2.05 (Saba Desert, 100-30) and Curragh 3.50 (Saba Desert, 100-30). C Appleby has a 75% recent win-rate.
• Rossa Ryan (K Burke): Curragh 2.05 (Alparslan, 7-2) and Curragh 3.15 (Art Power, 10-1). K Burke has a 54% recent win-rate.

5. Age Groups and Performance Trends

Key Idea: Certain age groups may perform better in specific race types or at particular stages of the racing season.

Analysis:

• 3yo Dominance in some Group 1s:Curragh 2.40 Moyglare Stud Stakes: “Fillies of the classic generation have won this race in six consecutive years.”
• Curragh 4.25 Irish St. Leger: “Amiloc… bidding to become the first of his generation to win this since 2019.”
• Older Horses in Handicaps:Bath 2.00 Apprentice Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 2-0-8, 4yo+ 0-3-10”. This suggests a slight advantage for 3yos in terms of wins, but older horses place more frequently.
• Bath 3.08 Summer Stayers’ Series Final Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 1-0-10, 4yo+ 6-15-79”. Clearly favours older horses.
• Bath 3.43 Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 3-2-14, 4yo+ 5-17-93”. Older horses dominate.
• Curragh 1.30 Bold Lad Sprint Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 3-3-64, 4yo+ 7-27-158”. Older horses have a stronger win and place record.
• Curragh 3.15 Flying Five Stakes: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 3-8-50, 4yo+ 7-12-80”. Older horses have more wins but 3yos have placed more often relative to their number of runs.
• Curragh 5.35 Northfields Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 5-7-65, 4yo+ 5-21-132”. Again, older horses have more wins and significantly more places.
• Doncaster 3.00 “The Classic Bookmaker” Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 0-2-15, 4yo+ 10-17-87”. Strong preference for older horses.
• Musselburgh 3.25 Premium Annual Membership Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 4yo+ 1-1-5”. Only 4yo+ are running.
• Musselburgh 4.33 Dropkicks Honky Tonk Handicap: “AGE GROUPS: 3yo 0-0-1, 4yo+ 1-2-8”. Older horses have a stronger record here.

6. Race Class and Prize Money

Key Idea: The class of a race and the prize money offered indicate the level of competition and the quality of horses attracted.

Analysis:

• Group 1 Races: Curragh features several Group 1 races, including the Moyglare Stud Stakes (€400,000), Flying Five Stakes (€400,000), Goffs Vincent O’Brien National Stakes (€400,000), and the Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (€500,000). These are the highest class races, attracting top-tier horses and offering substantial prize money.
• Class 2 Handicaps (High Value): Doncaster and Bath have Class 2 handicaps with significant prize money (e.g., Doncaster 2.30 City Of Doncaster Handicap £65,000, Bath 3.08 Summer Stayers’ Series Final Handicap £35,000, Bath 3.43 Summer Sprint Series Final Handicap £35,000). These are highly competitive races designed for quality handicap horses.
• Lower Class Handicaps/Novices: The majority of other races are Class 4, 5, or 6 handicaps, or Novice Stakes, offering lower prize money and attracting horses at different stages of their careers or with lower ratings.

7. Betting Favourites Performance

Key Idea: The success rate of betting favourites can inform strategies for different race types.

Analysis:

• Mixed Results: The “FATE OF FAVOURITES” statistics show varied outcomes across different tracks and race types.
• Bath 2.00: “02” (meaning 0 wins from 2 favourites).
• Bath 2.35: “51” (5 wins from 1 favourite).
• Bath 3.08: “141P010” (seems to indicate 1 win from multiple favourites, with some “placed” or “pulled up”).
• Bath 3.43: “01211260” (mixed performance).
• Curragh 1.30: “1200110502”.
• Curragh 2.05: “0362025110”.
• Curragh 2.40: “2551226205”.
• Curragh 3.15: “1011504151”.
• Curragh 3.50: “1121142412”.
• Curragh 4.25: “1211466121”.
• Curragh 5.00: “3241202423”.
• Curragh 5.35: “0020201010”.
• Doncaster 1.20: “10”.
• Doncaster 1.55: “10”.
• Doncaster 2.30: “3315101540”.
• Doncaster 3.00: “2125630010”.
• Doncaster 3.35: “1430252012”.
• Doncaster 4.10: “4045021042”.
• Musselburgh 2.15: “25”.
• Musselburgh 2.50: “11”.
• Musselburgh 5.43: “0210543512”.

These varied statistics indicate that simply backing the favourite is not a consistently winning strategy across all races. Some races (like Bath 2.35) have seen favourites perform very well, while others (like Bath 2.00) have seen them struggle.

8. Specific Race Insights & Betting Angles

Key Idea: Detailed analysis of individual races often reveals specific factors to consider.

Analysis:

• Doncaster 2.30 Betfred City Of Doncaster Handicap: The spotlight suggests considering “Indian Springs and Sarab Star are dangerously unexposed handicap debutants who have to be feared”. It also highlights “Defence Minister (second choice), whose fourth at Glorious Goodwood looked strong form”. At “lengthier odds BRIGHTON BOY” is mentioned as a potential value bet due to his 2yo form and the return of cheekpieces.
• Doncaster 3.00 Betfred “The Classic Bookmaker” Handicap: Baldomero is tipped as the “nap” due to his “unbeaten record at Doncaster”. Purosangue is highlighted as a “well-handicapped” horse who “could go well, especially if there’s rain”.
• Musselburgh 3.25 Musselburgh Racecourse Premium Annual Membership Handicap: Sea Master is the “nap” due to his “consistent sort” status and solid recent efforts. Rory The Cat is considered the main danger due to being “well-handicapped” and showing improved form.
• Musselburgh 4.00 Dropkicks Donkey Handicap: Balmerino is the spotlight’s pick due to “improved form when second on his handicap debut in July” and having had a “short break since”.
• Curragh 2.40 Moyglare Stud Stakes (Group 1): The spotlight indicates a strong British challenge from Venetian Sun but prefers Composing due to her “liking for this trip”. Beautify is seen as a “strong second-string for Ballydoyle.”
• Curragh 3.15 Bar One Racing Flying Five Stakes (Group 1): Art Power is tipped as a “soft-ground Group 1 winner” who should be “sharper than when dropping away in the final furlong of a 6f event”. Asfoora is seen as “hard to beat if reproducing” her Nunthorpe form.
• Curragh 4.25 Comer Group International Irish St. Leger (Group 1): Al Riffa is considered the likely winner with a “better turn of foot at this distance”. Illinois is “deserving of success at this level” but may have to wait. Amiloc is an “intriguing dimension” as an “unbeaten three-year-old”.