1.48 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (1m)
1. Lookingforarainbow (USA)
- TimeWise Rating: 327
- Recent Form & Comments: This two-year-old filly was a market drifter at 28-1 when finishing a staying-on third over 7f at the Curragh last month. The form of that race has been significantly boosted by the winner, Diamond Necklace, achieving an odds-on victory in a Listed race at Leopardstown last Saturday. Her Master Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 89, with a latest RPR of 78. She typically runs as a held-up horse.
- Chances Assessment: Lookingforarainbow looks very promising given her pleasing Curragh debut and the subsequent form boost from the winner. Her staying-on effort suggests the 1m trip will suit, making her a strong contender for improvement and a potential winner in today’s race.
2. La Fogata (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 290
- Recent Form & Comments: La Fogata is a €130,000 yearling. She was not beaten far when fourth of eight on debut in a 7f maiden at Leopardstown and emerged with credit from an ambitious Group 3 attempt at the Curragh, rallying to finish fourth of six after losing her place three furlongs out. The extra furlong of this race should suit her. Her Master RPR is 94, with a latest RPR of 39. Her running style is to press leaders.
- Chances Assessment: Her experience in a Group 3 race is a significant asset. The additional distance is expected to be beneficial for her. While her latest RPR is lower, her ability to rally in a Group 3 suggests underlying talent. She is a strong contender for a place and possibly the win.
2.18 Punchestown Is Back Maiden (1m)
1. Resurgence (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 303
- Recent Form & Comments: On his debut, Resurgence was always prominent over 7f at the Curragh, running green but maintaining his effort to finish second in a race dominated by outsiders. The third-placed horse, Take Charge Star, has since won easily at Gowran, boosting the form. His Master RPR is 91, with a latest RPR of 42. He typically leads.
- Chances Assessment: Resurgence has a solid debut performance to build upon, with the form already proven by a subsequent winner. Despite running green, his prominent style and maintained effort indicate potential. He is a leading contender to win, especially with expected improvement from his debut.
2. Port Of Spain (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 275
- Recent Form & Comments: This €130,000 yearling colt by St Mark’s Basilica shaped reasonably well on his first outing, finishing sixth of ten over 7f at the Curragh. On his second outing, he was short of room in the final furlong when finishing 4l third to a stablemate over 1m. His Master RPR is 86, with a latest RPR of 64. He runs as a pressing leader.
- Chances Assessment: With two runs under his belt, Port Of Spain has gained valuable experience and shown ability to place in competitive races. The slight interference in his last race suggests he could have finished closer. He has a strong chance to make his presence felt and could be in the mix for a win.
2.48 Nostra Supporting Laois GAA Handicap (1m)
1. Counterculture
- TimeWise Rating: 277
- Recent Form & Comments: Counterculture won a Roscommon maiden on heavy ground last season and has been lightly raced since. She made a fine return from a five-month absence early this month, finishing second on soft ground at Roscommon, having been up with the pace throughout. Her Master RPR is 81, with a latest RPR of 35. She prefers to be held up.
- Chances Assessment: Her recent second-place finish on soft ground after a long break demonstrates her capability. She will appreciate any softening of the ground, which makes her a strong contender if conditions are suitable. She is noted as a likely danger.
2. Touted Plan (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 274 (Joint-second with Altimara)
- Recent Form & Comments: Touted Plan was just denied by Spent All Me Money over 7f at Naas and ran respectably at Killarney before showing significant improvement in maiden company to win over 1m at Bellewstown. He has been hit with an 11lb rise in the weights, posing a stiff task. His Master RPR is 79, with a latest RPR of 53. He presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: While he is “going the right way” and showed much-improved form to win his last race, the 11lb rise makes this a stiff task. He will need to continue his progression to overcome the penalty but is clearly in good form.
2. Altimara (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 274 (Joint-second with Touted Plan)
- Recent Form & Comments: Altimara took 12 attempts to break her maiden over 7f at Leopardstown last month, then quickly doubled up in a similar event a fortnight later off a 7lb higher mark, with the front two clear. She is now upped in grade. Her Master RPR is 81, with a latest RPR of 76. She prefers to be held up.
- Chances Assessment: Altimara is very much a player if she can stay the mile trip and continue her winning streak to complete a hat-trick. Her strong recent performances and potential for further improvement make her a strong candidate, especially from a good draw.
3.18 Hospitality On Sale Now Race (1m 1½f)
1. Coeur D’Or (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 321
- Recent Form & Comments: Coeur D’Or has not won since a 1m Curragh handicap in August 2023. After fair initial runs this campaign, he was too keen and failed to meet expectations at the Galway festival. However, he showed significant improvement when visored at the Curragh last time, finishing fourth in the Irish Cambridgeshire. His Master RPR is 108, with a latest RPR of 100. He runs as a pressing leader.
- Chances Assessment: His improved performance when visored last time, in a strong handicap, suggests he is regaining form. If he can maintain this level of performance and settle better, he is a definite contender, expected to battle it out for the win.
2. Barbizon (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 307
- Recent Form & Comments: Barbizon improved from his Curragh debut in June to win a 1m Killarney conditions event in July on softish ground, beating more experienced rivals. He then finished fifth of nine in a steadily-run Listed race over 1m at Killarney, leaving the impression that a longer trip would suit him. His Master RPR is 94, with a latest RPR of 63. He prefers to be held up.
- Chances Assessment: His win on soft ground and the suggestion that a longer trip would suit (this race is 1m1½f) are strong positives. He is expected to be a key challenger, potentially battling for the win.
3.48 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden (1m 1½f)
1. Lady Lilac (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 273
- Recent Form & Comments: Lady Lilac has shown solid form over a mile in the first half of the season, including a second-place in a Gowran maiden on heavy ground and a third-place in a Curragh handicap debut. She has been off since, but the step up in trip and easier ground are expected to suit. Her Master RPR is 81, with a latest RPR of 74. She presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: With her consistent form, suitability for the longer trip and potentially easier ground, Lady Lilac has strong claims. The time off should have allowed her to freshen up.
2. Playin Cool (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 266
- Recent Form & Comments: This half-brother to a winner was well-backed on his Gowran debut over 7f, finishing fourth after being outpaced at a crucial stage but staying on late. The longer trip of this race is expected to suit him. His Master RPR is 70, with a latest RPR of 21. He presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: As a newcomer who stayed on late over 7f, the step up to 1m1½f should be beneficial. With natural improvement from his debut, he could be a significant player in this race.
4.18 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap (1m 1½f)
1. Dancing Teapot (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 282
- Recent Form & Comments: Dancing Teapot won a Gowran maiden over 1m in June. She then failed to make an impression in the Sandringham Stakes at Royal Ascot and was disappointing when last of four in a Leopardstown handicap. Her last outing was a tough task in a Listed race at Gowran. Her Master RPR is 80, with a latest RPR of 64. She prefers to be held up.
- Chances Assessment: While her recent form has been mixed, her maiden win indicates ability. She needs to bounce back from recent disappointments, but a drop in grade could see her perform better.
2. Presence (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 273
- Recent Form & Comments: Presence was a very dependable performer last season but has had an inconsistent profile this year, with her mark falling by 16lb from a career high of 92. She showed signs of becoming competitive again when fifth of 15 at Leopardstown last month. Her Master RPR is 81, with a latest RPR of 67. She presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: The drop in handicap mark and her encouraging fifth at Leopardstown suggest she is returning to form. If she continues to improve, she could be a strong contender in this race.
4.48 See You On The 14th & 15th October Handicap (Div I) (1m 1½f)
1. Sottsands (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 227
- Recent Form & Comments: Sottsands showed promising early form at Dundalk. Her best turf performance was third over just under this trip at Tipperary last month on yielding ground. A stiff 1m2f at Navan proved too much five days later. Her Master RPR is 65, with a latest RPR of 61. She presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: She is respected on this easier track after struggling with a stiffer 1m2f. Her Tipperary form suggests she can perform well at this trip and she is considered for a place.
2. Warazam (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 216
- Recent Form & Comments: Warazam is a maiden who has been “knocking on the door” on both AW and turf. Most recently, she made much of the running over this trip at Clonmel five days ago, finishing second by 0.75l. She is returning quickly off the same mark, and her rider claims 7lb. Her Master RPR is 64, with a latest RPR of 55. She presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: Warazam has a strong opportunity to secure her first win, benefiting from a quick return on the same mark and her rider’s 7lb claim. The wide draw is not ideal, but her consistent “knocking on the door” suggests she is due for a win.
5.18 See You On The 14th & 15th October Handicap (Div II) (1m 1½f)
1. Slaney Swagger (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 234
- Recent Form & Comments: Slaney Swagger is an 18-race maiden but has been performing well recently, with two placings over this trip at Gowran and a strong-finishing second over 1m at the same track from a wide draw. His Master RPR is 65, with a latest RPR of 55. He presses leaders.
- Chances Assessment: Despite being a maiden, his recent consistency and strong finishes indicate he is very close to a win. He “seems sure to go well again” and is noted as one of the most likely dangers.
2. Ms Olivia (IRE)
- TimeWise Rating: 215
- Recent Form & Comments: Ms Olivia showed nice improvement on her second handicap run at Tipperary last month (1m1f, yielding), staying on well into second after hanging left and racing away from the pace. Her Master RPR is 58, with a latest RPR of 40. She tends to lead.
- Chances Assessment: Ms Olivia is considered “the one to beat” due to her progressive form and recent strong second-place finish, despite a potentially unfavourable draw. If she can overcome the tendency to hang left, she is a big player.
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