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3.57 Kempton – Unibet Zero% Mission/British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Class 4, 7f, Standard To Slow, 2yo, Win: £5940

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Lord Britain (Total: 271)
2. Leone Alato (Total: 262)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Lord Britain: Aged 2. His last recorded race (LR) rating was 89, with a 2LR of 21. He is a Royal Lodge entry and recently achieved a 33-1 success over the course and distance (C&D), suggesting he may be capable of further progress despite carrying a penalty. He is ridden by a 5lb claimer, Tommie Jakes.
• Leone Alato: Aged 2. His LR rating was 55, and 2LR was 32. His two previous starts were on turf: a promising third over 7f at Newmarket, followed by a modest fourth (as the disappointing favourite) over 6.5f at Newbury. He is considered a leading player if he can return to his debut form.

Spotlight Verdict:
“Back up in distance, WEDONTTELLLIES could well build on his course effort and open his account at the third attempt. It’s far to soon to write off Godolphin colt Leone Alato who may yet confirm his debut promise, while C&D scorer Lord Britain (second choice) is the other main form contender. Lux Aeterna and Heading are particularly interesting types among the newcomers.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Lord Britain:
  • Strengths: Proven C&D winner, which is a significant advantage for suitability. His high TimeWise rating of 271 positions him strongly. The potential for further progress is noted.
  • Weaknesses: Carries a penalty for his recent win, which could make this a tougher task. The 5lb claimer adds an element of inexperience, which might be a slight disadvantage in a novice stakes race.
  • Suitability: Excellent suitability for the course (Kempton) and distance (7f) on Standard to Slow All-Weather (AW) given his previous C&D success.
• Leone Alato:
  • Strengths: Showed considerable promise on his debut turf run at Newmarket. His TimeWise rating of 262 makes him a strong contender. Being a Godolphin colt from a leading yard (C. Appleby) implies quality.
  • Weaknesses: His second start was disappointing as a favourite on turf. His previous form is exclusively on turf, so his ability to handle the Standard to Slow Polytrack surface at Kempton remains unproven, despite the suggestion in the spotlight that he “may yet confirm his debut promise”.
  • Suitability: The 7f distance aligns with his promising debut run. However, his suitability for the AW surface is a key unknown that could affect his performance.

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4.27 Kempton – Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)

Class 6, 1m, Standard To Slow, 3yo+, Win: £3140

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Villalobos (Total: 201)
2. Prima Diva (Total: 195)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Villalobos: Aged 6. His last race (LR) rating was 48, with a 2LR of 20. He achieved his most recent victory over the C&D in January, off just 1lb higher than his current mark. His chances are considered a “fighting chance” if new headgear (blinkers) prompts a return to that winning form.
• Prima Diva: Aged 3. Her LR rating was 46, and 2LR was 22. She broke her maiden at Windsor (1m) in June but has since failed to replicate that form in two subsequent runs, including her latest effort back on AW.

Spotlight Verdict:
“There are doubts over most the runners. ISLAND OCEAN is one of the more interesting contenders, having shown some promise at Kempton and with improvement plausible back up in trip. Villalobos (second choice) is much more exposed but he’s a C&D winner who returns here off an attractive mark, while Reignman is another suggestion for the shortlist.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Villalobos:
  • Strengths: A proven C&D winner, and currently on an attractive mark just 1lb higher than his last win. His TimeWise rating of 201 is the highest in this division.
  • Weaknesses: His recent form is not particularly consistent, and his current chances are reliant on the effectiveness of the new headgear (blinkers).
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the course and distance on AW, given his previous victory in these conditions.
• Prima Diva:
  • Strengths: Achieved a win at 1m in June. Holds the second-highest TimeWise rating in the race.
  • Weaknesses: Her form has been inconsistent since her maiden win, particularly on AW, which is a concern for today’s race. The spotlight does not favour her, stating she is “opposed”.
  • Suitability: Has won over 1m, but her recent AW performance suggests current limitations on this surface.

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5.02 Kempton – Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2)

Class 6, 1m, Standard To Slow, 3yo+, Win: £3140

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. My Boy Harry (Total: 228)
2. Aim For The Bull (Total: 216)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• My Boy Harry: Aged 3. His LR rating was 62, and 2LR was 33. He has only one win from 16 attempts, but that was at Brighton (7f) in June. He recently ran well, finishing third at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) last Thursday. The step back up to 1m is considered “worth a go”.
• Aim For The Bull: Aged 3. His LR rating was 58, and 2LR was 26. He is a 12-race maiden but has been consistent and running well recently over 1m/7f. He is noted as being effective on Polytrack.

Spotlight Verdict:
“The filly ENCIRCLE has shaped with promise on her two runs for John Butler and is taken to get off the mark. The consistent maiden Aim For The Bull is feared most ahead of last week’s Chelmsford third My Boy Harry.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• My Boy Harry:
  • Strengths: Ran a credible third on Polytrack recently. His TimeWise rating of 228 is the highest in this division. The step up to 1m could potentially unlock further improvement.
  • Weaknesses: Has a limited win record (1 win from 16 attempts). The spotlight places another horse, Encircle, and his stablemate Aim For The Bull, ahead of him.
  • Suitability: Proven on Polytrack and running well over 7f, so 1m at Kempton could be suitable if his stamina holds.
• Aim For The Bull:
  • Strengths: Demonstrates consistency and good recent form over similar distances (1m/7f). Known to be effective on Polytrack. The spotlight considers him the main threat after their top selection. His TimeWise rating of 216 is strong.
  • Weaknesses: He is still a maiden after 12 races.
  • Suitability: Excellent suitability for the AW surface and the 1m distance based on his consistent recent performances.

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5.40 Kempton – Unibet Handicap

Class 5, 1m, Standard To Slow, 3yo, Win: £4187

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Dovey Moon (Total: 275)
2. Opening Bat (Total: 259)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Dovey Moon: Aged 3. Her LR rating was 116, and 2LR was 24. She has secured two wins at Chepstow (1m, good) this year, the latest beating 14 rivals last month. Despite being unplaced in her five previous AW starts, she is believed to have improved generally since then.
• Opening Bat: Aged 3. His LR rating was 68, and 2LR was 25. He previously won over the C&D in April. Since then, he has been placed in all three of his starts, including a third-place finish at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last month. He runs from the same mark and could benefit from first-time cheekpieces.

Spotlight Verdict:
“C&D winner Opening Bat (second choice) is respected especially if benefiting from the first-time cheekpieces, while Dovey Moon looks to have improved generally since last seen on the AW. However, SAYTARR gets the vote if turning out again after running at Yarmouth on Tuesday, with the form of last month’s Lingfield win having been franked.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Dovey Moon:
  • Strengths: Has shown improved form on turf this year with two wins. Her TimeWise rating of 275 is the highest in the race. The spotlight suggests she has improved since her last AW appearance.
  • Weaknesses: Her previous AW record of being unplaced in five starts is a significant concern.
  • Suitability: Proven at 1m, but her ability to perform effectively on the AW after her turf improvement is the main question.
• Opening Bat:
  • Strengths: A C&D winner who is running from the same mark as his previous win. Has consistently placed in recent starts. The introduction of first-time cheekpieces could lead to further improvement. His TimeWise rating of 259 is strong. The spotlight rates him as a strong contender.
  • Weaknesses: None immediately apparent; he presents a solid profile.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the C&D on Standard to Slow AW, given his previous victory and consistent form.

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6.12 Kempton – Juddmonte British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Class 2, 1m, Standard To Slow, 2yo, Win: £15462

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Allegresse (Total: 326)
2. Hes Waliim (Total: 321)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Allegresse: Aged 2. Her LR rating was 80, and 2LR was 43. She made a promising debut by finishing second at Doncaster (7f, good) in July. Subsequently, she bolted up by almost 10 lengths in a novice over this C&D last month, looking smart.
• Hes Waliim: Aged 2. His LR rating was 75, and 2LR was 43. He won convincingly by 6 lengths on his Beverley debut (7f, good to firm) last month. However, he then struggled, finishing last in the Group 3 Solario at Sandown (7f, soft) 17 days later. He is closely related to a dual Polytrack winner (including at Kempton).

Spotlight Verdict:
“A fascinating contest. It’s too early to give up on He’s Waliim after his Solario performance, but he may be vulnerable under his penalty and preference is for ALLEGRESSE who was so impressive when bolting up over this C&D on his second start. Henry Lawson looks the main danger with the form of his debut third of four at Sandown having since received a boost.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Allegresse:
  • Strengths: Impressive C&D winner on her second start, demonstrating significant ability. Her debut was also promising. Holds the highest TimeWise rating in the race. The spotlight strongly favours her.
  • Weaknesses: None apparent based on her recent performances.
  • Suitability: Excellent suitability for the course, distance, and surface (Standard to Slow AW) due to her dominant C&D victory.
• Hes Waliim:
  • Strengths: Displayed a strong debut performance with a 6-length win. His pedigree suggests suitability for Polytrack surfaces, being related to a dual Kempton winner. His TimeWise rating of 321 is very high.
  • Weaknesses: Struggled significantly when stepped up to Group 3 company. He may be vulnerable under a penalty for his maiden win. His turf form (good to firm and soft) needs to be transferred to AW.
  • Suitability: The 1m distance is within his proven range. His ability on AW is suggested by pedigree but needs to be confirmed on the track.

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6.45 Kempton – Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Class 4, 6f, Standard To Slow, 2yo, Win: £5940

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Moonlight Mirage (Total: 285)
2. Khafar (Total: 285)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Moonlight Mirage: Aged 2. Her LR rating was 87, and 2LR was 33. She confirmed the promise of her Newbury debut by winning a 5f fillies’ novice at Wolverhampton 12 days ago. She still appeared green but is open to further progress, though she carries a penalty.
• Khafar: Aged 2. Her LR rating was 79. She finished second of 11 at Newbury three weeks ago (6f, good) at 12-1, ahead of some of today’s rivals. She is bred to improve further.

Spotlight Verdict:
“There might not be much between Khafar, Running Hot and Bintola judged on their Newbury debut effort as they are open to varying levels of progress. Moonlight Mirage is respected despite her penalty but VALDORCIA looks a likely type on paper and can make a winning start.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Moonlight Mirage:
  • Strengths: A recent winner who is expected to progress further. She has the joint-highest TimeWise rating in this race.
  • Weaknesses: Carries a penalty, which demands a higher level of performance. Still showed signs of greenness in her last race. The spotlight respects her but favors a newcomer, Valdorcia.
  • Suitability: Proven on AW (Wolverhampton) for 5f, so 6f at Kempton (Standard to Slow) should be within her scope.
• Khafar:
  • Strengths: Finished a creditable second in a recent race, demonstrating good form against some of today’s competitors. Her breeding suggests she has more improvement to come. Holds the joint-highest TimeWise rating.
  • Weaknesses: Her recent form is on good turf, so her performance on Standard to Slow AW at Kempton is untested.
  • Suitability: Proven at 6f on turf, so the distance is appropriate. Her ability to handle the AW surface is the primary unknown for suitability.

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7.15 Kempton – Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap

Class 5, 2m, Standard To Slow, 3yo+, Win: £4187

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Navalanche (Total: 243)
2. Warrior King (Total: 242)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Navalanche: Aged 3. His LR rating was 65, and 2LR was 36. While from a good yard, he has struggled in three turf handicaps. He has hinted at promise in his qualifying runs on AW and needs the return to Polytrack to deliver something extra.
• Warrior King: Aged 3. His LR rating was 60. He had a disappointing start to his handicap career, finishing last of seven at Ffos Las (1m4f) five weeks ago, even with cheekpieces. The headgear has been quickly discarded as he steps up significantly in trip.

Spotlight Verdict:
“This looks trappy to say the least. SYDNEY SEABREEZE has saved his best for AW so might be worth chancing from a reduced mark. Capone (second choice) has shown he can be competitive in handicaps over C&D, while the booking of Oisin Murphy draws the eye to St Mawes, who is hard to fancy on his two handicap efforts but did show promise when reaching the frame in maiden/novice events.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Navalanche:
  • Strengths: Comes from a reputable yard. Showed promise in AW qualifying runs. Holds the highest TimeWise rating in the race.
  • Weaknesses: Has struggled in recent turf handicaps. His performance relies heavily on the return to Polytrack.
  • Suitability: While he struggled on turf, his earlier AW promise suggests the Standard to Slow Polytrack could be suitable. The significant step up to 2m may also be beneficial if he needs further distance.
• Warrior King:
  • Strengths: His trainer has a good strike rate. The decision to step up significantly in trip (to 2m) and remove headgear suggests a new approach that might suit. His TimeWise rating is strong.
  • Weaknesses: Had a very disappointing start to his handicap career, finishing last in his most recent race.
  • Suitability: The large step up in trip to 2m is a key factor; it could either unlock improvement or prove too far, given his previous form at 1m4f.

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7.45 Kempton – Try Unibets New Acca Boosts Handicap

Class 5, 1m3f, Standard To Slow, 3yo+, Win: £4187

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Royal Pleasure (Total: 254)
2. Solanna (Total: 248)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Royal Pleasure: Aged 7. His LR rating was 86, and 2LR was 20. He recently ended a 21-race losing streak by winning a slowly run contest at Lingfield (1m2f, Polytrack) with a “telling turn of foot”.
• Solanna: Aged 6. His LR rating was 55, and 2LR was 32. A four-time course winner, including twice over this specific trip. His last race at Lingfield (1m2f, Polytrack) was not run to suit him.

Spotlight Verdict:
“This can go to SOLANNA who didn’t have the race run to suit when behind two of these at Lingfield last time. The return here (dual C&D winner) can see him reverse those placings. Bownder and Three Yorkshiremen are worth a second look, but the main danger may come from the 3yo Blue Train who looked worth a go over this far when a staying-on fourth at Chelmsford last time.”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Royal Pleasure:
  • Strengths: Recent win broke a long losing streak, showing a good turn of foot on Polytrack. Holds the highest TimeWise rating in the race.
  • Weaknesses: The win was in a slowly run contest, and stepping up in trip again could test his stamina further, especially if the race is more truly run.
  • Suitability: Proven on Polytrack. The 1m3f distance will be a test of stamina, particularly given his strong finish in a slower run 1m2f race.
• Solanna:
  • Strengths: An excellent course and distance record, with four wins at Kempton, two of which were over this specific trip. The spotlight strongly backs him, believing he can reverse recent placings due to race conditions. His TimeWise rating of 248 is very competitive.
  • Weaknesses: Finished behind two of his rivals in his last outing, although this was attributed to the race not suiting him.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the course and distance on Standard to Slow AW due to his strong previous performances here.

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8.15 Kempton – Unibet Supports Safer Gambling Handicap

Class 6, 6f, Standard To Slow, 3yo+, Win: £3140

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Soar Above (Total: 187)
2. Sundiata Keita (Total: 186)

Recent Form and Supplied Comments:

• Soar Above: Aged 10. His LR rating was 47, and 2LR was 16. He is a prolific course winner but his latest victory was in April 2022, and he was not in good form earlier this year. He is now rated 32lb lower and could revive after a break.
• Sundiata Keita: Aged 3. His LR rating was 51, and 2LR was 17. He is a ten-race maiden who has shown three good runs from four attempts for his new stable.

Spotlight Verdict:
“The betting should guide where John Butler’s two runners are concerned, with Soar Above perhaps the pick back at his favourite venue and off a much-reduced mark. Southbank and Early Release (second choice) are greatly respected but EQUALISED (nap) is a fascinating contender on his stable debut. His two standout efforts have”

Assessment of Chances in Today’s Race:

• Soar Above:
  • Strengths: Historically a prolific winner at Kempton. Currently rated significantly lower (32lb) than his last winning mark, which could make him well-handicapped if he rediscovers his form. His TimeWise rating of 187 is the highest in the race. The spotlight suggests he might be the pick among his stable’s runners.
  • Weaknesses: Has been out of form for an extended period, with his last win in April 2022. Coming off a break, so his current fitness is a question mark.
  • Suitability: Excellent historical suitability for Kempton (6f, Standard to Slow AW). His chances depend on a return to his old form.
• Sundiata Keita:
  • Strengths: Has shown improved and consistent form in three of his four runs for his new stable. His TimeWise rating of 186 is very close to the top.
  • Weaknesses: He is still a maiden after ten races, indicating a struggle to convert good runs into wins. He needs to find something extra to break his duck.
  • Suitability: The 6f distance on Standard to Slow AW should be suitable, given his recent consistent performances for his new stable.