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2.25 Sea Deer Handicap (Class 4, 6f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Kosometsuke (Total 291)
2. Dark Side Thunder (Total 277)

Kosometsuke

• Recent Form: Achieved ratings of 71, 36, 19, 11, 8, 4, 3, 2, 0, 0 in his last ten runs.
• Comments: He was gelded before his handicap debut and justified market support with a win at Kempton (7f, AW) in May. He then had a series of second-place finishes on good/good to firm ground. His last outing saw him finish sixth of 13 in a Racing League handicap on AW, which was not disgraced.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Kosometsuke showed good form on his handicap debut and has been consistent with several placed efforts. He is trained by R. Varian, who has a 64% form strike rate in the last 14 days.
  • Weaknesses: His suitability for the 6f trip and soft ground are “imponderables,” meaning they are unknowns.
  • Suitability: There’s a question mark over his ability to perform optimally on soft ground and at this specific distance, making his chances somewhat uncertain, though he is still respected.

Dark Side Thunder

• Recent Form: His TimeWise ratings show 81, 30, 13, 14, 7, 4, 4, 3, 2, 2 in his last ten runs.
• Comments: A seven-time AW winner, he boasts an excellent record at Yarmouth, with six places from seven starts, including his turf breakthrough over this course and distance (good to soft) in May. He has maintained good form recently, finishing a close fourth at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) last month. He runs off the same mark today.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Possesses strong course and distance form on good to soft ground. He is in good recent form and competes off an unchanged handicap mark.
  • Weaknesses: Primarily an AW winner, though his C&D turf win is a positive.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for today’s conditions given his past performance over C&D on good to soft ground and consistent recent form. He is considered “one of the more solid options”.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: This looks trappy, with rain a distinct possibility. Arnaz will surely get back on the scoresheet one day, while Kiniro (second choice) commands respect. The safest option may be DARK SIDE THUNDER, however, who has been second and third in the last two renewals of this and has form on good to soft ground. Progressive Jesse Luc, Kosometsuke and Wild Clary are also in the picture.

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2.55 British EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (Class 4, 6f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Zighy (Total 242)
2. Bintola (Total 240)

Zighy

• Recent Form: Recorded ratings of 59, 29 in her last two runs.
• Comments: This 400,000gns yearling by Mehmas has shown good promise. She blew the start in a five-runner course novice (5f, good) but managed to grab second place. Later, she was narrowly beaten when finishing third over C&D (good to firm). She “sets the standard” for this race.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Comes with a strong pedigree and price tag, indicating potential. Her previous placings, especially over C&D, demonstrate her capability. She is considered the benchmark for the race.
  • Weaknesses: Her tendency to miss the break could be a disadvantage.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for the race given her C&D experience and high standard of previous form. She is the second choice in the Spotlight Verdict.

Bintola

• Recent Form: Her most recent run had a rating of 60.
• Comments: A 625,000gns yearling by Sea The Stars, she showed inexperience at the start (wearing a hood) on her debut, finishing sixth of 11 in a Newbury maiden (6f, good) three weeks ago. Her best siblings have won on easy surfaces, suggesting she might appreciate good to soft ground. She is expected to improve from her first run.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Very expensive yearling from a respected sire, implying significant talent. Her breeding suggests she will be suited by easy ground conditions. Expected to show considerable improvement from her debut.
  • Weaknesses: Her debut was marked by inexperience.
  • Suitability: Promising, especially with the expectation of improvement and suitability for the likely ground conditions. She is the main selection in the Spotlight Verdict.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: Zighy (second choice) will likely be off the mark soon, while newcomer Albaydaa has the pedigree to make an immediate impact for her top stable. However, it’s worth taking a chance on BINTOLA, who shaped with promise on her introduction and should know more this time. Lelosaja and Silvery also made encouraging debuts and can probably do better.

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3.25 EBF Future Stayers Maiden Stakes (Class 4, 7f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Give Me Sun (Total 203)
2. Tashi Delek (Total 196)

Give Me Sun

• Recent Form: Achieved ratings of 57, 23 in her last two runs.
• Comments: She has shown modest form in her two runs this summer over 7f on good to soft and good to firm ground. It is suggested that “minor nurseries beckon” for her.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Has some experience on good to soft ground.
  • Weaknesses: Her form is described as “modest,” indicating she may not be competitive at this level.
  • Suitability: Unlikely to contend for a win in this race, as her future seems to lie in less demanding nurseries.

Tashi Delek

• Recent Form: Her most recent run had a rating of 40.
• Comments: Despite a “useful pedigree,” she finished last of ten runners on her Newmarket debut last month (7f, good to firm). She is considered “likely a longer-term prospect”. An eyeshield is added for today’s race.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Possesses a good pedigree. The addition of an eyeshield might bring some improvement.
  • Weaknesses: Her debut performance was very poor. She is viewed as a horse for the future rather than immediate success.
  • Suitability: Not expected to be a factor in this race, being more of a long-term prospect.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: The two runners with experience have only shown modest form and this looks set to go the way of one of the well-bred newcomers. Far Far Out (second choice) and King Of Berkshire are of interest but PANDEMONIUM could be the answer.

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4.00 EBF Stallions John Musker Fillies’ Stakes (Listed, 1m2f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Charlotte’s Web (Total 406)
2. Rainbows Edge (Total 368)

Charlotte’s Web

• Recent Form: Her TimeWise ratings are 132, 49, 23, 14, 10, 8, 7, 4, 3, 2 in her last ten runs.
• Comments: A mostly progressive filly, she achieved a significant breakthrough by winning a Listed race over 1m4f at York (good to firm) last month, following a close third in another York Listed event (1m2.5f, good). She is expected to handle today’s trip well.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: She is a progressive Listed winner with strong recent form. The trip is considered suitable. She is seen as a “threat”.
  • Weaknesses: Her ability on soft ground is an unknown and could be a barrier.
  • Suitability: Strong contender, especially if the soft ground does not pose a problem. She is considered a more “solid option” compared to some others.

Rainbows Edge

• Recent Form: Recorded ratings of 84, 53, 24, 17, 8, 5, 4 in her last seven runs.
• Comments: This lightly raced filly progressed from handicaps to finish a fine second in a York Listed race (1m2.5f, good) in July. She weakened over 1m4f at York (good to firm) last month. She is untried on a soft surface.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Lightly raced with potential for further improvement. Has demonstrated Listed-level ability. She is from a stable with a good record in this race and is expected to bounce back at this trip.
  • Weaknesses: Her performance on a soft surface is untested. She weakened in her last start.
  • Suitability: Has good potential at this trip, but soft ground is a significant unknown that could impact her chances. She is also considered a more “solid option”.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: Running Lion and Beautiful Love command bundles of respect on their body of work but there are holes to pick in the pair of them and Charlotte’s Web and Rainbows Edge look more solid options of the older brigade. Three-year-olds have a good record in this race, however, and while progressive Life Is Beautiful (second choice) looks a big player it could be worth taking a chance on ANNA SWAN, who has shown her best form on soft ground and may have more to offer.

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4.35 Goffs Two Million Series Handicap (Class 3, 1m1f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Green Triangle (Total 346)
2. Sea Force (Total 330)

Green Triangle

• Recent Form: His TimeWise ratings are 116, 35, 18, 9, 6, 5, 2, 3, 2, 2 in his last ten runs.
• Comments: A winning juvenile who was set to beat this year’s dual Derby winner until a racing incident at Killarney last July. He achieved a career-best performance winning a valuable event at Gowran (9.5f, good) in June. He was recently transferred to a new stable for 85,000gns.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Displays high-class juvenile form and achieved a career-best win recently. His transfer to a new stable suggests high expectations for his potential.
  • Weaknesses: Has a history of racing incidents. He ran his career-best race with blinkers, which are not declared for this race.
  • Suitability: An “interesting contender” with significant ability, but his past incident and the change in headgear introduce elements of risk.

Sea Force

• Recent Form: His ratings are 93, 42, 19, 12, 8, 6, 3 in his last seven runs.
• Comments: Gelded after his maiden success in June, he has shown “good efforts” in three 1m handicaps since, including a close second at Glorious Goodwood (heavy) and York’s Ebor meeting (good to firm). He is expected to perform consistently well.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Consistently performs with credit and has demonstrated good form on heavy ground. Expected to run his usual solid race.
  • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned; his consistent performance without winning recently in handicaps could be a slight concern.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for testing conditions and expected to run well, making him a “solid option”. He is the second choice in the Spotlight Verdict.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: The solid option is surely Sea Force (second choice), who continues to perform with credit, while Whip Cracker ran a blinder last time and commands respect. Green Triangle is an interesting contender on this stable debut but the vote goes to LOVE BEACH, who had an excuse on his handicap debut and is the least exposed runner in the field.

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5.10 British EBF Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Class 4, 1m3½f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Salamanca City (Total 311)
2. North Star (Total 299)

Salamanca City

• Recent Form: Her TimeWise ratings are 83, 38, 24, 12, 6, 7, 3, 2, 1, 2 in her last ten runs.
• Comments: She achieved her second win at Haydock in April (1m2f, good) and has been consistent, placing in her last four starts. She has sometimes shaped as though a step up in trip would suit her and performs well on an easy surface.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Consistent performer with recent placings and a win. Acts well on easy ground. Has potential for the longer trip.
  • Weaknesses: No specific weaknesses mentioned.
  • Suitability: Good suitability for easy ground and the potential to excel at this distance. She is considered “almost certain to be on the premises again”.

North Star

• Recent Form: Recorded ratings of 98, 24, 14, 7, 9, 5 in her last six runs.
• Comments: She made all to win at Leicester (1m2f, good) last Tuesday, incurring a 6lb penalty. She is unexposed with only six starts, but her career has been interrupted by breaks, so the quick turnaround after her win is a concern. She is untried on soft ground.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Recent winner and largely unexposed with potential. The trip could unlock further improvement.
  • Weaknesses: A 6lb penalty and a quick turnaround raise questions. Her performance on soft ground is untested.
  • Suitability: Promising with a recent win, but the penalty, quick return, and unknown soft ground ability are significant factors. She is respected in the verdict.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: Salamanca City is almost certain to be on the premises again while last time out winners North Star and Ghost Story (second choice) are respected. However, MISS WONG (nap) was also on the scoresheet last time and her pedigree suggests that was the start of an upward curve.

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5.40 QuinnBet Fillies’ Handicap (Class 5, 6f)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Vinatera (Total 277)
2. Ironist (Total 247)

Vinatera

• Recent Form: Her TimeWise ratings are 87, 32, 12, 6, 4, 6, 4 in her last seven runs.
• Comments: She has been improving in handicaps, achieving a narrow breakthrough win in a 14-runner handicap at Southwell (6f, AW) three weeks ago. Although she received a 4lb penalty, the horse she beat won comfortably next time, boosting the form.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Recent winner with improving form, and the subsequent win of the horse she beat validates her last performance.
  • Weaknesses: Her performance on potential soft ground is a key unknown (“if potential soft ground proves okay”).
  • Suitability: She is considered a “big player” if she can handle the soft ground, making her a strong contender. She is the second choice in the Spotlight Verdict.

Ironist

• Recent Form: Recorded ratings of 61, 27, 18, 8, 6, 4, 4 in her last seven runs.
• Comments: She has been largely consistent since entering handicaps, with form figures including a runner-up effort at Yarmouth (7f, good) in July. A drop back to 6f did not hinder a solid third-place effort at Lingfield (AW) last time. Her handicap mark is considered fair.
• Assessment for Today’s Race:
  • Strengths: Consistent form and has placed at Yarmouth previously. Has shown she can perform well at 6f. Her handicap mark is favorable, making her a “player”.
  • Weaknesses: No explicit weaknesses mentioned for today’s conditions.
  • Suitability: Considered suitable for the distance and is expected to run a good race.

Spotlight Verdict for the Race: Vinatera (second choice), Ironist and ADDARELLA may all have their best days in front of them with the vote going to the latter, who can step up again on this drop back to 6f.