2.00 Yarmouth – Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery
(Class 4, 6f, Soft, 2yo, Win: £5653)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Elara May (Total: 307)
- Entailed (Total: 291)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Elara May (Age 2): Her recent form includes finishes of 97 (Last Run), 35 (2nd Last Run), 21 (3rd Last Run), 11 (4th Last Run), 6 (5th Last Run), and 4 (6th Last Run). She has yet to run a bad race and boasts three wins from three starts in 5f nurseries, most recently beating a horse with useful form at Beverley (good to firm; also won on good). She is effectively 7lb higher in this race due to a 4lb rise and having claimed 3lb last time. She promises to stay 6f.
- Entailed (Age 2): Her recent form includes finishes of 75 (Last Run), 41 (2nd Last Run), 23 (3rd Last Run), and 7 (4th Last Run). She has faced tough tasks since her Sandown win (5f, good). Her last race at Chester (6f) was considered a useful race, with the winner being in the Cheveley Park and the runner-up finishing third in a sales race at the Curragh after experiencing wretched luck.
Spotlight Verdict:
“Preference is for GOUKEN who probably wasn’t seen to best effect at Ffos Las after suffering an early bump that lit him up. There should be more to come from this breeze-up buy who had previously ran at top tracks. Entailed chased home talented horses at Chester last time and could have a part to play on her nursery debut, though it’s hard to be too dismissive about any of these.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Elara May:
- Strengths: Unbeaten record in 5f nurseries (3 wins) points to significant ability and consistency. The promise to stay 6f is a positive for this race’s distance.
- Weaknesses: The effective 7lb higher mark is a notable challenge for her. Her wins have been on good/good to firm ground, so her suitability for today’s soft ground is an unproven factor.
- Suitability: Has shown strong form on quicker ground. Her performance on soft ground will be key.
- Entailed:
- Strengths: A Sandown win on good ground and performing well in strong company (including a race where the winner was in the Cheveley Park) indicates high potential and class. She is making her nursery debut, which could offer an opportunity for her to find her level.
- Weaknesses: Her best form is on good ground, making her adaptability to today’s soft ground a question.
- Suitability: Her class suggests she might adapt, but the soft ground presents an unknown factor.
2.30 Yarmouth – This Effective Winning Post Restricted Maiden Stakes
(Class 5, 1m1f, Soft, 2yo, Win: £3672)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Baltic Fleet (IRE) (Total: 285)
- Green Falcon (Total: 272)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Baltic Fleet (IRE) (Age 2): His Last Run was 75. On his debut at Windsor (1m, soft), he made up some late ground from off the pace to finish fifth of ten.
- Green Falcon (Age 2): His recent form includes finishes of 65 (Last Run) and 39 (2nd Last Run). He holds a Group 2 Royal Lodge entry. While he took a backward step last time at Goodwood (against respected opposition), he had previously shaped well in his first two races, notably a 3-length fourth on good to soft at Clairefontaine (1m).
Spotlight Verdict:
“A Royal Lodge entry looks fanciful but GREEN FALCON is a strong form contender on his penultimate fourth in France and he looks ready for this far. Baltic Fleet showed enough at Windsor to believe he could be more competitive with that run under his belt, while New Bay Star (stable won this last year) and Starship Trooper look notable newcomers.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Baltic Fleet (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed ability to improve late in his debut race on soft ground, which is today’s going. With that run under his belt, he could be more competitive.
- Weaknesses: Only managed fifth on debut.
- Suitability: Proven to handle soft ground. The 1m1f trip may suit his late-running style.
- Green Falcon:
- Strengths: Possesses strong form from a 3-length fourth in France on good to soft ground. The Spotlight Verdict identifies him as a strong contender and ready for this distance.
- Weaknesses: His last run at Goodwood was a step backward.
- Suitability: Good to soft form suggests he will handle today’s soft ground well.
3.00 Yarmouth – Local Favourite By The Imperial Hotel Nursery
(Class 6, 1m, Soft, 2yo, Win: £3768)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Kalokalo (IRE) (Total: 225)
- Gullane Girl (IRE) (Total: 219)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Kalokalo (IRE) (Age 2): Her recent form includes finishes of 65 (Last Run), 25 (2nd Last Run), 12 (3rd Last Run), and 6 (4th Last Run). She was clear of the remainder when beaten only by the favourite on her handicap debut at Leicester (7f, good). She is expected to be well-suited by this extra distance of 1m and is running off the same mark.
- Gullane Girl (IRE) (Age 2): Her recent form includes finishes of 75 (Last Run), 19 (2nd Last Run), 14 (3rd Last Run), 7 (4th Last Run), and 5 (5th Last Run). First-time blinkers led to an improvement, allowing her to beat four rivals at Salisbury (1m, good to soft). She is now just 4lb higher. Her form prior to the blinkers was modest.
Spotlight Verdict:
“Kalokalo (second choice) and Gullane Girl are the ones with competitive handicap form already on the board but WILD THOUGHTS is bred to be a very different proposition over this longer distance and he’s been gelded since last seen. Cocktail Lounge may also find her level now into nurseries.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Kalokalo (IRE):
- Strengths: Showed competitive form on handicap debut at Leicester. Expected to be well-suited by the 1m distance and runs off the same mark, which is a positive.
- Weaknesses: Her strong performance was on good ground, so her ability on today’s soft ground is untested.
- Suitability: Needs to prove form on soft ground.
- Gullane Girl (IRE):
- Strengths: Demonstrated significant improvement with first-time blinkers, securing a win on good to soft ground over 1m.
- Weaknesses: Her form was modest before the blinkers. The 4lb higher mark adds a challenge.
- Suitability: Good to soft form suggests she should handle today’s soft ground well.
3.30 Yarmouth – Boodles Handicap
(Class 3, 6f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £9631)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- First Folio (Total: 326)
- Al Karrar (IRE) (Total: 283)
- Note: Al Karrar (IRE) and Caburn (IRE) are tied on total rating. Al Karrar (IRE) is selected as the second top rated horse based on race comments and perceived potential, though Caburn also rated 283.
Recent Form and Comments:
- First Folio (Age 7): His recent form includes finishes of 105 (Last Run), 34 (2nd Last Run), 23 (3rd Last Run), 9 (4th Last Run), 5 (5th Last Run), 5 (6th Last Run), 4 (7th Last Run), 4 (8th Last Run), 2 (9th Last Run), and 2 (10th Last Run). He has a remarkable record over this C&D, with three of his four wins coming here, including the corresponding race in 2022 and 2024. He is only 1lb higher than his last year’s success. He has also run well at Ripon in two of his last three starts.
- Al Karrar (IRE) (Age 5): His recent form includes finishes of 62 (Last Run), 43 (2nd Last Run), and 15 (3rd Last Run). He impressed in a Windsor maiden (6f, good to firm) on his 2yo debut and finished second in the Group 2 Richmond Stakes a month later. He has been absent for 1,116 days and has been gelded in the interim. The handicapper has given him a chance, rating him 107 after Goodwood.
Spotlight Verdict:
“First Folio has won this race twice in the past and he’d be a confident selection on good or faster ground. He’s not so effective on slower than good, however, and Wednesday’s forecast doesn’t bode well. Caburn hasn’t fired in 2025, Al Karrar hasn’t been seen for 1,116 days and the unexposed Wicket Keeper (second choice) was tailed off on his handicap debut so perhaps BELGRAVE (nap) is the answer. He hasn’t come close to his 2yo form yet this year but his two best runs came on soft and heavy.”
Assessment of Chances:
- First Folio:
- Strengths: Exceptional course and distance record, having won this race twice previously, and is running off a favourable mark (1lb higher than last year’s win). Good recent form at Ripon.
- Weaknesses: A significant concern is his preference for good or faster ground, as he is “not so effective on slower than good”. Today’s race is on soft ground.
- Suitability: Questionable suitability for today’s soft ground due to historical performance preferences.
- Al Karrar (IRE):
- Strengths: Possesses high-class 2yo form, including a Group 2 second. His very long absence means he has been given a potentially favourable mark by the handicapper.
- Weaknesses: The 1,116-day absence and subsequent gelding operation introduce considerable uncertainty about his current form and fitness. His ability on soft ground is unknown.
- Suitability: A major unknown given the long layoff and unproven soft ground form.
4.02 Yarmouth – La Continental Cafe Of Great Yarmouth Handicap
(Class 5, 1m, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £4397)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Dashing Donkey (Total: 261)
- Noble Guest (Total: 261)
- Note: Dashing Donkey and Noble Guest are tied on total rating.
Recent Form and Comments:
- Dashing Donkey (Age 4): Her recent form includes finishes of 83 (Last Run), 37 (2nd Last Run), 13 (3rd Last Run), 9 (4th Last Run), 6 (5th Last Run), 3 (6th Last Run), 3 (7th Last Run), 2 (8th Last Run), 1 (9th Last Run), and 1 (10th Last Run). She is a dual course winner and has made all in two 1m Newmarket handicaps on good to soft ground. She is now on a career-high mark, having been raised 6lb for her last win.
- Noble Guest (Age 3): His recent form includes finishes of 87 (Last Run), 21 (2nd Last Run), 23 (3rd Last Run), 7 (4th Last Run), 7 (5th Last Run), 5 (6th Last Run), 3 (7th Last Run), 2 (8th Last Run), 2 (9th Last Run), and 1 (10th Last Run). His last three runs have been at Yarmouth. He was successful over 7f, most recently on Tuesday (good to soft), despite struggling over 6f previously. He carries a penalty for his recent win but gives a strong impression that 1m will suit him.
Spotlight Verdict:
“The new blinkers enabled LEMURIAN to deliver easily his best form yet to win at Windsor and he’s bred to be a lot better than this level. Dashing Donkey is up to a career-high mark but still appeals as the biggest threat, as a dual course winner and bang in form. Dream Pirate looks sure to have some say given his consistency and Tuesday winner Noble Guest also comes into it.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Dashing Donkey:
- Strengths: A dual course winner and in excellent form, having won two 1m Newmarket handicaps by making all. Her good to soft form suggests she handles softer conditions well.
- Weaknesses: She is running off a career-high mark after a 6lb rise for her last win.
- Suitability: Good to soft form makes her well-suited to today’s soft ground.
- Noble Guest:
- Strengths: Recent 7f winner at Yarmouth on good to soft ground. Strong indication that the step up to 1m will suit him.
- Weaknesses: Carries a penalty for his recent win. Recently struggled over 6f.
- Suitability: Good to soft form suggests he will handle today’s soft ground.
4.32 Yarmouth – Goffs Two Million Series Handicap
(Class 4, 1m6f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £5653)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Adjuvant (IRE) (Total: 283)
- Sword Of Wessex (IRE) (Total: 269)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Adjuvant (IRE) (Age 6): His recent form includes finishes of 72 (Last Run), 32 (2nd Last Run), 22 (3rd Last Run), 9 (4th Last Run), 5 (5th Last Run), 4 (6th Last Run), 4 (7th Last Run), 2 (8th Last Run), 2 (9th Last Run), and 2 (10th Last Run). He is a four-time winner. He finished a close fifth on a belated reappearance at Goodwood (1m4f) and contested another better-grade handicap at Haydock (1m6f, good).
- Sword Of Wessex (IRE) (Age 3): His recent form includes finishes of 80 (Last Run), 28 (2nd Last Run), 16 (3rd Last Run), 7 (4th Last Run), 6 (5th Last Run), 5 (6th Last Run), and 3 (7th Last Run). He has worn a visor for his last two starts. He was no match for the winner in a novice race last time (1m4f, good to soft) and has not finished better than sixth in three previous handicaps (1m2f-1m6f).
Spotlight Verdict:
“A trappy six-runner handicap. Class-dropper ADJUVANT might be worth risking as he has competitive form in far stronger company. King’s Castle will go well provided he doesn’t sit too far off the pace should they go steady. Like the selection, Burj Zabeel is downgraded and may also feature.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Adjuvant (IRE):
- Strengths: A four-time winner with competitive form in stronger company, making him a class-dropper in this race. He is expected to appreciate getting back on slower ground.
- Weaknesses: His recent finishes (fifth and contested) are not winning form.
- Suitability: Will appreciate today’s soft ground. The 1m6f trip is within his proven range.
- Sword Of Wessex (IRE):
- Strengths: Good to soft form suggests he can handle the ground.
- Weaknesses: His recent form is concerning; he has been uncompetitive in previous handicaps and was well beaten in a novice race. The Spotlight comment suggests he is “hard to suggest that he’s well treated”.
- Suitability: Handles good to soft, so soft ground should be acceptable. However, his overall performance is a significant weakness.
5.07 Yarmouth – White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap
(Class 6, 7f, Soft, 3yo+, Win: £3768)
Master Top Two Rated Horses:
- Rusheen Boy (Total: 243)
- Amber Honey (Total: 226)
Recent Form and Comments:
- Rusheen Boy (Age 4): His recent form includes finishes of 76 (Last Run), 23 (2nd Last Run), 17 (3rd Last Run), 7 (4th Last Run), 4 (5th Last Run), 6 (6th Last Run), 3 (7th Last Run), 2 (8th Last Run), 1 (9th Last Run), and 1 (10th Last Run). He won over 6f at Yarmouth in June. After experiencing bad luck over 7f there last month, he came good again at Chelmsford (7f). He is only 3lb higher in this race.
- Amber Honey (Age 3): Her recent form includes finishes of 65 (Last Run), 28 (2nd Last Run), 8 (3rd Last Run), 9 (4th Last Run), 5 (5th Last Run), 6 (6th Last Run), 3 (7th Last Run), 2 (8th Last Run), 2 (9th Last Run), and 1 (10th Last Run). She won over 8.6f at Wolverhampton in May and has since finished runner-up in three of her five subsequent handicaps. She is considered fine at both 7f and 1m.
Spotlight Verdict:
“Rusheen Boy looks more likely to give his running than a few of these and the same is probably true of Amber Honey. SEDGEMOOR won off a higher mark when with the Hannon yard and after an okay debut for John Butler he contested a Class 4 last time.”
Assessment of Chances:
- Rusheen Boy:
- Strengths: Has a Yarmouth win to his name (6f) and a recent victory at Chelmsford (7f). Running off a manageable mark, only 3lb higher than his last win.
- Weaknesses: Had bad luck in a previous 7f Yarmouth run. Wins mentioned are on good (Yarmouth) and likely AW (Chelmsford), so soft turf performance is less proven.
- Suitability: Needs to confirm form on soft turf, as recent wins have been on different surfaces.
- Amber Honey:
- Strengths: A Wolverhampton winner and has shown good consistency, finishing runner-up in three recent handicaps. Versatile for distances of 7f and 1m.
- Weaknesses: Her winning form is on AW (Wolverhampton), and the specific turf conditions for her runner-up finishes are not stated, making her soft turf form unconfirmed.
- Suitability: Needs to prove her effectiveness on soft turf.
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