Horse Racing Briefing: UK & Ireland, 19th September 2025

Executive Summary

This briefing provides a comprehensive analysis of the horse racing fixtures scheduled for Friday, 19th September 2025, across major UK and Ireland racecourses including Ayr, Newbury, Downpatrick, Dundalk, and Newton Abbot. The day’s highlights include two Listed races at Ayr: the British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes and the Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies’ Stakes, alongside the highly competitive Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap.

Key insights from the available data indicate several horses of significant interest. In the Ayr Bronze Cup, Eternal Sunshine, trained by J S Goldie, stands out as a strong favorite, topping the Timewise ratings and arriving in formidable form. At Newbury’s Listed Dubai Duty Free Cup, a competitive field is led by Remmooz and Spy Chief, with the Spotlight verdict favoring Volterra.

Trainer form is a critical factor, with George Boughey (26%), J P Owen (25%), W J Haggas (24%), and K R Burke (24%) demonstrating high win percentages over the last 14 days. Conversely, significant market drifts have been observed for fancied runners such as Hardys Hero (Newbury 2:55) and Moja Dama (Downpatrick 5:35). Several notable non-runners will impact key races, including the withdrawal of Spotlight NAPs Bear On The Run (Dundalk 4:50) and Real Encounter (Dundalk 5:25).

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Meeting Analysis: Ayr

• Going: GOOD TO SOFT, Soft in places (GoingStick 6.8)

• Stalls: Straight – Centre; 7f – Outside; Remainder – Inside

1:28 Ladbrokes “Free Bet At Ayr” Fillies’ Nursery Handicap

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Magic Box (W Haggas): The top-rated horse according to Timewise ratings with a score of 299. Holds a strong chance with a last race rating of 86.

    ◦ Aspiral (K Burke): Second highest on Timewise ratings (292) and comes from an in-form yard.

    ◦ Radiance (G Boughey): From the George Boughey yard, which has a 26% win rate in the last 14 days.

1:58 Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery Handicap

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Ardisia (H Palmer): Significantly tops the Timewise ratings with a score of 336, showing a strong last race performance rated 108.

    ◦ Amorim (G Boughey): Second on Timewise ratings (326) and represents the in-form Boughey stable.

    ◦ Reciprocated (K Burke): Another contender from the Burke yard, with a solid Timewise score of 316.

2:33 British EBF Stallions Harry Rosebery Stakes (Listed Race)

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Ipanema Queen (A Murray IRE): The highest-rated horse on the Timewise system with a score of 354. Has a master RPR of 102.

    ◦ Shine On Me (A Watson): A close second on Timewise ratings (337) and the pre-race favorite (9-4). Boasts the highest master RPR in the field at 107.

    ◦ Daneh Of Dandy (J Tate): Rated third by Timewise (329) with a master RPR of 100.

• Notable Non-Runner: Spicy Marg has been withdrawn from this race.

3:05 Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies’ Stakes (Listed Race)

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Star Of Lady M (D O’Meara): Tops the Timewise ratings at 358 and has a master RPR of 120. A previous course and distance winner.

    ◦ Star Of Mehmas (R Hughes): The pre-race favorite (3-1) and a very close second on Timewise ratings (356). Also boasts a master RPR of 120.

    ◦ Luna A Inbhir Nis (Katie Scott): Holds a strong Timewise rating of 333 and a master RPR of 105.

• Notable Non-Runner: Lady Of Andros has been withdrawn.

3:40 Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Eternal Sunshine (J Goldie): Arrives in outstanding form having won its last three races. The clear favorite (11-4) and commands the highest Timewise rating by a significant margin (347).

    ◦ Winged Messenger (J Camacho): The second-highest rated by Timewise (329) and has demonstrated consistent form.

    ◦ Mister Sox (T Easterby): Holds a solid Timewise rating of 315 and consistent recent performances.

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Meeting Analysis: Newbury

• Going: GOOD TO SOFT, Soft in places (GoingStick 4.4)

• Stalls: 1m2f & 1m4f – Inside; Remainder – Centre

2:55 Dubai Duty Free Nursery Handicap

• Spotlight Verdict (NAP): French Affair is the selection, noted as being “ahead of the handicapper” and representing a yard with an excellent record in this race. The horse is due to be 2lb higher in future ratings.

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Shaman Champion (R Hughes): Top-rated by Timewise (330) and has solid form in valuable nurseries.

    ◦ Hardy’s Hero (W Haggas): Arrives on a hat-trick but is a significant market drifter, with odds lengthening from 3.25 to 8.50.

• Notable Non-Runner: Amazing Journey.

4:05 Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes (Listed Race)

• Spotlight Verdict: The verdict favors Volterra, noting the drop back to 7f should be beneficial.

• Key Contenders:

    ◦ Remmooz (O Burrows): Tops the Timewise ratings (393) and is described as a “progressive contender”.

    ◦ Spy Chief (J & T Gosden): Second on Timewise ratings (369) and holds a “leading chance provided he rebounds” from a lesser recent run.

    ◦ Volterra (K A Ryan): A “major player” with strong form over 7f, including a Haydock Group 3 third.

• Notable Non-Runner: Short Final.

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Other UK & Ireland Meetings

Dundalk (AW)

• Spotlight Selections:

    ◦ 4:50: Bear On The Run (VERDICT PICK – NON-RUNNER). The next best mentioned are By The Lake and First Approach.

    ◦ 5:25: Real Encounter (VERDICT PICK – NON-RUNNER). The next best are Stella Amorosa and Strait And Narrow.

    ◦ 6:00: Send Harry.

    ◦ 6:30: Sayfa Fad.

    ◦ 7:00: El Bello.

    ◦ 7:30: Explorers Way.

    ◦ 8:00: Galician Girl (NAP).

    ◦ 8:30: Edward Hamilton.

• Notable Non-Runners: The meeting is significantly affected by non-runners, including two of the Spotlight’s main selections.

Downpatrick

• Going: YIELDING.

• Key Races: The card is notable for a high number of non-runners, impacting several races. In the 5:01 Handicap Chase, three horses (Broomfield Present, Flash Collonges, Jimlis Cave) have been withdrawn.

• Timewise Top-Rated: Moja Dama (5:35) is top-rated (264) but is a notable market drifter (2.00 to 3.25).

Newton Abbot

• Going: GOOD TO SOFT, Soft.

• Spotlight Selections (NAPs):

    ◦ 3:48: Book Of Secrets (NAP).

    ◦ 4:55: The verdict strongly favors Shantou Lucky, who has won three times this month and scored by 12 lengths on Tuesday.

• Other Spotlight Picks:

    ◦ 2:03: Art Of Diplomacy.

    ◦ 2:38: A Pai De Nom.

    ◦ 3:13: Highland Haven.

    ◦ 4:20: Onemorefortheroad.

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Trainer Performance Analysis

The following trainers have shown notable performance metrics based on data from the last 14 days and last 2 years.

Trainer	Last 14 Days (W-P-R)	Win % (14 Days)	Today’s Entries	Key Runners
George Boughey	10-6-39	26%	2 (Ayr)	Radiance (1:28), Amorim (1:58)
J P Owen	14-13-56	25%	2 (Newton Abbot)	Chillhi (4:20), Shantou Lucky (4:55)
W J Haggas	15-14-62	24%	2 (Ayr/Newbury)	Magic Box (Ayr 1:28), Hardy's Hero (Nby 2:55)
K R Burke	11-9-46	24%	5 (Ayr/Newbury)	Aspiral (Ayr 1:28), Pearl Fortune (Ayr 2:33)
J S Goldie	7-6-37	19%	13 (Ayr)	Eternal Sunshine (3:40), Penelope's Sister (4:15)
T D Easterby	12-19-109	11%	13 (Ayr/Nwc)	Manila Scouse (Ayr 3:40), Little Ted (Ayr 4:15)

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Market Analysis

Significant market movements have been recorded, indicating notable betting interest or lack thereof.

| Market Movers (Odds Shortened) | | ——————————————— | ———– | ——— | | Horse | Race | From | To | | Cotai Starlight | Nwc 5:44 | 21.00 | 7.00 | | Parish Record | Nwc 5:08 | 21.00 | 7.00 | | Perseus Way | Ayr 5:20 | 15.00 | 5.50 | | Dwindling Funds | Ayr 4:45 | 4.00 | 2.20 | | By The Lake | Dun 4:50 | 7.00 | 3.25 |

| Market Drifters (Odds Lengthened) | | ——————————————— | ———– | ——— | | Horse | Race | From | To | | Hardys Hero | Nby 2:55 | 3.25 | 8.50 | | Flying Fletcher | Nwc 7:45 | 2.63 | 5.00 | | Moja Dama | Dpk 5:35 | 2.00 | 3.25 | | Fleur De Mer | Ayr 5:20 | 6.50 | 13.00 | | Magistery | Ayr 1:28 | 8.00 | 17.00 |