Redcar; This identifies the Top Two rated horses in each Redcar race, summarises their recent form and comments, includes the Spotlight Verdict, and assesses their chances.
1.40 Celebrating The Pentlands Ruby Wedding Anniversary Nursery Handicap
Distance: 1m
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Rejjien (203 Total)
Therefore (193 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Rejjien
Has run close, achieving close second in all three of her starts in nursery company. Most recently, she was second at Bath (1m, soft) ten days ago, running in first-time cheekpieces (retained).
Looks capable of going one better.
Therefore
Made a reasonably encouraging debut when eighth at Windsor (6f, good) in July. Has not progressed from that effort in two subsequent starts over 7f and 1m.
Switches to nurseries with better needed.
Spotlight Verdict
A weak race in which REJJIEN (nap) can get off the mark in the retained cheekpieces having gone close in each of her three starts since entering nurseries. Spartacus Warrior (second choice) would have a chance on his penultimate run but needs to bounce back, while Hood Wink needs the switch of headgear to make a difference.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Rejjien
Highly consistent in nursery company (three consecutive seconds). Proven ability on soft ground over 1m. Rated capable of winning.
Still seeking a first career win.
Highly suited to the grade, distance, and ground conditions.
Therefore
Debut was reasonably encouraging.
Requires a significant improvement in form now starting in a handicap. Unraced on ground slower than good.
Switches to nurseries; better is needed.
2.15 Weatherbys Stallion Book Nursery Handicap
Distance: 6f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Mossvale Diva (306 Total)
Empress Olivia (264 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Mossvale Diva
Knocking firmly at the door before winning a Chester novice (6f, good) this month, then followed up in a C&D seller (good). This front-runner is in top form.
Unproven on slow ground and further improvement is needed now back in a nursery under a penalty.
Empress Olivia
Displayed improved form to win at 28-1 when upped in trip at Ripon (6f, good) last month on her third start.
Unraced on softer ground. Did it nicely and she could have a part to play in her first nursery.
Spotlight Verdict
Topweight Mossvale Diva is respected in her hat-trick bid but this is tougher and preference is for SAILOR BATT, for whom the forecast soft ground could be a positive on his nursery debut. Fellow handicap newcomer Soul Warrior… is second choice. Empress Olivia and Head For Freedom are other possible players.
Must carry a penalty and step up in grade complexity (nursery). Is unproven on slow ground.
C&D experience, but ground conditions may be a factor.
Empress Olivia
Showed ability to improve when winning her third start.
Unraced on ground softer than good.
Makes her debut in nursery company.
2.50 British EBF Supports Racing To School Future Stayers Novice Stakes
Distance: 7f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Yazin (269 Total)
Inishbeg (267 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Yazin
Finished third of nine at Kempton (7f, AW) on debut 19 days ago, showing up well for a long way.
That form has been franked by the winner and he’s an obvious contender on this switch to turf.
Inishbeg
Showed ability when eighth of 13 in the Convivial maiden at York (7f, good to firm) on debut last month.
Pedigree suggests he shouldn’t have issues with the likely slower ground (half-brother to Group-placed winner on soft). Interesting.
Spotlight Verdict
This can go to the 500,000gns purchase INISHBEG who showed something to work on when eighth in the Convivial at York last month. He’s a half-brother to connections’ Volterra, who has won on soft ground, so any ease underfoot shouldn’t be an issue. Yazin (second choice) showed up well on his debut and that form has been franked by the winner, while High Storm is an interesting newcomer.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Yazin
Strong debut form which has been subsequently franked. Obvious contender.
Making debut on turf (only previous run was on AW).
Suitable for the distance (7f).
Inishbeg
High potential based on price (500,000gns purchase). Pedigree indicates soft ground suitability.
Requires a step forward from his modest debut placing.
Expected to handle soft ground.
3.25 weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes
Distance: 7f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Melvin Udall (254 Total)
Hostility (253 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Melvin Udall
Shaped well when fourth of 18 at the Curragh (6.5f, good) when trained in Ireland. Hung right when beaten in a match race on yard debut at Beverley (7.5f, good to firm) 25 days ago.
May come on for that yard debut effort. Dam won on soft ground.
Hostility
Finished in the top three on four occasions in six starts for previous yard, including on soft ground. Third over this C&D (good to firm) on stable debut.
Now winless after seven starts. Failed to have any obvious excuses last time. Off for 46 days.
Spotlight Verdict
Hostility (second choice) holds good form claims back on soft ground but he’s now winless after seven starts and may prove vulnerable. MELVIN UDALL hung right when beaten in a match race on his debut but he shaped well on his sole start in Ireland and is out of a soft-ground winner. Holly Mist is an interesting newcomer.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Melvin Udall
Potential soft ground suitability (out of a soft-ground winner). Expected to improve from his last start.
Recent run involved hanging right.
Expected to be suited by soft conditions.
Hostility
Proven ability on soft ground. Holds strong form claims.
Vulnerable due to his extensive maiden status (0-7).
Suited to soft ground.
4.03 Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap
Distance: 1m 2f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
War Supremo (273 Total)
A Major Payne (271 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
War Supremo
Scored at Doncaster in July (coming from the rear). Was back in good form when fourth behind an impressive winner at Haydock (1m2f, good) three weeks ago.
Contender.
A Major Payne
0-13 but has finished second five times. Ran a close third at Ripon (good to firm) on penultimate start. Had a disrupted passage at Southwell (AW) last time.
Disappointed when lacking a clear path in his most recent run.
Spotlight Verdict
Harswell Ruby (second choice) continues to run well and is probably one of the safer options despite tackling her longest trip to date, while War Supremo was a solid fourth earlier this month and is considered. It was hard not to notice MAWOOD coming home strongly last time, however, and he gets the vote over this longer trip. Selection brings a sackful of imponderables to the party so it will be interesting to see how she goes in the market.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
War Supremo
Demonstrated strong recent form at the 1m2f trip in a good quality race.
Had a disappointing run at Sandown 15 days before his good fourth.
Suitable for the distance.
A Major Payne
Highly consistent placer (5 seconds in 13 runs).
Remains a maiden (0-13).
Drying ground would likely assist his cause.
4.35 racingtv/freetrial Handicap
Distance: 5f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Money Pockets (266 Total)
Monks Dream (250 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Money Pockets
Gained reward for some good efforts when getting off the mark over this C&D (good) eight days ago, finishing strongly from the back of the field.
Back up in grade under a penalty but she holds obvious claims.
Monks Dream
All three wins have been on AW. Was beaten 3l when fifth of 14 at Haydock (5f, good) this month but ran below that level six days ago at Ayr (good to soft).
His mark is 9lb lower on turf.
Spotlight Verdict
Money Pockets (second choice) has to be respected under a penalty for her C&D win eight days ago but BONNIE’S BOY is preferred now dropping back down in grade having finished a close seventh at Doncaster last time. La Rochette is of some interest on soft ground while Without Flaw also holds claims.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Money Pockets
Recent C&D winner (on good ground). Strong finisher. Holds obvious claims despite the penalty.
Must contend with a penalty and a rise back in grade.
Proven C&D success.
Monks Dream
Handicap mark is favourable on turf (9lb lower than AW wins).
All previous wins were on AW. Turf form is inconsistent.
Questionable suitability to turf/soft ground despite the attractive mark.
5.10 Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap (Div I)
Distance: 7f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Ey Up Its Jazz (266 Total)
Lumenbourg (252 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Ey Up Its Jazz
Won two of his four starts this year, most recently making all in a higher grade than this at Thirsk (7f, soft) nine days ago. Can front-run.
Comes here in good form and is suited by soft ground.
Lumenbourg
Won at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) in July and has been placed in three starts since, most recently runner-up at Hamilton (6f, good to soft) behind a subsequent winner.
Should go well again.
Spotlight Verdict
Ey Up Its Jazz is suited by soft ground and comes here in good form following a Thirsk win but preference is for LUMENBOURG who can continue his good run of results after bumping into a subsequent winner over 6f at Hamilton last time. Gemini Star is next on the list.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Ey Up Its Jazz
Proven winner on soft ground. Recent success was in a higher grade. Can dictate the pace.
Must contend with a penalty and quick turnaround (9 days).
Highly suited to soft ground and distance.
Lumenbourg
Consistent recent form (three consecutive placings). Recent form has been franked by a subsequent winner.
None explicit.
Proven on good to soft ground over 7f.
5.45 Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap (Div II)
Distance: 7f
Master Top Two (TimeWise Total):
Pearly Squirrel (225 Total)
Rwenearlytheredad (213 Total)
Recent Form and Supplied Comments
Horse
Recent Form Summary
Supplied Comments
Pearly Squirrel
Scored at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) in July. Bounced back from a lesser effort when third of 11 at Thirsk (1m, soft) nine days ago.
Drop back to 7f shouldn’t be an issue.
Rwenearlytheredad
Won at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) in May. Mainly below his best since. Ran well beaten over 1m here eight days ago with blinkers applied.
Back to 7f.
Spotlight Verdict
Good Karma (second choice) has claims following a respectable fourth at Catterick last time but a chance is taken on the return to this track being a positive for OSCAR’S SISTER. She was placed twice over this C&D earlier in the year and the likely strong gallop should suit. Electric Lightning is an interesting contender with the hood now applied.
Assessment of Chances
Horse
Strengths
Weaknesses/Concerns
Suitability
Pearly Squirrel
Demonstrated ability on soft ground (3rd recently at Thirsk). Drop in trip from 1m to 7f is unlikely to be an issue.
Must prove ability to win outside of maiden/classified company.
Suitable for 7f and capable on soft ground.
Rwenearlytheredad
Proven winner over 7f on good to soft ground.
Has been running below expectations recently. Was well beaten on a quick turnaround in blinkers last time.
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