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Newcastle Race Analysis (26th September 2025)

5.00 Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

(Class 4, 1m 4½f, Standard, 6 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Coedana (IRE) (3yo): 285
2. Timeless Charm (IRE) (4yo): 284

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Coedana (IRE)	88, 26, 14, 8, 0	Showed clear promise in her qualifying runs. She started her handicap career with a smooth success at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) 24 days ago. Although she is up 6lb, that run was a major step forward, and this unexposed filly is open to more progress, making her a big player.
Timeless Charm (IRE)	96, 29, 17, 7, 7	Improved her record to 2-11 when cashing in on a reduced mark over C&D two weeks ago. This was a narrow success, but she battled well under a prominent ride and is only 2lb higher on this return visit, so she is respected.

Spotlight Verdict:
Top of the list is COEDANA (nap) who kicked off her handicap career with a smooth win at Southwell 24 days ago and is open to more progress. Michael Bell’s thrice-raced Cecilia Star looks interesting back at the scene of her debut success and she’s feared most, ahead of recent C&D winner Timeless Charm. Another to keep a close eye on is Godolphin’s handicap newcomer Dancingintherain.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-0-1, 4yo+ 1-1-6.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Coedana (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 285):
  • Strengths: Highest rated and Spotlight selection/NAP. Unexposed 3yo filly who impressed on her recent handicap debut on a similar surface (Tapeta).
  • Weaknesses: Has incurred a 6lb penalty.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable, expected to be the class of the field based on potential.
• Timeless Charm (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 284):
  • Strengths: Proven course and distance winner who battled well two weeks ago. Running off a manageable mark, only 2lb higher than her last win.
  • Weaknesses: Recent win was narrow.
  • Suitability: Suitable, offering reliable course form and consistency.

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5.30 Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap

(Class 6, 1m 2f, Standard, 10 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Max Of Stars (FR) (5yo): 254
2. Daring Leader (IRE) (4yo): 242

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Max Of Stars (FR)	75, 21, 16, 16, 7	Fairly useful six-time hurdle winner who secured a breakthrough Flat win with an easy display in an apprentice handicap at Thirsk 11 days ago. She is 8lb well in off the same mark for this race, giving her strong claims if she can transfer that form back to AW.
Daring Leader (IRE)	74, 29, 18, 8, 4	Has won two of his last three starts, including an emphatic success over C&D two weeks ago. He is up 9lb but gave a dominant display from the front and could continue on an upward curve; key player.

Spotlight Verdict:
This looks highly competitive for the grade but the most striking contender is MAX OF STARS, who returned to the Flat with a dominant display at Thirsk 11 days ago. She escapes a penalty for that 5l win and has strong claims if she can repeat the form back on AW. Daring Leader, who made all for an emphatic success over C&D last time, is feared most ahead of the other last-time-out winners Shamardal Star and Wyld Bill.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 2-7-28, 4yo+ 5-7-51.
• Fate of Favourites: 3041222.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Daragh Bourke 1-0-1, Micky Hammond 1-0-3, Richard Fahey 1-1-5.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Max Of Stars (FR) (TimeWise Total: 254):
  • Strengths: Highest rated. Has a major handicapping advantage (8lb well in) as she avoids a penalty for her recent dominant win. She is the Spotlight selection.
  • Weaknesses: Needs to prove her dominant recent form translates perfectly from soft turf to AW.
  • Suitability: Highly suitable, benefiting greatly from the weight conditions.
• Daring Leader (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 242):
  • Strengths: Recent C&D winner who put in a dominant, front-running performance.
  • Weaknesses: Must carry a substantial 9lb penalty.
  • Suitability: A key player who is feared most after Max Of Stars.

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6.00 attheraces.com/marketmovers Fillies Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

(Class 5, 6f, Standard, 4 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Vencedora (IRE) (2yo): 296
2. Creative Queen (USA) (2yo): 48

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Vencedora (IRE)	81, 0, 0, 0, 0	Held in 3l third of seven when favourite on recent Haydock debut (6f, good) but ran well for a long way behind a useful prospect. She should benefit from that experience and is respected on this switch to AW.
Creative Queen (USA)	0, 0, 0, 0, 0	A striking newcomer with a superb pedigree ($300,000 foal, $525,000 yearling, 800,000euros breeze-up 2yo) and plenty of speed. She needs a close look for a top yard.

Spotlight Verdict:
Vencedora showed promise with her debut third at Haydock three weeks ago but she doesn’t set a very high standard on that form and there are two striking newcomers in the line-up. The vote goes to CREATIVE QUEEN who cost 800,000euros at a breeze-up sale in May and has plenty of speed in her smart pedigree.

Race Statistics:

• Fate of Favourites: 40111101.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): William Haggas 1-0-2, K R Burke 0-1-5.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Vencedora (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 296):
  • Strengths: Highest rated on bare form. Should improve significantly from her promising debut run.
  • Weaknesses: Debut form was described as not setting a very high standard.
  • Suitability: Respected, but likely vulnerable to better-bred newcomers.
• Creative Queen (USA) (TimeWise Total: 48):
  • Strengths: The Spotlight selection, boasting exceptional breeding and a huge breeze-up price (800,000 euros), suggesting high potential.
  • Weaknesses: Debut runner with no prior form.
  • Suitability: Very high potential; expected to be competitive immediately based on connections and investment.

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6.30 Download The At The Races App Nursery

(Class 6, 6f, Standard, 9 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Woody Y Fernandez (2yo): 219
2. Beach Partee (2yo): 215

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Woody Y Fernandez	53, 22, 15, 10, 4	Has run well in both nurseries, notably beaten a nose in a five-runner contest at Windsor last month. Needs more to win this race given he is up 3lb. Recently refused to enter the stalls at Beverley on his last intended start.
Beach Partee	75, 20, 8, 7, 4	Has won a race (at Brighton) which brings him right into the reckoning in this low-grade nursery. However, he is not well in under his penalty, and the form of his Brighton success is doubted.

Spotlight Verdict:
Beach Partee has managed to win a race so that alone brings him right into the reckoning in this low-grade nursery. Woody Y Fernandez and Martha’s Shadow ran well last time but it might be worth taking a chance on SPIRIT STAR. She showed some promise at a low level for Marco Botti and it was over 1m when down the field on her recent stable debut.

Race Statistics:

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Nigel Tinkler 0-1-2.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Woody Y Fernandez (TimeWise Total: 219):
  • Strengths: Highest rated and consistent in previous nursery contests.
  • Weaknesses: Must carry a 3lb penalty. Has recent issues with starting stalls.
  • Suitability: Contender if behaviour is managed and can improve off the revised mark.
• Beach Partee (TimeWise Total: 215):
  • Strengths: Proven winner.
  • Weaknesses: Form of the previous win is questionable, and he faces a difficult task under a penalty.
  • Suitability: Vulnerable to rivals who are better handicapped or improving rapidly.

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7.00 Arc 1MILLION Bonus Has 150k Increase! Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

(Class 5, 1m, Standard, 5 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Livonian (GER) (3yo): 304
2. Canopus (IRE) (3yo): 235

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Livonian (GER)	80, 33, 0, 0, 0	Missed out by a nose on his Southwell debut (1m; form worked out) and then made no mistake at Windsor 18 days ago (1m, good), beating Canopus by 4l. He has leading claims despite his penalty.
Canopus (IRE)	70, 20, 0, 0, 0	Improved effort when making up good late ground to chase home Livonian at Windsor 18 days ago. He is open to further progress and is 7lb better off with his old rival here, so he is not discounted.

Spotlight Verdict:
This may rest between recent Windsor 1-2 LIVONIAN and Canopus. The latter is open to further progress and gets a 7lb pull but it may not be enough to turn the tables with Livonian who is hardly exposed himself.

Race Statistics:
No specific race statistics (Age Groups/Fate of Favourites/Trainers) were provided in the sources for this particular race.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Livonian (GER) (TimeWise Total: 304):
  • Strengths: Highest rated and preferred by the Spotlight. Proven winner over the distance and unexposed.
  • Weaknesses: Must carry a winner’s penalty.
  • Suitability: High, sets the standard based on his recent dominant win over Canopus.
• Canopus (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 235):
  • Strengths: Receives a significant 7lb weight pull against his main rival, Livonian. Open to further progress.
  • Weaknesses: Has yet to win.
  • Suitability: A strong threat to the favourite due to the substantial weight turnaround.

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7.30 Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap

(Class 6, 7f, Standard, 9 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Volendam (3yo): 233
2. Reenies Dream (3yo): 227

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Volendam	64, 18, 16, 11, 7	Has finished second in maidens here (5f and 6f) this winter. She drops into her first Class 6 and could yet deliver on her early promise.
Reenies Dream	66, 31, 13, 8, 4	Has shown two improved efforts since moving into handicaps, including a second at Carlisle last month (7f). She helped force a strong pace last time, suggesting her run can be upgraded a touch. She is a leading contender.

Spotlight Verdict:
Several have possibilities in an open race, including Ey Up He’s A Star, Bantz, Volendam and Yafaarr (second choice), but REENIE’S DREAM has shown more than enough in her two handicap runs to think a race of this nature was within her grasp.

Race Statistics:

• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Bryan Smart 0-1-1, Gemma Tutty 0-1-1.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Volendam (TimeWise Total: 233):
  • Strengths: Highest rated. Holds promising course form over shorter trips. Benefiting from a drop to Class 6.
  • Weaknesses: Has not progressed in previous handicaps.
  • Suitability: Good chance to return to form given the class drop.
• Reenies Dream (TimeWise Total: 227):
  • Strengths: Spotlight selection. Shows continually improved form in handicaps and is a leading contender.
  • Weaknesses: None specified, but is marginally lower rated by TimeWise.
  • Suitability: High; performance figures suggest she is ready to win at this level.

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8.00 Get Raceday Ready Handicap

(Class 6, 5f, Standard, 9 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Missmimi (5yo): 257
2. Newyorkstateofmind (8yo): 233

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Missmimi	83, 25, 15, 8, 8	Justified strong market support with a smart finish in an apprentice race at Pontefract last week (6f, good to soft). Crucially, she escapes a penalty and is 3lb well in.
Newyorkstateofmind	69, 27, 12, 10, 6	On a fair mark and finished off strongly when second over C&D last week to Let’s Go Hugo. He is 5lb better off with the winner today. Holds each-way claims again.

Spotlight Verdict:
Little Mi Mi and Let’s Go Hugo are high on the list but MISSMIMI can race off the same mark as when comfortably rewarding strong market support at Pontefract last week.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-3-19, 4yo+ 4-5-29.
• Fate of Favourites: 4120.
• Trainers in this Race (w-pl-r): Linda Perratt 1-0-1, Ollie Pears 0-1-2, Tim Easterby 0-1-1.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Missmimi (TimeWise Total: 257):
  • Strengths: Highest rated and Spotlight selection. Huge advantage being 3lb well in and avoiding a penalty after a recent comfortable win.
  • Weaknesses: Needs a good pace at 5f.
  • Suitability: High; the weight advantage makes her extremely interesting.
• Newyorkstateofmind (TimeWise Total: 233):
  • Strengths: Gets a 5lb swing in the weights against the horse that beat him last week. On a fair mark.
  • Weaknesses: Has not won in over 12 months.
  • Suitability: Good chance to challenge the recent winner and holds strong place claims.

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8.30 Arc £1Million Bonus Bigger Than Ever Apprentice Handicap

(Class 5, 1m, Standard, 7 runners)

Master Top Two Rated Horses (TimeWise Total):

1. Ocean Odyssey (IRE) (4yo): 267
2. Bernalda (4yo): 259

Horse	Recent Form (LR-5LR)	Supplied Comments
Ocean Odyssey (IRE)	73, 26, 10, 11, 6	Won emphatically on stable debut at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) early last month. He got back on track with a clear second at Kempton 11 days ago. He is on an unchanged mark and has claims if he can back that up.
Bernalda	88, 33, 16, 8, 6	Made her breakthrough at the 13th attempt when landing a Wolverhampton handicap (8.6f; first-time blinkers) three weeks ago. Up 5lb, but that was a comfortable success, and she is still unexposed on AW, making her a key player.

Spotlight Verdict:
Izzari (second choice) made it 2-4 on AW when scoring here 18 days ago and he’s respected on this drop back in trip. However, the vote goes to BERNALDA who made the breakthrough with her comfortable win at Wolverhampton three weeks ago and a 5lb rise for that success looks fair.

Race Statistics:
No specific race statistics (Age Groups/Fate of Favourites/Trainers) were provided in the sources for this particular race.

Assessment of Master Top Two:

• Ocean Odyssey (IRE) (TimeWise Total: 267):
  • Strengths: Highest rated. Proven winner on Tapeta. Running off the same mark as his last second place.
  • Weaknesses: Form has been inconsistent between strong runs.
  • Suitability: High; a major contender, especially if reproducing his recent Kempton form.
• Bernalda (TimeWise Total: 259):
  • Strengths: Spotlight selection. Broke her maiden in good style and is considered unexposed on AW. The 5lb rise is considered fair for the comfort of the win.
  • Weaknesses: Still relatively low mileage in handicaps compared to rivals.
  • Suitability: Key player, highly likely to continue progressing given her recent winning performance.