Horse Racing Briefing: 26 September 2025

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This briefing provides a comprehensive analysis of the day’s horse racing on Friday, 26th September 2025, synthesizing racecards, expert spotlights, statistical data, and market movements for key meetings at Newmarket, Haydock, Dundalk, Listowel, Worcester, and Newcastle.

The day features several high-stakes contests, including the Group 2 Joel Stakes and Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket, and the Group 3 Princess Royal Stakes. Expert analysis points to several key selections, with Zeus Olympios (nap) tipped in the 3:00 Joel Stakes at Newmarket and Cotswold Cottage (nap) favored in the 2:15 at Haydock.

Significant market activity has been observed, with notable drifters including Alpine Stroll (3.50 to 9.50) at Haydock and The Prettiest Star (7.00 to 17.00) in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket. The day’s racing is also heavily influenced by numerous non-runners across all meetings, particularly at Dundalk and Listowel, which have altered the composition and competitive landscape of several races. Statistical analysis for Newmarket highlights the high strike rates of the Charlie Appleby stable and the jockey/trainer combination of William Buick and Charlie Appleby.

Newmarket (Rowley) Analysis

The card at Newmarket features multiple high-class Group and Listed races. The track’s statistical data from the last two years reveals key trends among jockeys, trainers, and sires.

Feature Race Spotlights & Selections

TimeRaceSpotlight SelectionAnalysis
1:15BoyleSports British EBF Rosemary Stakes (Listed)ElwateenReturned to the course and distance of her peak effort, this drop in class gives her a major chance. Key dangers include Never Let Go, Protest, and Troia.
1:50Princess Royal Stakes (Group 3)Spirited StyleExpected to bounce back from a disappointing run in the German Oaks. Revoir is seen as the second choice, with Understudy also holding promise.
2:25BoyleSports Home Of Early Payout Rockfel Stakes (Group 2)The Prettiest StarAn interesting alternative to the promising Touleen. Awaken is noted as another for the shortlist based on Royal Ascot form.
3:00BoyleSports Daily Racing Rewards Joel Stakes (Group 2)Zeus Olympios (nap)The unbeaten 3-year-old is described as exciting and starting to put it all together. A fast pace is anticipated, which should suit.
3:35BoyleSports Smart Race Card Godolphin Stakes (Listed)By The BookDespite a long absence and step up in grade, this Godolphin 4-year-old has shown “star potential” in his two wins.
4:10British EBF “Confined” Maiden StakesCaptain FoxNarrowly preferred among those with experience. Adamlyi and Enoch are noted as particularly interesting newcomers.
4:45BoyleSports HandicapMythical GuestThe trainer is in good form, and the horse has a positive course record. Lightly raced Shamrock Bay is considered the chief danger.

Newmarket (Rowley) Statistical Insights (Last 2 Years)

Favourite Performance:

• Outright favourites have a 31% win rate and a 57% place rate from 251 runners.

Top Performing Jockeys (by Wins): | Jockey | Rides | Wins | Win % | Place % | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | William Buick | 150 | 38 | 25% | 43% | | Tom Marquand | 110 | 16 | 15% | 25% | | Oisin Murphy | 124 | 15 | 12% | 44% |

Top Performing Trainers (by Wins): | Trainer | Runners | Wins | Win % | Place % | | :— | :— | :— | :— | :— | | Charlie Appleby | 144 | 42 | 29% | 50% | | J H M Gosden | 121 | 14 | 12% | 39% | | W J Haggas | 90 | 14 | 16% | 22% | | A M Balding | 123 | 14 | 11% | 36% | | R M Beckett | 89 | 13 | 15% | 39% |

Top Jockey/Trainer Combination:

• William Buick & Charlie Appleby: 97 runners, 34 wins (35% win rate), 53 places (55% place rate).

Key Non-Runners at Newmarket

• 1:15: Cajole, Sunfall

• 3:00: Victory Dance (IRE)

• 4:10: Bemersyde (IRE), Powder Monkey (IRE)

Haydock Analysis

Spotlight Selections

TimeRaceSpotlight SelectionAnalysis
2:15Racing To School Training Series Apprentice HandicapCotswold Cottage (nap)Lightly raced 5-year-old who is expected to appreciate the drop in trip. A major player. Ribble River and Golspie are also respected.
2:50Lee Thomas Christy Memorial EBF Novice StakesMonarch’s GoldA 550,000euros purchase who won decisively on debut. Considered a good prospect in a race that is working out well.
3:25Thomas Hardie Commercials 40th Year Anniversary NurseryArmy BuglerForecasted easier ground may suit this horse who hasn’t looked entirely comfortable on quick surfaces. Dazzling Haze is second choice.
4:00Castle Green Homes EBF Novice StakesPokerA 4,300,000gns yearling by Wootton Bassett making his debut. Described as a “very interesting newcomer” who could prove smart.
4:35By Eck Its Boddingtons HandicapPersuasionHas an excellent course and distance record (132212) and a repeat of his latest second here gives him solid claims.
5:10PMJ Capital Property Finance HandicapArabian PoetAn unexposed sort who is expected to relish the step up in trip and can improve again.
5:40100% RacingTV Profits Back To Racing HandicapCormierHandicapped to play a part if building on his last start. The analysis notes it is encouraging that the horse is finally putting three runs together.

Key Non-Runners at Haydock

• 2:15: Jack Daniel (IRE)

• 2:50: Black Missile (IRE)

• 4:35: Lord Bertie (FR)

Dundalk Analysis

The all-weather meeting at Dundalk features a competitive card, significantly impacted by a high number of non-runners.

TimeRaceTop Rated (HorseRaceBase)Odds FavouriteKey Notes
4:40Friday Night Lights At Dundalk Claiming MaidenCali Case (229), Starspangled Dream (229)Best Suggestion (IRE) (3.50)Three non-runners: Fort Star, Star Allure, Star Sailor.
5:15View Restaurant Apprentice HandicapCarrigans Grove (IRE) (301)Carrigans Grove (IRE) (5.00)A competitive apprentice handicap.
5:45Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies MaidenYellowstone Lake (FR) (324)Yellowstone Lake (FR) (4.00)Non-runner: California Baby. Real Encounter has drifted significantly in the market (7.00 to 13.00).
6:15irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)The Bog Bank (IRE) (271)The Bog Bank (IRE) (3.50)Three non-runners: Le Fleur Princess, Pause For Peace, Una Matata.
6:45irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div II)Sierra De Gredos (258)Sierra De Gredos (3.25)Four non-runners, including Tartaraghan.
7:15Bar One Racing Diamond Stakes (Listed)Madam Celeste (IRE) (363)Phantom Flight (3.75)Non-runner: Carolina Jetstream.
7:45Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium HandicapNocturnal (IRE) (265)Quickshot (USA) (4.00)Three non-runners including Drucker and Paddydaddy.
8:15Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium HandicapChopsticks (IRE) (253)Chopsticks (IRE) (3.75)Three non-runners, including Numidia.

Listowel Analysis

The Listowel card features a mix of competitive hurdles and flat races, with several fields reduced by non-runners.

Spotlight Selections & Key Races

TimeRaceSpotlight SelectionAnalysis & Key Notes
1:23John J. Galvin Maiden HurdleFrankie JohnFollowing a Galway festival bumper success, this horse holds the best form. Significant non-runners include Wholelotofbusiness and Deanery Charlie. Nadia’s Boy is noted for connections.
1:58MCG Ladies Handicap HurdleHalf A ChanceWent very close at Downpatrick a week ago and may be capable of winning off just a 2lb higher mark. King In Love is also a player if ready after a break.
2:33Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap HurdleEyeeyeA chance is taken on this horse, who has shown enough ability and drops into 0-100 company for the first time. Mount Ferns won this race last year but is 8lb higher.
3:08William Hill Handicap Hurdle (Listed)Casheldale LadFinished a very positive third in the Galway Hurdle and is raised just 2lb. Considered a “big player”. Sequoiaspirit is also noted as being in good form and on an unchanged mark.

Significant Market Movements

Several horses have seen significant shifts in their betting odds, indicating changing sentiment.

TimeRacecourseHorseTrainerEarly OddsCurrent Odds
5:40HaydockAlpine StrollL De Souza3.509.50
3:52WorcesterIm A StarmanM Rimell4.0010.00
2:25NewmarketThe Prettiest StarE Walker7.0017.00
4:00HaydockPoker (IRE)K R Burke1.732.75
6:30NewcastleBeach ParteeW J Knight2.755.50
1:37WorcesterClaim Du Brizais (FR)Daniel Skelton6.0012.00
5:45DundalkReal Encounter (IRE)Mrs John Harrington7.0013.00

Comprehensive List of Non-Runners

The following horses have been declared non-runners, impacting the respective races.

TimeRacecourseHorse
4:40DundalkFort Star (IRE), Star Allure (IRE), Star Sailor (IRE)
5:45DundalkCalifornia Baby (IRE)
6:15DundalkLe Fleur Princess (IRE), Pause For Peace (IRE), Una Matata (IRE)
6:45DundalkBlackjack Hills (IRE), Gold Dublooms (IRE), Morethan Ambitions (USA), Tartaraghan (IRE)
7:15DundalkCarolina Jetstream
7:45DundalkDrucker (USA), Paddydaddy (IRE), Theophilos (IRE)
8:15DundalkCalmafterthestorm (IRE), Hangry (IRE), Numidia (IRE)
2:15HaydockJack Daniel (IRE)
2:50HaydockBlack Missile (IRE)
4:35HaydockLord Bertie (FR)
1:23ListowelAttaho (FR), Deanery Charlie (IRE), Wholelotofbusiness (IRE)
1:58ListowelFool Me Once (IRE), Gatehouse Boy (FR), Marelly (IRE)
2:33ListowelGather Yourself (IRE), Lenjoleur De Palma (FR), Teds Corner (IRE)
3:08ListowelBottlersecret (IRE), Fast Felix (IRE)
3:43ListowelGlorious Singer (IRE), Music Of Life (IRE), Thats All (IRE)
4:18ListowelDoyen Magic (IRE), Due Course (IRE), Quornofamonday (IRE)
4:52ListowelBeara Beauty (IRE), Elite Ocean (IRE), Medina Blue (IRE)
5:25ListowelSeddon (IRE), Shoot First (IRE)
5:30NewcastleDaring Leader (IRE), Shamardal Star
6:00NewcastleAkademy Lady (IRE)
1:15NewmarketCajole, Sunfall
3:00NewmarketVictory Dance (IRE)
4:10NewmarketBemersyde (IRE), Powder Monkey (IRE)
1:37WorcesterSupreme George (IRE)
2:07WorcesterOutback Frontiers (IRE)
3:17WorcesterSlievehill (IRE)

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