TimeWise Chronicles

Listowel; The following analysis details the Listowel races scheduled for Saturday, 27th September 2025, in chronological order, identifying the top two rated horses according to the TimeWise Master (TWM) ratings, summarising their details, providing the Spotlight Verdict and Race Statistics, and assessing their chances.

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2.10 Listowel: John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle (2m)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Louiescall (4yo, 11-7)2753.75
2Blue Waters (4yo, 11-7)2534.00

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Louiescall (TWM #1): No specific recent run comments are available in the TWM data. The Spotlight notes that if he takes his chance after a midfield finish in a handicap here on Thursday, he should be considered.
  • Blue Waters (TWM #2): No specific recent run comments are available in the TWM data. She is a Ballinrobe bumper winner and is making her hurdling debut. Her pedigree suggests she will develop into a talented hurdler.

Spotlight Verdict:
If Louiescall takes his chance after a midfield finish in a handicap here on Thursday he should be thereabouts. The Roscommon bumper winner Ripsnorter is respected on hurdling debut but BLUE WATERS (nap), another hurdling debutante, is preferred. Her pedigree suggests she’ll make into a talented hurdler and this looks a weak race. Dschingis Dragon completes the shortlist.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 4yo 10-20-134.
  • Fate of Favourites: 011214F220.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Eoin Christopher McCarthy 1-0-7, Gavin Cromwell 0-3-4, Gordon Elliott 0-3-3, Seamus Fahey 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Louiescall:
    • Strengths: Highest rated on TWM. Expected to be competitive if running.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to prove current form/stamina after running recently on Thursday.
    • Suitability: Must confirm ability over hurdles after recent run.
  • Blue Waters:
    • Strengths: Strong pedigree for hurdling and is making her debut in what is considered a weak race. Proven bumper winner.
    • Weaknesses: Unproven over hurdles.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable based on pedigree and current stable confidence (NAP selection).

2.45 Listowel: Allman Contracts Novice Hurdle (2m 4f)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Cameletta Vega (6yo, 10-12)3454.00
2Strong Link (5yo, 11-10)3173.00

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Cameletta Vega (TWM #1): Won a mares’ maiden at Cork (2m3f, good) in May. Finished second, beaten by 1.25 lengths, to Strong Link in a 20.5f Galway novice (good) in her latest run. She benefits from a 5lb weight swing against Strong Link, giving her realistic prospects of turning the form around.
  • Strong Link (TWM #2): Has won his last three races—a Wexford bumper, a Tipperary maiden, and a Galway novice (where he beat Cameletta Vega). All three wins were around this 2m4f trip on good ground. He is top-rated (RPR 136) and his chance is considered obvious.

Spotlight Verdict:
Ross O’Sullivan’s Strong Link got the better of Cameletta Vega at Galway but Willie Mullins’ mare gets a 5lb swing and should go well. Henry de Bromhead’s Costacurta still has time to deliver an improved showing and should also be involved.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 4yo 2-1-5, 5yo 5-5-32, 6yo 2-2-13, 7yo 1-1-5, 8yo 0-0-1, 11yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1312113212.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): W P Mullins 5-3-14, Gordon Elliott 1-1-6.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Cameletta Vega:
    • Strengths: Highest TWM rated. Gets a 5lb weight swing, which should significantly enhance her chances of reversing the form with Strong Link.
    • Weaknesses: Finished second to Strong Link last time.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable, particularly if the ground continues to dry out.
  • Strong Link:
    • Strengths: Proven winner of his last three, including beating Cameletta Vega. High RPR (136). Acts on most ground.
    • Weaknesses: Concedes 5lb to his main rival.
    • Suitability: Obvious chance given recent winning form over the distance.

3.20 Listowel: M.J. Carroll ARRO Handicap Hurdle (2m 4f)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Sysko (5yo, 11-2)3105.00
2Moon Dorange (7yo, 11-5p)30017.00

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Sysko (TWM #1): Lightly raced 5yo who won a 2m3f Punchestown maiden in June (gd-yld). He subsequently finished last of seven in a listed hurdle at Galway (16.5f, good). This is his handicap debut, returning to a longer trip.
  • Moon Dorange (TWM #2): His last hurdle win was in February 2024. He won a Premier Handicap chase at Cheltenham in January. He has been absent since May and is running back over hurdles. He might need this run.

Spotlight Verdict:
Not the easiest of puzzles to solve. Willie Mullins’ Sysko has to be respected on handicap debut and Miss Fourie was still going well when falling three out at Killarney last time but a tentative vote goes to REDWOOD QUEEN. She has won here before and her first two runs for Cian Collins have been encouraging. The C&D winner Millstream Lady and Magnor Glory are others worth considering.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 5yo 5-8-52, 6yo 4-7-39, 7yo 0-4-16, 8yo 0-0-6, 9yo 0-2-8, 10yo 1-0-1, 11yo 0-0-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1111211P22.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Peter Fahey 1-0-4, Ross O’Sullivan 1-0-1, W P Mullins 1-0-3, Gordon Elliott 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Sysko:
    • Strengths: Highest TWM rated. From the formidable W. Mullins yard and respected on handicap debut.
    • Weaknesses: Disappointing last time, finishing last.
    • Suitability: Potential remains high on handicap debut, with the longer trip possibly suiting.
  • Moon Dorange:
    • Strengths: Proven ability at a very high level (Cheltenham Premier Handicap chase winner).
    • Weaknesses: Has been off since May and may require the run back over hurdles.
    • Suitability: Must overcome absence and switch back to hurdles to figure prominently.

3.55 Listowel: Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (2m 6f)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Stone Forest (4yo, 11-12b)2535.00
2Rizedda (5yo, 11-8)24311.00

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Stone Forest (TWM #1): Gained a deserved win at Wexford (20.5f, good) on his latest start, beating Corkbeg. He is up 7lb but “did it nicely and there could be more improvement” in him. He prefers good ground.
  • Rizedda (TWM #2): Best effort in maidens was an 8l fourth at Tramore (2m5f, good). She stayed on nicely, suggesting the 2m6f trip should be within her range. This is her handicap debut.

Spotlight Verdict:
An open race. Stone Forest won well the last day and should go well again but CORKBEG only has 2l to find with that rival, he’s 5lb better off at the weights and he may be able to turn the tables. Toor Moon, Oogum Boogum, Rising Dust and Creadan Grace are others with valid claims.

Race Statistics:

  • Specific age groups, fate of favourites, and trainer records are not explicitly summarized in the provided source material for this race.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Stone Forest:
    • Strengths: Highest TWM rating and enters the race following a win off a comfortable mark. Has the scope for further improvement.
    • Weaknesses: Carries a 7lb penalty. The Spotlight suggests Corkbeg is better weighted against him this time.
    • Suitability: Highly suitable, particularly if the ground remains good.
  • Rizedda:
    • Strengths: Staying on nicely in her last maiden run suggests this distance suits. Unexposed making her handicap debut.
    • Weaknesses: Easy ground is a query.
    • Suitability: Potential to outperform her mark if conditions are right.

4.30 Listowel: Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase (2m 6f)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Weveallbeencaught (8yo, 11-12)31712.00
2Mousey Brown (8yo, 11-7t)29213.00

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Weveallbeencaught (TWM #1): Won a 3m novice handicap chase in fine style in the UK in January. Ran well when last seen at Aintree in April. Purchased for £40,000 in May and runs here for a new stable.
  • Mousey Brown (TWM #2): Has shaped nicely in her last three starts. This included a respectable fifth in a valuable handicap hurdle at Galway. Received a 2lb drop for her latest fourth at Killarney.

Spotlight Verdict:
Drumgill, Weveallbeencaught and Supreme Gift are respected, as is Mousey Brown, but if DRUMGILL can reproduce the form he showed when runner up in the Mayo National, he could be the answer here.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 6yo 0-0-1, 7yo 1-2-10, 8yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-1-3, 10yo 1-0-4.
  • Fate of Favourites: 52.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): John Patrick Ryan 1-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Weveallbeencaught:
    • Strengths: Highest TWM rated. Previous high-class winning form in the UK. Connections clearly rate him highly after the purchase.
    • Weaknesses: First run for a new yard since April requires market confidence.
    • Suitability: Worth checking in the betting, holds serious claims on UK form.
  • Mousey Brown:
    • Strengths: Consistent recent form in competitive races. Has benefited from a 2lb drop.
    • Weaknesses: Needs to find further improvement to win at this level, as she was well behind her rivals last time.
    • Suitability: Expected to be competitive for a placing.

5.05 Listowel: John & Terry Moriarty Memorial (Q.R.) Handicap Chase (3m)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Easy Bucks (10yo, 11-6)2694.00
2Decimation (10yo, 11-1tp)19717.00

(Note: TWM data shows Easy Bucks (269) as the highest rated. Backmersackme, highlighted prominently in the Spotlight, does not have a TWM Total listed, but is assessed below alongside Easy Bucks as the intended leading contender.)

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Easy Bucks (TWM #1): Enhanced his chase strike-rate to 7-24 with a clearcut win at Perth 19 days ago (3m, good) on his return from an absence of over a year.
  • Decimation (TWM #2): Finished third in a claiming hurdle last time, and the runner-up subsequently won over fences. However, this 10yo is “not as good as he was” and others are preferred.

Spotlight Verdict:
Easy Bucks reappears only 19 days after overcoming a long absence at Perth and the second run back from a lengthy break is not always as good as the first. The suggestion is BACKMERSACKME who has yet to click over fences but this is his handicap debut and he’s feasibly treated on the pick of his hurdling exploits. Pride Of Place is a solid option.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 5yo 1-0-4, 6yo 1-1-10, 7yo 2-5-26, 8yo 2-5-22, 9yo 2-4-17, 10yo 1-4-12, 11yo 1-0-7, 12yo 0-0-3, 13yo 0-1-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: 5113125F43.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): E Bolger 1-0-2, P J Rothwell 1-2-3, E McNamara 0-2-6.

Assessment of Top Two (Easy Bucks and Backmersackme):

  • Easy Bucks:
    • Strengths: Proven winner (7/24). Recent winning effort over 3m.
    • Weaknesses: Quick turnaround (19 days) after a lengthy layoff. Faces tougher competition here.
    • Suitability: Involved if replicating his last performance.
  • Backmersackme (Spotlight NAP):
    • Strengths: Feasibly treated on high-level hurdling form (Listed second off 1lb higher mark). Making handicap chase debut, suggesting potential untapped value.
    • Weaknesses: Has previously been beaten by large margins in non-handicap chases.
    • Suitability: Strong value proposition based on hurdling ability.

5.40 Listowel: Listowel Printing Works Slan Abhaile (Pro/Am) Flat Race (2m)

RankHorse (Age, Weight)TWM TotalOdds
1Starting Fifteen (4yo, 11-5)2784.00
2Samba Train (4yo, 11-5)2613.25

Recent Form and Comments:

  • Starting Fifteen (TWM #1): Flat-bred. Has shown high ability in bumpers, finishing third of 24 runners at Punchestown (good to yielding), with subsequent winners coming from behind him. He has every chance.
  • Samba Train (TWM #2): Dominated from the front and won easily on good ground at Listowel in her last run, achieving a useful RPR of 116. She is considered a major player on form.

Spotlight Verdict:
This is a useful bumper contested by six previous winners and then there’s STARTING FIFTEEN who arguably has the best form courtesy of his third in a big field at Punchestown. One line of form gives That Danny Feeling a similar chance to the selection. Samba Train and Parnell Street are preferred of the remainder.

Race Statistics:

  • Age Groups: 4yo 4-4-18, 5yo 5-6-33, 6yo 1-0-10, 7yo 0-1-4, 9yo 0-0-1.
  • Fate of Favourites: 1112312121.
  • Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Eoin Christopher McCarthy 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two:

  • Starting Fifteen:
    • Strengths: Highest TWM rated. Strong form achieved in competitive fields (3rd of 24).
    • Weaknesses: Has yet to win a race.
    • Suitability: Expected to be a primary contender based on performance ratings.
  • Samba Train:
    • Strengths: Proven winner on this course with an easy front-running style. High RPR (116).
    • Weaknesses: Slightly lower rated than Starting Fifteen.
    • Suitability: Major player given her course experience and demonstrated form.

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