1.50 Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2)
- Distance/Going: 1m, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Bow Echo (IRE) (Total: 408)
- Daytona (IRE) (Total: 380)
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Bow Echo (IRE) | Has shown impressive form, making light work of a subsequent winner at Newbury. Followed up with a win in a Listed race at Haydock, where he had to dig deeper but was nicely on top at the finish. Both runs were over 1m on good ground. Connections were reportedly thrilled with a recent gallop. He is seen primarily in terms of potential, but his form is already superior to others. |
| Daytona (IRE) | Looked good on debut and easily won at Listed level (Naas). Finished 5th in the Group 1 National Stakes last time, where he was bumped quite severely late on. He leads the way on Topspeed/RPR figures and promises to be even better at 1m. |
- Spotlight Verdict: This race is principally about the potential of Bow Echo. Humidity leads the way on Topspeed/RPR figures, and PACIFIC AVENUE did well to finish close up behind him in Sandown’s Solario Stakes. Pacific Avenue looked the likely winner until tiring at the death, and drier ground should be a major plus. Daytona is the most appealing of the Ballydoyle duo (with Action).
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo colts/geldings.
- Fate of Favourites: 1120212333.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): A P O’Brien 2-6-15, Andrew Balding 1-2-5, Charlie Appleby 0-1-4.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Bow Echo (IRE):
- Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (408). Unexposed with strong recent List-level wins, particularly impressing connections in his preparation.
- Weaknesses: Untested at this level (Group 2) against the best opposition.
- Suitability: Already proven over 1m on good ground.
- Daytona (IRE):
- Strengths: High TimeWise Master rating (380). Leads on RPR/Topspeed figures. Expected to relish the 1m trip.
- Weaknesses: Has a Group 1 defeat to overcome, although he had trouble during the race (bumped severely).
- Suitability: Highly suitable for the 1m distance.
- Bow Echo (IRE):
2.25 Tattersalls Sceptre Sessions Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1)
- Distance/Going: 6f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Beautify (IRE) (Total: 433)
- True Love (Inferred: Strongest RPR/TS contender besides Beautify. RPR 119, TS 115).
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Beautify (IRE) | Showing rapid progress in her three starts. Previously defeated odds-on Lady Iman in a 6f Group 2 at the Curragh. In her latest run, she was only seen off inside the final furlong in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud (7f, yielding) 13 days ago. She is one of two strong contenders from the Aidan O’Brien yard. |
| True Love | Previously won Group 2 races at Royal Ascot (Queen Mary, 5f) and the Curragh (Railway, 6f) during the summer, looking very promising. She was surprisingly turned over at 1-4 in the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes seven weeks ago, but reported mild lameness afterwards may account for that defeat. She commands major respect as she attempts to redeem her reputation. |
- Spotlight Verdict: The suggestion is ROYAL FIXATION. She looked a high-class juvenile when quickening smartly to beat America Queen by 1l in the Group 2 Lowther at York last month. She is highly regarded and looks the one to beat. True Love is feared, especially after a short break, but Royal Fixation is preferred.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites: 3314220201.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): A P O’Brien 5-4-14, Donnacha Aidan O’Brien 1-0-1, Richard Fahey 0-1-4, Richard Hannon 0-1-4.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Beautify (IRE):
- Strengths: Highest explicit TimeWise Master rating (433). Consistently performs at Group level, finishing close in the Moyglare (Group 1).
- Weaknesses: Needs further personal best to land this Group 1 prize.
- Suitability: Handles 6f well (Group 2 winner).
- True Love:
- Strengths: Proven 6f Group 2 winner. Potential for a major bounce-back run if her prior lameness issue is resolved.
- Weaknesses: Was heavily beaten as a favourite recently.
- Suitability: Proven winner over 6f.
- Beautify (IRE):
3.00 Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)
- Distance/Going: 6f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Coppull (Total: 429)
- Wise Approach (IRE) (Total: 424)
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Coppull | Has shown progressive form in the UK. Placed in the Coventry at Royal Ascot before comfortably securing the Richmond Stakes (Group 2, 6f, good). However, he took a step backwards when finishing behind Wise Approach in the Prix Morny last time. Remains of interest and may rebound. |
| Wise Approach (IRE) | A smart colt, costing 1,000,000 guineas as a yearling. Secured a ready Listed win at Newbury. Has performed well in major races, including a close third in the Prix Morny (6f, good) last time. He is rated top on figures (RPR 122) and is aptly bred, being a half-brother to a Middle Park winner. He is considered the one to beat on form. |
- Spotlight Verdict: As the betting reflects, Wise Approach has excellent credentials and is the one to beat on form. However, there are a couple of very interesting alternatives: THE PUBLICAN’S SON (second choice) and Hilitany both bring major potential. The Publican’s Son shaped extremely well in a Group 3 event on his debut.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo colts.
- Fate of Favourites: 1251121512.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): A P O’Brien 3-4-18, Charlie Appleby 1-1-5, Clive Cox 1-1-4.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Coppull:
- Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (429). Group 2 winner with proven big-race form.
- Weaknesses: Disappointing latest run in the Prix Morny.
- Suitability: Proven at the 6f trip.
- Wise Approach (IRE):
- Strengths: Second highest TimeWise Master rating (424). Top-rated contender on RPR/TS figures (122 RPR). Outstanding pedigree.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly mentioned regarding trip or ground.
- Suitability: Proven at 6f, good form on good ground.
- Coppull:
3.40 bet365 Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap)
- Distance/Going: 1m 1f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated: (Explicit Total scores are unavailable for the top contenders; selection based on high placement in the rating list and high RPR figures).
- Treble Tee (RPR 121, Highest Listed)
- Real Gain (RPR 119)
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Treble Tee | A low-mileage 3yo (gelded) who went close in his first two handicaps (1m, good to firm), then won decisively at Doncaster (1m, good). He carries a 4lb penalty but is considered ahead of the handicapper. |
| Real Gain | A lightly raced 5yo who was an easy winner over C&D in September 2023. Returned from a year off with a highly credible third in the Golden Mile at Glorious Goodwood (1m, soft) 57 days ago. Expected to build on that performance. |
- Spotlight Verdict: Preference is for FIFTH COLUMN (nap), a likely type who stayed on well to win a competitive 3yo handicap over 1m at York. Today’s extra furlong (1m1f) is expected to prompt further improvement. Marhaba Ghaiyyath is the second choice, looking ideal for the Cambridgeshire. Treble Tee is also strongly shortlisted, being well treated under a 4lb penalty.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 3-7-58, 4yo+ 7-24-250.
- Fate of Favourites: 5000162020.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): K R Burke 1-0-4, Andrew Balding 0-4-14, David Menuisier 0-1-5, Ed Walker 0-2-4, Jack Channon 0-1-2, William Haggas 0-1-10.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Treble Tee:
- Strengths: Highly progressive 3yo who is potentially very well handicapped despite the penalty. Dominant latest win.
- Weaknesses: Facing a much larger and hotter field than previous starts.
- Suitability: The 1m 1f trip appears suitable, following strong 1m performances.
- Real Gain:
- Strengths: Proven C&D winner. Ran well after a long layoff in a top handicap. Expected to progress.
- Weaknesses: Lightly raced in recent years.
- Suitability: C&D winner on good to firm ground, trip is suitable.
- Treble Tee:
4.15 British Stallion Studs EBF Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Distance/Going: 7f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Bella Lyra (GER) (Total: 356)
- Quiescent (Inferred: Highest RPR/TS contender besides Bella Lyra. RPR 113).
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Bella Lyra (GER) | Won at Windsor (6f) in June. Subsequently ran close thirds in Listed and Group 3 races (6f). Was below par in a Group 3 last time on soft going. Has hinted that 7f will suit and returns to better ground for her nursery debut. |
| Quiescent | Comes into the race following a comfortable novice win at Chepstow over 7f (soft ground) this month. She possesses good potential off her opening nursery mark. |
- Spotlight Verdict: The suggestion is ROUGE TEMPTATION (nap), who kept on strongly for third on her recent nursery debut at Doncaster (6.5f, good to soft) and is firmly in calculations at 7f. Gwen John (second choice) has every chance. Bella Lyra could play a part.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites: 4321060430.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): William Haggas 2-0-5, Roger Varian 1-0-3, Andrew Balding 0-1-3, Edward Bethell 0-1-1, Harry Charlton 0-1-1.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Bella Lyra (GER):
- Strengths: Highest explicit TimeWise Master rating (356). Class experience from Listed and Group 3 races. Expected to improve back on Good to Firm ground and step up to 7f.
- Weaknesses: Form dipped on soft ground last time.
- Suitability: Nursery debut at 7f is appropriate given previous hints.
- Quiescent:
- Strengths: Showed strong potential winning a novice over 7f. High RPR (113) for this grade.
- Weaknesses: Previous win was on soft ground; facing unfamiliar Good to Firm conditions today.
- Suitability: Distance 7f is suitable.
- Bella Lyra (GER):
4.45 Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies Stakes (Div 1)
- Distance/Going: 7f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Cherry Baker (Total: 258)
- Mojito (Total: 216)
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Cherry Baker | Showed improvement on her debut effort by finishing second of seven runners at Sandown (1m, soft). She made the running in that race. While further improvement is possible, she does not set a particularly high standard for the field. |
| Mojito | Has displayed only fair form in her two outings (6f Newbury, 7f Kempton AW) and has yet to make the frame. Needs significant improvement to be competitive. |
- Spotlight Verdict: The pair with experience probably need to raise their game. The pick of the newcomers on paper is ACT OF KINDNESS (nap), who cost a fortune and represents a leading yard having a fine season with its 2yos. Forbidden Colours (second choice), Mubasimah and Shady Dame are all plausible contenders too.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites: 1312022133.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Roger Varian 3-2-9, Andrew Balding 1-1-5, Ed Walker 1-0-4, Richard Hannon 1-0-3, Charlie Appleby 0-1-3, John & Thady Gosden 0-1-4.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Cherry Baker:
- Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (258). Has run prominently and secured a place finish already.
- Weaknesses: Maiden runner; sets a low standard based on form. Ran on soft ground last time; today’s Good to Firm is different.
- Suitability: Needs to prove competitive over 7f on Good to Firm ground.
- Mojito:
- Strengths: Ran over 7f previously.
- Weaknesses: Low TimeWise Master rating (216). Form is mediocre and she needs significant improvement.
- Suitability: Distance 7f is suitable.
- Cherry Baker:
5.20 Blandford Bloodstock Maiden Fillies Stakes (Div 2)
- Distance/Going: 7f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Zabeel Flower (Total: 251)
- Ottoman Empress (Total: 72, Highest Rated Debutante/Market Challenger).
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Zabeel Flower | The form pick of the race. She has been runner-up in two 7f contests (Lingfield and Chepstow). However, she failed to make the expected improvement last time. |
| Ottoman Empress | A 550,000gns yearling. She is a Zarak half-sister to two winners, notably the US Grade 2 winner Ottoman Fleet. Represents a powerful stable (Charlie Appleby). She looks like a newcomer who could prove useful. |
- Spotlight Verdict: Zabeel Flower is the form choice but she may have to settle for another silver medal, with OTTOMAN EMPRESS looking a newcomer who could prove useful (nap). Golden Orbit is another debutante to note.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: All runners are 2yo fillies.
- Fate of Favourites: 1312022133.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Ralph Beckett 1-2-7, Richard Hannon 1-0-3, Richard Hughes 1-0-1, Charlie Appleby 0-1-3, Peter Chapple-Hyam 0-1-1, William Haggas 0-3-8.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Zabeel Flower:
- Strengths: Highest explicit TimeWise Master rating (251). Proven form over the distance.
- Weaknesses: Failed to step up on expected improvement last time.
- Suitability: Distance 7f is suitable.
- Ottoman Empress:
- Strengths: Strong pedigree and expensive purchase. Backed by a powerful stable with a good record. Expected to be highly talented.
- Weaknesses: Debutante, lacks racecourse experience.
- Suitability: Maiden fillies stakes, 7f, Good to Firm.
- Zabeel Flower:
5.55 Ambassador Cruise Line Handicap
- Distance/Going: 7f, Good To Firm (GD-FM).
- TimeWise Master Top Two Rated:
- Dance In The Storm (Total: 366)
- Humam (Total: 337)
| Horse | Recent Form Summary & Comments |
|---|---|
| Dance In The Storm | Has run well in rather difficult circumstances at two major festivals. Appears to have a race of this grade (Class 2 handicap) in her. |
| Humam | Has a 7f record of 2-4, including a York success in June for his previous yard. He is still unexposed at this distance and returns to it for the first time since joining new connections. Considered an interesting contender. |
- Spotlight Verdict: After good efforts in rather difficult circumstances at two major festivals, DANCE IN THE STORM (nap) appears to have a race of this grade in her. Indian Springs (second choice) is a very interesting handicap debutant.
- Race Statistics:
- Age Groups: 3yo 4-7-34, 4yo+ 6-14-76.
- Fate of Favourites: 3314101143.
- Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Charlie Appleby 1-0-3, David O’Meara 1-1-5, Eve Johnson Houghton 1-0-2, Andrew Balding 0-1-3, Charles Hills 0-1-5, Ian Williams 0-1-1, Richard Fahey 0-1-2.
- Assessment of Top Two:
- Dance In The Storm:
- Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (366). Strong form profile in competitive races. Expected to be competitive in this Class 2 race.
- Weaknesses: None explicitly noted regarding suitability or recent performance drop.
- Suitability: Distance 7f is suitable.
- Humam:
- Strengths: Still unexposed at the 7f trip. Previous success at York suggests potential off his mark.
- Weaknesses: Needs to prove form continuity since joining new connections.
- Suitability: Distance 7f is suitable.
- Dance In The Storm:
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