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1.25 Curragh: Kildare House Hotel Irish EBF Maiden

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Savile Row (2yo, 9-7b)	N/A (Highest likely contender based on mention)	11-4
2	White Smoke (2yo, 9-2)	N/A (Highest likely contender based on RPR 86)	11-4

(Note: The full TimeWise Master ratings list is unavailable for this race. The selections are based on competitive odds and strong narrative form/RPRs.)

Recent Form and Comments:

• Savile Row: Was a 400,000gns yearling. Finished ninth here over 7f before being blinkered and running second to a well-touted horse. His last race rating (LR) was 34, and his Racing Post Rating (RPR) is 82.
• White Smoke: Showed a big step forward from his debut when running 100-1 runner-up over Course and Distance (C&D) in August. The winner of that race subsequently finished fourth in a Group 3 here. White Smoke’s LR rating was 63 and his RPR is 86. He is now with a new trainer.

Spotlight Verdict:
White Smoke, Thenandnow and Saville Row have shown they’re up to winning a maiden but if the 210,000gns purchase ARMADA DE LOPE is above average then she might well be up to taking this first time out.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 40542.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Kieran P Cotter 2-0-5, M C Grassick 1-0-3, A P O’Brien 0-2-6, Joseph Patrick O’Brien 0-1-3, Mrs John Harrington 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Savile Row:
  • Strengths: Expensive yearling with high potential. Improved last time out when fitted with blinkers.
  • Weaknesses: Previous form figures are moderate (LR 34).
  • Suitability: Blinkers applied for recent second.
• White Smoke:
  • Strengths: Solid C&D form (runner-up). Form line boosted by the winner running well in a Group 3.
  • Weaknesses: His 100-1 runner-up effort makes assessing its genuine quality difficult.
  • Suitability: Proven C&D experience.

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2.00 Curragh: HearMed Your Health, Your Hearing Joe McGrath Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Red Evolution (3yo, 9-5)	354	11-2
2	Keke (5yo, 10-0t)	330	8-1

Recent Form and Comments:

• Red Evolution: LR 116. Has three wins, all over 5f. Recently scored in a Cork handicap. The 3lb rise for the win seems fair.
• Keke: LR 91. Age 5. Holds six wins, including this race last year and the Rockingham handicap earlier this year. Has been solid in defeat twice subsequently. Didn’t get the clearest of runs over 6f here last time. Is ground-versatile.

Spotlight Verdict:
A clutch of these ran in the valuable 6f handicap staged here on Champions Weekend two weeks ago. Narrow preference is for the last-named SARAHMAE who finished with energy to spare having not even engaged top gear. Rain will aid her cause. Nezeeh can go well.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-0-34, 4yo+ 9-24-118.
• Fate of Favourites: 0500103201.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Denis Gerard Hogan 2-0-7, Edward Lynam 1-1-9, W McCreery 1-0-5, John James Feane 0-1-3, Martin Hassett 0-2-4.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Red Evolution:
  • Strengths: Top-rated on TWM. Recent winning form over the distance. Fair weight rise.
  • Weaknesses: Best form is on fast ground, which is a concern given the forecast overnight rain.
  • Suitability: Proven winner over 5f.
• Keke:
  • Strengths: Proven course and distance winner (including this race last year). Ground-versatile. Had excuses last time out.
  • Weaknesses: Carries top weight (10-0t).
  • Suitability: Highly suitable for C&D and conditions.

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2.35 Curragh: Qatar Racing & Equestrian Club Beresford Stakes (Group 2)

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Geryon (2yo, 9-5L)	367	11-8
2	Hawk Mountain (2yo, 9-5P)	337	6-4

Recent Form and Comments:

• Geryon: LR 103. Has run both starts over 7f at this track. Won strikingly on debut in August, and followed up with a “cracker” when second in the Group 2 Futurity Stakes. RPR 108.
• Hawk Mountain: LR 101. Was 3.75l behind Geryon on his debut over 7f. Improved when raised to this 1m trip, scoring last time here after setting steady fractions. Likely to be still improving and is the stable’s selected runner. RPR 95.

Spotlight Verdict:
Having beaten Al Haarith, Port Of Spain and Hawk Mountain when winning a maiden here GERYON (nap) was since a solid runner-up in the Group 2 Futurity Stakes and it will be disappointing if he cannot confirm the form. The slight concern is how he settles stepping up to this trip in a small field.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 2112111241.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): A P O’Brien 7-6-24, Joseph Patrick O’Brien 0-2-7.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Geryon:
  • Strengths: Highest rated TWM and RPR. Demonstrated Group 2 ability (runner-up). Previously beat Hawk Mountain.
  • Weaknesses: Was keen last time, raising concerns about his ability to relax when stepping up to 1m.
  • Suitability: Formidable contender if he settles at the mile trip.
• Hawk Mountain:
  • Strengths: Proven winner over this 1m trip. Expected to be improving and is the apparent first string for his successful trainer.
  • Weaknesses: Finished behind Geryon on debut.
  • Suitability: Distance proved suitable last time.

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3.10 Curragh: Schweppes Trophy Handicap

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Genuine Article (5yo, 9-7tp)	321	5-1
2	Heavenly Power (7yo, 9-4)	314	8-1

Recent Form and Comments:

• Genuine Article: LR 90. Generally consistent. Won over an extended mile at Galway, ran a cracker in the Cambridgeshire here subsequently, and was just denied back at Galway over the same trip last time. RPR 103.
• Heavenly Power: LR 94. Has five wins up to 6f, including three at this course. Ran a “cracker” when second in a Cork premier handicap over this 7f trip in June. Ground-versatile. RPR 106.

Spotlight Verdict:
There isn’t much between Genuine Article, Tokenomics, Engines On and Booyea on the Cambridgeshire form here and they can all run well. However, HEAVENLY POWER looks ready for a step back up to this trip and this triple course winner can score here again. Monsieur Fudge and Cowardofthecounty are lurkers coming back after absences, so check the market.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 0-3-19, 4yo+ 4-7-45.
• Fate of Favourites: 0231.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Adrian McGuinness 1-1-5, Gerard Keane 0-1-1, Miss Natalia Lupini 0-1-1, Mrs John Harrington 0-1-4.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Genuine Article:
  • Strengths: Consistent form at 1m, including strong recent performances in high-level handicaps.
  • Weaknesses: Dropping back in trip from 1m to 7f.
  • Suitability: Proven ability at the Curragh.
• Heavenly Power:
  • Strengths: Triple course winner. Demonstrated ability at 7f (second in a Cork premier handicap). Ground-versatile.
  • Weaknesses: Historically, his best wins were up to 6f.
  • Suitability: Expected to be suited by the step back up to 7f.

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3.45 Curragh: Goffs Million

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Composing (2yo, 9-0)	414	7-2
2	Dorset (2yo, 9-5)	360	8-1

Recent Form and Comments:

• Composing: LR 113. Won a C&D maiden, followed by a Leopardstown Group 3 and the Group 2 Debutante Stakes. Was below form last time when trying to make all in the Group 1 Moyglare Stakes. RPR 121.
• Dorset: LR 102. Won a C&D maiden on his second start. Since beaten by Zavateri twice, most recently by over 8l in the National Stakes. Can race keenly. Hood worn previously is left off. RPR 108.

Spotlight Verdict:
A huge field for this big prize and luck in-running could play a part. However, COMPOSING is the class act and she can bounce back from a below-par Moyglare Stakes run, having tried to make all. She should get a lead today and can pounce late. Phenomenal Filly and Bofa Beach weren’t far behind the selection on debuts and are in the mix. Green Sense is a Group 2 winner over 6f and has prospects of staying this trip. Dorset, Summer Is Tomorrow and Take Charge Star can all run well.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 2yo.
• Fate of Favourites: 022.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): Joseph Patrick O’Brien 1-1-7, P Twomey 1-0-3, A P O’Brien 0-2-4, G M Lyons 0-2-5, Richard Fahey 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Composing:
  • Strengths: The class act in the field, Group 2 winner, high TWM and RPR rating. C&D winner. Expected to benefit from tactics change (getting a lead).
  • Weaknesses: Below par last run in the Moyglare Stakes.
  • Suitability: Excellent C&D form.
• Dorset:
  • Strengths: C&D maiden winner. Respected despite being the stable’s second string.
  • Weaknesses: Has raced keenly and was soundly beaten in Group company recently.
  • Suitability: C&D winner.

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4.20 Curragh: McDonnells Bar Newbridge Rated Race

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Charasson (3yo, 9-6P)	301	100-30
2	Glen To Glen (3yo, 9-5B)	291	9-2

Recent Form and Comments:

• Charasson: LR 86. Won a 6f maiden here in June. Followed up with a fine effort in a Naas Listed race over 6f. Has a high amount of speed. RPR 98.
• Glen To Glen: LR 82. Won a 6f maiden here in March. Ran fine at 1m2f two weeks later. Was below form here in blinkers last time (over 1m2f). Blinkers are left on for this drop back in trip. RPR 103.

Spotlight Verdict:
The most reliable of these is COLLECTING COIN and he is a tentative selection in a race where all the runners have questions to answer of some sort. Maybe Glen To Glen can bounce back from a below-par run over 1m2f here last time as he has the speed to do so.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo.
• Fate of Favourites: Not provided explicitly for this race.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r) for competing trainers: J Feane 50% (14-139, 0-4 on course 14 days); J P O’Brien 56% (92-864, 10-67); J Murtagh 50% (24-190, 4-22); Mrs J Harrington 56% (52-452, 10-67); N Meade 100% (1-30, 1-5); K Smith 67% (0-17, 0-4); M Butler 33% (0-2, 0-3).

Assessment of Top Two:

• Charasson:
  • Strengths: Highest rated. Proven course winner (6f) with Listed form.
  • Weaknesses: Has high speed; the step up to 7f is a question mark.
  • Suitability: Must prove stamina at 7f.
• Glen To Glen:
  • Strengths: High RPR (103). Course winner, dropping back to a more suitable trip after struggling over 1m2f. Has speed to bounce back.
  • Weaknesses: Was below form when last seen here in blinkers.
  • Suitability: Blinkers retained; trip drop looks favourable.

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4.55 Curragh: Fitzpatrick’s Mercedes-Benz Maiden (Div I)

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Dawn Coming (3yo, 9-8)	287	10-1
2	Simurgh (3yo, 9-8)	249	7-2

Recent Form and Comments:

• Dawn Coming: LR 85. Finished third over 1m here in June. Has a good pedigree and should improve. RPR 77.
• Simurgh: LR 69. Ran fourth over 1m here last October. Returned from a 319-day absence to be a “keeping-on runner-up” at Roscommon (1m4f), finishing ahead of two rivals running today. RPR 83.

Spotlight Verdict:
Not many of these should count. Dropping back in trip might enable JUNIPER SLING to reverse Roscommon placings with Simurgh, who on tiring ground seemed to outstay the selection over 1m4f. Indian River wasn’t far away in the same maiden and should also be involved. Glittering Gem has a seriously nice pedigree and needs checking in the betting, along with Duvessa.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-4-31, 4yo+ 1-0-6.
• Fate of Favourites: 20.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): J S Bolger 0-2-3, John Joseph Murphy 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Dawn Coming:
  • Strengths: Top-rated TWM. Good pedigree, implying improvement.
  • Weaknesses: Previous third place was in a weak maiden.
  • Suitability: Step up to 1m2f should suit pedigree.
• Simurgh:
  • Strengths: Solid claims based on recent runner-up performance over 1m4f, suggesting ample stamina for 1m2f. Proven on slow ground.
  • Weaknesses: Was returning from a lengthy absence last time.
  • Suitability: Likes slow ground; dropping back slightly in trip.

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5.30 Curragh: Fitzpatrick’s Mercedes-Benz Maiden (Div II)

Rank	Horse (Age, Weight)	TWM Total	Odds
1	Candleford Green (3yo, 9-3)	283	3-75
2	Tswalu (3yo, 9-3L)	265	4-33

Recent Form and Comments:

• Candleford Green: LR 66. Sea The Stars filly. Achieved RPR 84 last October when just missing out at Leopardstown (7f, soft). Was favourite for her comeback race at Naas (1m, good) but didn’t get a clear run.
• Tswalu: LR 74. RPR 91. Placed in seven of her eight races but remains a maiden. Has been one of the favourites on her last six runs, suggesting ability but lack of winning consistency.

Spotlight Verdict:
A stronger division that the first and far more intriguing. If Group 1 entries are an accurate reflection of Maeve Brennan’s ability then she should be competitive and hopefully the market will shed light on expectations. Candleford Green has appealing form credentials and considerable potential but preference is for SUBSONIC.

Race Statistics:

• Age Groups: 3yo 1-4-31, 4yo+ 1-0-6.
• Fate of Favourites: 20.
• Trainer Records (w-pl-r): J S Bolger 0-2-3, John Joseph Murphy 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two:

• Candleford Green:
  • Strengths: Strong pedigree and previous form (RPR 84). Open to improvement, particularly as this trip is expected to suit.
  • Weaknesses: Comeback run was hampered.
  • Suitability: Distance of 1m2f is expected to enhance her potential.
• Tswalu:
  • Strengths: Consistent (placed in 7 of 8 runs). High RPR (91).
  • Weaknesses: Highly exposed maiden, often found wanting under pressure. Very expensive to follow.
  • Suitability: Has shown ability in maidens.