1.55 Felinfoel RFC 150th Anniversary Novice Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap (1m 2f, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- First Greyed (Total 231)
- Fiddlers Green (Total 219)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| First Greyed | 8-8111 | Was in excellent form on Tapeta in the spring when last seen, winning three races in a row (1m-8.6f) with a refitted visor. The return to turf on the slow side of good ground is not expected to be a problem, but his fitness and stamina need to be proven today. |
| Fiddlers Green | 4-5721 | Posted a clear second place finish at Chepstow (1m4f, soft) in June, and then won at Kempton (1m3f, AW) the following month. After a 3lb rise, he is likely still on a workable mark and is considered a likely contender. |
Spotlight Verdict
The Spotlight Verdict suggests that the race can go to SALARIA, who achieved a clearcut success on her stable debut at Pontefract ten days ago and has scope to build on that win. While First Greyed was in excellent form on Tapeta in the spring, a subsequent six-month break might have checked his momentum. Fiddlers Green is suggested as a bigger threat to Salaria.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: The race is open to horses aged 3yo+. Runners range from 3yo to 8yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided in the race statistics tables for this track.
- Trainer Records (W-R): T Faulkner (1-7, 17%), John O’Shea (0-23, 0%), B Llewellyn (8-99, 100% in last 14 days), E Williams (1-13, 0%). Note that B Llewellyn is currently running 100% to form based on the last 14 days.
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Greyed | Proven winner (three consecutive AW wins). Handles slow ground. | Returning from a six-month break, which might affect momentum. Fitness and stamina are questioned over this trip/ground. | Expected to handle the soft ground and distance, but needs to prove fitness. |
| Fiddlers Green | Recent winner (AW) and placed well on soft turf. Mark remains workable. | None explicitly stated, but the Spotlight favours Salaria. | Distance suits, expected to handle soft ground. |
2.30 Dyfed Recycling Restricted Maiden Stakes (7½f, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Astrazar (Total 310)
- Lavender Gold (Total 274)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Astrazar | 72424 | Has made the frame in the last four of his five appearances. Posted a commendable fourth place out of 21 runners in a valuable sales race at York (6f, good to firm). He has been shaping as though today’s step up in trip (beyond 6f) will suit, but he is untested on ground slower than good. |
| Lavender Gold | 73 | Improved significantly from an encouraging debut (7f). Kept on well to finish third in a novice event at Windsor (1m, soft) this month. He is likely to improve again and has proven ability on ground slower than good. |
Spotlight Verdict
While Lavender Gold‘s proven ability on ground slower than good is a significant selling point, ASTRAZAR sets the form standard based on his fourth-place finish in a big-field 6f sales race at York. Astrazar has been shaping as though the step up in trip will suit him. Nicely Timed is also noted as having enough potential on debut to feature.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 2yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): E Walker (8-45, 46%), H Charlton (1-12, 80%), H Morrison (11-43, 67%), D Menuisier (2-14, 60%), R Beckett (13-40, 45%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astrazar | Sets the form standard based on a strong performance in a valuable race. Expected to relish the step up to 7½f. | Untested on soft ground. | Strong claims if stamina holds and he handles the soft ground. |
| Lavender Gold | Proven ability on soft ground (at Windsor). Should be open to further improvement. | Only two career starts. | Excellent suitability for the likely soft conditions and handling the extended trip. |
3.05 Congratulations To Felinfoel RFC Nursery Handicap (5f, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Supreme Diamond (Total 271)
- Proof (Total 233)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Supreme Diamond | 9531 | Showed an improved effort when winning a 5f fillies’ maiden at Bath two weeks ago on heavy ground. This was her first time experiencing ground slower than good, suggesting she could have more to offer on her nursery debut. Strong claims. |
| Proof | 924435 | Earlier efforts suggest he should be competitive at this level. He appears to handle soft ground. However, he was given a stiff task last time at Doncaster, and others might be open to greater progress. |
Spotlight Verdict
The verdict favours SUPREME DIAMOND, noting that she improved on slower ground at Bath two weeks ago and is capable of following up on her nursery debut. Although Forever Glamorous is expected to run well returning to 5f, Supreme Diamond is preferred.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 2yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): Clive Cox (3-23, 33%), C Hills (3-24, 69%), A Balding (14-64, 65%), John O’Shea (2-23, 0%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Diamond | Recent win on heavy ground, indicating suitability for soft conditions. Potential for further improvement on handicap debut. | None explicitly noted in the comments. | High suitability for soft ground and trip, leading contender. |
| Proof | Handles soft ground. Previous form competitive for this level. | May lack the scope for progression seen in rivals. | Handles soft ground, reasonable chances based on previous class exposure. |
3.40 Diplomat Hotel Handicap (1m, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Fifty Sent (Total 232)
- Blue Point Express (Total 210)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Fifty Sent | 331461 | Has won twice this year, including emphatically over C&D on soft ground in August. He stays 1m2f on soft ground. The 5lb rise is considered manageable, giving him a solid chance. |
| Blue Point Express | 604616 | His most recent success was over 7f at Chepstow (soft) this month, breaking his maiden. Although most of his races have been over shorter distances, his stamina proved adequate over 1m when finishing sixth at Bath recently. He should be closely involved. |
Spotlight Verdict
The definitive selection is FIFTY SENT (nap), due to him making it two wins from his last four starts, coming clear over C&D on soft ground last month, making him the one to beat. Change Of Fortune is in good form and should be involved.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo+. Horses range from 3yo to 6yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): B Llewellyn (8-99, 100% in last 14 days), T Faulkner (1-7, 17%), A Wintle (6-52, 50%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fifty Sent | Proven C&D winner on soft ground. Handles up to 1m2f on soft ground. Strong chance despite the penalty. | Carrying 5lb extra for his last win. | Optimal suitability given recent form and confirmed soft ground performance. |
| Blue Point Express | Recent winner on soft ground (7f). Stamina proven adequate for 1m. | Traditionally races over shorter distances. | Should cope well with the soft ground and is expected to be competitive. |
4.15 Celtic Couriers Handicap (5f, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Roach Power (Total 268)
- Four Adaay (Total 255)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Roach Power | 113336 | Won over C&D in July (good ground) and followed up at Chepstow shortly after. He has shown better form in defeat since those wins. He is viewed as a leading contender, although the field is competitive. |
| Four Adaay | 252147 | Secured a C&D win last month, taking advantage of a favourable opportunity. He has struggled off higher marks in two subsequent runs. Conditions (soft) will be fine for him. |
Spotlight Verdict
The race is competitive with five of the six runners arriving in fine form. Roach Power is greatly respected. However, the selection is GUITEAU, who responded well to first-time accessories last time, and a 5lb rise for that wide-margin success (over 6f) could be lenient. The drop to 5f is an unknown, but his stamina should be an asset.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo+. All runners are aged 5yo to 8yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): M Wigham (1-3, 75%), G Harris (5-52, 30%), F Bramley (2-4, 0%), B Millman (13-76, 40%), A Wintle (6-52, 50%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roach Power | Proven C&D winner. Strong form earlier this season. | Recent form figure is only a sixth. | Leading contender, proven C&D ability. |
| Four Adaay | Previous C&D winner; conditions are fine. | Struggled when penalized for his last win. | Suitability for soft ground at C&D is confirmed. |
4.50 Evo Ultra Handicap (2m, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Russian Rumour (Total 287)
- Jedhi Knight (Total 225)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Russian Rumour | 525153 | Has winning form over 2m1f on heavy ground last year. Her latest effort, finishing third in a Class 2 race over 1m6f (Bath, soft), was sound. She looks dangerous dropping to this lower grade. |
| Jedhi Knight | 033314 | Was awarded the race in the stewards’ room last month over C&D (good to soft) while wearing first-time cheekpieces. Was not effective on the AW last time out. He is fitted with new headgear (first-time blinkers) and has a definite chance if responding positively. |
Spotlight Verdict
While Russian Rumour looks dangerous in this lower grade, she must concede considerable weight to the C&D winner JEDHI KNIGHT. Jedhi Knight can be excused his recent AW defeat and is preferred, having previously responded well to new headgear.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo+. Horses range from 3yo to 10yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): J Portman (4-17, 58%), D Ffrench Davis (0-13, 38%), H Morrison (11-43, 67%), B Llewellyn (8-99, 100% in last 14 days), Jedd O’Keeffe (1-3, 50%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Russian Rumour | Proven winner on heavy ground. Dangerous in this class, good recent form. | Must give away significant weight to the preferred contender, Jedhi Knight. | High suitability for soft ground and trip. |
| Jedhi Knight | C&D winner. Receives a large weight allowance. New headgear (blinkers) may bring improvement. | Poor AW run needs to be excused. | Well suited to C&D and softer ground. Preferred by the Spotlight due to weight advantage and headgear change. |
5.25 Owens Group Handicap (7½f, Soft)
TimeWise Master Top Two Rated
The top two rated horses in this race are:
- Up The Anti (Total 224)
- Too Much Trevor (Total 222)
Recent Form and Comments
| Horse | Recent Form Summary | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| Up The Anti | 3166P2 | Won at Leicester (1m, good to firm) in June. Posted her best recent run (second place) for her new stable at Bath (1m, good to soft) a fortnight ago. The drop back in distance might be beneficial. |
| Too Much Trevor | 283344 | This 26-race maiden arrives having made the frame four times consecutively over 1m, including a very creditable third in a valuable series final. The 7½f trip suits him. |
Spotlight Verdict
Preference is given to ROSEMARY’S ROSE, who performed well from the front in 0-65 company at Windsor four weeks ago and might be helped by this drop back in trip. Autumn Festival and King Of The Dance are also expected to be competitive.
Race Statistics
- Age Groups: 3yo+. Horses range from 3yo to 9yo.
- Fate of Favourites: Not explicitly provided.
- Trainer Records (W-R): B Llewellyn (8-99, 100% in last 14 days), E De Giles (5-50, 57%), A Haynes (1-19, 21%), A Carroll (6-51, 53%), A Wintle (6-52, 50%), R Harris (2-14, 100%), G Harris (5-52, 30%).
Assessment of the Top Two
| Horse | Strengths | Weaknesses | Suitability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up The Anti | Recent strong second place on good to soft ground. May benefit from dropping back in distance. | Faces competitive opposition. | Good recent form on ground similar to that expected. |
| Too Much Trevor | Consistent in recent runs; suited by 7f. | Long-standing maiden status (0-26) suggests he may be hard to win with. | Suitability for trip is confirmed. |
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