Briefing Document: Horse Racing Analysis for September 28, 2025

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Executive Summary

This document provides a comprehensive analysis of the horse racing meetings scheduled for September 28, 2025, at Curragh, Epsom, Ffos Las, and Newcastle. The analysis synthesizes race card data, expert spotlight commentary, quantitative performance ratings, and market intelligence, including significant betting movers and non-runners.

The day’s feature event is the Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch at 4:22 PM, a premier handicap with a total prize value of €600,000. Expert analysis suggests a highly competitive field, with Joseph O’Brien’s runner Nurburgring preferred by the stable jockey and Comfort Zone highlighted as a value proposition. Other key contenders include ZoffmanShodaSixandahalf, and Falcon Eight.

Spotlight selections, or “naps,” identify top picks across the meetings: Cape Cod (Curragh 1:30 PM), Give It To Me Oj (Epsom 3:30 PM), Fifty Sent (Ffos Las 3:40 PM), and Superposition (Newcastle 6:45 PM).

Significant market activity has been observed. Notable market movers include In The Gloaming (Curragh 2:05 PM), whose odds have shortened dramatically from 29.00 to 8.50, and Lir Speciale (Newcastle 2:45 PM), backed from 5.00 into 2.63. Conversely, horses such as Galileo Island (Epsom 1:45 PM) have drifted from 2.10 to 3.50, and Poetic Sound (Curragh 4:22 PM) has seen a significant drift from 23.00 to 67.00.

Several key non-runners will impact their respective races, including the withdrawal of Glacius from the Betfred Derby ‘Wild Card’ EBF Conditions Stakes at Epsom (2:20 PM) and Wyman from the day’s opening race at the Curragh. The day presents a complex and data-rich landscape for analysis, with deep fields and valuable prizes on offer.

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Curragh Race Meeting Analysis

1:30 PM – Tote 20K Euros Guaranteed Placepot Today Irish EBF Maiden

• Conditions: €20,000, 1m 1f, Yielding-Soft, For 2yo maidens.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Cape CodA P O’BrienWayne Lordan89265Showed much-improved effort when close third at Punchestown; looks a big player.SP 6-4
KalirD WeldChris Hayes75265Beaten 8l on debut by a smart type; should have improved and can be more involved.SP 8-1
South IslandD A O’BrienGavin Ryan7986249Disappointing last time at Tipperary; headgear is left off and has to rebound.SP 5-1 (Mover)
SharkeyboyW MullinsJ M Sheridan48A €140,000 yearling by a leading French sire; considered a likely player on debut.SP 4-1
EnceladusJ P O’BrienDylan Browne McMonagle49By a top sire out of a classy mare; market can guide.SP 7-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Having produced a much-improved effort when a close third over 1m at Punchestown last time, CAPE COD(nap) can get off the mark over this longer trip. The other rivals with form have a bit to find, with South Island looking the best even though he was disappointing last time. A 140,000euros yearling, Sharkeyboy is the most interesting of the debutants.” – Tyrone Molloy

• Significant Non-Runner: Wyman

2:05 PM – Fitzpatricks Mercedes-Benz Irish EBF Maiden

• Conditions: €20,000, 7f, Soft, For 2yo maidens.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
White Sand BeachA P O’BrienWayne Lordan96310Beautifully-bred filly ran a fine race to be a close runner-up on debut; looks the one to beat.SP 6-4
Spangled SandsJ P O’BrienDylan Browne McMonagle89307Bumped into a subsequent Futurity Stakes winner on debut; needs to step forward but should be involved.SP 3-1 (Mover)
Zia ZabelMiss N LupiniSeamie Heffernan31A €200,000 foal by a young sire that is doing well; capable of a good run.SP 8-1 (Mover)
In The GloamingA OliverW J Lee43Half-brother to a Group-placed winner; by a useful sire and could run well on debut.SP 16-1 (Significant Mover)

• Spotlight Verdict: “With improvement likely from her fine Punchestown second on debut, WHITE SAND BEACH should be difficult to beat today. Spangled Sands ran into a smart Ballydoyle sort on debut but, though he didn’t really improve next time, is still a danger. Suspicious Mindz has a chance if back to the form of his Tipperary Listed third. Zia Zabel is most interesting of the newcomers.” – Tyrone Molloy

• Significant Non-Runners: Anushka, Suspicious Mindz

2:37 PM – Weld Park Stakes (Group 3)

• Conditions: €60,000, 7f, Soft, For 2yo fillies.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Pivotal AttackJoseph G MurphyGary Carroll100104298Bolted up at Galway with rivals behind; not disgraced in the Moyglare; top-rated and the one to beat.SP 11-4
AlibahJ P O’BrienDylan Browne McMonagle103364Coped fine with step up in grade; return to 7f is a plus; big chance.SP 9-2
Kensington LaneD A O’BrienGavin Ryan92106306Off the mark in fine style at Gowran; rated 92 and is a player, though soft ground is an unknown.SP 11-2
Black Caviar GoldP TwomeyW J Lee85107316Hugely improved to win easily at Cork on soft ground; could be more to come.SP 4-1 (Drifter)
SmexyG LyonsJames Ryan94100296Excellent effort in a Leopardstown Group 3; rated 94 and should be on the premises.SP 9-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “A case can be made for a few of these fillies… if the forecast rain arrives she is unproven on soft. Black Caviar Gold and Alibah have form on easy ground and are considered, but so does PIVOTAL ATTACK. She put a couple of these rivals to the sword at Galway and if she settles better than she did in the Moyglare, she can take this.” – Dave Stephens

3:12 PM – Renaissance Stakes (Group 3)

• Conditions: €60,000, 6f, Soft, For 3yo+.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
My Mate AlfieG LyonsGary Carroll112122379Won this race last season; may get back on track in calmer waters, especially with rain forecast.SP 100-30
VespertilioW McCreeryDylan Browne McMonagle103115381Ground versatile and should be in the mix again after a strong run in the Ballyogan Stakes.SP 11-2 (Mover)
Art PowerT Easterby (GB)David Allan109119342Won this race in 2021 and 2022; could rebound stepped back up in trip from the Flying Five.SP 6-1
SpycatcherK Burke (GB)Sam James108121331Needs the forecast rain to come; can go well if it does. Beaten 2l in this race last year.SP 7-1 (Drifter)
Ides Of MarchA P O’BrienWayne Lordan1031163373yo won a Group 3 over C&D last year; needs to bounce back from recent struggles.SP 13-2 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “The forecast rain is a plus for a few of these, including last year’s winner MY MATE ALFIE, and he may be able to defend his crown. Spycatcher, Vespertilio and course regular Art Power will also relish a bit of cut in the ground and are feared… Fregada could outrun her likely odds.” – Dave Stephens

3:47 PM – Keadeen Hotel Nursery Handicap

• Conditions: €21,000, 7f, Soft, For 2yo.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Which Wolf WinsJ P O’BrienDylan Browne McMonagle8578315Progressed in handicaps, winning at Galway and runner-up over C&D; needs to improve further.SP 4-1
Luna MiaM D O’CallaghanRonan Whelan8381299Consistent and should go well on handicap debut back up at 7f.SP 5-1
Venetian StarJ MurtaghBen Coen7578253Much-improved on handicap debut; could turn the tables on Sovereign Thought in first time blinkers.SP 8-1
Elly BayJ MurtaghJamie Powell (3)7386280Beaten favourite twice since a promising debut; opening mark of 73 might be generous.SP 10-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “VENETIAN STAR finished off very nicely on his nursery debut… a 6lb swing may enable him to turn the tables in first-time blinkers. Elly Bay and Sanctijude appeal most of the handicap debutantes.” – Dave Stephens

• Significant Non-Runners: Echo Of Faith, Sovereign Thought

4:22 PM – Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (Premier Handicap)

• Conditions: €600,000, 2m 170y, Yielding-Soft, For 3yo+.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
AscendingH De BromheadW J Lee99111351Landed Cork Derby and Ascot Stakes; runner-up in the Ebor; can give another good account.SP 8-1 (Mover)
TounsivatorW MullinsShane Foley85102337Won the Royal Bond over hurdles; returned to Flat with a win; tougher race but can’t be discounted.SP 9-1
NurburgringJ P O’BrienDylan Browne McMonagle95107301Neck second behind Ascending in Ascot Stakes; 2lb better off now. Stable jockey rides; big chance.SP 12-1 (Mover)
Falcon EightD WeldChris Hayes95107294Beaten 0.5l in this in 2023 off 8lb higher; cheekpieces replace visor; lively outsider.SP 50-1
Comfort ZoneJ P O’BrienDeclan McDonogh94107302Closely matched with Nurburgring and Ascending on Ascot Stakes form; dangerous to dismiss.SP 28-1 (Mover)
Poetic SoundG LyonsGary Carroll100109299Excellent runs in defeat this campaign, including just 2l behind Kyprios; could go well.SP 18-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “A minefield. Joseph O’Brien runs seven and Dylan Browne McMonagle prefers Nurburgring so he has to be considered but COMFORT ZONE is interesting based on his Ascot Stakes third… and he might represent a bit of value. Zoffman, Shoda, Sixandahalf, Poetic Sound and the evergreen Falcon Eight are others that can run well.” – Dave Stephens

• Significant Non-Runners: Shoda, Highwind, Light As Air

4:57 PM – Tote Always SP Or Better Maiden

• Conditions: €20,000, 6f, Soft, For 3yo+.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Washington StreetG LyonsGary Carroll7989280Placed five of nine starts; repeat of his best form will make him the one to beat.SP 11-4
Glory To BeM GrassickDylan Browne McMonagle6882292Posted best effort when just denied over C&D, ahead of Washington Street; major player.SP 3-1 (Mover)
LunigianaW McCreeryW J Lee7788251In the frame seven of eight starts last year; contender if at her best after a long absence.SP 13-2 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Though the handicap ratings say Washington Street should beat GLORY TO BE, the filly finished in front of him over C&D last time and she can confirm that form with cheekpieces a help. Lunigiana has the form to be competitive but her long absence is offputting.” – Tyrone Molloy

• Significant Non-Runner: Ballintogher

5:30 PM – Download The Tote App (Q.R.) Handicap

• Conditions: €18,000, 1m 2f, Yielding-Soft, For 3yo+.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
RainE & P HartyMiss A B O’Connor6445254Won a Galway handicap last time; this trip will be fine and should run well up 5lb.SP 6-1 (Drifter)
Gotta Catch’Em AllH RogersMiss M Walsh (7)6048233Maiden but placed several times; runner-up over C&D last October off 2lb higher; should be competitive.SP 8-1 (Mover)
MigdamE BuckleyMr Finn Buckley (7)6550245Once useful, dropped in the handicap this year and should be competitive.SP 14-1 (Mover)
WertpolJ MurtaghMiss Georgie Benson (7)7143240Runner-up in a maiden over this trip and a handicap last time; should be competitive again.SP 11-1 (Mover)
KeilahW McCreeryMr M N Sharpe (7)6145233Some decent efforts in defeat this term; should be involved.SP 11-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Very competitive. GOTTA CATCH’EM ALL is a tentative selection. Though he is a maiden has run well several times including over C&D and is consistent. He is best on good ground… Castleheath is also a Galway winner and is just 1lb higher than that day. Zuzukel has modest form figures but has a noteworthy jockey booking.” – Tyrone Molloy

• Significant Non-Runners: Among The Pines, Drucker, Secret Rock, Zentopia

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Epsom Race Meeting Analysis

1:45 PM – Betfred ‘Double Delight’ Nursery Handicap

• Conditions: £12,000, 7f 3y, Good, For 2yo (0-80).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Crystal PierR BeckettRossa Ryan7778266Solid third over C&D behind subsequent winners; respected nursery debutante.SP 7-2 (Mover)
OharaE HoughtonCharles Bishop7880282Has shown clear promise in 7f novice races; open to progress now handicapping.SP 8-1 (Mover)
Galileo IslandM BottiMarco Ghiani7987272Made all for 4l success at Chelmsford; form has been boosted; shortlisted.SP 15-8 (Drifter)
Havana SmileG & J MooreTom Queally7682219Best effort when running-on second over 5f; return to turf may have a positive effect.SP 14-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Particularly interesting is CRYSTAL PIER whose latest effort represents a solid piece of C&D form. Improving Galileo Island is second pick, ahead of Yy Nation.” – Steve Boow

2:20 PM – Betfred Derby ‘Wild Card’ EBF Conditions Stakes

• Conditions: £19,000, 1m 113y, Good, For 2yo.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
ShayemK BurkePierre-Louis Jamin98102352Sets the standard and may improve even further; respected.SP 13-8 (Drifter)
AlfarazA BaldingOisin Murphy90316300,000gns yearling; showed solid promise with clear second on debut; interesting.SP 9-4
GizmoMichael BellDavid Egan94291Belied market weakness with promising debut; open to progress.SP 9-2

• Spotlight Verdict: “Shayem sets the form standard… Futurity entry ALFARAZ is an interesting alternative and Gizmo (second choice) is another once-raced contender who looks open to progress.” – Steve Boow

• Significant Non-Runner: Glacius

2:55 PM – Betfred ‘Pickyourpunt’ Novice Stakes

• Conditions: £10,000, 1m 2f 17y, Good, For 3-4yo.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
GamraiJ & T GosdenOisin Murphy92295Successful at Windsor on reappearance; likely to progress further; respected under penalty.SP 2-7
AlcarathA KingRossa Ryan87256Ran well behind odds-on shot at Salisbury; one of the main form contenders.SP 3-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “Gosden colt GAMRAI is taken to defy a penalty for his reappearance success. Alcarath is the biggest danger on form.” – Steve Boow

• Significant Non-Runner: Phoenix Sunrise

3:30 PM – Geoff Lewis Apprentices’ Derby Handicap

• Conditions: £12,000, 1m 4f 6y, Good, For 3yo+ (66-85).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Give It To Me OjG & J MooreAshley Lewis (5)8593345Made all for comfortable C&D success; form has been boosted; strongly respected.SP 6-4
NaasmaP PhelanHarry Burns7488279Has won three of last four; better than ever and enters calculations.SP 5-1 (Drifter)
Team PlayerG TuttyTommie Jakes7886289Strong record for current stable; 3yo may be capable of further improvement; solid claims.SP 5-1
Midnight RumbleA KingLuke Catton8189234Creditable 1l second on turf when last seen; place claims.SP 8-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Being still well handicapped judged on hurdles ability and open to further progress under this code, GIVE IT TO ME OJ (nap) looks capable of following up his solid C&D success. Team Player (second choice) and Naasma are respected in their current form.” – Steve Boow

4:05 PM – Betfred Nifty 50 Handicap

• Conditions: £20,000, 1m 2f 17y, Good, For 3yo+ (76-95).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Fantasy BelieverE WalkerOisin Murphy9397361Bagged a Class 2 prize at Doncaster last time; back on career-high mark but may remain competitive.SP 9-2
CriminalR HughesFinley Marsh8197276Consistent maiden; solid effort at Ascot on sole handicap attempt; interesting off just 1lb higher.SP 7-2
Kimeko GloryB ToomeySean D Bowen7997258Ready success at Sandown on stable debut; may show further progress; shortlisted.SP 3-1 (Drifter)
Lord MelbourneR BeckettJack Dace (5)94100327Progressive but absent since winning the November Handicap last year; drop in trip is a concern.SP 13-2

• Spotlight Verdict: “Having posted a very solid effort in his sole handicap attempt, consistent maiden CRIMINAL looks interesting and may be able to open his account. Fellow 3yo Kimeko Glory, who looks open to further improvement for her new stable, is second pick.” – Steve Boow

4:40 PM – Betfred ‘The Classic Bookmaker’ Handicap

• Conditions: £12,000, 1m 113y, Good, For 3yo (66-85).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Jiff’s ArmyS C WilliamsRossa Ryan7696282Has won twice over C&D to take his Epsom record to 2311; respected.SP 2-1
Falmouth LadA BaldingOisin Murphy7695290Record of 211 since dropped to 1m; looks open to further progress.SP 13-8 (Drifter)
Hot CashJ ChannonTom Marquand8695297Won off 1lb lower on most recent attempt in this grade; 1-1 at Epsom; possibilities.SP 3-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “In the retained cheekpieces and kept to this C&D, JIFF’S ARMY holds particularly strong claims. Improving Falmouth Lad is feared most.” – Steve Boow

5:15 PM – Betfred Handicap

• Conditions: £12,000, 7f 3y, Good, For 3yo+ (61-80).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
EminencyS C WilliamsMarco Ghiani7984290Won at Windsor last time; not an obvious type to follow up.SP 6-1
Musical AngelA BaldingOisin Murphy8084273Neck second at Chester last time; 3yo filly may do better still; one to consider.SP 4-1 (Mover)
Silver TrumpetE HoughtonCharles Bishop7886230Had an excuse last time; better judged on his easy C&D success in August; remains of interest.SP 11-2 (Mover)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Being unexposed at this trip and possibly capable of further progress, MUSICAL ANGEL is an interesting alternative to the C&D winners Kisskodi, Silver Trumpet and Marlay Park who nonetheless warrant respect.” – Steve Boow

• Significant Non-Runner: Kisskodi

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Ffos Las Race Meeting Analysis

1:55 PM – Felinfoel RFC 150th Anniversary Novice Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap

• Conditions: £6,600, 1m 2f, Soft, For 3yo+ (46-65).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
SalariaC CloverMr Cian Murphy (3)6448213Clearcut success on recent stable debut; could have more improvement to come.SP 11-4 (Drifter)
Fiddlers GreenJohn O’SheaMiss Iesha Wilding (3)5950219Won at Kempton in July; probably still on a workable mark; likely contender.SP 9-2
Zambezi MagicB LlewellynMiss Jessica Llewellyn5848204Won easily over C&D on heavy ground recently but is effectively higher in the weights today.SP 11-2 (Mover)

• Spotlight Verdict: “This can go to SALARIA, who kept on well to make a winning stable debut at Pontefract ten days ago and has scope to build on that success. A bigger threat… may emerge from Fiddlers Green.” – Chris Wilson

• Significant Non-Runner: Serious Look

2:30 PM – Dyfed Recycling Restricted Maiden Stakes

• Conditions: £6,800, 7f 80y, Soft, For 2yo.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
AstrazarE WalkerGeorge Downing8486310Commendable fourth in valuable York sales race; untested beyond 6f but commands respect.Evs (Drifter)
Lavender GoldD MenuisierJack Doughty86274Kept on well for third in a valuable Windsor novice; can probably improve again.SP 7-4 (Mover)
Nicely TimedR BeckettEdward Greatrex75225Well-bred filly with obvious potential to improve from her debut.SP 6-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “Lavender Gold… is a big selling point here but ASTRAZAR sets the form standard after last month’s fourth in a big-field 6f sales race at York, and he has been shaping very much as though today’s step up in trip will suit.” – Chris Wilson

• Significant Non-Runner: Phantom Shadow

3:05 PM – Congratulations To Felinfoel RFC Nursery Handicap

• Conditions: £8,000, 5f, Soft, For 2yo (0-75).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Supreme DiamondClive CoxJoe Leavy7178271Won a fillies’ maiden on heavy ground at Bath; could have more to offer; strong claims.SP 6-4 (Drifter)
Forever GlamorousJohn O’SheaGina Mangan5571199Collared late in a 6f nursery here, looking green; dropping to 5f won’t hurt; more to come.SP 2-1 (Mover)
ProofC HillsBen Sanderson6875233Earlier efforts bring him into the reckoning; appears to handle soft ground.SP 100-30

• Spotlight Verdict: “Forever Glamorous should have a big run in him back at 5f but SUPREME DIAMOND improved for slower ground at Bath a fortnight ago and she can follow up on her nursery debut.” – Paul Smith

3:40 PM – Diplomat Hotel Handicap

• Conditions: £6,600, 1m, Soft, For 3yo+ (46-60).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Fifty SentT FaulknerRhys Elliott (5)5274232Won a C&D classified emphatically in August; up 5lb but that’s not overfacing him; solid chance.SP 100-30
Change Of FortuneB LlewellynElizabeth Gale (5)5170194Broke duck over C&D in June; looks in good heart and has possibilities.SP 4-1
Unforgetable BelleA HaynesKieran O’Neill5566198Staying-on third at Bath last time was more promising; in the thick of it.SP 9-2

• Spotlight Verdict: “Change Of Fortune is in good form… but FIFTY SENT (nap) made it two wins from his last four starts when coming clear over C&D on soft ground last month and he looks the one to beat.” – Emily Weber

• Significant Non-Runner: Weston Court

4:15 PM – Celtic Couriers Handicap

• Conditions: £8,000, 5f, Soft, For 3yo+ (51-70).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
GuiteauF BramleyEdward Greatrex6278235Near-5l success over 6f here last time; 5lb rise leaves him well-in on past form.SP 9-4 (Drifter)
Roach PowerM WighamWilliam Carson6977268Won over C&D in July and followed up; leading contender.SP 5-2 (Mover)
DiamondsinthesandA WintleTaryn Langley (5)5775235Has won three of last five, but over further; first 5f run in over two years.SP 4-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “GUITEAU took well to the accessories here last time and a 5lb rise for that wide-margin success could prove lenient. The drop to 5f is the unknown but he’s always been quite exuberant and it looks an avenue worth exploring.” – Paul Smith

4:50 PM – Evo Ultra Handicap

• Conditions: £8,000, 2m, Soft, For 3yo+ (56-75).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Russian RumourJ PortmanJoe Leavy7173287Good effort in a Class 2 at Bath last time; won on heavy ground last year.SP 5-2
Jedhi KnightJedd O’KeeffeJack Doughty5575225Awarded the race over C&D last month; definite chance if reacting positively to new headgear.SP 6-4 (Drifter)
CaponeD Ffrench DavisBen Ffrench Davis (5)6777222On a good mark; may prefer drier ground back on turf.SP 6-1 (Mover)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Russian Rumour looks dangerous in this lower grade but she has to concede lots of weight to C&D winner JEDHI KNIGHT who can be excused an AW defeat last time and he’s responded well to new headgear in the past. Cogital is third choice.” – Alistair Jones

5:25 PM – Owens Group Handicap

• Conditions: £6,600, 7f 80y, Soft, For 3yo+ (46-55).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Rosemary’s RoseA HaynesKieran O’Neill5566193Good front-running shift before fading at Windsor; drop back in trip could be a good move.SP 7-1 (Mover)
Up The AntiA CarrollJack Doughty5565224Best run for new stable when close second at Bath; might benefit from the drop in trip.SP 8-1
Autumn FestivalE De GilesRhys Elliott (5)5369201Placed in two sprints this month; sure to be suited by move back up in trip; big player.SP 11-4 (Mover)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Preference is for ROSEMARY’S ROSE, who gave it a good shot from the front in 0-65 company at Windsor four weeks ago and might benefit from this drop back in trip. King Of The Dance seems very likely to be in the mix again.” – Chris Wilson

• Significant Non-Runners: Happy Chandler, My Clementine

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Newcastle Race Meeting Analysis

2:13 PM – Arc All-Weather Apprentice Handicap (Div I)

• Conditions: £22,000, 7f, Standard, For 4yo+ (56-75).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
CandonomoreT EasterbyJake Dickson (7)7384243Ran a creditable race at Newmarket on Thursday; pedigree suggests he should be effective on AW.SP 13-2 (Mover)
EnpassantM HerringtonJack Callan (3)6782267Enjoying a renaissance, winning over C&D and at Leicester; latest 5lb rise might find him out.SP 11-2 (Drifter)
Blazing SonB SmartOliver Carmichael (7)7785259Excellent course record with three wins and four places from seven visits; 3lb rise demands more.SP 6-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “CANDONOMORE is preferred. Now 3lb lower than for his latest success, he ran well at Newmarket on Thursday and his pedigree suggests he should be at least as effective on AW.” – Paul Smith

2:45 PM – Arc All-Weather Apprentice Handicap (Div II)

• Conditions: £22,000, 7f, Standard, For 4yo+ (56-75).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Lir SpecialeB EllisonShay Farmer (5)7382275Had wind surgery which has had a positive effect; this is weaker than recent races; set to go well.SP 6-1 (Mover)
King’s SchoolG TuttyWarren Fentiman (3)7381258All three wins have come over C&D; a 4lb rise shouldn’t prevent another good run.SP 7-2 (Drifter)
Highland OllyG TuerCian Horgan (3)7281236Made all to win comfortably at Musselburgh; 8lb rise and hasn’t shone on AW before.SP 5-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Twilight Diamond… comes into the reckoning, as does the in-form Giant. Three-time C&D winner King’s School is high on the list but this represents a drop in class for LIR SPECIALE and he can take full advantage.” – Paul Smith

• Significant Non-Runner: Twilight Diamond

3:20 PM – Arc £1Million Bonus Bigger Than Ever Handicap

• Conditions: £22,000, 1m 4.5f, Standard, For 3yo+ (46-55).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Both Of UsG BougheyBilly Loughnane6072254Lost first seven but won last two; well on top when defying a penalty last time; leading contender.SP 9-4 (Mover)
Queen RoslynB EllisonCallum Rodriguez5365260Has won both her last two races on either side of a Racing League run; in-form and guaranteed to stay.SP 7-1
Tiberio ForceS WhitakerPaul Mulrennan5263217Deserved 1m2f win at Ripon and held his own back in a handicap here; on the shortlist.SP 10-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “The chances are that BOTH OF US remains ahead of the game despite another penalty and he can bring up his hat-trick. With plenty of these in form there is no shortage of each-way alternatives, headed by Queen Roslyn, Tiberio Force and Saachi.” – Alistair Jones

3:55 PM – Border Minstrel Dog Friendly Pub Handicap

• Conditions: £25,000, 1m 2f, Standard, For 4yo+ (66-85).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
North ViewG BougheyBilly Loughnane7798270Stamina to prove beyond a mile but kept on encouragingly last time at Newbury; considered.SP 7-1
BragborG ScottDarragh Keenan86100310Narrowly won a C&D handicap; 6lb rise looks favourable as the runner-up has won twice since.SP 5-2
Crack ShotJ OwenPat Cosgrave8499302Competitive in 1m/1m2f handicaps and unlucky not to be closer than 2l at Chester last time.SP 4-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “Bragbor (second choice) is the intriguing horse… However, there’s no shortage of alternatives, and a chance is taken on NORTH VIEW who might just raise his game over this longer trip. Per Contra has been running well in defeat and so too Jujubella.” – Alistair Jones

4:30 PM – Gosforth Bark Raw Pet Food Specialists Handicap

• Conditions: £27,000, 1m 4.5f, Standard, For 3yo+ (76-95).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Gran DescansH CharltonCallum Rodriguez90104315Second in a C&D Racing League handicap before not staying 1m6f at Haydock; remains of interest.SP 4-1 (Mover)
Prince Of The SeasR BeckettHector Crouch9497334Rediscovered form in a tongue-tie, winning at Goodwood; may well have more to offer.SP 7-2
Siempre ArturoD & C KublerNicola Currie97100329Has gone 2-2 in cheekpieces; two 5lb rises ask a question, but something has clicked.SP 5-1 (Drifter)
Asgard’s CaptainD CunhaJ F Egan9198322On the money when staying on best at York; this stiff finish will suit; only 3lb higher.SP 5-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Prince Of The Seas will need another career best… Asgard’s Captain (second choice) will be strong in the finish… but it could pay to chance the progressive GRAN DESCANS who was a blatant non-stayer over 1m6f last time.” – Alistair Jones

• Significant Non-Runner: Enemy

5:05 PM – Newcastle Dog & Cat Shelter Fillies’ Novice Stakes

• Conditions: £26,000, 7f, Standard, For 2yo fillies.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Leading DancerK BurkeClifford Lee95320Pleasing debut when keeping on for third at Doncaster; leading claims with that run behind her.SP 1-3
Yy SpiritE BethellCallum Rodriguez80239Stayed on for third on debut at Wolverhampton; open to improvement but it will be needed.SP 4-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “LEADING DANCER is also open to plenty of improvement and her Doncaster third 16 days ago looks comfortably the best form on offer.” – Paul Smith

5:40 PM – Newcastle Dog & Cat Shelter Lottery Novice Stakes

• Conditions: £26,000, 6f, Standard, For 2yo.

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
Foxtrot FlyerK BurkeClifford Lee51170,000gns yearling; half-brother to three winners including Listed winner Great State; looks the part on paper.SP 11-8
Major Neigh SayerG ScottDarragh Keenan79232In need of experience on debut at Ripon; form has a solid look; open to improvement over 6f.SP 11-4
Augustus GloopJ FanshaweDaniel Muscutt79255Built on debut run to finish strongly for second at Lingfield; capable of better.SP 2-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “Augustus Gloop and especially Major Neigh Sayer are open to progress but FOXTROT FLYER, a well-related newcomer from a stable rich in 2yo talent, can make a winning debut.” – Paul Smith

6:15 PM – Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap

• Conditions: £25,000, 1m, Standard, For 3yo+ (66-85).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
StanageM & D EasterbyJoanna Mason8095254Not disgraced in strong handicaps at York and Goodwood before being poorly drawn at Chester.SP 14-1 (Mover)
War HowlM ApplebyJason Watson8394284Won back-to-back 7f handicaps; finish lacked a punch over 1m last time; up 3lb.SP 9-2
Rogue EncoreP Chapple-HyamP J McDonald8497264Best form is on AW here; good chance he’ll bounce back from a poor run at Ripon.SP 5-1

• Spotlight Verdict: “A tentative vote goes to STANAGE whose uninspiring form figures can be attributed to contesting some strong handicaps and it was never going to be easy from where he was drawn at Chester last time. Zryan went close off the same mark last week at Southwell and he’s a winner waiting to happen.” – Alistair Jones

• Significant Non-Runner: Zryan

6:45 PM – High Gosforth Park Golf Club Handicap

• Conditions: £75,000, 7f, Standard, For 3yo+ (81-100).

HorseTrainerJockeyORRPROne Day RatingSpotlight SummaryMarket Insight
SuperpositionE DunlopJason Watson91110316Fine second here (1m) in June; Kempton run can be upgraded after a big mid-race move; big chance.SP 5-1
Oliver ShowG BougheyBilly Loughnane96110331Agonising defeat in the Lincoln; fast-finishing fourth at Doncaster last time shows strong form; leading contender.SP 6-1
Akkadian ThunderD O’MearaDaniel Tudhope95112307Won easily at Doncaster before chasing home a subsequent Group 1 winner at Royal Ascot; up to winning off this mark.SP 5-1 (Mover)
The Wizard Of EyeT CloverCallum Rodriguez100112265Won the Victoria Cup last term; absent since September; makes stable debut; interesting if backed.SP 7-1 (Drifter)

• Spotlight Verdict: “SUPERPOSITION (nap) might be the answer, with his latest fourth a much better effort than a 3l defeat might indicate. He could enjoy a tactical advantage here too and he remains capable of better on AW.” – Paul Smith

• Significant Non-Runners: Movie Maker, The Caltonian

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