TimeWise Chronicles

Down Royal; analysis of the Timewise Top Two ranked.

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This response details all Down Royal races in chronological order, using only the provided sources.

Down Royal Races: Monday 29th September 2025

1. 2.04 Molson Coors Beverage Company Nursery Handicap

(Class 3, 5f, Good, 2yo)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Award Ceremony (IRE)2252
Bay Of Supremacy (IRE)2244

Recent Form and Comments

  • Award Ceremony (IRE): This runner has been consistent enough in defeat in maidens and nurseries. However, they did not seem to get home over 6f in their last two runs, including behind Prairie Echoes at Sligo. They may perform better returning to this 5f trip.
  • Bay Of Supremacy (IRE): After showing a hint of ability in maidens, this horse demonstrated improved form in first-time blinkers to make all in a Naas nursery, beating several rivals entered here. The horse is now up 6lb but has a good draw and is considered a big player if getting a run.

Spotlight Verdict

“Though she doesn’t have the kindest draw, LOVE BOMB could still take this on nursery debut if she repeats the form of her second maiden start when not far behind a smart sort. Naas nursery winner Bay Of Supremacy will have a big shout if getting a run. Final Melody, The Love Machine and Imnotleavinyou weren’t far behind him at Naas and can go well. Award Ceremony can do better back to this trip.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo runners.
  • Fate of Favourites: 251.
  • Trainer Records (Recent % W-R): K Cotter 50%, A Slattery 50%, D J Murtagh 59%, G Elliott 100%.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Award Ceremony (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (252). Likely to be better suited by the return to 5f.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Has been consistent in defeat rather than successful. Needs to step up on recent efforts at 6f.
  • Bay Of Supremacy (IRE):
    • Strengths: Second highest rating (244). Proven course winner who showed improvement with first-time blinkers. Has a good draw.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Carries a 6lb penalty. Is listed as a reserve.

2. 2.39 Coors Fillies Handicap

(Class 5, 1m5f, Good, 3yo+ fillies)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Fortuna Vera (IRE)3297
Billie Frechette (IRE)4285

Recent Form and Comments

  • Fortuna Vera (IRE): This filly won a Dundalk maiden (7f) and a Leopardstown handicap (1m2f) in May. She has run mostly decent runs in defeat since being upped to this 1m5f trip and should be involved with a repeat performance.
  • Billie Frechette (IRE): She is a Flat winner over 1m5f here in June and has also won over hurdles. She encountered a nightmare passage behind Alba Chiara in the Ulster Cesarewitch over 2m2f here last time, but is 12lb better off than that rival, offering bright prospects of reversing the form.

Spotlight Verdict

“Alba Chiara got a severe hike for beating BILLIE FRECHETTE in the Ulster Cesarewitch over 2m2f here last time and the latter can turn that form around having been unlucky-in-running that day. Mo Ghille Mar goes well at this track and can do so again.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Only fillies, 3yo+.
  • Fate of Favourites: Not provided in the sources for this race.
  • Trainer Records (Recent % W-R): Mrs J Harrington 59%, N Meade 67%, J P O’Brien 61%.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Fortuna Vera (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (297). Proven winner who has been running decently at longer trips.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Requires a consistent run to hold off competition, particularly her highly-rated rival.
  • Billie Frechette (IRE):
    • Strengths: Strong course winner (1m5f). Expected to reverse form with Alba Chiara due to a 12lb weight advantage and having been unlucky last time. Named the selection in the Spotlight.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Needs to overcome the misfortune of her previous run.

3. 3.14 Irish EBF Auction Series Fillies Maiden

(Class 4, 7f, Good, 2yo)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Stars Will Shine (IRE)2332
Running Point (IRE)2271

Recent Form and Comments

  • Stars Will Shine (IRE): This horse, by the leading first-season sire, ran a cracker on debut over 6f at Cork in a conditions race. She shaped as though she would stay this 7f trip and is therefore on the shortlist.
  • Running Point (IRE): Showed promise on debut at Leopardstown and improved when stepped up to this 7f trip at Naas, despite showing signs of greenness. The winner of that race subsequently finished third in a Listed race at Leopardstown, indicating strong form. She doesn’t need much more to win this.

Spotlight Verdict

“The filly who beat RUNNING POINT (nap) in a Naas maiden was since third in a Listed race at Leopardstown at the Champions Festival and that form looks good enough here. Stars Will Shine looks to be her main danger, while Kilmac Air and Aquilla Star look the best of the newcomers.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: Only 2yo fillies.
  • Fate of Favourites: 250.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Joseph Patrick O’Brien 2-0-4, Noel Meade 1-0-5, John C McConnell 0-1-2.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Stars Will Shine (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (332). Strong potential based on debut performance and breeding.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Less exposed than her main rival, but expected to run well.
  • Running Point (IRE):
    • Strengths: Her form line has been strongly boosted by the subsequent performance of the winner she faced. Named the NAP (best bet) in the Spotlight.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: She has a wide draw, which is noted as a negative.

4. 3.49 Madri Excepcional Maiden

(Class 5, 7f, Good, 3yo+ maidens)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Diego El Queso (IRE)3277
Smiling (IRE)3260

Recent Form and Comments

  • Diego El Queso (IRE): After being gelded, he ran a better effort back to 7f at Gowran last time when just denied. He has the form to win this but tends to hang under pressure.
  • Smiling (IRE): Her best effort was a second in a 5f Dundalk maiden last winter. She did not seem to stay a mile at Naas when last seen. She has to be considered given her yard.

Spotlight Verdict

“If repeating the form of his last two narrow defeats, DIEGO EL QUESO has the winning of this, though significant easing of the ground might complicate the picture. Smiling and Perfect Base look the main dangers, while The Corporate Guy is worth a market check.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2-2-13, 4yo+ 0-1-2.
  • Fate of Favourites: 45.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): A Oliver 0-1-3. (Other recent percentages: G Lyons 67%, N Meade 67%, A P O’Brien 68%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Diego El Queso (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (277). Has the form needed to win and has been running well at 7f. Named the likely winner.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Tends to hang. Significant easing of the ground could complicate the picture.
  • Smiling (IRE):
    • Strengths: Second highest rating (260). Drop back to 7f should suit after struggling at 1m.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Is inconsistent.

5. 4.24 Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap

(Class 3, 7f, Good, 3yo+)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Bishopton (IRE)3256
Port Louis (IRE)4249

Recent Form and Comments

  • Bishopton (IRE): Got off the mark in a Dundalk maiden over this trip last time. However, he was regressive on turf prior to that, so he needs to return to his best form on this surface.
  • Port Louis (IRE): Won over a mile at Cork earlier this season. His best run since was a close sixth over 7f at Fairyhouse last time, where he finished nearest at the finish. His mark is unchanged, keeping him on the shortlist.

Spotlight Verdict

“Having caught the eye flying home from the rear at Fairyhouse last time, PORT LOUIS can make amends today off an unchanged mark. Shelbourne Flyer is also off an unchanged mark and is a player, though the draw has been unkind. Bishopton won on AW last time but his turf form isn’t at the same level. Eichan San can run well while handicap debutants Hot To Foxtrot and Sister Lily are of interest.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 1-1-7, 4yo+ 2-5-28.
  • Fate of Favourites: 012.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): John C McConnell 1-1-5. (Other recent percentages: Miss N Lupini 56%, N Meade 67%).

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Bishopton (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (256). Winning form from last start (AW).
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Turf form is inferior to his AW performance.
  • Port Louis (IRE):
    • Strengths: Named the Spotlight selection. Showed strong finishing ability last time and races off an unchanged mark.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: None specifically listed, deemed a solid contender.

6. 4.55 Pravha Handicap (0-60)

(Class 4, 1m3f, Good, 3yo+)

HorseAgeImplied Top Contender
Lunar Landscape5Highest OR/Weight, Spotlight 2nd Choice
Faro Island3Spotlight Preference

(Note: TimeWise Master total ratings are not fully available for the top of the field in the provided sources for this race, relying on OR/Weight status and Spotlight analysis.)

Recent Form and Comments

  • Lunar Landscape (5yo): He is a maiden. He was runner-up the last twice and received a 2lb rise for his narrow 0.5l defeat at Navan. This slightly longer trip should be within range, and he has a leading chance.
  • Faro Island (3yo): Produced a much-improved effort to finish a 1.75l third at Dundalk on handicap debut. He raced keenly when wearing blinkers previously; however, cheekpieces now replace the blinkers and could help this 3yo settle better. He has leading claims.

Spotlight Verdict

“A competitive race. Searcog is respected after his easy Punchestown win but he’s 10lb higher now. Churchill Gale and Lunar Landscape are also considered but Andrew Oliver’s horses have been in good form and his relatively unexposed 3yo FARO ISLAND is taken to get off the mark in first-time cheekpieces. My Vonnie could go well at a price with Browne McMonagle a notable booking.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 2-1-13, 4yo+ 1-5-27.
  • Fate of Favourites: 011.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Andrew McNamara 2-0-2, A J Martin 0-1-1.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Lunar Landscape:
    • Strengths: Consistent recent place form. Likely suited by the trip.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Maiden status. Carries a 2lb rise.
  • Faro Island:
    • Strengths: The Spotlight preference, noted as unexposed. Improved effort on handicap debut. New cheekpieces are expected to help him settle.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Raced keenly in previous headgear.

7. 5.25 Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap

(Class 6, 1m5f, Good, 3yo+)

HorseAgeTimeWise Master Total Rating
Railwayview Lady (IRE)3261
Glenroyal (IRE)3246

Recent Form and Comments

  • Railwayview Lady (IRE): Caused a big shock winning a maiden at Navan (1m2f) at 125-1, with the third-placed horse since boosting the form. She is unexposed and is considered likely to stay this distance based on breeding.
  • Glenroyal (IRE): Scored off 66 at the Galway festival over 1m4f (soft) in July, but is 11lb higher now. He ran poorly over 1m6f the following day (suggesting the run came too soon). He has been freshened up and could bounce back.

Spotlight Verdict

“Shock Navan winner Railwayviewlady is unexposed and should stay this far but if the forecast rain arrives softer ground would be an unknown for her. A freshened up Glenroyal could make his presence felt but a punt is taken on MORSE who will relish any rain and he is 4lb lower than when second in this last year. Sir Callisto is another to consider and Razdan can go close if on a going day.”.

Race Statistics

  • Age Groups: 3yo 1-2-14, 4yo+ 2-4-25.
  • Fate of Favourites: 333.
  • Trainer Records (W-PL-R): Joseph Patrick O’Brien 1-0-2, A Oliver 0-1-3, Charles Weld 0-1-1, John C McConnell 0-1-3.

Assessment of Top Two Chances

  • Railwayview Lady (IRE):
    • Strengths: Highest TimeWise Master rating (261). Unexposed with boosted maiden form.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Softer ground resulting from forecast rain is an unknown for her.
  • Glenroyal (IRE):
    • Strengths: High rating (246). Proven winner at 1m4f. Freshened up after a short break, potentially leading to a bounce-back performance.
    • Weaknesses/Suitability: Carries an 11lb rise from his last win.

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